Rolls Royce ShortFrom my previous post, I have now opened shorts with targets around 250~ partials taken along the way.
RR. trade ideas
Rolls Royce about to peak? Expecting a sell opportunity at the 4.236 Fib Extension. Eye's on £555, my target is around £210.
Will Rolls Royce print 60% correction to 180p?Since the long idea (linked below) price action has melted up 600% in only 21 months. Astonishing. A plethora of long ideas are now published, including on this platform.
The Motley Fool, July 11th - recommended buy
“Rolls-Royce’s share price looks very undervalued to me, with strong business growth prospects, and an investment-grade rating adding to the firm’s allure.”
People actually pay money for this rag. This analysis from WW is free.
Businessinsider, June 26th - According to TipRanks, RR stock has received a Strong Buy
“Deutsche Bank Stays Bullish on Rolls-Royce (RR) Amid Industry Headwinds”
It goes on..
“Menard is a five-star-rated analyst as per the TipRanks Star Ranking tool. Through this tool, TipRanks monitors the performance of many financial experts, ranking them based on their success rate, average returns, and statistical significance.”
It is fascinating to see so many turn bullish at this time. It is a reminder why so few traders (and hedge funds) succeed. Greed.
** The Technical Analysis **
On the above 3 week chart we have:
1) RSI touches 89.3 (blue line), it has never been at this level in the entire history of the business. I remind you this is a 3 week chart. The entire history is shown below. These are bubble levels of strength recorded on the RSI index.
2) RSI support prints breakout. Look left.
3) The Gravestone DOJI candlestick prints across multiple timeframes, including this chart.
4) Why 60% correction? Significant market corrections in the stock were always arrested at the same levels when looking left.
4a) Annual support (yearly candles).
4b) The Fibonacci 0.382. In 2016 the correction was even further, down to the 0.618
The orange line is where both those conditions 1st confirm.
Is it possible price action continues up like the financial rags claim? Sure.
Is it probable? 100% no.
Ww
RSI big picture 3 week
ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC*safe investment opportunity - low risk*
Each candle on the above chart represents 6-months of price action. You can be sure not many people are studying this time frame.
A new candle was printed at the close of 2020 following an astonishing 80% correction since mid-2014. We can see previous price action resistance from dot.com bubble is now winning strong support during the ‘everything bubble’ resulting in the printing of a Dragonfly DOJI candle. Cleary buyers were keen to get exposure to this oversold stock.
An ‘incredible buy’ opportunity is now indicated on the 10-day chart below following an oversold condition (orange column). Price action currently finds support in the bullish half of the Bollinger Band as volume increases.
A buy from 66-100p is amazing if you can get it.
The RR tea leaves confirm take-off from gate 435 The RR tea leaves confirm take-off from gate 435 with a cup with a handle printed and an initial target suggesting a potential up-target move of some 9-10% i.e. onward flight path upwards into the 470's zone. Meanwhile, the cup with handle also unfolded on the SP500 after breaking out of the clouds on the daily time frames on May 10 and its trading range above 5250 and is now heading north towards high 5's 5555 - IMOO DYOR GLA
Bull Put Rolls Royce (London) Bull Put 440/520 for 15 Nov'24
Sell Put 520
Buy Put 440
Risk Reward 1.6.
RYCEY - potential C&HRYCEY seems to have complete a 5-count EW cycle and is due for a correction. This correction would create the handle of the C&H pattern, fulfillment of the pattern would launch RYCEY into another 5-count EW cycle potentially returning it to pre-COVID share prices.
Rolls Royce is facing a long-term resistance lineWeekly chart, the stock is facing a long-term resistance line (started Jan 2014, dashed grey-colored line); so it needs strong bullish power to beat.
After crossing this resistance, the target will be 615
Technical indicators: MACD is positive, RSI is showing over-bought - which indicates tendency to have some correction.
RYCEY to continue north towards $3.50 areaLooking for RYCEY after 5 months of consolidation to continue to move to the upside with a target of $3.50.
This is a long term hold for me, but looking for 100% gains at the very least.
