TESLA DIRECTION | CHAOS AT ITS PEAK TESLA trade idea looks solid for me and we will see a bit of correction
0R0X trade ideas
Tesla: tripple support !!! ist this a good omen ? With tonight's earnings report we are right at a tripple lt support region, so if we break, the target is 160. Otherwise 270!!!
TSLA Today Nov. 7 2024Tesla has formed a clear ascending channel, indicated by the upper and lower trendlines. The recent price action shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, which typically suggests an uptrend.
The price is near the top of this channel, suggesting potential resistance. If it breaks above the upper trendline with significant volume, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. Otherwise, a reversal or a period of consolidation within the channel is likely.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $290 - The price has repeatedly tested this area and could face selling pressure here.
Support: Around $273 - This is a support zone within the channel where buyers might step in if the price pulls back.
Lower Support Zone: Around $250 - In case of a significant pullback, this area might serve as a key support level to watch.
Volume & Momentum:
Volume has been relatively high on upward moves, which is supportive of the trend. However, it’s important to monitor if volume sustains, especially near resistance.
Indicators MACD appear to be overbought, signaling a possible cooldown. Watch for bearish divergence if the price tests the channel's upper boundary without a new high in momentum.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: If Tesla breaks above $290 with strong volume, it could aim for new highs above this level. Intraday traders might look to scalp or hold a position through the breakout with caution around each resistance.
Bearish: If TSLA rejects the $290 level, it could test lower levels within the channel, around $273 and potentially down to $250 if sellers gain control. This could provide shorting opportunities on rejections at the resistance or a breakdown below $273.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research or consult a financial professional before making trading decisions. Remember that all trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Accelerating Ahead: Is Now the Time to Invest or Should You WaitOverview: Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Current Price: $288.53 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Consumer Discretionary / Automobiles
Tesla has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $180.00 - $288.53
One-Month Range: $250.00 - $288.53
Support Level: $270.00
Resistance Level: $300.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: January 25, 2025
Dividend Payment Date: N/A (Tesla does not currently pay dividends)
Ex-Dividend Date: N/A
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 68.84 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $2.5 billion
TTM: $10 billion
Dividend Yield: N/A
Institutional Holdings: 55%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 65 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $260.00
200-Day: $220.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (TSLA): 68.84 vs. Industry Average: 20.00
P/B Ratio (TSLA): 15.00 vs. Industry Average: 3.00
EV/EBITDA (TSLA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 10.00
Tesla's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 30%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 25% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.5 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $20 billion
Current Ratio: 1.8
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – Tesla announced a strategic partnership with a leading battery manufacturer, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about Tesla's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Ford Motor Company (F): $10.55, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
General Motors Company (GM): $45.20, P/E 10.00, Revenue Growth 3%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $288.53 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $288.53 = $31.47
Percentage Gain: ~10.90%
Stop Loss (SL): $270.00
Potential Downside: $288.53 - $270.00 = $18.53
Percentage Loss: ~6.42%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.90% (reward) / 6.42% (risk) ≈ 1.70
Entering at $288.53 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $270.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $270.00 = $50.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $250.00
Potential Downside: $270.00 - $250.00 = $20.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $270.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $320.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $300.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $250.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
Tesla's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $288.53): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $270.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $270.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on Tesla's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
Wannabe "Apple of Cars"While Apple continues to captivate with its sleek designs and cultural significance, this company offers only utilitarian minimalism and conformity as it's brand image. The much-hyped Cybertruck was expected to be a game changer, but seeing one on the road is more akin to encountering a roach—an instant jump scare and a hideous design misstep. At this rate, Llon's empire might be poised for a market bounce with the whelming news about robo taxis, and I’m ready to short it when the time comes.
Is Tesla Poised for Growth in a Shifting Industry?Tesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer and technological innovator, continues to captivate investors worldwide. Despite recent market volatility and economic uncertainties, a bullish outlook for Tesla's stock persists, driven by several key factors.
1. Continued Dominance in the EV Market
Tesla's early entry into the EV market and its relentless pursuit of innovation have solidified its position as a market leader. With a strong brand reputation, cutting-edge technology, and a loyal customer base, Tesla remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles.
