Second AttemptWe have reached the next important resistance which had been holding for almost 1 year before broken in February last year. It is the upper resistance in this resistance zone.
EUROPE50 trade ideas
STOXX50 near a trend changeThe european index has been rising incredibly fast lately but our algorithm has found an alert to sell the index.
Statistics says that after a 20% rally and having a massive resistance above the probabilities of a trend change are really big, at least in the short term.
By selling in the 4.000 zone, you can adjust your stop to 4.100/200 depending on your risk aversion and have a take profits at maybe 2 or 3 times your Stop Loss.
So, odds are clearly in our favor and the risks can be easily mitigated thanks to this resistance level. As a bonus tip, look how the volume is decreasing meaning the less and less interest in buying this index at this new prices.
No SupportThe assumed support at around 3870 had failed. Then it has been backtested and failed immediately. This is a sign that the bears are ruling the market.
Europoor Index: The Great ResetI created this account a year ago because I was sure the elites hadn’t even put into effect stage II of their great reset (stage 1 being a viral meme)
They indeed had an opportunity to crash world markets
I think they’re more subtle and longer term than that
Before I was convinced markets were topping out I had to be convinced that it was the markets not the dollar that would undergo a controlled demolition
The geometry confirmed a dollar bottom 18 months or so ago, the same geometry implies the generational top could be in for the dollar
The selling in markets has been controlled
Inflation has now been dialled into all financial narratives
If we look at the EU50 it looks bull af
I don’t think this big crash you all want is coming…
GRI 2022
EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022
We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 3.05% , down from 3.16% from last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 6th percentile, while with VDAX we are on 1st percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish - 2.2%
In case of bearish - 2.3%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 19.2% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 4077
BOT: 3825
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3980
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 3900
Lastly from a technical analysis point of view, currently 78% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.
STOXX50 Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 STOXX50 Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.08%, raising from 3.07% of last week , according to VDAX data
(DAX Volatility Index which is highly correlated with VOLATILITY INDEX for STOXX)
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 2th percentile, while according to VDAX, we are on 4th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 2.8% movement
Bearish: 2.1% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 21.1% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 4050
BOT: 3800
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
27% probability we are going to touch previous low of 3850
78% probability we are going to touch previous high of 3950
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the weekly moving averages are in a bullish trend, and
a combination of moving averages and oscillators are in 40% bullish stance
Euro Stoxx 50 looking bullish above 200MAW Formation has formed on the daily and the price is above 200MA
THis gives a Bullish Bias for further upside.
Euro Stoxx 50 Index bullish extensionEURO STOXX 50 INDEX: Potential for bullish extension towards 3,950 and 4,000 in the short term (5 to 25 days). This can be technically supported by the fact that current price is above its 4 and 40 week moving averages, the clearing above the 3,810 August (17th high) and the facts that both the 4 and 13 week rate of change indicators are above their respective zero lines (above zero), as well as the KST indicator crossing above its signal line. Therefore, long positions can be technically supported for the short term provided price can remain above the 3,810 support.
EU Stocks - Winter of discontent incoming?We've had nearly a full month of UP-only FOMO buying in EU stocks, but has the macro changed? No. Have we averted disaster? No. Are we heading into an economic tornado and a deep winter of discontent? Quite possibly.
Stoxx50 is going to be short on 7of Nov 2023.The trade is all about to create a double top before it could come all the way down.
Global Recession is triggering As USA federal reserve government .. boost up another high rates.. this effects other big indices markets as well across the world.
The 4th time 75 basis points. This triggering global recession ad seems like it is coming. For EUSTX50 WILL DROP HARD .. should expect the bottom at 3000
If it doesn’t hold then 2600 area is a good area to buy.
Trade safe and this isn’t financial advice.
STOXX 50 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 STOXX 50 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022
We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.3%, increasing from 7.18% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 60th percentile according to ATR and 91th according to VDAX.
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 4.89%
BULLISH Candle : 4.46%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 12.2% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 3368
TOP: 3888
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 3630(already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 3252
EuroStoxx - SX5E - further rise to developHey the "whale calves". Following the end of last bullish acceleration on Equities, the outlook remains positive - illustrated by the lower end of the ascending channel and the MAs that support the market. Considering that the market shaped a short term wave 3 up....preference to follow the rise to shape a short-term wave 5 at least. Have Fun - Stay Safe
EU50 Weekend update🌐📊🟠According Fundas we have monday will be most swing day i personaly suggest dont trade,Its good to be spectator🙇♂️
.
.
🟡Scenario 1:Wait for comfirmation to breakout RS maybe area i just pointed top of RS if the price breakout that point we could be Long
.
.
🟡Scenario 2:Price could be fall to our SP and if breakdown SP line expect more down trend.
EurostoxxTechnical analysis TradingAureo systemIn the present technical analysis of the eurostoxx index through the golden trading technique, we will be able to observe how in its historical graph it shows us possible debts and projections that the market left us in the short, medium and long term.
EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022 EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022
We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.14%, falling from 4.33% of the last week.(using DAX volatility, which is highly correlated with euro stoxx 50/600)
At the same time, its currently place on the 75th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 1.94%
In case of a Bearish movement : 2.35%
With the current volatility point, we have a 19.5% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 3529
BOT : 3235
At the same time, there is currently a 75% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 3450
And there is a 28% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3250
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -78% indicating a very bearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)
EuroStoxx - SX5 - Bullish above 3298Hey whale calfs - the market is lying on a support area and no reason to have a break below 3298 (right below the 3300 psychological hurdle), to reconsider a new rise. Moreover, the Hourly-RSI is lying a critical support area at 27% and is posting a bullish diuvergence, leading credence to this new upside move. Have fun - Stay Safe
AT LEAST MINIMUM 1600 PIPS FOR THIS WEEK KICK OFFEU50 is at overall down trend and the brief retest after friday NFP allowed the market to touch the 0.5 & 0.618 Fib levels confirming the new price wave,fall to TP1 @ 3252 and TP2 @ 3184 just few pips before the most eminent support region.Risk mgt is important...tgerefore SL should be placed just few pips after the most recent high at that 50 & 0.618 Fib region
Possible Sell OffAs it has been weakening for months already, we should expect a proper sell entry on pullback.
Dead Cat Bounce on Euro Stoxx 50 Dead Cat Bounce
Ranging Downtrends
Stronger than breakout patterns
BEARISH
SX5E - Euro Stoxx 50 - Perspective, Perspective, PerspectiveI heard Ray Dalio shorted. I heard Putin has Europe by the b****. I heard there's a recession coming.
But do you know what? I don't care about any of these, nor do I care about any rumors, tips, subscription services or whatsoever in order to make my trading decisions.
The charts are my one and only telescope.
Further, I do not use this telescope to make any sort of forecast by any means. I have no clue what the market is about to do. I just know, pursuant to the charts, what would prompt me to identify a favorable scenario probabilistically speaking as well as a favorable risk to reward scenario.
And even then, the odds are I wouldn't trade it, because there might be other set ups out there which offer me more favorable conditions and full compliance with my trading system, which I have trained myself to execute flawlessly after a long and hard journey of staking mistakes and golden teeth.
Oh, and that's a breakout from an ascending triangle ... with a breakout back in 2019. Full analysis in my web.
Cheers
Jamie Gun2Head Idea - Selling EU50Trade Idea: Selling EU50
Reasoning: Looking for secondary aggressive selloff
Entry Level: 3602.0
Take Profit Level: 3476.0
Stop Loss: 3634.0
Risk/Reward: 3.94:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
$EUR Stocks Buy Setup.This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
