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RIO trade ideas

BHP, Rio Tinto (commodities): Highly exposed to the prices of miBHP, Rio Tinto (commodities): Highly exposed to the prices of minerals and metals (iron, copper, coal). Their performance is closely tied to global demand, particularly in China. Rewards Trading at 25.3% below estimate of its fair value Earnings grew by 25.5% over the past year Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 20.6% Risk Analysis Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.06% per year for the next 3 years Dividend of 6.75% is not well covered by free cash flows
NLong
by Maximus20000
Can Rio Tinto Save the Day? The Looming Mining Supply CrisisAs the world races towards a greener future, a critical challenge looms on the horizon: a looming supply shortage for essential energy-transition metals, particularly copper. This shortage, if left unchecked, could jeopardize our ambitious plans for a sustainable future. Rio Tinto, a global mining behemoth, has sounded the alarm, urging the industry to expand mining operations to meet the escalating demand. The company's chairman, Dominic Barton, has dismissed the notion that mergers and acquisitions alone can solve this crisis. He insists that organic growth, involving the discovery and development of new mines, is the only viable path forward. The urgency of this situation cannot be overstated. The demand for copper, a vital component in electric vehicles and renewable energy infrastructure, is set to skyrocket in the coming decades. Failure to secure adequate supplies of this critical metal could hinder our progress towards a sustainable and electrified world. Rio Tinto's leadership in the mining industry is undeniable. Their proactive stance on addressing the supply crisis is commendable, and their commitment to organic growth and exploration for critical minerals demonstrates their dedication to the cause. However, even with the efforts of industry giants like Rio Tinto, the road ahead is fraught with challenges. The Chinese economy, a major player in the global mining landscape, is currently facing its own difficulties. While Barton remains optimistic about China's ability to overcome these challenges, their current economic state could further exacerbate the supply crisis. As the world grapples with the pressing issue of climate change, the mining industry must rise to the occasion. The time for complacency is over. It is imperative that we invest in exploration, expand mining operations, and secure the critical resources needed to power a sustainable future. The stakes are high, and the world is watching. Can Rio Tinto and the mining industry save the day?
NShort
by signalmastermind
Rio Tinto plc Sponsored ADR Other Metals/Minerals Rio emerges as the one mining company worth the trade Key arguments supporting the idea - High production performance outshines that of competitors - Expansion projects underway, including one of the largest iron ore mining operations - M&A opportunities due to restructuring of competitors BHP and Anglo American Investment thesis Rio emerges as the only mining company, with all the competitors struggling to keep up with production challenges. The reporting season in the metals sector has started, and this year's leaders are now more clearly visible on the investment map. Almost all iron ore producers (Vale, Rio, BHP) are planning production at the upper end of the range. The aggregate production capacity of the three largest MMCs will amount to about 890 million tons of iron ore by the end of the year, which is equivalent to almost 35% of the market share. At the same time, many companies are thinking about reorganization of their structures. This year, AngloAmerican and BHP have thought about selling off their assets. The only company that will keep its production assets will be Rio Tinto. The company may emerge victorious from the race for the most demanded metals (nickel, copper, cobalt). Iron ore prices are expected to remain above the established support of $100 this year. Iron ore prices have fallen by almost 30% since the beginning of the year due to rising inventories at ports, shrinking margins of steel mills and slow resumption of construction activity in China. The metal rebounded after some banks raised their growth forecasts for China's economy following better-thanexpected economic data on exports and factory activity. But the price could fall lower as early as next year on rising supply from West Africa. The world's largest untapped high-grade Simandou ore deposit in West Africa is expected to start production in 2025 and reach annual capacity of 60 million tons a year within 30 months, RIO said. The oversupply in the global offshore market is expected to have a negative impact on ore prices and reduce the profitability of production, which will particularly affect the company's competitors, despite Rio's ability to offset the price drop by increasing production. We recommend buying the dip in the RIO stock, which coincides with the dip in the iron ore market
NLong
by FreedomHolding
1
RIO: March 6, 2024(ASX) RIO: Tinto Limited || March 6, 2024 Master of Elliott Wave Analysis: Shane Hua (CEWA-M) Regarding the big picture (1D chart), it shows that wave 2-red has ended, and now Rio Tinto is entering a Bull market with wave 3-red. Now is the time for price action to decline further with wave (ii)-purple. And since the high of 136.7, the price action downwards has unfolded into three waves, labeled abc-blue. Waves a,b-blue have completed, and now it's time for wave c to decline to a lower low. Moving on to the short-term outlook (4h chart), it provides a detailed description of price actions with clear subdivisions. Wave ((4))-red of wave c-blue has ended, and wave ((5))-red is declining even further. The target for this decline is initially at 120.24, while the price continues to maintain below the low of 127.41 because the fourth wave cannot end in the price territory of the first wave. Rally to high levels will negate this wave count.
