Caution for Dollar Shorts with Middle East Tensions FlaringMy educated guess is that the dollar is moving similar to the first time trump was elected. I am expecting dollar weakness to abate early next year. A major swing low formed in early 2018 one year after Trump was elected first round. Let us see if a similar situation forms next year. For now with DXY structured bearish caution is warranted with Oil up and 10 yr remaining elevated. There is a prior up move in April and until a decisive break below the current area Price Action and circumstances in the middle east warrant caution for dollar shorts.
DOLLARINDEX trade ideas
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 97.757 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 97.970.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY Ready to Reload? Eyes on 99.100 as Tariff Tensions Ease!!Hey Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, we're closely monitoring the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 99.100 zone. After trending lower for a while, the dollar index has successfully broken out of its downtrend and is now entering a corrective phase.
We’re watching the 99.100 support/resistance area closely, as it aligns with a key retracement level making it a strong candidate for a bullish reaction.
On the fundamental side, Friday's NFP data came in slightly above expectations, which is typically USD-positive. In addition, recent Trump-led de-escalation in U.S.-China tariff tensions is another supportive factor for the dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Rejection & 🔹 Trend Overview
📊 Overall Trend: Bearish (Downtrend)
📉 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel.
🔻 Recently bounced off a support zone, now heading toward a potential pullback.
🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area)
📍 Zone Range: 100.049 – 100.601
🧱 Acts as a resistance block where sellers might step in.
📏 Confluent with EMA 70 at 100.178, strengthening its validity.
🔸 Trade Setup – Short Position
🟠 ENTRY POINT: 100.088
❌ STOP LOSS: 100.587 – 100.595 (Just above supply zone)
🎯 TARGET: 98.000 (With intermediate support levels)
📌 Support Levels
🔹 98.112 – First minor support
🔹 98.106 – Close-range confirmation
🔹 97.885 – Additional support zone
🟦 Main Target: 98.000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
🟧 Small risk above supply zone
🟩 Large reward to downside = Favorable R:R
📌 Summary
📈 Expecting a pullback into supply zone.
🧨 Look for bearish confirmation around 100.088.
🎯 Target the downside at 98.000 for profit.
DXY ready for free fall?DXY at 99.39 strong liquidity grab then rejected back to the support level then following a head and shoulder, price completely has broker out of the support with CPI, it has finally managed break out of consolidation.
As the impulse has volume, we may see further drop to the monthly support 97.93 and may potentially break below as there is FVG which may slide the price further down.
DXY Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 98.198.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 98.620 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXY Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps going down
But the strong horizontal
Support is ahead around 98.000
So after the price hit the level
We will be expecting a
Local rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY Monthly Analysis | Smart Money Concept + CHoCH BreakdownPair: US Dollar Index (DXY)
Timeframe: 1M (Monthly)
Strategy: Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Market Structure + Demand/Supply Zones
Bias: Bearish (Mid to Long-Term)
Breakdown:
Price reacted strongly from the monthly supply zone (110–104), showing signs of exhaustion.
Clear CHoCH (Change of Character) visible at the top structure, confirming loss of bullish intent.
Internal structure printed a liquidity sweep + FVG (Fair Value Gap) ➝ BOS ➝ lower low.
Current PA (price action) is targeting the first demand zone near 92–94, but major interest lies at the macro demand zone (85.100–84.900).
This level aligns with unmitigated historical demand and potential long-term accumulation range.
---
📅 Projection:
Expecting a continuation to the downside after retesting minor imbalance zones.
Potential multi-year bearish leg forming Wave 3 (macro view).
Ideal accumulation/buy zone: 85.100–84.900 – if structure supports.
---
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: 110.800 – 104.600
CHoCH Level: ~102.300
Short-Term Demand: 92.000 – 94.000
Long-Term Demand (Institutional Interest): 85.100 – 84.900
---
💡 Conclusion: Smart Money has exited from premium pricing, and the macro structure aligns with a bearish transition. As long as price respects current lower highs, we may see a deeper correction or possible trend reversal near 85 levels.
---
🧠 #DXY #SmartMoney #CHoCH #ForexAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #Forex #Month
Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPIDXY 11/06 – Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPI | Reversal Risk After 100.31?
The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to consolidate within a rising channel on the H2 timeframe, with price tightening just ahead of a key macro event — the US CPI report. DXY is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, where liquidity hunts and potential reversals become highly probable.
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT
📌 US CPI (June 12):
The main macro driver for DXY this week.
A hotter-than-expected print → strengthens the Fed’s hawkish stance → DXY likely to spike.
A weaker-than-expected CPI → boosts rate cut expectations → downside pressure on DXY.
📌 Risk Sentiment:
Institutions are readjusting their exposure ahead of CPI and FOMC. This has caused DXY to hover near EMA89 — a sign of indecision.
📌 Cross-asset Flows (Bonds & Gold):
Treasury yields are stable, but surprises in CPI could lead to capital rotation between gold and USD, increasing volatility in XAUUSD and DXY simultaneously.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Trend Structure:
DXY is following a clean ascending channel on H2, with higher lows respecting the lower trendline.
EMA Confluence (13–34–89–200)
Price is consolidating near EMA89 and below EMA200 (99.40), forming a neutral short-term bias.
A clean breakout above EMA200 could trigger acceleration into the FVG zone.
Key FVG Zone (H2):
99.63 – 100.31 is an unfilled Fair Value Gap.
This zone may act as a magnet for price before any meaningful rejection or breakout.
Potential Reversal Area:
A rejection at 100.31 could trigger a sharp pullback toward the liquidity zone around 98.68.
🧠 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
CPI will set the tone for DXY’s mid-term trend.
Watch the 99.63 – 100.31 FVG zone for liquidity sweeps and potential rejection.
Wait for confirmation, not prediction — especially in macro-sensitive environments.
EUR/USD Macro Structure | Don’t Miss the Cycle ShiftAfter reviewing the 12M, 2M, and currency indexes — this isn’t just a bounce, it’s a potential macro reversal.
EUR/USD (2M Chart)
We’ve now got two Morning Star Dojis followed by a bullish engulfing — price is climbing steadily toward 1.16319 (neckline zone). If we break and retest clean, 1.25560 becomes a high-probability target. I view this as the neckline of a multi-year W-formation.
💶EUR Index (16D Chart)
The breakout has already occurred. Retest is happening now around the 1.057 zone. Fibonacci structure supports continuation, and volume confirms strength. If momentum holds, 1.085 – 1.130+ are valid extensions.
💵 USD Index (DXY - 16D Chart)
Meanwhile, the dollar is breaking down from a neckline around 98. If the 97–98 range gives way, we may revisit 88.253, confirming a shift in USD dominance.
🌐 Fundamental Alignment:
The Eurozone is pushing hard for digital transformation, with the ECB advancing legislation on the digital euro. Christine Lagarde has been vocal about blockchain innovation — and XRP’s involvement in cross-border integration is no coincidence.
🎯 Key Price Levels:
1.16319: Neckline (retest zone)
1.25560: Mid-term target
1.60195: Macro expansion (long-term, structure-dependent)
📌 I encourage all traders to zoom out and track structure across multiple timeframes. Sometimes the past holds clues to the future.
DXY: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 98.274 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 98.606 .Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY Daily And 4hr chart analaysis The DXY remains in a bearish trend and is expected to continue declining toward the 99.442 level. From there, a potential reversal could occur, with a projected target around 95.75. However, while I anticipate the index may reach that level, there’s also a realistic possibility it could reverse earlier around the 96.00 area and resume a bullish trend from that point.