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Germany 40 - Futures

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GERMANY40 trade ideas

Future DAX IMOWe can see the DAX has rocketed up in the past 2 weeks with very little momentum loss until the 24/01/2025. It made all time highs without finding a new resistant level as of yet, meaning we're most likely looking at a routine bounce from the 21500 mark and more than likely, a steep downfall until we get back to 21000. Looking in depth at all time frames, it wouldn't surprise me if we fall all the way back to its current major resistance price (18850) and then potentially moving back even higher towards the 2nd half of the year.
XETR:DAXShort
by BradJones
#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: By full bear mode I don’t mean you just short 21394 and hope for the best. You wait for selling pressure first. Friday we got some decent selling pressure to the 1h 20ema which held since Tuesday. I expect another leg up first before we break below 21300. We have left behind 4 consecutive bull gaps and on Friday we saw the first one close immediately. This buying was as climactic and unsustainable as it get’s and having those this late in a trend is more often the end than the beginning of a new leg up. Can this go to 22000 before it goes to 20000 again? 10% if you ask me but that’s just a guess and as good as anyone’s. current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again) key levels: 20500 - 21800 bull case: Bulls are in full control. This has not changed since the big breakout on Wednesday. They are still trading above the 1h and higher tf 20ema and until we break below, they remain in full control. Problem for the bulls is the climactic unsustainable nature of the move, very late in a trend. Everyone know’s it’s a suckers rally/short squeeze but that does never matter and they can just continue higher. We could easily test down to 20500 with a quick 1-3 day move, so bulls need to think about taking profits. Many will exit when market begins to stall because the up move was basically down above the 1h 20ema and once we break below, that premise is gone and I doubt many want to risk 500 points in hope to print 22000. Invalidation is below 20500. bear case: Bears know that the dax has not been this expensive for 25 years and want blood. The odds are decent that we go down at least 2000 points over the next weeks and bigger bears begin to scale into shorts at this high because the market broke above 2 bullish patterns and the odds of that happening this late in a trend are low. Bears finally closed a gap and now they need follow-through below the 1h 20ema. First target is to retest the high of the previous gap 21162 and see if bulls want to defend it. There is also the 4h 20ema around that price and those will be 2 big magnets early next week. My preferred path forward would be a very quick move down to 20500 to retest the breakout price and the bull trend line. There I expect buyers to come around big time. Invalidation is above 22200. short term: Neutral if we stay above the 1h ema. Once below, I want to see 21162 and then 21000. If we stay above, I will long scalp for 21500 and maybe 21600 and will look for shorts there. medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode. current swing trade: Soon. chart update: Marked new targets for both sides.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
Elliott Wave View on DAX Nesting Higher in Impulsive StructureShort Term Elliott Wave View in DAX shows that the Index breaks to new all-time high confirming the right side remains bullish. The rally from 11.19.2024 low looks to be nesting in an impulsive structure. Up from 11.19.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 20522.82 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 19649.87. The Index resumed higher from there in wave 3 in a nest. Up from wave 2, wave i ended at 20024.79 and wave ii pullback ended at 19833.82. The Index resumed higher in wave iii which ended at 20391.17. Pullback in wave iv ended at 20255.85. The final leg wave v ended at 20480.49 which also completed wave (i) in higher degree. Index then pullback in wave (ii) which ended at 20025.28. Index has resumed higher again. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 20362.59 and pullback in wave ii ended at 20234.26. Wave iii higher ended at 21330.87 and pullback in wave iv ended at 21212.25. Expect wave v to end soon and this should complete wave (iii) in higher degree. Afterwards, pullback in wave (iv) should find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
XETR:DAX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2025-01-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bull channel continues and we are at the top again. At this point it’s possible this spikes above the channel to print 22k. Wild to live through this tbh. 21700 likely next, bears need something below 21500 and then 21380. It’s beyond climactic and overbought. current market cycle: bull trend - blow-off top key levels: 21200 - 21700 bull case: Bulls are in full control. No one know’s where it stops. Look for longs. Nothing new to report. Channel is holding and we are just moving higher without much resistance. Nothing changed. Again. Invalidation is below 21300. bear case: Bears need to start closing the gaps. This also has not changed. The bullish channel lives and until we break out of it, there isn’t much to analyse. All of my bullish targets are met and this looks just like the climactic end but who know’s where it will stop… Bears have nothing to think about here. Way too early for any short. Invalidation is above 21700. short term: Bullish until bears do more. Trade the channel. medium-long term from 2024-01-23: Market hit 21600 and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again. I won’t be picking tops again. I just wait now. current swing trade: None. trade of the day: Buying near the 1h 20ema as mentioned the last couple of days.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
DAX 40 Remains in Strong Overbought ZoneThe German index has recorded eight consecutive sessions of gains, appreciating more than 5% in the short term. The price level of 21,400 points now stands as the all-time high barrier for the current long-term bullish trend. Strong Trend: The bullish momentum that emerged after the significant drop in August 2024 has been key to the continuation of the long-term uptrend. However, the accelerated pace of buying in the short term could lead to bearish corrections in the coming sessions. RSI: The RSI indicator shows an impressively bullish slope, currently displaying readings of 83 —well above the overbought level of 70. The current event in the DAX price indicates that recent movements have created an imbalance in bullish and bearish forces, which could trigger early bearish corrections as the price continues to advance. Key Levels: 21,400 points: Positioned as the new resistance zone at the latest all-time high. Consistent buying pressure is necessary to maintain the bullish bias currently observed in the index. 20,300 points: The nearest support level on the chart and a potential area for bearish corrections in the short term. If the price drops below this level, sustained bearish pressure on the DAX could return. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:GER40
by FOREXcom
Germany’s DAX 40 Stock Index Hits Record HighGermany’s DAX 40 Stock Index Hits Record High The country’s Finance Minister, Jörg Kukies, stated in an interview with CNBC that it is crucial for Germany to enter a period of economic growth, adding that structural deficiencies need to be addressed. “We have just received another downward revision of growth forecasts from the IMF,” he said at the World Economic Forum in Davos. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) now projects Germany’s GDP growth at 0.3% in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026, according to the January update of its World Economic Outlook. This marks a sharp decline from the October forecast of 0.8% growth in 2025. Germany’s annual gross domestic product contracted in both 2023 and 2024. Quarterly GDP figures were also modest, although the economy has so far avoided a technical recession. Kukies also remarked that domestic German companies are “under stress” but continue to perform “very well” on the global market, seemingly referencing the rise of the DAX 40 stock index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen). Indeed, yesterday the index surpassed the 21,300-point level for the first time in history. Technical analysis of the DAX 40 stock index chart (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) indicates that the price is forming two ascending channels. While rising within the steeper purple channel, the price has exceeded the upper boundary of the blue channel. However, given that the price has not yet reached the upper boundary of the purple channel (as indicated by the arrow), it is reasonable to suggest that bullish momentum may be waning. If so, a possible scenario could involve a correction with a bearish breakout of the lower purple line, leading the price back into the blue channel. It is also possible that there will be one more attempt to set a new record, accompanied by the formation of bearish divergence on the RSI indicator. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:GDAXIM
by FXOpen
6
DAX // possible start of the correctionThe market has reached the daily target fibo 200 and broke the H4 structure by breaking below the H4 impulse base. If H4 makes a new low before making a new high, the countertrend becomes valid. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. Level colors: Daily - blue Weekly - purple Monthly - magenta H4 - aqua Long trigger - green Short trigger - red ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