AShort
by ShaneHua
Rio Tinto: A Mid- to Long-Term InvestmentRio Tinto Rio Tinto is a British-Australian multinational mining and metals company headquartered in London, England. It is one of the world's largest mining companies, with operations in over 30 countries. Rio Tinto's primary products are iron ore, copper, aluminium, diamonds, and uranium. The company's market capitalization is approximately $100 billion. Rio Tinto is listed on the London Stock Exchange and the Australian Securities Exchange. Current and Future Projects Rio Tinto has a number of current and future projects in the pipeline. These include: The Gudai-Darri iron ore project in Australia, which is expected to be the world's largest iron ore mine when it comes into production in 2023. The Simandou iron ore project in Guinea, which is one of the world's largest undeveloped iron ore deposits. The Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine in Mongolia, which is one of the world's largest copper mines. The Jadar lithium project in Serbia, which is one of the world's largest undeveloped lithium deposits. Stock Rating Rio Tinto's stock is currently trading at around $80 per share. I believe that Rio Tinto's stock is a good buy for the mid- to long-term. The company has a strong track record of profitability and growth, and it is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for metals in the global economy. Risks There are a few risks to consider before buying Rio Tinto stock. These include: The cyclical nature of the mining industry. The political risks associated with the company's operations in some countries. The environmental risks associated with the mining industry. Conclusion Overall, I believe that Rio Tinto is a good investment for the mid- to long-term. The company has a strong track record, it is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the global economy, and it is trading at a reasonable valuation. Risk Warning Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses. Rating: Buy Risk Disclaimer! The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice! The Trade Academy Team Risk Disclaimer! General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss.
LLong
by TheTrade_Academ
2
RIO TINTO (Waiting for Confirmation)Rio Tinto – Mining Market Cap: €1.35 bln Price: $61.74 6 Month Dividend: $2.24 (c.3.2%) – March 2023 Quote Dividends recently cut significantly from $4.79 in March 22 (c.5.7%) to $2.24 April 2023 (c.3.2%). Chart - Whilst the long term trend is up with higher lows on the large pennant since 1990, we have not made a higher high since May 2008 and this is a little concerning long term. - On Balance Volume continues increasing which is position and offers some reassurance. We do have our first lower high here on the short term and this could signify a change in price direction. - In terms of a trade, I’m inconclusive for now. I would like the RSI to come back down to the bottom of the purple RSI pennant at minimum (Short Term Buy potential) or become totally oversold on the RSI for a confident buy in. - Any tests of the bottom of the large pennant would be ideal but this may never happen again, time will tell so we focus on the RSI for now. - At present price is pincered between the 200 week SMA and key support. This is likely an inflection point. A good time to wait and see. - An upward sloping 200 week is positive but it is also acts as resistance and until we are above it again, it will remain resistance. Getting a hold above it could offer a buying opportunity. - I will update the chart when we have some confirmation of direction
N
by PukaCharts
Future of RIO, BHP and the sectorI have had a pretty large position in RIO and BHP since end of July 2022, I bought expecting the market to recover and for copper/iron demand to jump from the re-opening of China and the rest of the world. These positions have given me quite the return with their pretty high yields. Having said this, we can see that the steam from the market's comeback has slowed down, copper, iron and ore prices in general have met some resistance and both RIO and BHP have taken a step back from their highs. I don't think there is much more gain to be made with these stocks even though their structure and their fundamentals are highly attractive. I like to invest in one sector at a time, trying to spot which one will be the next to glow up. I think the mining and refining sector has had it's run. Therefore, I'll most probably be exiting my positions in both these companies after collecting dividends and the most probable upside from the upcoming earnings. Extra: I am mostly exiting my position because of what I said above, but I've slowly started to consider the rising tensions between China and the western world. Though sanctions would be an economical blunder for everyone in play, having your biggest consumers be in a cat fight is certainly not preferable for business.
N
by mikamaster_
Rising Wedge//RSI DivergencePatience. RIO was moving right along and broke up from a wide channel down (top channel line is blue). If price goes back under this blue dashed line, it becomes resistance again so be safe. I am just watching RIO for now until 2 bearish components correct in this chart. 1. Folks appear to have gotten overly excited and a bearish Rising Wedge (RW) has formed. It is not a large one but it is there. Risky to enter until a correction with a resumption of the uptrend. 2. Also a divergence is noted between price and RSI. They do not match. It is not unusual for a RW to also have a Divergence. (I use RSI but there are other oscillators one can use to look for divergence). Rising wedges are not valid util price breaks the bottom trendline and price can even break Up from this pattern. In the end, Rising Wedges are bearish and interrupt supply and demand at that level. This will eventually correct with a pull back sometimes it may take a bit to pull back and correct. I do not stay inside a rising wedge for long but we are all different. T1 is in larger type than T2 or T3 which is smallest type. T2 is there in T1 is passed. Price would need to break UP from the RW to meet these targets. If a security is in a high momentum phase, it may barely break the bottom trendline, or it may continue up and come back later on to bust the bottom trendline of a RW. No recommendation.
N
by lauralea
ASX - RIOa cyclical mining giant, finding it hard to find a long term (5-10 year) negative on RIO. even if there is deflationary pressures this is so cheap on so many metrics. - Paid down alot of debt. - Current div yield of 10.4% - ROIC long term mean of 13% (+ div of 5ish?) = 18% ROIC - Current ROIC with inflationary pressures = 26% + 10% div?! - Trading at a current PE Ratio of 5.88x! being a cyclical it is hard to get a feel of the PE but its very much on the low side. - Input costs and labour pressures are here and trading at 1.8x price to sales.
ALong
by jonnytren
2