GERMANY40 trade ideas
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
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Analysis
Germany 40 remains in a bullish trend but has entered a corrective phase, with the price decreasing to 18,365, now below the VWAP of 18,419. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 18,079 and 18,740, respectively. The RSI has decreased to 48, indicating a reduction in momentum compared to the previous report.
UK 100 remains in a neutral sideways trend and is in a consolidation phase, with the price remaining at 8,201, just above the VWAP of 8,200. Support has adjusted to 8,122, while resistance has decreased to 8,253. The RSI has slightly decreased to 49, reflecting a slight decrease in momentum.
Wall Street remains in a bullish trend but has entered a corrective phase, with the price increasing to 40,371, now above the VWAP of 39,999. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 38,716 and 41,282, respectively. The RSI has decreased to 60, indicating reduced bullish momentum compared to the previous report.
Brent Crude remains in a bullish trend but has entered a corrective phase, with the price decreasing to 82.00, now below the VWAP of 84.87. Support has adjusted lower to 81.98, while resistance has increased to 88.05. The RSI has decreased to 37, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum.
Gold remains in a neutral trend and is in a consolidation phase, with the price steady at 2,401, just above the VWAP of 2,389. Support has adjusted lower to 2,307, while resistance has increased to 2,471. The RSI has decreased to 53, indicating a reduction in momentum.
EUR/USD remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 1.0886, now above the VWAP of 1.0842. Support has adjusted lower to 1.0722, while resistance has increased to 1.0961. The RSI has decreased to 58, indicating reduced bullish momentum.
GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price decreasing slightly to 1.2925, now above the VWAP of 1.2850. Support has adjusted higher to 1.2620, and resistance has increased to 1.3079. The RSI has decreased to 60, indicating reduced bullish momentum.
USD/JPY remains in a bullish trend and continues in a corrective phase, with the price decreasing slightly to 156.93, now below the VWAP of 159.45. Support has adjusted higher to 155.65, while resistance has increased to 163.25. The RSI remains at 38, reflecting a reduction in bullish momentum compared to the previous report.
New highs for 30. Awaiting 40Ahead of a busy week for US markets as inflation data that could help confirm interest rate cuts in September.
US30
30 has reached new highs as off last week and has close out of the previous month range, but it has seemed to lose a bit of steam Thursday and Friday (midweek). I'd expect the week to begin bearish atleast just to take Fridays lows and a possible reversal mid week. Until then, I will look for further bearish signs.
GER40
The current months price has been still captured between Junes price range and I will be awaiting a breakout. In July we have seen price reach 18779.3 and seems to be heading to Junes low 17883.1 as we can see structures being violated towards the downside on the 4 hour candle.
With this weeks earnings for mega caps, interest data being released compared to price. This leads me to this if we do see good data will price action become bullish or will the data not favour the US and continue to drop.
DAX (GER40) Is Still BrearishDax has taken a little different route. It has been consolidating but last week, it created a massive bearish engulfing candle. Which can push the price to the FCP zones below. If the first one fails we have an M pattern completion at the second FCP zone. Beware of a gap around 17200 level.
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Before:
Bearish on GER30 Dax, read the texts following the numeric orderThe chart itself is self explanatory.
German Dax is due for a correction and it has already created a:
1. Triple Top on the weekly time frame
2. H&S on the weekly time frame
The price is expected to retrace down to the monthly/weekly fibonacci golden zone level (0.5 to 0.618), which also coincides with a strong support (formerly resistance) area.
#DAX #GER30 #GER40
DAX - a Gartley or H&S your choiceThere are 2 patterns that can be considered for the DAX
1. Head & Shoulders - from Feb 27 to July 19.
a. Left Shoulder - peaks around 18550
b. Head - pushing the ATH for 19K
c. Right Shoulder - peaks around 18755
d. Neckline - was tested yesterday.
So if we take a measured move , targets the DAX around 17K.
2. Gartley Harmonic - taking the impulsive wave from the 19th April as XA , the AB,BC have
played out and we could be in the CD leg. The Gartley will target .786 of XA , seeing price around 17700.
Either way , there is potential for significant movement to the downside in the near term.
GER40/DAX on crossroads GER40 Index / DAX Outlook:
The DAX is pivoting at the resistance zone of 18,771.2 after a strong bullish uptrend that began on June 14th. This rise was followed by significant stop-loss hunts during the release of US news. Notably, I have observed a pattern where the weekly 100 MA and daily 50 MA crossed on the 30-minute chart. The last occurrence of this pattern was on June 13th, which led to a substantial downward movement of 3.86% in the DAX. I expect a similar movement in the following week if the strong low of 18,200 is sharply broken.
My Position:
I see two scenarios unfolding:
Breakdown: If the price action strongly breaks the psychological support at 18,200, I will look to enter a sell position.
Pullback: If the price recovers, I plan to sell during the pullback from my resistance zones between 18,500 and 18,800.
However, if these scenarios are invalidated by a sharp move, I will not engage in any order. Patience is crucial here, as I aim to sell at every high point. The markets are currently too elevated to continue the uptrend without clear justification. Good luck, traders!
Potential bullish bounce?GER40 is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support. A bounce from this level could indicate a double bottom pattern which might lead to a potential price rise to our take profit.
Entry: 18,249.40
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 18,064.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 18,484.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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DAX H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementDAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 18,593.36 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 18,660.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 18,352.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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