GER30 SELLThe level has a 50% chance of falling.
Reversal up to 50%, depending on resistance levels and divergence
DE30 trade ideas
DAX - rising wedge 15 minutes DAX Index – 1H Chart Analysis (February 20, 2025)
1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upwards within a well-defined ascending channel.
Support Retest: Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the uptrend.
Potential Bounce: The blue arrow suggests an expected continuation to the upside if the support holds.
2. RSI & Momentum Analysis
RSI at 42.14: Indicates the market is approaching oversold conditions on the 1H timeframe, meaning a possible bounce is near.
Bullish Divergence? Not confirmed yet, but if RSI starts rising while price remains stable, it could indicate a reversal.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Support:
22,400 - 22,500 (Lower trendline of the channel)
22,250 (Stronger support if breakdown occurs)
Resistance:
22,750 - 23,000 (Upper trendline and psychological level)
4. Potential Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)
If price holds above 22,500, we could see a continuation towards 22,750 - 23,000.
Long Setup:
Entry: 22,500 - 22,550 (confirmation of support hold)
Stop-loss: Below 22,400
Target: 22,750 - 23,000
📉 Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability)
If price breaks below 22,400, a decline toward 22,250 or lower could follow.
Short Setup:
Entry: Below 22,400
Stop-loss: Above 22,550
Target: 22,250 - 22,000
5. Conclusion & Strategy
Bias: Bullish as long as price stays within the ascending channel.
Trade Idea: A long trade from 22,500 with a stop below 22,400 offers a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Risk Management: If price starts consolidating near the lower boundary without bouncing, consider reducing risk or waiting for further confirmation.
GER40 (DAX) Analysis & Trade Ideas📊 Market Structure & Analysis
GER40 is in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs & higher lows.
Resistance: 22,943 – Price is testing this level; a breakout could push higher.
Support Levels: 22,132, 21,767, and 20,500 – Potential pullback zones.
Break & Retest Pattern: Price has been breaking resistance and turning it into support, confirming an uptrend.
🔹 Bullish Scenario
✅ Buy on pullback at 22,132 - 21,767 if price respects support.
🎯 Target: 23,000+
🛑 Stop: Below 21,500
✅ Breakout Buy if price breaks & retests 22,943.
🎯 Target: 23,500+
🛑 Stop: Below 22,700
🔻 Bearish Scenario
❌ Sell rejection at 22,943 if price fails to break higher.
🎯 Target: 22,132, then 21,767
🛑 Stop: Above 23,000
⚡ Final Thoughts
Market structure remains bullish—focus on buying dips & breakouts. Shorts only if rejection is strong. 📈🔥
#GER40 #DAX #Forex #Trading
DAX hits fresh record on stimulus plansThe German DAX index has just hit a fresh all-time high.
The latest gains come as a global bond sell-off extended its run, driven by Germany’s ambitious spending plans, which are poised to reshape the eurozone’s economic outlook and has already had a sizeable impact on regional stocks. Today, the focus was also on the rate decision from the European Central Bank. The ECB cut rates by 25bps as expected and President Lagarde said the next rate decision in April is defendant on data.
The market's attention shifts to US labour market data as we head to the business end of the week.
From a technical view point, the strong rally means dip-buyers continue to remain in control of price action. For that reason, there is no point in trying to pick the top. Concentrate on support levels until we see a clear reversal pattern.
Short-term support now comes in around 23,311, marking the high from Monday, followed by 23,229, marking the high from Wednesday. Below these levels, 22,937 is the next key support to watch for a potential bounce, before the trend line comes into focus a bit lower down.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Final update d30How are you friends
I posted in my profile from dates from the beginning of January
And this is the same drawing
The trend was up and the target was the end of 22600 and the end of the blue line is 22750 as the final point of the blue line and now it seems we still have an uptrend as I told you I will update
But there is no doubt that the trend will head to much higher areas at least 23k
I will update again
DAX 40 Index Technical AnalysisDAX 40 Index Technical Analysis
Market Profile Insights
Value Area Analysis
Trading ABOVE yesterday's value area high
Seeking extension from Monday's Point of Control (POC)
Anticipating potential reaction zones at Monday's High Volume Nodes (HVNs)
Current price positioning suggests bullish market sentiment
Trade Parameters
Entry Point: 22,833.71
Target Price: 23,356.52
Stop Loss: 22,572.31
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Technical Narrative
Price breaking through previous resistance levels
Showing strength by trading above key market profile structures
Volume profile indicates institutional accumulation
Momentum suggesting potential trend continuation
Entry Confirmation Criteria
Multiple timeframe alignment
Strong volume profile
Market profile structural support
Momentum indicator confirmation
Risk Management Considerations
Monitor reactions at previous HVNs
Use market profile levels for dynamic stop management
Be prepared for potential consolidation zones
Conclusion
High-probability bullish setup with robust market profile confirmation. Disciplined, structure-based approach recommended.
