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TESLA Have today's upbeat earnings erased the Robotaxi disaster?Tesla (TSLA) reported yesterday third-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates and said it expects to achieve "slight" growth in deliveries this year. This was enough to send the price in an after-market frenzy and so far in-session rising almost by +20%. In fact, Tesla's market cap has increased by $126B today, the largest single day jump ever! Those earnings may prove to be pivotal for the automaker as they come just a few days after the Robotaxi event, which the market considered disappointing. So can those earnings result be enough to reverse Tesla's fortunes, which has been massively underperforming relative to (particularly) the rest of the Magnificent 7? Well this can be answered through a technical perspective, with a chart that we published more than 2 months ago (August 15, see chart below): That was Tesla's Channel Up since the January 06 2023 market bottom on the 1W time-frame, where we caught a buy just after the August 2024 Low. We projected that to be halfway through the new long-term Bullish Leg of the Channel. The recent October correction can be viewed as the April 24 2023 2nd wave of the mid-term pull-back of the Bullish Leg. On the current analysis we view the same pattern but on the 1D time-frame, where the 1D MACD in particular excels at illustrating the identical nature of the two Bullish Legs price actions. Right now the MACD is forming the 2nd clean Bullish Cross under the Lower Highs belt, a formation which on May 04 2023 turned out to be the confirmation that started the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg that completed a +195% rise from the January 2023 bottom. As a result, not only do we expect the stock to reach Resistance 1 (299.50), which is the July 19 2023 High before the year ends but also test Resistance 2 (385.00), which is the April 05 2022 High by January 2025. Our Target long-term remains a straight up $380.00 as we pointed out those months back. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
3
Tesla Weekly to 4 Hour Deep Analysis EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOWMorning Trading Family Tesla broke out of the zone we expected it would with a quick fake for the bears then the positive news punched Tesla up like no tomorrow. Today I break Tesla down into the nitty gritty using all the tools to give you levels to look out for in the coming days. Overall Tesla can hit 300 and beyond but we have a few levels to hit before we get there. Enjoy the video If you liked this content, follow, like, share and boost: truly grateful for your time and your comments Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla’s Q3 Earnings — Profit Surges, But is it Sustainable?Tesla’s Q3 earnings report surprised Wall Street, with the electric vehicle (EV) giant posting a 9% increase in profit*, surpassing expectations. Despite revenue coming in slightly below forecast, Tesla’s stock surged over 12% in after-hours trading. Elon Musk’s bullish tone during the earnings call added to the positive sentiment, as investors focused on Tesla’s future growth prospects. *Source: Washington Post However, while there’s plenty to be optimistic about, it’s important to look at both the opportunities and the potential risks associated with Tesla’s future. Let’s dive into what the numbers reveal and what lies ahead for Tesla. Breaking Down the Numbers Tesla’s Q3 earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.72*, exceeding Wall Street’s forecast of $0.60. Revenue, although slightly below expectations at $25.18 billion, reflected solid growth compared to the previous quarter. Gross margins also came in stronger than anticipated, with Tesla reporting a margin of 19.8%, a notable improvement from earlier in the year. *Source: Yahoo Finance However, the revenue miss raises questions about Tesla’s ability to meet aggressive growth targets in a more challenging economic environment. With rising inflation and potential supply chain disruptions, future earnings could face more pressure than expected. Technical Setup — Post-Earnings Momentum or Short-Term Bounce? Tesla’s post-earnings chart shows a short-term rebound, supported by the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). The stock initially dropped but quickly recovered, riding along this moving average and signaling possible near-term bullish momentum. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates strong buying interest, it's important to take into account the volatility Tesla’s stock has shown in the past. Although there is optimism about Tesla’s future growth, the stock’s history of significant price fluctuations suggests that gains could be temporary, particularly if broader market conditions weaken or investor sentiment changes.While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests strong buying interest, it’s essential to consider the volatility Tesla’s stock has experienced in the past. Although investors are bullish on Tesla’s future growth, the stock’s history of significant price swings means that gains may be short-lived if broader market conditions deteriorate or investor sentiment shifts. Positive Margins Amid Production Increases —But Can They Last? One of the key takeaways from the report was Tesla’s ability to maintain healthy margins as it ramps up production. The cost of goods sold (COGS) per vehicle hit a historic low of $35,100, contributing significantly to profitability. However, there’s no guarantee these margins will be sustainable, especially as Tesla faces increasing competition in the EV market. Additionally, while Tesla’s Cybertruck has finally achieved a positive gross margin, it remains to be seen whether the vehicle will meet sales expectations in the long term. New product launches always carry risks, including potential production delays, cost overruns, and uncertain consumer demand. What’s Fueling the Bullish Sentiment—and Should Investors Be Cautious? Investors have several reasons to remain optimistic about Tesla. Musk was upbeat during the earnings call, highlighting Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, vehicle deliveries, and future product launches. However, it’s worth noting that FSD has been delayed multiple times, and regulatory approval remains uncertain. Investors should be mindful of the risks associated with over-reliance on future technologies that are still in development. Tesla’s ambitious production goals—such as the plan to launch a sub-$30,000 EV by 2025—could also face challenges from supply chain constraints, material costs, and the increasing competition from established automakers and new entrants. Tesla’s energy business is currently seeing strong demand, and the Megapack factory in Shanghai is nearing completion. With multiple growth drivers in play, investors seem to be focusing less on the near-term revenue miss and more on Tesla’s long-term vision. Tesla and the EV Market —Competition Heats Up Tesla’s dominance in the EV market remains strong, but the competition is rapidly increasing. Companies like Rivian, Lucid, and traditional automakers are all ramping up their EV production. While Tesla’s cost advantage and brand recognition position it well, investors should be cautious about the growing competitive pressure. There’s also the macroeconomic backdrop to consider. A potential economic downturn could hurt demand for premium EVs, and while Tesla has plans to introduce more affordable models, it remains to be seen if this strategy can mitigate any broader market slowdown. What’s Next for Tesla Investors? Tesla’s stock surge in after-hours trading is promising, but can it sustain its momentum? Analysts will be watching whether the stock can break above the 50-day moving average, a key resistance level. Investors should be aware of the risks posed by macroeconomic uncertainty, increasing competition, and potential production challenges. For long-term investors, the Q3 earnings report solidifies the view that Tesla is more than just a car company—it’s a technology and energy giant. But even with multiple growth avenues, the road ahead is not without bumps. Maintaining profitability while scaling production and navigating market headwinds will be critical for Tesla’s long-term success. Tesla's Future Looks Bright, but Risks Remain Tesla’s Q3 earnings report was more than just a surprise—it reinforced confidence in the company’s future growth. However, while the numbers are promising, investors must stay mindful of the risks. From increasing competition to macroeconomic pressures and potential delays in new product launches, there are plenty of factors that could impact Tesla’s future performance. For investors bullish on Tesla’s long-term vision, there’s reason for optimism. But with any growth stock, especially one as volatile as Tesla, it’s important to weigh both the opportunities and the risks before making any investment decisions. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Pepperstone
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Surge by 11%Tesla (TSLA) Shares Surge by 11% As shown by Tesla's stock chart, trading closed below $213.50 yesterday. However, following the main trading session, the company reported its third-quarter earnings: → Earnings per share (EPS): actual = $0.72, expected = $0.59 → Gross revenue: actual = $25.46 billion, expected = $25.18 billion Additionally, Tesla forecasted a sharp increase in vehicle sales, assuring investors that CEO Elon Musk remains focused on expanding the company's core electric vehicle business. According to Reuters, this earnings report positively impacted investors who were previously concerned about: → Profit margins shrinking due to price cuts. → Musk potentially being distracted by new projects like the Cybercab robotaxi, Robovan, and humanoid robots (Optimus Gen), which were unveiled during the "We, Robot" event that caused a TSLA stock drop on October 11. As a result, Tesla's pre-market share price shows a rise of over 11%, indicating that today's trading may open around $235. The technical analysis of Tesla's (TSLA) stock chart provides crucial insights into the stock's recent bullish momentum: → Since May, Tesla's stock has moved within an upward channel (shown in blue), with the lower boundary acting as significant support (indicated by blue arrows). → The downward rounding in October (shown by the red arrow) may signal bearish pressure aimed at testing this support. The bullish momentum following the earnings report suggests that the attempt to break below the channel's lower boundary failed. Therefore, bulls may continue to push TSLA's price upwards within the existing channel. It's possible we could see another attempt to challenge the key resistance level at $260 by the end of the year. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
2
Proceed with caution... [4hr chart idea]So if you look at my past ideas, I base them mostly off a combination of Wyckoff, historical data/patterns, TSLA "sweetspot" fib levels, and VWAP + RSI (using varying anchors) indicators. Right now, what i'm seeing after earnings report is a strong move up, but as it stands it looks ready to fall out. The numbers aren't anything specific, more just my own way of keeping track of where we are compared to previous patterns. Case and point, this "strong" earnings report I feel is short lived. I could be wrong and have tracked things slightly off, but you can see the patterns work, so it leaves me questioning this strong move up and how long it will last for. This is a 4hr chart, so this could take some time to play out, but it's what I'm getting so far. WHITE ARROWS = where I think we are compared to where we were previously in similar uptrends = this has me thinking this is the beginning of a real drop out. I've highlighted rising wedge patterns; with the current rising wedge, the rule of thumb suggests a move down to the 170 range. This rising wedge idea works in all 3 examples as a minimum, but where the numbers are labelled with GREEN, it goes way beyond that (which is play to the bigger picture patterns happening). I also notice a lot of reverses happen at the 0.786 with TSLA (highlighted with the dashed purple lines throughout the chart as they often line up with this part of the chart, even if it may be "eventually"). Not always, and never as quick as I'd like, but certainly worth considering... it's a case of watching the same up and down movements in the chart happen (which aren't always identical, but enough the same that you can see between the different numbers - i.e. between 4 and 5 for example) that the move is often the same). So with that in mind, a move down to 170 range makes sense to me at present. Other considerations include the RSI which was instantly maxed out by earnings report + the 3 month VWAP anchor which I've removed visually from this chart, but highlighted bottom ($209) + top ($253) as valuable options - so we might see some chop up and down after our move from 7 to 8, but in finding 8, it could get up to 253, and quite possible even higher. But I'm going to work with what I've got so far after this earnings report move. I'll update this post as the goal posts move so to speak, so make sure you click you're following so we can watch us all make bank together or get it all completely wrong :P (both can be a form of entertainment) (and I don't care about followers, I'm actually just more interested in more people following the posts so they can add input because hive mind etc.) Keen to hear any input at this point and let me know if anything doesn't make sense because I'm pretty prone to it :)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ash4zeker
1
Abnormal RR in TSLAFundamentals: NASDAQ:TSLA is reporting after close. It gapped down 10 days ago because of bad numbers, which looks like was a surprise. Although, numbers were almost on target, investors/traders had higher expectations. I believe medium to bad earnings are already priced in as we are in a value area for more than a week. NASDAQ:TSLA is trading in a very tight range, making it more probable to see a huge move after earnings. Very positive earnings could create a new temporary range from 235-250$. Neutral or slightly positive earnings I believe wont affect the stock in terms of fundamentals, and price will move heavily relied to price action. Very bad earnings could easily push price to areas near 200 for test if buyers exist there. Overall, the lack of detail about Robotaxis from Elon makes the temporary sentiment more bearish. Technicals: The weekly chart looks very bearish, it formed a double top reversal pattern, and MACD is now negative. Also Elder's force index is below zero but with light volume. Also, Elder's impulse system is suggesting that longs are not desirable. Now the Daily chart is in a pretty tight range and a breakout on either side is possible. The short-term (3-period force index) is slightly negative. And my custom MACD for short term fluctuations with the cross is suggesting that the momentum is to the upside. Of course, it could reverse any moment, especially with this kind of low volume tight range price actions. My ideas, purely based on TA are: 1) If price breaks below 213 and the offer holds, a test of 200 is very probable. I will enter short with a stop loss around 214 and profit target around 205 and 203. Remember, we need a test of 213 and a confirmation that it holds, do not get trapped in a false breakout. 2) If price breaks above 224.50, the chances of getting to 250 are high. If NASDAQ:TSLA gaps up on Thursday, I would still look for shorts as price action is bearish except if FOMO kicks in and it starts to trend towards 250 with no real pullbacks. In this case I am long with profit targets around 240 and very tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by benja_g59
2
$TSLA Bombs AwayHere on NASDAQ:TSLA we have a few indicators kicking of pointing to an imminent and largescale down move on the way for this stock. Given the current structure of NASDAQ:TSLA combined with indications of heavy institutional outflows of Money circled in purple, NASDAQ:TSLA is setting up for a post earnings dump. Given the compression shown on the Heikin-Ashi bands on the 4hr chart, we have targets of NASDAQ:TSLA opening up below 182.5 in the morning, going as low as 165.5 by or before next week. Not to be alarmed, This is heading in the right direction to retest our Daily compression for it's big run in 2025.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Midgar-
$TSLA Expected move for Earnings TomorrowHere’s a quick look at Tesla’s implied move for earnings tomorrow, along with a few key levels. I don’t track Tesla closely or trade it, but this is just a reading of the expected move. The implied move for tomorrow is based on options data, giving us a sense of the range we might see post-earnings. Keep an eye on those levels if you’re interested, but again, this is not a full analysis, just a look at the expected volatility and potential movement after the earnings report. That 200DMA is really looking like a great target and a place to go short term long if we hit it, IMO
NASDAQ:TSLA
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
TSLA Technical Analysis for Oct. 23, 2024Key Levels: High: 223.60 Low: 215.72 Current Price: Around 217 Support Levels: Immediate support at 215.72 Stronger support at 213.74 Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at 217.89 Stronger resistance at 222.25 and 223.60 Trend Analysis: Price Action: TSLA is trading in a downward channel with lower highs and lower lows. It is currently facing resistance at 217.89 and may remain within the descending trend if it fails to break higher. Volume: There has been a recent increase in volume during the downward movement, which suggests sellers are still in control. Momentum: The momentum indicators show some potential for consolidation around the 217 level, but no clear signal for a reversal as of now. Possible Scenarios for Tomorrow: Bearish Scenario: If TSLA fails to break above 217.89, it could retest the 215.72 level or lower, potentially testing 213.74. Bullish Scenario: If TSLA breaks above 217.89, it could move towards 222.25, with a possibility of testing 223.60 if there is sufficient buying pressure. My Thoughts: The price is still in a downtrend, and unless TSLA breaks above the upper resistance levels, it may continue to trend downward. Keep an eye on the key levels for potential breakouts or further declines. This technical analysis is purely factual, based on the chart's data, without any bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. It’s based strictly on factual price data and technical indicators. Always do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBear-Insights
$TSLA - Long entry after earningsI think NASDAQ:TSLA will shock many in the coming months. People who are too focused on short term performance are overlooking the long term price potential, I think weak hands will be shaken out tomorrow on the somewhat-likely earnings miss. With that, I expect smart buyers might be able to get an excellent long entry in the $19X.XX price-range tomorrow following a bad print. I like NASDAQ:TSLL as well, and I think that that will be where I allocate a significant position to. In an exponential age, prices will go much higher than people realize. This thesis is invalidated with a significant break lower than $190. Plan accordingly!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by httpz
3
Empty Tank ? $TSLAEarnings Growth, Future of Tesla = #MasterPlan_10x ( T ) Transport ( including Hybrids & RideShare ) ( E ) Energy & Water ( S ) SaaS, Banking & Crypto ( L ) Land, Mining & RE Dev ( A ) AI, Robotics, National Security and ^T = Tesla stablecoin used for Tesla services A miner currently earns 6.25 Bitcoin (about $418,000 as of today ) for successfully validating a new block on the Bitcoin blockchain. What happens when there are no new bitcoins ?? Who is going to validate transactions ??? No one, that's when Bitcoin turns into Internet Gold. Hold your Bitcoin off the system.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RoboEV990412
2