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DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal Feb 7 This week Price has been on sell side raid, M, T, W rebalancing volume gaps from Monday and Monday Jan 27. Gaps are magnets is the take away from this week. Seems obvious now in hindsight. Institutional price delivery is now clear to me. How it steps down and where and why it consolidates. Yesterday price took out equal highs in London consolidating at the .618 before declining. Today price starts in a double discount if price makes it to key buys stops in London it should set up NY for a sell off. Alternatively Price could come to the equal lows and then seek higher prices to finish the week. Watch where price take key stops and make analysis from there.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
INTRADAY DXY -CHART -showing at leat one more attempt to confirmThe dxy technical challenge shows a possible uptrend which is can be confirmed by the data coming at 2:30- our suggestion is that the data will be positive for the US dollar since yesterday ATP no phone payroll came strong and it's going to be a strong indication. If the data confirms our logic, we expect another 0.40% positive appreciation of the dollar against the euro. Have to mention I'll be on at a critical into the point where the market right now is ranging, clearly showing that major players is waiting for the data, and then the price field break out. As we get closer to the weekend I do believe more and more Market participants like the position themselves to be safe and file into the dollar if so during the weekend the government of United States will hint or impose tariffs on the European Union.
TVC:DXY
by ElGatoTrade
The Questions That Matter, How, What and WhenTrading Into Key Areas: The Questions That Matter, How, What and When 📌 "Price has reached a key level—now what?" Many traders fixate on areas where price should react but fail to ask why it might react or how it arrived there. To improve decision-making, we need a structured approach that goes beyond simply marking levels on a chart. But understand this—trading is not merely about lines on a chart. It is about navigating complexity with clarity. The market is a vast, dynamic system, governed by the collective psychology of its participants. If you fail to structure your thinking properly, you will become lost in randomness, reacting emotionally instead of acting with discipline. Let’s impose order on the chaos. The Three Critical Questions ✅ 1. How did price arrive? A slow, controlled approach (efficient) suggests institutional order flow—the kind of deliberate, structured movement that signals purpose. A rapid, impulsive move (inefficient) hints at imbalances that may need correcting—gaps in liquidity that create instability. Has liquidity been built up or absorbed? Markets, like nature, do not tolerate inefficiency forever. ✅ 2. What are our expectations? Are we reacting to a level just because it looks right? Because it feels right? Beware of the trap of wishful thinking—price does not care what you believe. Does this area align with broader market structure (e.g. range extremes, supply/demand zones)? Are we leaning on experience or just bias? Are we seeing what is there, or only what we want to see? ✅ 3. What time has price reached this area? Session timing matters—a reaction at a level during the London Open carries more weight than during low-volume periods. Upcoming data releases can shift sentiment instantly—are you trading ahead of event risk, or blindly walking into volatility? Trade With Logic, Not Emotion The market is a relentless teacher, and those who refuse to ask the right questions will be punished accordingly. When price reaches a key area, think before reacting. Ask yourself: "Am I trading the market as it is, or as I wish it to be?" Because the difference between success and failure in trading is the difference between seeing reality for what it is and being blinded by your own assumptions. ⚡ Question: Do you have a checklist for trading key levels? Feel free to comment!
TVC:DXYEducation
by SERVER_SEVEN
Could the dollar reaches 120 level again ?Debt as Robert Kiyosaki said can be a double edge sword. On a consumer level, if you have outstanding loan , say credit card debts , it is 24% per annum and paying the minimum would be disastrous. However, on a national level, the government has several tools to play around to minimise their debts. Thus far, I have not heard of any countries that are debt free. It seems as the economy gets better, the more debts the countries got itself into. The government debt for US is already in trillions and I believe Trump would be printing money soon! And the irony is with more US dollars floating in the market, should its currency not come tumbling down? After the Financial Crisis in 2009, the US dollar has never been stronger , riding on more than a decade of uptrend move. We must not forget the fact that the US dollars remain a "safe haven" asset to many and when inflation hits US, this would be an asset class that is going to be snap up by the institutions. Consumers in US would be paying higher price with the tariffs that other countries are imposing to counteract Trump's tariffs. Feds want to bring the inflation rate to 2% and at current rate of 2.89, it has quite a journey to travel. So , if the inflation rates continues to climb from 2.89, then the Feds will be force to increase its interest rates once more to cool down the economy. Very simple right ? With higher interest rates, consumers would want to hold more cash at bank to earn the interest and spend less, thus lowering the demand of goods and services and making the suppliers/sellers to reduce their price and thus lower inflation. Let's watch and see over the next few months on how the dollars performance will turn out .
TVC:DXY
by dchua1969
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal Feb 6 Well I was wrong yesterday in my analysis. Why? I was following the premium to discount logic, and also so new that not seeing HTF institutions order flow. Feb 5 note "My logic says if price takes out the noted sell side liquidity it should react and seek the 50 level at 108,000, and yet it could just keep seeking lower prices."-yesterdays quote. Price lowered to below the 50 level wicked through the weekly BISI/volume imbalance from Jan 27 also coming to the .618. on the daily chart. The previous range is in a discount. I would suspect that Price could seek higher Prices to rebalance the hourly FVG and the equal highs. If price comes to the 107.775-107.820 for the London session and seek lower prices in NY.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
The Stablecoin Revolution: Is the Dollar's Reign Over? The Future of the Global Cryptocurrency Market: Navigating the Rise of Stablecoins and the Shifting Sands of Global Finance The cryptocurrency market has exploded in popularity over the past decade, evolving from a niche interest to a global phenomenon. While Bitcoin remains the dominant player, the landscape is rapidly diversifying, with stablecoins like USDC and Tether playing an increasingly crucial role. This article explores the future of the global cryptocurrency market, examining the growing influence of stablecoins and their potential impact on the traditional financial system, particularly in relation to the US dollar and the DXY index. The Rise of Stablecoins: Bridging the Gap Between Crypto and Fiat Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar. This stability makes them attractive for everyday transactions and as a safe haven within the volatile crypto market. USDC and Tether are the two largest stablecoins, with market capitalizations in the tens of billions of dollars. The appeal of stablecoins lies in their ability to combine the benefits of cryptocurrencies – such as speed, low transaction costs, and 24/7 availability – with the stability of traditional currencies. This makes them ideal for a variety of use cases, including: • Remittances: Sending money across borders using stablecoins can be faster and cheaper than traditional methods. • Payments: Stablecoins can be used for everyday purchases, both online and in physical stores. • Trading: Stablecoins provide a stable asset for traders to use when navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market. • Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Stablecoins are a key component of DeFi protocols, where they are used for lending, borrowing, and trading. The Impact on the US Dollar and the DXY Index The growing adoption of stablecoins has raised questions about their potential impact on the US dollar and the DXY index, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of other major currencies. Some analysts believe that the widespread use of stablecoins could weaken the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance. However, it's important to note that most stablecoins are currently pegged to the US dollar. This means that their value is directly tied to the dollar's performance. As a result, the rise of stablecoins could actually strengthen the dollar's position in the short term. In the long run, the impact of stablecoins on the dollar will depend on several factors, including: • Regulation: Governments around the world are beginning to pay close attention to stablecoins. The regulatory frameworks that are developed will play a significant role in shaping the future of these digital assets. • Adoption: The widespread adoption of stablecoins will be a key factor in determining their impact on the dollar. If stablecoins become a major force in global finance, they could challenge the dollar's dominance. • Competition: The emergence of other stablecoins pegged to different currencies, or even central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), could reduce the reliance on dollar-pegged stablecoins. Opportunities and Challenges in the Cryptocurrency Market The future of the cryptocurrency market is full of opportunities and challenges. The continued growth of stablecoins is likely to play a significant role in shaping this future. Other key trends to watch include: • Institutional adoption: More and more institutional investors are entering the cryptocurrency market. This is bringing increased legitimacy and liquidity to the market. • Technological innovation: The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and applications being developed all the time. This innovation is driving the growth of the market. • Regulatory clarity: As governments around the world develop clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies, this will help to reduce uncertainty and encourage further adoption. However, there are also challenges that the cryptocurrency market must overcome, including: • Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, which can make it risky for investors. • Security: There have been a number of high-profile hacks and scams in the cryptocurrency market, which have raised concerns about security. • Environmental concerns: The energy consumption of some cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, has raised concerns about their environmental impact. Conclusion The future of the global cryptocurrency market is bright, with stablecoins playing an increasingly important role. While the impact on the US dollar and the DXY index remains to be seen, it's clear that stablecoins are changing the landscape of global finance. As the market continues to evolve, it will be important to keep an eye on the latest developments and to be aware of the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