Germany30 Short Setup: High-Confidence Trade with Massive PointsHello Guys recently we have seen a massive downward shift in the dax 30 . a quick solid setup with entry stoploss and targets outlined in the chart
Risk less: we are in a NFP week where markets turns wild and choppy but this is a high probability trade setup
Good luck
GER30 POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
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Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
DAX 🗝️ LEVELS TO WATCH 👀AND WHY 🤔Hello awesome traders, let's have a look at the DAX. I have a new analysis today as the previous exchange seems to be shut down.
Here are the details: The DAX on a weekly chart is trading a cup and handle pattern, and the price is now trading below near the target zone 1 at 62%: 19078.70. After a successful breakout from 16305.21, the target zones are as follows:
Target Zone 1:
62%: 19078.70
78%: 19817.23
Pattern Height:
100%: 20784.96
DAX H1 | Potential bullish bounceThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 23,236.99 which is a pullback support
Stop loss is at 23,075.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 23,593.28 which is a resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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MY THOUGHTS ON GER40 CASH INDEX
From the chart i see a brief accumulation which tended towards the upside to liquidate those in short positions (stop hunt) as a form of manipulation.
If it doesn't break through that supply zone there will be a retest to fill-up the FVG below (on the 1H TF) and probably takeout those in long positions before breaking through the supply to give us a new ATH.
If it does break through the demand below we'll most likely see a dump towards the long awaited FVG around 20k region (from the Monthly TF).
So, lets see how this plays out.
Ger40 Order Flow: Liquidity withdrawal before trend continuation📌 Idea:
We have confirmed a bullish structure and expect liquidity to be taken from below. The price is likely to move towards the 15M TF FVG with a sweep of the lows.
📍 Two possible entry setups:
1️⃣ After the liquidity sweep and confirmation of a bullish setup.
2️⃣ Breakout from the range and a retest – this zone will provide an entry point.
📈 Entry: after confirmation on a lower TF.
🎯 Targets: marked on the chart.
🛑 Stop loss: below the last low.
DAX Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is fall down now
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support of 22,250 so after
The retest a local bullish
Rebound is to be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Falscher Ausbruch auf DAXThe German Stock Index XETR:DAX made a new All Time High yesterday only to close back inside the high's recent price action. This sets up a clear Spike with today's close back inside.
Many signs in the US stock market are pointing to the market turning over for at least a bearish correction. I'll be watching the XETR:DAX for a bearish play of this Spike: possibly back down to the 50% of the rally since August 2024.
DAX Bullish breakout retest? The DAX (DE40) Index maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a longer-term uptrend. Recent price action has confirmed a breakout above a key level, but the possibility of a retracement remains, making it crucial to assess both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 22900, 23145, 23460
Support Levels: 22230, 21900, 21780
Bullish Scenario
If DAX sustains price action above the 22230 breakout level, it could signal strong bullish momentum. A successful retest of this level as support may provide a foundation for further upside, with key resistance targets at 22900, followed by 23145 and ultimately 23460 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario
A failure to hold above 22230, followed by a confirmed breakdown and daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. In this scenario, selling pressure could intensify, leading to downside targets at 21900, with further retracement potential toward 21780 and 21607 over an extended timeframe.
Conclusion
DAX remains in a bullish structure, but price action around the 22230 level will be critical in determining the next move. A strong hold above this level could reinforce further gains, while a breakdown below it may trigger deeper retracements. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move.
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Took a sell on Ger40Is this going to drop or pull another trick? I've decided to sell on Ger40. Let's see, like, and comment.
GER40 – Long After Liquidity Grab in Uptrend📌 Idea: We are in an uptrend on H1. The price has grabbed liquidity from below, which may serve as fuel for further upside movement. Waiting for confirmation on lower timeframes.
📊 Entry conditions:
Liquidity grab from the downside
Confirmation on lower TFs (M15/M5)
Take Profit 1: First local high
Take Profit 2: Key resistance level
🎯 Target: Continuation of the uptrend after liquidity sweep
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always consider risk management!
DAX Rally Overstretched? Initiating a Strategic Short PositionSince February 25, the DAX has surged by 7.24% without a meaningful pullback, suggesting potential overextension. Coupled with emerging bearish technical indicators and unfavorable economic fundamentals, this presents an opportunity for a short position.
Fundamental Analysis:
Germany’s economic landscape is currently facing several challenges:
• Economic Slowdown: The government has slashed its 2025 growth forecast to 0.3%, down from the previous 1.1%, citing trade tensions and domestic uncertainties.
• Industrial Strife: Major companies are implementing job cuts and factory closures to manage rising costs and global competition, leading to increased labor disputes and uncertainty over Germany’s manufacturing sector.
• Political Uncertainty: Upcoming European and local elections have intensified debates over economic policies and migration, contributing to market volatility and investor caution.