Trade the News: Part 1 - StocksTrading newsflow isn't an exclusive privilege reserved for professional traders with access to extensive teams of analysts.
With a bit of preparation and a dose of discipline, any trader can tap into the added volume and volatility that news injects into the market.
In this two-part series, we present a 3-step template for trading scheduled news events in both the stock and forex markets. Let's dive in and explore the fast-paced world of news-driven trading.
Stock Market News: Volume & Volatility
The Beauty of Being a Short-Term Trader:
Short-term traders thrive on nimbleness and the ability to navigate both sides of the market dynamically. This approach values volume and price volatility—two factors that flourish with newsflow, the release of new information into the market.
Scheduled and Unscheduled Newsflow:
Scheduled Newsflow:
Events with set release dates and times, including earnings reports, economic indicators, and planned corporate announcements. Traders can prepare, analyse expectations, and strategize for these events.
Unscheduled Newsflow:
Unforeseen events that can occur at any time, such as surprise takeover bids, unexpected geopolitical developments, or unscheduled profit warnings. While unscheduled events often have the most significant impact on stock prices, they are less predictable and require considerable experience to navigate effectively.
Finding the Sweet Spot:
While we appreciate the volume and volatility that news brings, preparation is key. The sweet spot is a news event that can be planned for but has the potential to bring substantial volume and price volatility. This series will specifically focus on how to trade scheduled newsflow.
3-Step Method for Trading a Scheduled News Event: E.R.T.
Step 1: Expectation:
This step involves doing background work to set the scene. Understand the exact time and nature of the event, along with both theoretical and real-world expectations.
Theoretical Expectations: Analyst forecasts provide a benchmark, and CEO comments from prior updates may offer insights.
Real-World Expectations: Reading the market and making judgments on price action leading up to an event help gauge real-world expectations.
Step 2: Reaction:
The market’s reaction to the newsflow is crucial. Three types of reactions include:
The Damp Firework: A tepid reaction, indicating that the news was in line with real-world expectations.
The Grower: A mild reaction backed by a strong beat on theoretical expectations, creating intra-day trends.
The Shock: A clear and obvious reaction, involving an opening gap and potential for powerful trading setups.
Step 3: Trade:
This step involves combining the news-based catalyst with a technical catalyst. There are many ways to do this (check out our Power Patterns series – link at bottom of the page), but the best place to start is by trading breakouts from key levels.
What is a key level? This is a support or resistance level that is clearly visible on the daily candle chart and across multiple timeframes.
How do I enter? Traders may enter on the first pullback on the hourly candle chart following the breakout. This will ensure that you’re not chasing the market and should assist you in keeping calm during the intense heat of a news-driven breakout.
How do I manage my risk? Stops can be placed below the swing low of the first pullback (above if trading a bearish breakout). A simple 2:1 reward ratio is a robust method for taking breakout profits. More sophisticated methods can be refined over time, such as taking partial profits on the first sign of exhaustion and trailing stops on the remainder of the position below hourly swing lows.
Case Studies:
Experian Half Year Results
1. Expectation
Theoretical expectations were set by Experian’s board prior to the Half Year Results – 5% organic revenue growth and benchmark EPS of $0.70.
Real world expectations looked mildly negative with prices carving out a broad series of lower swing highs. Prices were not oversold heading into the publication of the Half Year Results.
EXPN Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Reaction
The initial reaction on the hourly chart was clearly bullish with prices gapping higher and maintaining their gains during the opening rotation.
Experian had comfortably beaten both theoretical and real-world expectations – we have confirmation that a news-based catalyst is in place.
EXPN Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
3. Trade
There were two opportunities to buy pullbacks on the hourly candle chart following the news-driven breakout. Timing your entry into pullbacks can be refined by drawing a simple trendline which tracks the pullback – a close above the pullback trendline can trigger your entry.
EXPN Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Rolls Royce Capital Markets Day
1. Expectation
A Capital Markets Day is a chance for the CEO to sell the company’s strategy to shareholders. Real world expectations were high with the shares locked in a powerful uptrend. However, it’s important to note that prices did not look overbought heading into the event.
RR. Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Reaction
The markets’ reaction was decisively bullish with prices breaking well clear of resistance during the opening rotation. This gave traders clear evidence that there was a news-based catalyst supporting the stock.
RR. Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
3. Trade
Following the initial breakout move prices puled back within a low volatility flag formation – creating the ideal point of entry with a stop below the flag lows. This example clearly demonstrates the power of combining new-based and technical catalysts to create strong trade setups.
RR. Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Rolls-RoyceFounded in 1904, Rolls-Royce plays a significant role in the global economy up to date. The company operates in different economic sectors and serves a broad market:
Civil Aerospace:
1. Major airlines: They supply engines to leading airlines worldwide, including Emirates, Singapore Airlines, Lufthansa, and American Airlines.
2. Aircraft manufacturers: They work closely with Airbus and Boeing, providing engines for their commercial aircraft models.
3. Leasing companies: Leasing companies like GE Capital Aviation Services (GECAS) and AerCap are also customers, acquiring Rolls-Royce engines for their fleets.
Defense:
1. Governments and Armed Forces: They supply jet engines and propulsion systems for military aircraft used by air forces and navies around the globe.
2. Defense contractors: Major defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and BAE Systems rely on Rolls-Royce engines for their aircraft programs.
Power Systems:
1. Shipbuilders and ship owners: They provide engines and propulsion systems for various types of ships, including cruise ships, container ships, and offshore vessels.
2. Industrial companies: Industrial users like power generation companies, mining operations, and data centers utilize Rolls-Royce engines for power generation and other applications.
3. Railroad operators: Locomotive manufacturers and rail operators purchase Rolls-Royce engines for their trains.
Electrical Aviation:
1. Aerospace companies and startups: As they develop electric and hybrid-electric aircraft, these companies look to Rolls-Royce for expertise and potentially, propulsion systems.
2. Governments and regulatory bodies: Collaboration with these stakeholders is crucial for shaping the future of sustainable aviation and integrating new technologies.
We will be looking at adding Rolls-Royce to our portfolio as the company strives to shape the future of energy and mobility.
I'll accumulate under 1.36Rolls-Royce Holdings plc is a British multinational aerospace and defence company incorporated in February 2011 that owns Rolls-Royce, a business established in 1904 which today designs, manufactures and distributes power systems for aviation and other industries.
source Wikipedia
breakout of a triangle on a 1H chartOn the hourly chart, we see a triangle forming. After a clear breakout of the triangle during the next session, we will look for opportunities to enter a LONG position.
Rolls Royce (RR) - Three Black CrowsRolls Royce is showing bearish signs, it seems like a perfect short sell. Three black crows is a bearish candlestick pattern when three red candles sequentially break each other bottoms
I will simulate the Hedge grid system strategy == in a trendingI read somewhere that companies are not required to pay dividends to shareholders (this is correct, yes?).If so, then if company A never pays dividends to its shareholders, then what is the point of owning company A's stock? Surely the right to one vote for company A's Board can't be that valuable.What is it that I'm missing?
definitely if the stock has no intrinsic value, then what is causing its movement up and down ?
I will introduce in this post a strategy called the Hedge grid system
In this strategy if two traders decide to cooperate they can make a lot of money from any stock market even though most stocks do not have any intrinsic value
I will simulate the Hedge grid system strategy
Rolls Royce about to go ballisticRolls Royce about to go ballistic, the 3 month MACD is about to cross positive in a month or 2 and the Bollinger bands predicting a high of $14. Hold on to your hats :). This is a long term hold with big benefits. This is not financial advise, please see a professional for any investment advise.
RR. Short if 150+ not breachedThinking this is a great overbought trade here.
RSI 75 overbought conditions.
Massive gap too be filled around 115
Entered zone of previous sellers(resistance)
ideally for a long position it would fill this gap and then bounce again which coincides with the .38 fib that's present in that zone.
$RYCEY Monthly: When is take-off?Background on $RYCEY
Rolls-Royce. Ring any bells? Technically, Rolls-Royce Holdings plc. Airplane Engines.
Lower low of RSI trend broken
Where is the bottom? Price discovery ongoing, potential development of an accumulation zone.
Rolls Royce is finally flyingIt seems like RR is finally flying, chart setup is similar to Boeing.
150MA crossed over 200MA
Moving average aligned nicely 20/50/150/200 confirming the upside.
Anticipating for the next bull run.
Plus abit of good new: www.reuters.com
Luxury Car Market on a Q4 Bull Run After Punishing 2022The luxury car market is a lucrative and growing industry, with a current market size of approximately $78 billion. It is expected to experience a compound annual growth rate of 5.4% from 2020–2025, driven by factors such as increasing disposable incomes and consumer demand for high-end, exclusive vehicles. However, the current macroeconomic landscape has had a significant impact on the performance of luxury car manufacturers. The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted global supply chains and caused economic instability, leading to a decrease in consumer spending on luxury goods. This has had a negative effect on the share price of companies such as Rolls-Royce (LSE: RR), Ferrari (NYSE: RACE), and BMW (XETRA: BMW).
Rolls-Royce, a British luxury car manufacturer known for its opulent and prestigious vehicles, has seen its share price decline significantly in the past year. The company has been hit hard by the effects of the pandemic, with lockdowns and travel restrictions leading to a decrease in demand for its high-end automobiles. Rolls-Royce has also faced challenges in its supply chain, with disruptions to its manufacturing processes leading to production delays. These factors have contributed to a decline in the company’s share price, which has fallen by around 27% in the past year.
Ferrari, an Italian luxury sports car manufacturer, has also seen its share price affected by the current market conditions. The company has faced similar challenges as Rolls-Royce, with disruptions to its supply chain and a decrease in consumer spending on luxury goods due to the pandemic. In addition, Ferrari has faced increased competition from other luxury car manufacturers, which has further impacted its share price. Despite these challenges, the company has been able to maintain a relatively stable share price, with only a modest decline of around 20% in the past year.
BMW, a German luxury car manufacturer, has also been impacted by the current market conditions. The company has faced challenges in its supply chain, with disruptions leading to production delays and reduced output. In addition, BMW has seen a decrease in demand for its vehicles due to the economic downturn caused by the pandemic. These factors have contributed to a decline in the company’s share price, which has fallen by around 10% in the past year.
Looking ahead to the holiday season, it is difficult to forecast how luxury car manufacturers will be impacted. On the one hand, the holiday season is typically a time of increased consumer spending, which could benefit companies such as Rolls-Royce, Ferrari, and BMW. From the charts, it looks like RR, RACE, and BMW have already begun to witness a Q4 boon, with all three companies’ share prices up nearly 10% after bottoming out YTD at start-Q4 in October. As the current recession deepens and consumer spending slows moving into Q1 2023 these stocks may be in for a reversal, but at the moment shareholders are enjoy a nice Santa Claus rally.
RR to found buyers at 50% pullback?Rolls Royce (RR.) - 30d expiry- We look to Buy at 79.07 (stop at 75.15)
Short term bias has turned positive.
Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 79.62 found buyers.
Levels below 80.00 continue to attract buyers.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Our profit targets will be 88.88 and 90.88
Resistance: 90.00 / 94.80 / 97.00
Support: 84.50 / 82.00 / 78.30
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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Shifting value areasA picture tells a thousand words.
Let's learn to read the picture.
Price is seeking value and creates a pattern.
Small value areas form within a bigger value area.
Trading opportunities arise at the outer edges of the bigger value areas
target at the control line.
The trend will change if the price starts making HH, HL, LL, LH.
It will then start to form a new bigger value area and control line.
The sooner we can see this new value area the sooner we can trade
along with the money that moves the market price.
Rycey, is it time to pay attention?Weekly chart, massive descending wedge. Bullish RSI divergence, with current weekly RSI breaking out and just retested the backside of trendline. If this were to play out the measured move would be close to 3$. Its a weekly, so lots of time here its not going to move overnight. Personally, i'm going to be keeping a close eye on this one.