DXY - "Pullback or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!"📉 Price Action Update: Key Levels to Watch Currently, the price is trading within the 108 – 107.800 range. There are two potential scenarios to anticipate: 1️⃣ If the price continues to decline, we could see a drop toward 106.950. 2️⃣ Alternatively, a pullback from 108 could push the price toward 108.500 – 108.700 before resuming its downside move. This analysis is based on DXY's price action on February 3rd, where it faced monthly timeframe resistance. Such a significant resistance level often leads to a short-term downtrend, especially on lower timeframes like the 1-hour chart. 📊 Stay alert to price reactions at these key levels! 🚀
TVC:DXYShort
by Jimmy_Rebello
1
Principle of predictionThe Principle of Prediction – How We Are Prediction Machines "Every action we take is based on a prediction—whether we realize it or not. Mastery comes from refining those predictions through data and analysis." 🔍 Understanding the Principle of Prediction - The human brain is wired for prediction. Every decision we make—whether in trading, business, or life—is an attempt to anticipate an outcome. - Prediction is about stability. Our ability to predict future events determines how well we adapt to uncertainty, manage risk, and maintain control. - The role of data and analysis: While intuition plays a role, true mastery comes from combining biological instinct with structured data-driven refinement. 📊 The Chart & Its Meaning - The chart illustrates how patterns emerge over time, reinforcing the idea that recognizing, testing, and refining these patterns enhances predictive accuracy. - Human Perception vs. Statistical Reality: - Our intuition is often biased—we see what we expect to see. - Data analysis acts as a corrective lens , aligning perception with objective reality. - Performance Optimization: - Stability in decision-making is achieved when human prediction aligns with statistical probability. - Tracking and refining pattern recognition improves predictive power over time. 🧠 Key Takeaways ✅ Prediction is survival. The better we predict, the more control we exert over uncertainty. ✅ Data refines intuition. Without measurement, prediction is just an educated guess. ✅ Mastering prediction = mastering stability. Stability isn’t found in avoiding risk, but in learning to predict and manage it effectively. 💡 The First of The Seven Principles This establishes The Principle of Prediction as the foundation of stability. - In future annotations, we can progressively introduce the next principles in a way that naturally builds on this concept. - Each principle will connect back to scientific reasoning, human needs, and performance optimization.
TVC:DXYEducation
by SERVER_SEVEN
Tariffs and Gold: A Trade War’s Golden Ripple EffectTariffs, especially those involving major economies like the U.S. and China, can impact gold prices by influencing inflation, economic growth, and market uncertainty. If tariffs lead to trade wars, economic slowdowns, or higher consumer prices, investors may seek gold as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, driving prices up. Conversely, if tariffs strengthen a country’s economy by protecting domestic industries and boosting confidence in the local currency, gold prices may decline as investors favor riskier assets. The overall effect depends on how tariffs influence global economic conditions and investor sentiment.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by KeN-WeNzEl
DXY Jan30 Back testing AnalysisDXY Jan30 Back testing Analysis Asia Price is in a Premium. At 1 macro drops to the 50 level taking out sell side liquidity. London Price still running to the bottom of a FVG reacts and swings up to the MOG and CE of the higher FVG seeking a key level of buys side. Price gravitates around the buy side building orders I suspect for the ND at 8:30. NY delivering to a Premium. Price dropped to the MOG and the 50 level and rallies higher. Note Price just touches the event horizon. At 10 macro-AKA silver bullet, Price smashes down seeking the previous days FVG to rebalance. Note the bodies of the candle respect the FVG. 12 macro Price aggressively retraces rebalancing efficiently delivered Price. Price seeks another equal high by 4pm. Note the reactions on the 50 levels touches and goes higher. Price did come down to a discount however immediate reaction. Tipping its hand that the DXY parent bias is bullish?
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Jan30 Back testing AnalysisDXY Jan30 Back testing Analysis Asia Price in a discount. London 2 and 3 macro are weaving in and out making higher equal highs and equal lows. Note the higher highs came to the 70 level. 4 macro spiked to the .618 note price is weaving in between the MOG. 4:15 price starts to step up and bursts to the 50 level, buy side target and by 6:45 kisses the FVG. NY Price is in a Premium. 7 macro price retraces down to the 50 and inefficient price delivery in London. By 8:15 price hits the .79 just in time to get out before the news. NY PM session sees Price retrace the ND manipulation to rebalance the damage from the ND. Note-the back testing I am analyzing is the discount to premium to premium to discount. Identifying the model 2022 when key buy/sell side liquidity is taken is the trigger for the set up, inside a macro time. Note that each session respects the 50 unless in the case study of Tuesday this week when it did not. By respect I am suggesting that Price moves from discount to premium all I have to is identify where price and enter after liquidity is taken. Note that the ND sent the bodies of the candles to the CE of the FVG. COOL!
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Jan 29 Analysis-back testing logDXY Jan 29 Analysis-back testing log Price completes trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG. Price rallies to rebalance a Hourly FVG from Jan21. Asia Price is delivering to a discount. London 2022 model, Price comes down takes out recent key sell side liquidity rallies to MOG and launches to the 50. 2 macro starts the rally an hour of heat 4 macro price seeks the FVG coming to the edge teasing me. Small consolidation expected after a big rally and choppy. NY-7;15 takes buy side liquidity and 8 macro pumps to the FVG setting up for retracement. 9 macro Price retraces the inefficient price from London and stops just shy of the .79 Note-previous day was high resistance pattern, where as this day was low resistance-THESES ARE THE DAYS TO TRADE. Note-When Price has big gaps like this its tipping its hand that its going rip. Seen this pattern enough times to start to trust it.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Jan 27 Analysis-back testing logDXY Jan 27 Analysis-back testing log Price trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG from Dec 18. Asia Price is delivering to a Premium in a consolidation pattern takes recent buy side liquidity, creating higher level of equal highs. Note Price does not take the higher buy side liquidity. Note the range bound candle pattern, DO NOT TRADE IN THESE CONDITIONS. London Price fake moves in 2 macro only to create equal highs. At 3 macro Price takes those highs, and aggressively lowers, for the 50 level slicing through recent taking sell side liquidity, landing right on NWOG. Weaves in and out of Friday's gap. 4:50 structure is broken as Price kisses the 70 level and declines again to the know sell side liquidity. NY Price rallies at 9:15 toward the 50 level, rebalancing efficient delivered in London. By 2 Price comes back up to hit the 50 level.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal Jan31 I am very happy with yesterdays Price action. Price did gravitate to the 50% level where it rebalanced a 15M FVG. I also stated that The volume imbalance event horizon, along with MOGs could be a magnet, It sure was! Great analysis. Price consolidated in Asia coming to the 50 and FVG in London. Price took equal lows, wicking into the volume imbalance from Monday, bouncing at the CE in NY with manipulated ND. Price created equal highs easy target to the buy side today. Price is delivering to a Premium on the Daily and previous range. Seems likely that Price will consolidate in Asia and potential reach for the equal highs before coming down to the 50 level, where there is a 15M FVG to rebalance. There is Red folder at 830 in NY.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena