GER 30 endless possibilitiesMy most immediate outcome is reversal 24,140 price area. TP:24,600
Possibility 1: If Ger 30 holds the 24,000 price area i would consider a buy to 24,600.
Possibility 2: If Ger30 holds the 23,730 price area that would be another possibility for a buy. TP 24,600.
WCS: Worst case scenario, continuation downwards from the 24140 PL. Consider the red arrow. The 24,140 is a important price area please wait for confirmation
Please follow your trading plan.
THOUGHTS????
DE30 trade ideas
DAX40 Bullish breakout retest support at 24205The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24205 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24205 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24655 – initial resistance
24780 – psychological and structural level
25064 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24205 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
23921 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX40 holds above 24205. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DE40 HTF DistributionI'm watching the DE40 closely here. It's putting in distribution over distribution, which simultaneously leads to the creation of a potential higher time frame distribution model. There are many other indices with a similar behaviour, but this one looks the cleanest so far. I'm waiting for invalidations/confirmations at the POI's.
Falling towards Fibonacci confluence?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 23,699.46
1st Support: 23,394.44
1st Resistance: 24,270.70
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DAX corrective pullback supported at 24085The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24085 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24085 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24650 – initial resistance
24880 – psychological and structural level
25000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24085 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23970 – minor support
23800 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 24085. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish rise?GER40 has reacted off the support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,135.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 23,928.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 24,624.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Dax Breaks Higher to keep the bullish toneDax has moved back above the 24245-24295 zone impulsively and we retain the overall bullish tone
Retests of this area can provide an opportunity to get long
Stops need to be below 24170
Targets can be back towards 24400 and even hold a runner back to the All time highs
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week. This has lead to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24140, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23923, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update: Assessing Current Pirce Action
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the Germany 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, whether current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if the downside move could be limited as buyers return once again.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels which can aid traders in establishing the next possible trends and directional risks.
Potential Support Levels:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. The mid-average stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
However, if closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
The first resistance might then stand at 24282, which is equal to half of the latest weakness, with successful closing breaks above this level possibly opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
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Technical Weekly AnalysisGermany 40 remains in a bullish trend but is currently undergoing a pullback phase. It is trading at 24,080, nearly matching its VWAP of 24,079. The RSI at 53 suggests moderate momentum. Support lies at 23,245, with resistance at 24,590.
The UK 100 continues its new bullish trend into all-time highs and is currently in an impulsive phase. With price at 8,962 above the VWAP of 8,813, it shows strong momentum. The RSI at 63 supports this outlook. Support stands at 8,652 and resistance is at 9,000.
Wall Street remains bullish but is in a pullback phase, trading at 44,192, slightly above the VWAP of 43,871. The RSI at 58 points to sustained buying interest. Support is at 42,404 and resistance is at 45,338.
Brent Crude is in a neutral trend within a ranging phase, trading at 7,058 just above the VWAP of 6,892. The RSI at 55 reflects a balanced market. Support is at 6,402, with resistance at 7,382.
Gold is also in a neutral trend and consolidating in a range. It is priced at 3,371, near its VWAP of 3,329. The RSI at 56 indicates mild bullish interest. Support sits at 3,269 and resistance is at 3,390.
EUR/USD maintains a bullish trend but is currently in a pullback phase. Trading at 1.1683, it is nearly aligned with the VWAP of 1.1690. The RSI at 55 indicates moderate strength. Support is at 1.1542 and resistance is at 1.1853.
GBP/USD is in a bullish trend but undergoing a correction. With price at 1.3485 below the VWAP of 1.3609, momentum appears to be easing. The RSI at 39 supports this softer tone. Support is at 1.3424 and resistance at 1.3793.
USD/JPY is testing the top of its sideways range. Currently at 147.33, it is above the VWAP of 145.41. The RSI at 64 suggests a potential new bullish phase is beginning. Support is at 142.91 and resistance at 147.92.
GER40 | Consolidation Range 24,600 – 24,000 With Breakout TargetGER40 is consolidating within a clear range between 24,600 resistance and 24,000 support. The lower boundary (24,000) aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the 23,050 → 24,600 impulse leg. A confirmed breakout above the range projects a measured move target of 25,197.2, which is derived from the 600-point height of the range between 24,000 and 24,600.
Support at: 24,000.00 / 23,678.5 / 23,050.00 🔽
Resistance at: 24,600.00 🔼
Range Target: 25,197.2 🎯
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Clean break and hold above 24,600 confirms range breakout with target at 25,197.2.
🔽 Bearish: Break below 24,000 brings 23,678.5 and 23,050 into view.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
GER40 | Cools Below ResistanceThe DAX rallied aggressively into 24,618.3, but price action has since turned sideways. The index is now ranging just below resistance, as bulls and bears battle for direction in this consolidation phase.
Support at: 24,000.00 / 23,687.21 / 23,500.00 / 23,047.01 🔽
Resistance at: 24,618.30 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Clean break and close above 24,618.30 targets fresh highs.
🔽 Bearish: Break below 24,000 may confirm short-term distribution toward 23,687 and 23,500.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Long or short?📉 Everyone Bought the Dip… You Could’ve Sold the Top.
While most traders chased short-term bounces,
the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion script called SHORT on the 4H — right at the peak.
🔻 Double confirmation:
1. Reversion SELL trigger
2. Bearish RSI divergence
Result? A massive unwind.
⸻
Why Swing Traders Win:
⚠️ Lower timeframes were printing BUYs inside this structure…
But smart money knows:
🧠 4H structure > 15m noise
This is the power of top-down confluence:
Trust the higher timeframe → avoid false longs → ride the move with confidence.
⸻
📍 ENTRY STRATEGY:
1. Watch 4H RSI diverge from price
2. Wait for ELFIEDT “DOWN” tag confirmation
3. Enter short on next candle break
4. SL = above signal high
5. Let the cascade unfold
This is how you avoid the trap — and catch the trend early.
⸻
💬 DM “DAX 4H SHORT” for the full system
📈 Follow for high-timeframe precision setups
🔒 No noise. No hype. Just structure + signals that deliver
Home runs?📊 Swing Traders: This is Your Signal.
Big trades don’t need to be complicated.
You just need confluence — and a system that waits for the right moment.
Here’s the German DAX 1H chart.
👉 While others panicked, ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion waited.
At the absolute low, it fired a clean BUY — and the rally followed.
⸻
Why This Setup Works for Swing Traders:
🟢 Higher timeframe = stronger structure
🧠 RSI printed deep oversold + divergence
🎯 Reversion zone tagged cleanly
📈 Signal confirmed with “UP” — trade activated
✅ Follow-through into a multi-hour rally
⸻
You didn’t need to monitor every tick.
You just needed one clean trigger — backed by structure, RSI, and timing.
Hold it. Trail it. Scale it.
That’s the power of swing confluence.
⸻
🛠️ This isn’t a repainting indicator.
🧪 It’s been built and refined from real market structure and RSI logic.
📬 DM “DAX H1” for access
📲 Follow for high-conviction, low-stress trade setups
The edge is real. You just need to ride it.
DAX H4 | Heading into a swing-high resistanceThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 24,643.74 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 24,867.52 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 24,308.60 which is a pullbacl support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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IBEX 35 Leads European Gains, DAX Enters Price Discovery ModeIBEX 35 lider of european bullish advances in the tariff agreements
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
European markets kick off the day with strong gains, driven by renewed optimism over trade negotiations between the United States and China. In this context, IBEX 35 futures surge by 1.52% to 14,273 points, positioning the index as one of the top performers in Europe. Meanwhile, Germany’s DAX 40 also rises 1.34% to 24,635 points.
News of potential tariff agreements, combined with growing expectations of a more accommodative stance from the European Central Bank (ECB), are pushing major European indices higher. The French CAC 40 climbs 1.56%, while the EuroStoxx 50 gains 1.33%, reflecting renewed risk appetite across the board.
Global Context: Asian Rebound and Moderate Commodities Euphoria
The upbeat tone isn’t limited to Europe. In Asia, major indices closed in the green, and the Australian dollar hit an eight-month high, reflecting investor optimism around global trade and corporate earnings. Oil prices are also rising, supported by a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude inventories and expectations of stronger global demand.
All Eyes on the ECB
Today’s highlight is the ECB meeting, where a decision on interest rates will be announced. While no major surprises are expected, investors will be watching closely for clues on the timing of future rate cuts—especially in light of recent inflation and activity data.
Additional key data scheduled for release today:
Unemployment and PPI in Spain
Composite PMIs for Germany, France, the Eurozone, and the U.S.
U.S. housing data and jobless claims
Corporate Outlook: IBEX Boosted by Strong Earnings
Several IBEX 35 companies are in the spotlight due to positive developments:
Banco Sabadell targets a 16% return on equity by 2027, supported by a €6.3 billion shareholder payout plan.
Indra nearly doubles profits, fueled by operational gains and revaluation of its stake in TESS.
ACS acquires Segade to strengthen its position in the data center sector.
Telefónica is in talks with AXA to join its fiber joint venture with Vodafone.
Santander makes a €1 billion bid for Mercedes’ leasing division.
Technical Analysis – IBEX 35: Key Zone at 14,300 Points
The IBEX 35 shows a clear structure of higher lows since the beginning of the month. Breaking above the 14,200-point level, an intermediate resistance, reinforces its short-term bullish outlook. The index is now approaching the 14,300–14,350 zone, which has acted as a ceiling since May.
This is a pivotal area; a failure to break through could form a triple top pattern, potentially triggering a correction toward support at 13,698 or even lower toward the control area near 13,491. A consolidation above 14,350, however, could set the stage for a new upward leg toward 14,500 points, provided the ECB maintains a dovish tone.
Momentum indicators support the move, although they are nearing overbought levels. RSI stands at 57.89%, while the MACD remains positive and climbing above the histogram.
Technical Analysis – DAX 40: Eyeing a Break Above 24,700
The DAX 40 is also benefiting from global bullish momentum. After consolidating above 24,300, a breakout above the 24,650 resistance could trigger a move toward the 24,700–24,800 zone, pushing the index beyond its all-time highs recorded in June.
A daily close above 24,800 would place the German index firmly in price discovery mode, with the next psychological target at 25,000 points. The RSI remains strong at 58.84%, with no immediate signs of exhaustion, while the MACD confirms the bullish signal from last week, expanding well above the histogram—though momentum appears moderate.
Conclusion
Progress in trade negotiations and expectations of a dovish ECB are setting the stage for a bullish session in European markets. The IBEX 35 leads the rally, supported by strong corporate results and technical strength, while the DAX 40 continues its upward trend, with potential for new all-time highs. Today’s ECB decision could be a turning point if it confirms the accommodative stance the market is anticipating.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.