Moustafa! Dax towards 19420 as TP1 07.01.25* We are in front of a golden chance to short it from its peak!! * Broke the uptrend line on the daily frame * It will return back to the huge rising wedge which it broke through before and caused that huge bullish wave * If it will go to TP2 it means that it will fill the daily gap which was not filled since long time ago! ***Note My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by moustafa_marei
1
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 The Germany 40 is in a robust bullish impulsive phase, trading at 20,916, significantly above the VWAP (20) level of 20,265. Key support is established at 19,535, with resistance at 20,995. With the RSI soaring at 78, the market is approaching overbought conditions, underscoring strong upward momentum. UK 100 The UK 100 has made a major breakout with a bullish and impulsive tone, currently trading at 8,517, comfortably above its VWAP (20) of 8,266. The support level is defined at 8,022, while immediate resistance lies at 8,500. The RSI of 75 signals bullish momentum, affirming the prevailing trend. Wall Street Wall Street’s bullish trend looks like it could be about to resume after a long correction. Trading at 43,520, the price is above the VWAP (20) of 42,633. Support is noted at 41,720, while resistance is placed at 43,600. With the RSI at 60, the correction could provide a setup for continued bullish momentum. Brent Crude Brent Crude’s bullish impulsive movement persists as it trades at 7959, comfortably above its VWAP (20) of 7753. Support is set at 7250, while resistance is capped at 8,256. The RSI at 61 indicates firm momentum, albeit down from overbought territory. Gold Gold’s neutral consolidation phase is just about intact after a bullish push, with prices at 2,711, marginally above its VWAP (20) of 2,661. Support is seen at 2,596, and resistance is nearby at 2,727. The RSI at 62 suggests balanced conditions, with a slight tilt toward bullish activity. EUR/USD EUR/USD remains in a bearish impulsive phase, trading at 1.0319, just below its VWAP (20) of 1.0310. Support is identified at 1.0216, while resistance is noted at 1.0417. The RSI at 46 reflects continued bearish momentum without immediate oversold conditions. GBP/USD GBP/USD is entrenched in a sharp bearish impulsive move, trading at 1.2199, well beneath its VWAP (20) of 1.2352. Support is established at 1.2066, with resistance higher at 1.2637. With the RSI at 33, the pair is nearing oversold levels, hinting at potential consolidation coming next. USD/JPY USD/JPY is in a bullish correction, trading at 156.38, slightly below its VWAP (20) of 157.33. Support is anchored at 155.03, and resistance is positioned at 158.81. The RSI at 48 denotes neutral momentum, aligning with its corrective phase.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
DAX Daily Short Setup: Targeting 19,700The DAX approached its previous high but failed to break through, signaling potential exhaustion at these levels. In response, I have initiated a short position, targeting a retracement to the 19,700 price zone. Fundamental Insights: 1. Economic Uncertainty: Disappointing inflation data from China has sparked concerns about demand for German goods, which weighed heavily on DAX futures during the Asian session. 2. Sector Weakness: The auto sector, including Porsche, BMW, and Volkswagen, saw significant declines due to lingering tariff threats and softening demand. 3. US Jobs Report Impact: Friday’s US Jobs Report could further dictate market sentiment. A weaker report may boost expectations for rate cuts, providing temporary support to the DAX. Conversely, stronger data may reinforce bearish momentum. 4. German Economic Indicators: While November’s industrial production showed a 1.5% rise, weak factory orders suggest limited optimism. Imports fell 3.3%, signaling declining demand, further justifying a cautious short bias. Technical Outlook: • The DAX remains above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating bullish momentum. However, failure to sustain above 20,523 strengthens the likelihood of a retracement. • The RSI near 59 suggests room for further downside before approaching oversold conditions. As always, maintain disciplined risk management. Let’s see how this setup unfolds! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by AR33_
4
DAX H4 | Heading into Fibonacci confluence resistance zoneDAX (GER30) is rising towards a resistance barrier and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,073.71 which is a resistance zone that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 161.8% extension. Stop loss is at 21,400.00 which is a level that sits above the 100.0% Fibonacci projection. Take profit is at 20,510.80 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Short
by FXCM
5