COP daily signs of reversal near all time highCOP daily signs of reversal near all time high no clean candle entry. However so close to all time high and we go lower, it's probably the beginning of waver 3 down trend. Stop above all time high.
0QZA trade ideas
COP nice little hammer on dailyCOP bearish set up hammer on daily plus wave C on daily / weekly and wave A on monthly.
Target can be moved down to $70 once we see an action dynamic around point of control and MA 100 and 200.
COP bearish hammer at local high on dailyLove the hammer, love the position, love next day bearish hammer.
COP - Energy stock resilient and on the moveConoco Phillips on the move. Two week minor pullback and breaking out.
IQ has always and will always, get all the praise; but discipline gets the job done ~Mark Ritchie
Lose like a pro and keep trading, or lose like a novice and quit ~Mark Ritchie
COP daily frame toward 107 (possible retest of ATH?)8/22/22 = 100% fib time ext with price target near 107.
short term top or corrective subwave & ATH possibly in the picture?
$COP with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $COP after a Positive Under over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 22.22%.
COP - Up Channel Breakout COP has formed a large up channel (white lines)
Price has broken out of this channel, the top channel band will now likely act as support for price
This will ultimately lead to continuation upwards for price, in a more aggressive manner (shown with green bars pattern)
Someone call the COPs ConocoPhillips
Short Term
We look to Buy at 87.72 (stop at 84.15)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. We are trading at oversold extremes. Previous support located at 87.50. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 87.61 from 65.06 to 124.08. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 101.19 and 108.19
Resistance: 105.00 / 124.00 / 150.00
Support: 87.50 / 68.00 / 51.00
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COP Oil names still leadersPost breakout shakeout makes this setup interesting. Oils stocks are leaders and we may be finding a bottom on the market for now. Even tho my personal opinion tells me this stocks already had their run, price and volume action tells me otherwise. I will be disciplined with my methodology and buy a small position as a toe in water.
4-6 week opportunity with 20% gain opportunity..!Entry: at the market opening
Stop loss: closing below 95
Reward/Risk: 2
Target range: 120
Time Frame: 4-6 wks
Possible gain: 20%%
Possible loss: 5-10%%
Position size: 5 % of trading capital
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
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$COP ATH Blue Sky BreakoutConoco Phillips nice blue sky breakout after healthy VCP pattern, looking for $120 Magnet
I'm long JUN 117 calls up 95% , might sell some calls against it but chart looks strong IMO and looking for more upside first
$COP - Breakout Target 127$$COP breakout on good volume out of a nice consolidation phase - Target 127$
$COP More OIL SetupsOne more #Oil stock that is looking setup.
Did I say #Oil stocks setting up?
$COP one with a shakeout.
$COP with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $COP after a Positive Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 25%.
COP - EOM UpdateMonthly candle closed so here is an update.
COP having tagged the upper trendline of this long expanding pattern with an upper wicked candle has now slumped back to print a double wicked candle with bearish body through the 1.618 projection taken from the previous 3 pivots which will most likely prove to be a shakeout reversal top to collapse back down.
RSI is now very close to crossing back down below the upper band which would show bearish momentum.
I currently hold a 2024 ATM LEAP put bought when COP was @ $100 and the two 0.618 Fibonacci targets are a band from $39 to $44 that I would like to buy back my puts should price get there in time. There is also support in that area and with also the Fibonacci confluence it would be an area that will likely see a bounce.
A big collapse should be coming as this trend since the lows is a very overextended 416% move from the previous low also with USOIL overextended and overlaid on the chart. Arithmetic view gives a better perspective of just how wild this trend has been.
If it comes crashing down then the very low implied volatility at time of purchase should expand which will add value to my put.
COP is being written about as being one of the best buys in oil and energy currently as it appears to be topping out.
I would be surprised if there are m any monthly candles with bullish bodies from herein.
Just to add, this 1.618 @ $58 is a long term 3 pivot projection taken from the lows, which I think will prove the entire price action above to be Distribution.
Not advice.
COP breakout soonCOP has been in an ascending channel for the last 6 months. Its at the bottom of the channel and a symmetrical triangle has formed. Breakout this week. To 115.
COP - Round Number Short 🐻COP hit $104 this weak with RSI hitting 75 - highest monthly reading since 2005 with divergence in this expanding topping pattern.
Retraced back up to 0.618 @ $100 today.
Not advice.
COP Shorting This Great Company With Leap PutsOn a tip from my friend @dRends35 I looked at this very overextended chart and shorted it this morning. Not advice Take a look.
ConocoPhillips found its peak. COPShorting divergent upgoing zigzag. Fib on Wave C first as targets.
Immediate targets 86, 83,79. Invalidation at 94.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
$COP with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $COP after a Positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 100%.
ConocoPhillips had 6 crashes since 1974One of the simplest way to invest/trade Oil Companies is to study the Brent/WTI price movements because they are very correlated.
Every oil price crashes, oil companies will follow as well. Commodities is very volatile and for that comes an opportunity to profit.
In the last 50 years, every time the stock drops more than 50%, it follows by a rally. For this stock, it crashed 6 times in the last 50 years the stock crashed every 8 years however that average is skewed by a massive bull run on the stock from its recovery of 1985-86 crash until it reached its peak in 2008 (a whopping 2783% rally!!)
Before that massive ridiculous rally, the stock crashed on average every 4 years. In the most recent 3 crashes is within the last 13 years.. on average roughly, the stock crashed more or less every 4 years
The last two crashes were followed by a rally with an average of 180% bull run. Currently the stock is on a 274% bull run!
Actionable : It's hard to trade/invest in oil companies using the normal valuation method i.e DCF due to its tight correlation with oil prices. I let the price movemet of oil to decide for me if its time for me to buy this stock. Currently I am on the sideline and wait for a correction.
