TSLA – Short Trade Setup!📉
🔍 Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown
📍 Entry: ~$329.09 (breakdown candle near resistance)
🎯 Target: $319.37 (first support), $314.54 (major support)
🛑 Stop-loss: $331.74 (above wedge and resistance zone)
✅ Why this setup?
Price is rejecting from wedge top + supply zone
Bearish structure with lower highs forming
Clear breakdown below ascending trendline
Good risk-reward targeting previous demand zones
🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute
📈 Bias: Short / Reversal from resistance
0R0X trade ideas
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
TSLA-SELL strategy 3D Reg. channelThe share has retraced a bit and restarted its decline. Considering the technical picture of negative impacts and the ongoing statements between the two parties, the case is stronger for a much lower share price. I feel we may see $ 230 or lower breaking below channel support.
Strategy SELL @ $ 290-310 and take profit near $ 195 for now.
TESLA TO THE MOON?!! OR TO 0??We are currently developing a bullish channel, we will likely retest the resistance of it at around 317-322 then head up to our FVG zone around 336-343. I am holding options for that very position. For long term stock holders, this is where things get interesting. Tesla is headed to the moon whether you like it or not. Probably the stock as well as the car, haha. So I am predicting at least 60000 per share in the long run. This may seem crazy to some but others will understand. AZO is the most consistent stock and has got 50000% of what it used to be. Tesla will be the next auto one but by far better. Tesla will get dominance in the global EV market. Their self driving cars will bring tremendous revenue, they have pretty much no competition either.
They don’t stop here though. Tesla isn’t just a car company. Their energy division (solar, batteries) will overtake traditional utilities.
Tesla is also trying to expand into robotics and AI at an unprecedented scale.
Hyperloop, Neuralink, and other Musk-affiliated companies also somehow contribute to Tesla's valuation which are all successful.
Now the recent “feud” with Trump and Elon may have some worried about Tesla. But as infouential as he is, he is only president for 4 years total. Elon has way more control and is here to stay. That feud means nothing long term, all it does is put Tesla on sale for a week or two. Buy now. Good luck traders. Do your own research please.
TESLA RECOVERY AHEAD|LONG|
✅TESLA lost more than 25%
On the Elon VS Trump fallout
In less than a week which is
Seen by many as an excellent
Opportunity to add TESLA stocks
To their portfolios with a great
Discount which is why we are
Already seeing a nice rebound
From the wide strong horizontal
Support just above 270$ level
And as we are locally bullish
Biased we will be expecting
Further growth on Monday
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Tesla POP off the lowsTesla is currently experiencing a 5 wave impulsive move from the lows of the tarriff turmoil zone, and seeing increasing strength as it climbs and consolidates.
Generally, whenever you have strong bounces such as this one, you can look for a 5 wave impulse move and utilize fibonacci extensions which innately use mathematics to correlate the momentum relationship between each wave.
At present, we have already seen the first 2 waves, which are quite clearly defined, and now pulling back wave 4 for the last 5 wave blow off.
Using the trend based fib extension from the bottom of wave 1, to wave 3/4 to measure the expected move to the 0.618 extension. Meaning, the last wave is generally approx. 61% the size of the first initial wave.
This is a nice 30% move , and can be quite profitable should it materialize. Stoploss is below $312 on a daily close.
Good luck!
Tesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion MeltdownTesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion Meltdown, Chinese Rivals on the Attack, and a Faltering Shanghai Fortress
A tempest has engulfed Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth, wiping a staggering $152 billion from its market capitalization in a single day. This monumental loss, the largest in the company's history, was triggered by a dramatic and public feud between CEO Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump. The confrontation, however, is but the most visible squall in a much larger storm. Lurking just beneath the surface are the relentless waves of competition from Chinese automakers, who are rapidly eroding Tesla's dominance, and the ominous sign of eight consecutive months of declining shipments from its once-impenetrable Shanghai Gigafactory.
The confluence of these events has plunged Tesla into a precarious position, raising fundamental questions about its future trajectory and its ability to navigate the turbulent waters of a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. The narrative of Tesla as an unstoppable force is being rewritten in real-time, replaced by a more complex and challenging reality.
The Trump-Musk Spat: A Bromance Turned Billion-Dollar Blow-Up
The relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, once a seemingly symbiotic alliance of power and influence, has spectacularly imploded, leaving a trail of financial and political wreckage in its wake. The public falling out, which played out in a series of scathing social media posts and public statements, sent shockwaves through Wall Street and Washington, culminating in a historic sell-off of Tesla stock.
The genesis of the feud lies in Musk's vocal criticism of a sweeping tax and spending bill, a cornerstone of the Trump administration's second-term agenda. Musk, who had previously been a vocal supporter and even an advisor to the President, lambasted the legislation as a "disgusting abomination" filled with "pork." This public rebuke from a figure of Musk's stature was a direct challenge to Trump's authority and legislative priorities.
The President's response was swift and sharp. In an Oval Office meeting, Trump expressed his "disappointment" in Musk, questioning the future of their "great relationship." The war of words then escalated dramatically on their respective social media platforms. Trump, on his social media platform, threatened to terminate Tesla's lucrative government subsidies and contracts, a move that would have significant financial implications for Musk's business empire. He also claimed to have asked Musk to leave his advisory role, a statement Musk labeled as an "obvious lie."
Musk, in turn, did not hold back. On X (formerly Twitter), he claimed that without his substantial financial support in the 2024 election, Trump would have lost the presidency. This assertion of his political influence was a direct jab at the President's ego and a stark reminder of the financial power Musk wields. The spat took an even more personal and inflammatory turn when Musk alluded to Trump's name appearing in the unreleased records of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation.
The market's reaction to this public spectacle was brutal. Tesla's stock plummeted by over 14% in a single day, erasing more than $152 billion in market capitalization and pushing the company's valuation below the coveted $1 trillion mark. The sell-off was a clear indication of investor anxiety over the political instability and the potential for tangible financial repercussions from the feud. The incident underscored how intertwined Musk's personal and political activities have become with Tesla's financial performance, a vulnerability that has been a recurring theme for the company.
The Chinese Dragon Breathes Fire: Tesla's EV Dominance Under Siege
While the political drama in Washington captured headlines, a more fundamental and perhaps more enduring threat to Tesla's long-term prosperity is brewing in the East. The Chinese electric vehicle market, once a key engine of Tesla's growth, has become a fiercely competitive battleground where a host of domestic rivals are not just challenging Tesla, but in some aspects, surpassing it.
Companies like BYD, Nio, XPeng, and now even the tech giant Xiaomi, are relentlessly innovating and offering a diverse range of electric vehicles that are often more affordable and technologically advanced than Tesla's offerings. This intense competition has led to a significant erosion of Tesla's market share in China. From a dominant position just a few years ago, Tesla's share of the battery electric vehicle market has fallen significantly.
One of the key advantages for Chinese automakers is their control over the entire EV supply chain, particularly in battery production. This allows them to produce vehicles at a lower cost, a crucial factor in a price-sensitive market. The result is a growing disparity in pricing, with many Chinese EVs offering comparable or even superior features at a fraction of the cost of a Tesla.
Furthermore, Chinese consumers are increasingly viewing electric vehicles as "rolling smartphones," prioritizing advanced digital features, connectivity, and a sophisticated user experience. In this regard, many domestic brands are seen as more innovative and in tune with local preferences than Tesla. This shift in consumer sentiment has been a significant factor in the declining interest in the Tesla brand in China.
The numbers paint a stark picture of Tesla's predicament. While the overall new-energy vehicle market in China continues to grow at a remarkable pace, Tesla's sales have been on a downward trend. This is a worrying sign for a company that has invested heavily in its Chinese operations and has historically relied on the country for a substantial portion of its global sales.
The pressure on Tesla's sales in China is so intense that its sales staff are working grueling 13-hour shifts, seven days a week, in a desperate attempt to meet demanding sales targets. The high-pressure environment has reportedly led to high turnover rates among sales staff, a clear indication of the immense strain the company is under in this critical market.
The Shanghai Gigafactory: A Fortress with a Faltering Gate
The struggles in the Chinese market are reflected in the declining output from Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory. For eight consecutive months, shipments from the factory, which serves both the domestic Chinese market and is a key export hub, have seen a year-on-year decline. In May 2025, the factory delivered 61,662 vehicles, a 15% drop compared to the same period the previous year.
This sustained decline in shipments is a significant red flag for several reasons. Firstly, the Shanghai factory is Tesla's largest and most efficient production facility, accounting for a substantial portion of its global output. A slowdown in production at this key facility has a direct impact on the company's overall delivery numbers and financial performance.
Secondly, the declining shipments are a direct consequence of the weakening demand for Tesla's vehicles in China. Despite being a production powerhouse, the factory's output is ultimately dictated by the number of cars it can sell. The falling shipment numbers are a clear indication that the company is struggling to maintain its sales momentum in the face of fierce competition.
The situation in China is a microcosm of the broader challenges facing Tesla. The company's product lineup, which has not seen a major new addition in the affordable segment for some time, is starting to look dated compared to the rapid product cycles of its Chinese competitors. The refreshed Model 3 and Model Y, while still popular, are no longer the novelties they once were, and are facing a growing number of compelling alternatives.
A Confluence of Crises: What Lies Ahead for Tesla?
The convergence of a high-profile political feud, intensifying competition, and production headwinds has created a perfect storm for Tesla. The company that once seemed invincible is now facing a multi-front battle for its future.
The spat with Trump, while seemingly a short-term crisis, has exposed the risks associated with a CEO whose public persona is so closely tied to the company's brand. The incident has also highlighted the potential for political winds to shift, and for government policies that have benefited Tesla in the past to be reversed.
The challenge from Chinese automakers is a more fundamental and long-term threat. The rise of these nimble and innovative competitors is not a fleeting trend, but a structural shift in the global automotive industry. Tesla can no longer rely on its brand cachet and technological lead to maintain its dominance. It must now compete on price, features, and innovation in a market that is becoming increasingly crowded and sophisticated.
The declining shipments from the Shanghai factory are a tangible manifestation of these challenges. The factory, once a symbol of Tesla's global manufacturing prowess, is now a barometer of its struggles in its most important market.
To navigate this storm, Tesla will need to demonstrate a level of agility and adaptability that it has not been required to show in the past. This will likely involve a renewed focus on product development, particularly in the affordable EV segment, to better compete with the value propositions offered by its Chinese rivals. It will also require a more nuanced and strategic approach to the Chinese market, one that acknowledges the unique preferences and demands of Chinese consumers.
The coming months will be a critical test for Tesla and its leadership. The company's ability to weather this storm and emerge stronger will depend on its capacity to innovate, to compete, and to navigate the complex and often unpredictable currents of the global automotive market. The era of unchallenged dominance is over. The battle for the future of electric mobility has truly begun.
Tesla (TSLA) – SMC Buy Zone Identified🕒 1H Chart | Wave Structure + Liquidity Sweep | Vol: 680K+
🔍 Context:
TSLA appears to have completed a textbook 5-wave impulse, peaking near $385. Price has now retraced into the discount zone, testing a prior equilibrium and FVG (Fair Value Gap)—ideal for reaccumulation.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Wave Count Complete: Elliott Wave (1–5) structure suggests a cycle top was formed.
📉 Current Retracement: Price is approaching the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement and strong OB zone around $294–$303, aligning with Smart Money’s typical entry zones.
📦 Choch → BOS Confirmation: Bullish structure shift suggests a potential reversal zone.
💰 Buy Zone: $294.89 (key low) to $303.17 (equilibrium).
🎯 Target: $513.06 (Fibonacci extension + liquidity cluster).
🧮 Probability Outlook:
📈 Bullish Probability: 70% — Favoring upward continuation post-retrace.
📉 Bearish Breakdown: 30% — If $294 fails, expect deeper retracement toward $267 support.
📊 Strategy Suggestion:
Wait for a bullish confirmation candle near $294–303 zone. Add size above break of minor BOS. Target premium levels with trailing stop logic.
#TSLA #SmartMoneyConcepts #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #VolumeProfile #TradingStrategy #WaverVanirInternational
Bullish on TSLA if its stay above 290$ USD**INDICATOR SAY BULL🚀 TESLA (TSLA): The Ultimate Showdown – Bullish Surge or Bearish Collapse? 🚀
Tesla (TSLA) has all eyes locked on it , standing at a crossroads that could dictate its next explosive move. Hovering at $295.14 USD , it’s holding onto the crucial $290 USD support level , a make-or-break zone that could either ignite a spectacular rally or trigger a sharp decline.
🔥 Bulls Are Ready to Take Off: If Tesla defends $290 USD , it’s GAME ON. This level acts as a launchpad—a pressure point where accumulation fuels momentum, setting the stage for a surge toward $460 USD. Investors, traders, and market enthusiasts are all watching for this breakout moment, knowing that breaching higher resistance could spark an avalanche of buy orders. Tesla’s chart suggests a brewing storm of demand, one that could shatter expectations and push the stock into new highs.
⚡ Bears Are Lurking in the Shadows: But danger is never far away. A slip below $290 USD could signal the end of bullish dominance, dragging TSLA into a downward freefall toward $220 USD or even $200 USD . This break would suggest weakening momentum, market hesitation, and potential large-scale selling pressure. Bears will seize the opportunity, forcing Tesla into a recalibration phase—one that could reshape investor sentiment for weeks to come.
🔥 Tesla’s Next Move? A Market-Defining Moment! 🔥
This isn’t just another stock movement—it’s a battle between fear and ambition, bulls and bears, excitement and caution. Tesla is standing on the edge of innovation and volatility, making its current price action one of the most thrilling showdowns in the market today.
Will it skyrocket toward greatness , or will the bears drag it down?
Whatever happens next, one thing is certain— this ride will be unforgettable . Buckle up! 🚀⚡🔥
Let me know if you want even more refinements or additional angles! 😎🔥
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TSLA BUYBUY TSLA at 272.00 to 248.00, riding it back up to 470.00 to 515.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 213.00!
If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the markets, because it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just my opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
TSLA Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06⚡ TSLA Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish (short-term bounce to $305)
Timeframe: 5–7 days
Catalysts: Fundstrat upgrade, government contract news, max pain magnet
Trade Type: Naked call option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Bias Strategy Strike Premium Target(s) Stop-Loss Confidence
Grok Moderately Bearish $290 PUT $5.15 +25–50% gain –50% premium 78%
Claude Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.30 $28 / $32 $18.50 75%
Llama Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.40 $310 spot target $295 spot break 80%
Gemini Moderately Bearish $280 PUT (entry < $308) $3.30 $6.00 $1.65 70%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.20 $310 / $315 $291 spot break 75%
✅ Consensus: Bounce likely toward $305 on sentiment and positioning
⚠️ Disagreements: Direction split — bounce vs. breakdown continuation
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: Below key EMAs, but short-term bounce forming
Support Zone: $291–297
Resistance / Magnet: $302–305 (max pain + liquidity)
Volatility: VIX ~17.6 — neutral, supports option buying
News: Gov’t contracts + Fundstrat upgrade — potential upside fuel
✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument TSLA
Strategy CALL (LONG)
Strike $305
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $23.30
Profit Target $28.00
Stop Loss $18.50
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At open
Confidence 75%
💡 Rationale: Strong call wall + magnet effect at $305 with improving sentiment despite daily weakness — high-risk, short-duration swing setup.
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
Rejection at $297–300 zone could confirm further downside
Time decay will accelerate approaching midweek — exit quickly if thesis invalidates
Negative TSLA or macro news could reverse bounce fast
Limit size to protect portfolio: risk ≤3% of account
Safe Entry ZoneCurrent Movement is Down.
The Green 4h Zone @ 277-271 price level is strongest support level price targeting.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
TESLA Is it a good buy after the Trump - Musk clash?Tesla (TSLA) lost $150 billion yesterday, closing the session down by -14%, following President Trump's public feud with its CEO Elon Musk. Trump responded to Musk' criticism over the new tax bill, claiming that Musk was upset because the bill takes away tax benefits for electric vehicle purchases.
The obvious question that arises for investors is this: Is Tesla still a buy?
Quick answer? Yes. And once the dust from the fundamentals/ news settles, the technical patterns will prevail.
The long-term pattern since the January 03 2023 bottom has been a Channel Up. The recent April 07 2025 Low has been a Higher Low on this pattern as, even though it didn't touch the Channel's bottom, it did triple bottom on the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel retracement level.
This kick-started the new Bullish Leg of the pattern and yesterday's correction may be nothing more than the start of a Bull Flag formation, similar to those that took place half-way through both previous Bullish Legs.
You can even see how similar the 1W RSI patterns are among the 3 fractals, which have been Accumulation Phases before the start of the 2nd part of the Bullish Leg.
Even though the 1.618 Fibonacci extension is a technical possibility, we can settle for a $600 Target, which would fulfil the conditions of keeping the price action within the Channel Up by the end of the year.
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Tesla Still Slightly Bearish Until FED Cuts RatesOne of my followers asked, "how about now?"
The question comes because he is bullish and I am sharing bearish charts.
Here is the thing, the chart is still bearish of course because of the red candles and the double-top. This can't change unless the last high is broken with significant rising volume.
I'll make it easy. This stock is likely to continue bearish until after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. When they lower the stuff, they do their magic their numbers then the market will turn bullish. So bearish before, bullish after. And this is a classic dynamic.
The market goes through a retrace or correction preceding a major bullish development. Since the bullish development will definitely push prices up, the market must express its bearish tendencies before the event shows up.
So bearish now. When the Fed announces that they are reducing interest rates later this month, then 100% bullish I agree of course.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
This same analysis applies to Bitcoin and all related markets.
The altcoins though are a different thing because these are smaller and already trading at bottom prices. They will recover sooner and will start moving ahead of the pack revealing what is coming to the bigger ones.
All is good.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Possible Head & Shoulders Forming Possible head and shoulders forming on the weekly chart could signal more downside ahead.
This plays into a large corrective wave that started in November 2021, which still needs to form a wave-C of comparable size.
A new high above the wave-B top would negate this count.