2. Expanding Product Lineup
Tesla's diversified product portfolio, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, and the Cybertruck, caters to a wide range of consumer preferences. The company's ability to introduce new models and enhance existing ones keeps it ahead of the competition.
3. Autonomous Driving and AI Leadership
Tesla's ambitious autonomous driving program, Autopilot, and its advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) position the company as a frontrunner in the development of self-driving technology. Successful implementation of full self-driving (FSD) capabilities could significantly increase the value of Tesla vehicles and generate substantial revenue from autonomous ride-hailing services.
4. Energy Storage Solutions
Tesla's energy storage solutions, including Powerwall and Powerpack, offer efficient and sustainable energy storage options for residential and commercial applications. As the demand for renewable energy grows, Tesla's energy storage business has the potential to become a significant revenue driver.
5. Global Expansion and Infrastructure
Tesla's global expansion strategy, coupled with its expanding Supercharger network, is enabling the company to reach new markets and solidify its presence in existing ones. As more countries adopt stricter emissions standards and invest in EV infrastructure, Tesla is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
6. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla has consistently delivered strong financial performance, with increasing revenue and profitability. The company's ability to generate cash flow and invest in research and development is crucial for its long-term growth.
7. Elon Musk's Visionary Leadership
Elon Musk's charismatic leadership and unwavering commitment to innovation have been instrumental in Tesla's success. His visionary approach and ability to inspire a passionate following have contributed to the company's strong brand and loyal customer base.
Potential Risks and Challenges
While the outlook for Tesla is generally bullish, it's important to acknowledge potential risks and challenges:
• Intense Competition: The EV market is becoming increasingly competitive, with traditional automakers and emerging startups investing heavily in electric vehicles.
• Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, particularly related to semiconductor shortages, could impact Tesla's production and delivery timelines.
• Regulatory Hurdles: Navigating complex regulatory environments, especially in different countries, can be challenging for Tesla.
• Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns and recessions could negatively impact consumer spending and demand for luxury goods.
Despite these potential challenges, Tesla's strong fundamentals, innovative products, and experienced leadership team position it well to navigate the evolving automotive landscape. As the company continues to execute on its strategic plans, investors remain optimistic about its long-term growth potential.
Conclusion
Tesla's compelling growth story, coupled with its strong financial performance and innovative products, makes it an attractive investment opportunity for many investors. While it's important to conduct thorough research and consider the risks involved, a bullish outlook for Tesla's stock remains justified.
TSLA: Seize the chance to buy low!NASDAQ:TSLA
Currently trading at $219, TSLA recording a very weak reaction to the recent robotaxi news. However, with a neutral to bullish stance reflected in its technical indicators, I foresee a medium-term buying opportunity with a highly favorable risk-reward ratio of over 3:1.
Let's see the details:
Weekly Technical Analysis:
Oscillators
Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14):
Value: 50.72
Action: Neutral
Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3):
Value: 53.33
Action: Neutral
Awesome Oscillator:
Value: 36.23
Action: Neutral
These oscillators in neutral territory leave ample room for the stock to run in the current favorable market conditions, furthermore:
MACD Level (12, 26):
Value: 9.06
Action: Buy
Momentum (10):
Value: 18.17
Action: Buy
The combination of MACD and momentum indicators points to bullish potential that could propel the stock in the coming weeks.
Now let's examine the trend analysis
Moving Averages:
Short-term (10, 20): Both EMAs and SMAs are currently in sell territory, indicating potential resistance at these levels.
Medium-term (30, 50, 100): These moving averages are signaling a buy, suggesting a transition to a more bullish phase.
While short-term sell signals from the analyzed moving averages indicate that selling pressure remains, the medium-term outlook is significantly more supportive of a bullish scenario. Along with oscillators, this tilts the balance toward the buy side.
Trading Strategy
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position at the current market price, with a stop loss set at $198 to protect against potential downside.
Target Price: Aim for a target of $283, which offers strong upside potential relative to the risk.
Risk-Reward Analysis
The risk-reward ratio for this trade is compelling. With a target of $283 and a stop loss at $198, this setup offers significant upside, with potential gains exceeding the risks by more than three times.
Conclusion
Given the current technical indicators, Tesla presents a promising opportunity for traders. Bullish signals from the MACD and momentum indicators, combined with strategic entry and target levels, suggest a strong potential for upward movement. However, remain vigilant and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Elon's TeslaI think since Elon has been one of the strongest endorsers for Trump, Taking that trade would make sense (Elon-Trump trade) I know it seems very ambitious, But it makes so much sense as Tesla will have much more facilitations under trump government. This is not a financial advice but the whole idea in general makes sense.
TSLA: Buy ideaBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force of the vwap indicator and the RL.
TeslaCalls above 255.29
Puts below 246.86
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals.
The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal from either side. This strategy is based on price action and the volume of a candle upon breakout.
TESLA: Bulls Will Push Higher
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current TESLA chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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Tesla bearish gap fill for further highs!? Going along the lines of GAP fills since the beginning of the year #tesla have been filling all the gap fills apart from the last 2 big gaps that happened: .
My thoughts:
- will we see a sell off in the remaining weeks of the year? Fill in the 2nd to last remaining gap and then next year push all the way up to $450
- Do we see the sell off happen till president trump is elected as president and then the stock will fly back to the highs of this year? As Elon is part of D.O.G.E
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I pressed the wrong Button. the play is still on ..Tesla's enterprise value is expected to increase significantly with the advancement of its autonomous driving technology, particularly through the launch of its robotaxi service. Here’s an analysis of the plausibility of this expectation, a projected timeline, and potential value increases over the next three years.
Plausibility of Increased Enterprise Value
Robotaxi Platform: Analysts predict that Tesla's upcoming robotaxi platform could account for up to 90% of its enterprise value by 2029. The successful implementation of this service hinges on achieving full autonomy with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which is anticipated to be realized within the next few years13.
Market Potential: The robotaxi service is projected to unlock a multi-trillion dollar market. Analysts from Ark Invest estimate that Tesla could generate significant revenue from this service, which would fundamentally shift its business model from one-time vehicle sales to recurring revenue streams12.
Operational Advantages: Tesla's ability to scale quickly due to its existing fleet and manufacturing capabilities gives it a competitive edge over other autonomous vehicle companies like Waymo. This scalability is crucial for capturing market share in the emerging robotaxi space14.
Projected Timeline
2024: The unveiling of the dedicated robotaxi product is expected to happen soon, with initial operations potentially commencing by late 2025. This timeline aligns with CEO Elon Musk's remarks about achieving full autonomy by the end of 2024 or early 202513.
2025: Tesla aims to launch its robotaxi service, initially using existing Model 3 and Model Y vehicles equipped with FSD technology. This could mark the beginning of significant revenue generation from autonomous ride-hailing24.
2026 and Beyond: As the robotaxi fleet scales and more vehicles are added, Tesla's enterprise value could see substantial growth. Analysts expect that as the service matures, it will contribute increasingly to Tesla's overall valuation.
Projected Value Increase Over the Next Three Years
Current Market Capitalization: As of now, Tesla's market capitalization stands at approximately $998.9 billion.
Potential Valuation Scenarios:
Conservative Estimate: If Tesla successfully launches its robotaxi service and captures a modest share of the market, analysts predict a market cap increase to around $1.5 trillion by 2026.
Optimistic Estimate: Should Tesla achieve rapid adoption and dominate the robotaxi market, some estimates suggest a potential market cap reaching upwards of $5 trillion, especially if FSD technology proves transformative23.
Value Increase Calculation:
Assuming a conservative growth scenario leading to a market cap of $1.5 trillion:
Projected increase = $1.5 trillion - $998.9 billion = $501.1 billion
Percentage increase =
501.1
998.9
×
100
≈
50.14
%
998.9
501.1
×100≈50.14%
In an optimistic scenario reaching $5 trillion:
Projected increase = $5 trillion - $998.9 billion = $4 trillion
Percentage increase =
4
,
000
998.9
×
100
≈
400.08
%
998.9
4,000
×100≈400.08%
Conclusion
The plausibility of Tesla's enterprise value increasing significantly hinges on the successful rollout of its autonomous driving capabilities and the subsequent launch of its robotaxi service within the projected timeline. Depending on market acceptance and operational execution, Tesla could see its market capitalization grow substantially over the next three years, with estimates ranging from a conservative increase of around 50% to an optimistic potential rise exceeding 400%.
$TSLA - support at $307 and $300TSLA - Stock pulling down on End of EV credit news. Stock has long term trendline support at $307.30 if breaks we can see $305 and $300. added puts in group. If stock fails $300 we can see $280. Stock is strong on indicators not looking for bigger pull back here.
TSLA path is clear for me nowI have had the red and the blue line on my chart for over a year now. Ever since the first move down in 2022, I was expecting another similar move down to the base of the rally.
Why?
Because this is what all stocks do after a hype phase. Tesla is not going anywhere, but after an impulsive move up, it will probably do a long correction back down.
The play: Long until 335 (1 : 1 of the 2023 move up), short down to approx. 28$ (1 : 1 of the 2022 move down). Looks impossible now, but let's check back in 1-2 years.
TESLA $TSLA | TESLA ROBOTAXI EVENT DISAPPOINTS!? - Oct 11 '24TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | TESLA ROBOTAXI EVENT DISAPPOINTS!? - Oct 11 '24
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $232.00 - $263.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $208.50 - $232.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $177.50 - $208.50
NASDAQ:TSLA Trends:
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NASDAQ:TSLA and Elon Musk disappoint with 10/10 Robotaxi event? I was personally a fan of the event, but this morning we saw price break bullish support and possibly start a bearish trend. I've expanded 181.00 zone up to 182.00 to capture the bottom of the previous bear trend that started from the Jul23 earnings report. My next look is for price to range between the 216.75 - 232.00 levels up to the next earnings release on Oct23. Levels were expanded from previous analysis and posts, linked below.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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#Tsla #TESLA cheet sheetHere are some of the important levels to keep an eye on.
Personally I'm still bearish in Tesla.
Will update on Tesla when we are closer to a clear H or L. For now just keep an eye on the current level at 184-185 ish for short term dir.
Tesla Gives Brakeout On daily chartNASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla Gives Brakeout On daily chart
Buy @above 280
Sl 180
Target 4+0
$TSLA: at the brink of a huge signal...I have been long NASDAQ:TSLA for a few weeks now, but the time to add to it is almost upon us.
A while back, the stock triggered a quarterly down trend and I was worried of a possible dramatic decline if that signal worked, but I'm glad to say it had no follow through and now the opposite is true: NASDAQ:TSLA is set to rally to new all time highs.
If price gets over $233.67 this month, we will have more confidence in this outcome, as the monthly trend will be confirmed then.
Target zone near $430 is our focus for the time being, but this could activate a quarterly up trend, which would suggest a 12 quarter run towards $873 would be possible
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
TESLA - AT THE END OF A CONE. The meaningfulness, all the Fear Uncertainty and Distrust (FUD) comes at the very end of a bear raid, and the Machine is full on spreading FUD. Meanwhile Elon in Germany, likely will get the license to produce 1 Million cars in Berlin, that means another $37 Billion in Revenue.
Then all the rest if going swell, Cars are being made as a super fast pace, The Power Pack has orders for the next 3 years. and that division acquired a Chinese factory and equipment recently from CatL and is likely finished building the new factory in Shanghai for Power Packs - so that will bring in another $40 additional Billions. And lastly the Cyber Truck production is ramping up, and that revenue has never been included in prior calculations.
So all in all and as I see this massive cone, it is easy to project a bounce back to the mean.
When we get there, the good news will be out, and then we get support for further liftoff.
So far Tesla remains the most crowded trade with shorts of all sizes playing cowboy with Tesla.
Tesla at a Critical Level!Tesla is currently sitting at a crucial support level at $205. If the price closes below this level, we could see a retest of $180. A bounce could occur at either $205 or $180, both being strong support levels.
Target: Take profit around $296, as indicated by strong resistance at this level.
Key Levels: The red lines mark significant support and resistance levels.
Rare Scenario: If Tesla breaks below $180, a gap down to $148 might need to be filled, which could present an ultimate buying opportunity.
I’m not a financial advisor. Do your own research before making any trades. 📊🚀
