Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp DropTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp Drop
When analysing the Tesla (TSLA) stock price chart six days ago, on the morning of 5 June, we:
→ highlighted Elon Musk’s critical comments regarding the spending bill promoted by the US President;
→ noted that a potential rift between Musk and Trump could have long-term implications, including for TSLA shares;
→ outlined an ascending channel (marked in blue);
→ suggested that the price might correct from the upper to the lower boundary of the channel.
This scenario played out rather aggressively: later that same day, during the main trading session, Tesla’s share price dropped sharply to the lower boundary of the channel amid a scandal involving Musk and Trump.
However, the lower boundary of the channel predictably acted as support. Yesterday, TSLA shares were among the top five performers in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), gaining around 5.6%.
As a result, TSLA stock price climbed back above the psychologically important $300 mark, recovering from the previous week’s sell-off.
Why Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rising?
Bullish drivers include:
→ The upcoming launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service, provisionally scheduled for 22 June. Elon Musk has stated he intends to use the service himself.
→ Easing of tensions with the US President. Donald Trump declared that he has no intention of "getting rid of Tesla or Starlink" should he return to the White House.
→ Continued support from Cathie Wood, the prominent asset manager, who once again reaffirmed her confidence in Tesla’s future success.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart
Today, TSLA’s share price is hovering near the median line of the previously identified ascending channel – a zone where supply and demand typically seek equilibrium.
Also worth noting is the $320 level: in May, it acted as support, which suggests it may now function as resistance.
Given these factors, it is reasonable to expect that the sharp recovery from the 5 June low may begin to lose momentum, with the price likely to stabilise and form a consolidation range following the recent spike in volatility.
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0R0X trade ideas
Tesla TSLA 🧠 Breakdown of this setup:
The pattern is an inverse head‑and‑shoulders, signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish momentum.
Technical commentators highlight crucial support near $300, suggesting that’s the fueling station before lift-off
After breaking the neckline, measured upside targets land in the $400–420 zone, fitting that “rocketship” trajectory vibe
🎯 Launch Pad & Destination
Pre‑launch dip: ~$300 sets the inverse H&S bottom.
Ignition point: Breakout above neckline brings liftoff.
Orbit target: ~$420—your mission succesfully completed.
Tesla🚗 Tesla (TSLA) – Long-Term Bullish Outlook 📈
Tesla is showing extreme bullish strength across higher timeframes, supported by strong fundamentals, innovation momentum, and institutional interest. The current price action suggests a solid long-term buying opportunity for patient investors and swing traders alike.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
The stock has broken key resistance levels and is maintaining higher lows.
Momentum indicators support continuation of the uptrend.
Volume and sentiment remain favorable.
📅 Investment Horizon:
Mid to Long Term (Up to 2 Years)
🎯 Target Levels:
➡️ 500 – First major resistance
➡️ 700 – Medium-term breakout target
➡️ 900 – Long-term bullish target based on macro and chart structure
📌 Strategy:
Buy on dips or sustained breakouts. Suitable for long-term portfolios with a 1–2 year holding perspective. Risk management and scaling in recommended.
💬 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
#TSLA #Tesla #Stocks #TradingView #Investing #Bullish #LongTerm #SwingTrade #GrowthStocks
How I Got My Win Rate to 94.12% ($4.59 per $1 risk expectancy)There's a lot of people who talk smack about high win rates, probably to justify their low win rates.
The justification usually sounds something like this 'You do know the best traders have win rates under 50% and win rates mean nothing right?'. Nothing could be further from the truth in the context of the archetypal character who writes such a thing in trading view minds. A high win rate shows something very very important.. proof of edge.
Now if someone wants to believe I'm taking penny wins and dollar losses, be my guest but use your head...in fact, one better... use your eyes. There is a nice little stat there called 'profit factor', what it tells you is how many dollars profit per trade my expectancy is. Wake up, understand that not everyone is a trading guru scammer. Not everyones stats are fake, and if you want to see for yourself... its easy to do. Simply watch my livestream, there is no better proof of edge than that.
TSLA June 2025 Monthly Support & Resistance Lines Valid till EOMOverview:
The purple lines serve as support and resistance levels for TSLA stock throughout the month of June. When the price approaches these lines from either the bottom or the top, I will consider taking long or short positions in TSLA stock, depending on the direction of the price movement.
Trading Timeframes
I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Some can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements.
I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month.
Extra:
I added Blue Lines which are weekly line for June 16th to 20th.
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance...
In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18.
This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish.
🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish.
Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone.
🧠 TSLA Trade Idea
It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception.
Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading.
I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones.
🐻🔴 Downside:
Strong put support at 250
Gradual support layers up to 280
🐂 🟢 Upside:
Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry.
📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies.
🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit.
🧑🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly
If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels.
There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario.
One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always:
Trade Safe Out There!
Tesla vs. BYD: The Market’s Greatest IllusionIntroduction: The Tale of Two Companies
You don’t need to be an economist to see it. Just compare Tesla and BYD.
BYD: Founded in 1995, Chinese, over $107 billion in revenue.
Tesla: Founded in 2003, American, with less revenue—but a market cap six times bigger.
The reason? Because one sells cars, and the other sells dreams. And Wall Street loves a good dream.
The Illusion Economy: When Hype Outweighs Reality
Tesla’s valuation isn’t tied to assets, production, or profits. It’s a ritual of collective belief—a performance act where branding replaces substance, and expectation outweighs reality.
It’s the same logic behind a $1,000 jacket that costs $100 to make. Put a fancy logo on it, and suddenly, it’s not overpriced—it’s "premium." You're not just buying a product; you're investing in a lifestyle. Sure. Keep telling yourself that.
Tesla is the $1,000 jacket. BYD is the actual tailor shop.
Tesla vs. BYD: The Numbers Tell the Story
Tesla’s market cap is over $1 trillion, while BYD’s is under $200 billion. Yet, BYD outsells Tesla globally, especially in China, where it dominates the EV market. Tesla’s valuation is built on brand perception, future promises, and speculative optimism, while BYD’s is grounded in actual production and revenue.
Financial Storytelling Over Business Reality
Tesla isn’t just a car company—it’s a financial illusion. Markets rise not on performance, but on promise. Stock prices reflect not what a company is, but what a hedge fund feels it might become. It’s not a business model—it’s mood swings with decimal points.
BYD’s Competitive Edge
Production Power: BYD manufactures more EVs than Tesla annually.
Battery Innovation: BYD’s Blade Battery is safer, lasts longer, and is cheaper than Tesla’s.
Affordability: BYD’s EVs are significantly cheaper, making them more accessible to global consumers.
Market Reach: BYD dominates China, the world’s largest EV market, while Tesla struggles with pricing and competition.
The Consequences of Buying the Dream
Tesla’s valuation isn’t creating better cars. It’s just creating dumber investors.
Investors who think they’re visionaries because they bought into the hype.
Consumers who think they’re elite because they bought the label.
Boards who think they’re gods because someone inflated their stock ticker.
But every illusion has an expiration date. Every bubble has its needle. And when dreams are sold on credit, reality always comes to collect.
Reality Always Comes to Collect
This isn’t growth. It’s speculative theater funded by your retirement account.
Real value doesn’t need hype. It appears in supply chains, production lines, tangible goods, and on profit sheets that make sense even without a TED Talk.
So next time you see Tesla’s trillion-dollar valuation, ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA
Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla:
* Range between $270 and $350
* $330 to $400 into price discovery
* Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204
TESLA Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA went up from the
Horizontal support but has
Hit a horizontal resistance
Of 335$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So we will be expecting
A further local move down today
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TSLA Failing at Gamma Wall! Will $322 Hold or Collapse Into $315🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Gamma Exposure Zones:
* Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone
* Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in
* Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally)
* PUT Support Zones:
* $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip
* $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support
* $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 25.2 (moderate)
* IVx avg: 70.5
* Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50)
* Interpretation:
* TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point.
* GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown:
* Current Price: $325.00
* Structure:
* Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327
* Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred
* Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed
* Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible
* Trendlines:
* Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure
* If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone)
⚔️ Trade Setups:
🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability):
* Trigger: Continuation below $322.50
* Target 1: $315 (PUT support)
* Target 2: $310
* Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall)
Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $328
* Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance)
* Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet)
* Stop-loss: Below $324.50
Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out.
💭 My Thoughts:
* TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5.
* Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast.
* Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster.
* Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown.
🔚 Conclusion:
TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
SPY & MegaCap strengthSPY saw a very strong gap up, negating most of the selling from last week.
despite rising tensions in the middle east - investors have shrugged off volatility and bought the initial dip.
This may be proving that "war" is good for stocks.
we observed a very close correlation between the indices and oil today.
As oil reversed higher - markets saw a bit of weakness. As oil fell markets rallied.
TSLA trying to break a 4 hour bullish pattern
META new Smart Glasses release causing a surge.
MSFT new all time high tap
NVDA firm with ripping semiconductors
GOOGL looking strong for continuation
AMZN moving nicely off support
AAPL lagging the mega's but positive
Tesla (TSLA) Share AnalysisHello, Tesla investors!
Tesla stock has gained good momentum recently, breaking the downtrend and rising to $362. This rise has been fueled by investor interest in Elon Musk's full-time return to the company's helm and the upcoming Robotaxi launch.
Technically speaking , the stock has formed a "double bottom" (W) pattern, and its target, $362, has been reached. However, we are now facing strong resistance at this level. If this resistance level is not surpassed with sufficient trading volume, we may see a short-term pullback.
The possibility of a short-term correction increases, especially with the RSI indicator approaching the overbought zone.
The $335 and $290 regions stand out as support levels. These levels are important to watch for possible pullbacks.
In summary , Tesla stock is in an important resistance zone. Breaking through this level with high volume could signal the start of a new uptrend. Otherwise, we may face a short-term correction. Consider these levels and technical indicators when making investment decisions.
Wednesday Session Debrief (100% Win Rate This Week Thus Far).Early move 1 put @ 935am entry was stacked against a large Bullish FVG so I didn't take it. Call structure came in, but ended up being false positive. As a result i opened a short hedge (01), got chopped up and opened another long and 3 more shorts during 1 hour of choppy price movements as bulls and bears fought over direction to establish control. The final short i opened was when price pushed below $330, exited in very decent profit today considering the unpredictable price action.
Tesla - There's more after the +60% rally!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - will blow even further:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is almost incredible to see such a large cap stock rally more than +60% in less than two months. But Tesla is clearly the exception and therefore we should expect the unexpected. What's quite likely is at least another rally of about 25% from here and a retest of the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla UpdateTesla has had quite a rough go at it lately. For those of you on trading view that follow me, you may not have had the daily updates as those on my website, but you should've known too by my posts that a decent drop was coming. Just so I am as clear as I can be, this is just the beginning of this consolidation lower. We might not even be done with this current drop for the minuette a wave either. As annotated by the turquoise label and the turquoise fibs, another low is very possible, and I would go so far as to say very probable. The reason why I think it is probable, is the structure that was created on the move lower. It appears like the move higher that started on 05 June is a miniscule wave 4 with 5 yet to come.
Now, another move lower isn't required by any means. We could easily continue higher from here for minuette wave b. That is why I have drawn some blue retracement fibs. If we have in fact bottomed in (a), then we would be targeting the $328-$350 area for (b).
In short, we either make another low from here to the $263 area finishing (a), or we continue higher for wave (b). MACD/structure seems to be indicating the turquoise count will come to pass. Either way we should head higher again soon. If we can make another low towards the 2.618 then I will likely take a small long position to ride out (b).
Tesla: Interconnected ATHsStructural update to:
Chronologically connecting pivots via fib channels creates a probabilistic map that captures the rhythm and scale relationships inherent in systematic price movements.
Fractal Wave Marker & Fractal Corridors were used to transform raw price data into a coherent, multiscale structure. Combo of those indicators makes you actually pay attention to ongoing patterns and get an idea how formations on smaller scale can be part of a bigger structural narrative.