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DXY Update - H & S Pattern & FEDDear Friends, Keynote = Fed Interest Rate Decision: 29th of January. How I see it: I've indicated the gap on the 1D TF - It might be insignificant, or It might only be filled on the next swing return. The head and shoulder pattern + 1D candle body close below key support might indicate further downward pressure. 107.000 to 108.000 is a very big key area of confluence. A strong "breakout and hold" on either side, will offer strong confirmation of direction. Thank you for your time reading my analysis !
TVC:DXY
by ANROC
1
DXY Trading Journal DXY Trading Journal Weekly Analysis Price is delivering to a premium on the HTF M, W. Price kissed the HFT .70 level last week, which is also the 75% quarter mark of the M SIBI from 2002. Must be random....lol Price continued this week to seek lower prices rebalancing inefficient delivered price and take out the clean equal lows. Finishing in a discount wicking to the .618. Fridays candle body stoped on the CE of the W BISI. Could be break of structure on HTF, or price following algorithmic price theory weaving between premium to discount. With Price delivering to a discount on the daily range and potential of a institutional quarterly shift, Im going to be patient to read if price is going to bounce up off that .618 or start trending to a bear market.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Will Go Up! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 107.464. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 109.437 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
Trading Idea for EUR/USD with Confirmation from DXYThe DXY chart shows a QML (Quasimodo Level) already confirmed through a BOS (Break of Structure). The next step is a return to the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) zone, where the daily order block (OB) is located. On DXY, we expect a reaction to the daily OB or the 4-hour GAP, signaling further index downside and confirming long entries on EUR/USD. Scenario for EUR/USD: DXY reacts to the daily OB or 4-hour GAP, confirming its decline. This confirmation supports opening long positions on EUR/USD. Entry on EUR/USD is made at the OTE zone from the daily OB. An additional entry point is the 4-hour FVG on EUR/USD. Strategy: Confirmation: Reaction to the daily OB or 4-hour GAP on DXY. Entry: Long EUR/USD from the daily OB or 4-hour FVG. Stop-loss: Beyond the OB boundary. Take-profit: At the true supply level. Using DXY’s reaction as confirmation helps minimize risks and improves entry precision.
TVC:DXY
by KaraTrade01
2
DXY reversal, Bullish for BTC, but 50 day chop is likelyGood Sunday, dear friend! I'm scribbling down some ideas I had. It's good to be back home after a week on a job project. TradingView on a phone is awesome, but I definitely prefer a bigger screen. The chart was not as clean as I wished, but it just tells some history with the correlations between DXY and BTC. For instance: Q4 2022 - DXY tops (BTC bottoms). Trend reversal for DXY (BTC corrects ABC after W1 after bear market). DXY declines to a WCL, BTC soars from 25k to 73k. In the meantime, as BTC soared, DXY also inclined, which led to an extended correction of 7.5 months. DXY rolled over in June 2025, and there was a 60-day lag before BTC felt the boost from the DXY decline. This leads us to today. DXY and BTC have gone up together. I believe the last leg up is a consequence of the June - September decline of DXY, and BTC went up with DXY, and BTC is now left to feel the consequences of the DXY upturn. Given DXY (most likely) topped 11 days ago, we might chop for 50 more days before BTC resumes upward. In the last WCLs, DXY retraces a minimum to 0.786. In this case, the trendline suggests a March timeframe for a low in DXY. History suggests the BTC local top is in when DXY bottoms, or is soon to top in about 2 months.