Trade Details:
• Entry: 22,611
• Stop-Loss: 23,000
• Target Zone: 21,800 - 21,600
• Partial Profits: To be taken at key support levels
The confluence of technical signals and economic headwinds suggests a potential correction in the DAX. This short trade aims to capitalize on the anticipated pullback, with risk managed through a well-placed stop-loss and planned profit-taking at identified support zones.
Next week will be critical for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases shaping market sentiment. Investors should particularly watch the PMI data on Friday, which could significantly impact expectations for the region’s economic trajectory.
Stay informed and trade responsibly.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX 40 Hits New Record HighThe trading week kicks off with strong optimism in major global indices, with the DAX 40 in Frankfurt reaching a new record, rising over 3% and surpassing the 22,300-point mark. This outstanding performance is backed by investment fund prospects focused on defense and infrastructure projects, for which a plan worth nearly one trillion euros is under discussion. Some German companies linked to these sectors have even achieved double-digit gains, supporting the German index.
On the geopolitical front, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced the development of a peace plan for Ukraine, following a tense meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The goal of European powers is to maintain market stability and confidence, despite uncertainty stemming from negotiations with Washington and potential trade frictions. However, the threat of new U.S. tariffs remains one of the primary risk factors for the region.
On the macroeconomic side, the eurozone inflation data —which stood at 2.4% annually in February, slightly above the 2.3% forecast— continues to support expectations of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank this week. While energy and services showed some moderation in their increases, the rise in unprocessed food (3.1%) and non-energy industrial goods (0.6%) suggests that price dynamics still require monitoring. In this context, core inflation fell to 2.6%, remaining above expectations but marking its lowest level since January 2022.
In terms of immediate impact, the strength of the defense sector and infrastructure investments could sustain the bullish momentum in European equities. This scenario highlights the importance of coordination between European leaders and negotiations with the U.S., which will be crucial to supporting economic momentum and avoiding trade tensions.
With this positive market environment at the start of the week, there are promising opportunities for European markets, as long as the key players strike a balance between defense spending ambitions, the geopolitical implications of the Ukraine peace plan, and the risks associated with U.S. trade policy.
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DE40 in a Strong Uptrend - Will Buyers Push Toward 24,000?CAPITALCOM:DE40 is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now pull back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the 24,000 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
GER40 in a Strong Uptrend - Will Buyers Push Toward 23,225?PEPPERSTONE:GER40 continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by a well-defined ascending trendline and sustained buying pressure. Recent price action indicates that buyers remain in control, reinforcing the potential for a continued move toward the 23,225 level.
A pullback toward the trendline could provide an opportunity for buyers to step in, maintaining the overall bullish trajectory. As long as the price remains above this key support, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 remains in a bullish, impulsive phase, with its price at 22,687, having remained above the 20-day VWAP of 22,429 throughout the last pullback. The RSI reading of 64 signals solid momentum but stays below overbought levels. Support is identified at 21,877, while resistance is at 22,982.
UK 100 continues its bullish trend with an impulsive price move to a new record high, currently trading at 8,844, surpassing the 20-day VWAP of 8,729. Momentum remains bullish but stable with an RSI of 65. The nearest support sits at 8,591, while resistance at 8,867 is currently being tested.
Wall Street's price action suggests a neutral stance, consolidating at 43,860, slightly below the 20-day VWAP of 43,900. The RSI of 48 confirms a lack of directional conviction. Support rests at 42,955, while resistance near 44,940 defines the upper boundary of the current range.
Brent Crude remains in a neutral, consolidative phase overall, trading at 7,281, slightly under the 20-day VWAP of 7,445. An RSI of 40 suggests soft momentum, keeping the market in check. Key support is observed at 7,193, whereas a break above 7,696 could reignite bullish sentiment.
Gold's bullish trend has shifted into a corrective phase, with its price at 2,862, now trading below the 20-day VWAP of 2,903. With RSI at 48, momentum has softened, suggesting a period of consolidation. Support is found at 2,843, while resistance at 2,964 presents the next upside barrier.
EUR/USD remains in neutral consolidation, trading at 1.0402, just below its 20-day VWAP of 1.0432. The RSI of 47 highlights indecisiveness, keeping the pair within a tight range. Support lies at 1.0306, while resistance at 1.0557 must be cleared for a directional move.
GBP/USD continues its bullish, impulsive ascent, currently positioned at 1.2602, just above the 20-day VWAP of 1.2571. The RSI at 54 signals stable momentum. Key support is located at 1.2388, while resistance at 1.2753 defines the next upside level.
USD/JPY remains in a bearish, impulsive phase, trading at 150.21, below its 20-day VWAP of 151.08. The RSI at 41 suggests selling pressure remains dominant. Immediate support is placed at 148.10, with resistance at 154.05 acting as a potential reversal point.