TVC:DXYShort
by martinxi5u4
Dollar Index for Next 2 yearsThe Dollar Index (DXY) has been a critical gauge of the U.S. dollar's strength, and its movements are closely monitored by traders worldwide. Based on my analysis, I believe the next two years will bring significant challenges for the dollar, potentially leading to a heavy decline. In my view, the DXY will struggle to hold above 120, even in the case of temporary fake breakouts or sharp rejections. This level represents a strong historical resistance zone, and any attempt to break higher is likely to face immense selling pressure. However, what’s more concerning is the potential for a deep bearish trend, with the index dropping below 95 during this period. Several factors could contribute to this scenario. A pivot by the Federal Reserve toward more accommodative policies, slowing U.S. economic growth, and the growing global efforts to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade could all weigh heavily on the index. Technically, the long-term charts indicate that the dollar is already facing structural resistance, and a break below key support levels could accelerate the decline. If the DXY does drop below 95, it could trigger ripple effects across global markets, impacting currencies, commodities, and equities alike. This level represents a critical threshold that could reshape market sentiment and trading strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice. The markets are highly volatile, and unexpected macroeconomic or geopolitical developments could drastically alter this outlook. Always conduct your own research and manage risk carefully when trading. Let me know your thoughts in the comments—do you see the Dollar Index heading for a crash, or do you have a different outlook? Let's discuss! #DXY #Forex #DollarIndex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
TVC:DXYShort
by Safari_Trader
DXY Possible Daily Formation?This may just be a massive rationalization but let me know what your thoughts are please. I feel that maybe this is a very sideways H&S, with NFP data earlier today price shot higher into a big daily resistance, thus making me feel it will reject and complete this pattern. Unless of course it continues to break ceilings, then we can give the dollar a new name. Bitcoin. This is not an idea for marking TPs and SLs i am just curious if fellow traders could see this as a possibility. Feedback greatly appreciated. Preferably kind feedback lol. Ive noticed trading view minds and ideas are quite aggressive and condescending at times in the replies to others ideas.
TVC:DXYShort
by andrewsbregar9
2
Global Markets Show Moderate OptimismGlobal markets closed the week with a tone of moderate optimism, driven by President Trump's statements at the World Economic Forum, where he advocated for an immediate reduction in interest rates and a softer approach to imposing tariffs on China. However, uncertainty regarding the trade and fiscal policies of the new U.S. administration, coupled with mixed economic data, kept investors cautious. Stock indices record weekly gains Major global stock markets ended the week in positive territory, with the S&P 500 reaching new all-time highs. Optimism fueled by Trump's remarks, along with strong corporate earnings, boosted stocks. The German DAX extended its winning streak to nine consecutive days, while the French CAC 40 reached its highest level in seven months. In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng posted weekly gains thanks to Beijing's support for the stock market. The dollar weakens against stronger counterparts The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies, hitting a one-month low. The strength of the euro, British pound, and Oceanic currencies reflected uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies and optimism from economic data in Europe and other regions. The Japanese yen also appreciated following the Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates. Key movements in Latin America In Latin America, the Brazilian real appreciated to an eight-week high, supported by foreign direct investment inflows and easing inflationary pressures. The Colombian peso also strengthened, while the Mexican peso posted significant weekly gains. However, Mexico's economic activity slowed more than expected in November, raising concerns about the recovery pace of Latin America's second-largest economy. Mixed trends in commodities Gold approached its all-time high, driven by the weak dollar and Trump's comments on interest rates. Silver also appreciated, while copper showed operational weakness due to supply concerns. Oil recorded a weekly decline due to Trump's pressure to lower crude prices. Economic data and monetary policy Economic data released during the week painted a mixed picture of the global economy. Private sector activity in the Eurozone unexpectedly expanded, while German manufacturing contracted at a slower pace. In the UK, services sector activity exceeded expectations, though employment growth remained weak. Regarding monetary policy, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates and hinted at further increases. The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates next week, while the Bank of England may follow suit in February. The U.S. Federal Reserve meets next week, and while rates are expected to remain unchanged, investors will closely monitor signals regarding future policy directions. Key factors to watch in the future Markets will closely follow the Trump administration's policies, particularly regarding international trade and fiscal policy. The trajectory of the global economy, decisions by central banks, and geopolitical tensions will also be critical factors to watch in the coming weeks. In summary, global markets remain in a state of cautious optimism. Mixed signals from the Trump administration, economic data, and uncertainty about the future of the global economy keep investors on alert. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone