DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself…
The German Dax has reached it's Centerline.
It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it.
Whenever this happens, we the Market
a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
or
b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up.
To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading.
But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times.
So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame.
Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨🌾 🌿👩🌾
GERMANY40 trade ideas
GER40-SELL strategy 3D chart GER40 has been strongly moving higher, and with some minor corrections in between. We broke up nicely above the ascending wedge, but think we may have seen the highs of it now. We are trading above regression channel as well, and this means we should see a sharp down move to test 21,168 again.
Strategy SELL current 23,000-23,350 and take profit near 21,350 for now.
DAX (De40) The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Bullish INTRADAY, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 23460, followed by 23900 and 24033.
Support: Key support is at 22843 followed by 22520 and 22220.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Bullish Continuation (Potential New ATH After Elections)DAX price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form another credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci levels.
There might be a possibility that DAX may break it's All Time High Price of 22938.
With the German elections coming up, (given a pandemic free situation of the world), it might be worth observing price the action further if 22938 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a prominent new high.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 22240
Stop Loss @ 20980
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 23374 - 23500
DAX Uptrend continuation supported at 22480.The DAX (DE40) Index maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a longer-term uptrend. Recent price action has confirmed a breakout above a key level, but the possibility of a retracement remains, making it crucial to assess both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 23480, 23600, 23800
Support Levels: 22840, 22480, 22230
Bullish Scenario
If DAX sustains price action above the 22480 breakout level, it could signal strong bullish momentum. A successful retest of this level as support may provide a foundation for further upside, with key resistance targets at 23144, followed by 23480 and ultimately 23600 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario
A failure to hold above 22480, followed by a confirmed breakdown and daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. In this scenario, selling pressure could intensify, leading to downside targets at 22230, with further retracement potential toward 21900 over an extended timeframe.
Conclusion
DAX remains in a bullish structure, but price action around the 22480 level will be critical in determining the next move. A strong hold above this level could reinforce further gains, while a breakdown below it may trigger deeper retracements. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX has outperformed America and will continue to 24,000!The DAX, Germany's main stock index, has been on a rampage!
Compared to American indices and crypto, it's continued to hit record highs.
Several factors have been fueling this rise:
Increased Government Spending: Germany's plan to invest around €500 billion in infrastructure and defense has boosted investor confidence.
European Central Bank (ECB) Rate Cuts: The ECB's recent interest rate reductions aim to stimulate economic growth, making equities more attractive.
Attractive Valuations: European stocks, including those in the DAX, have lower price-to-earnings ratios compared to U.S. stocks, drawing investors seeking value.
investopedia.com
Global Economic Optimism: Positive developments, such as potential resolutions in trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, have improved the global economic outlook, benefiting export-oriented indices like the DAX.
Technically, it's been a trend traders haven. It continues to bounce up on not only the Uptrend line but also the 20MA.
So if momentum like this continues we will see it reach a psychological level of 24,000.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX - rising wedge 15 minutes DAX Index – 1H Chart Analysis (February 20, 2025)
1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upwards within a well-defined ascending channel.
Support Retest: Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the uptrend.
Potential Bounce: The blue arrow suggests an expected continuation to the upside if the support holds.
2. RSI & Momentum Analysis
RSI at 42.14: Indicates the market is approaching oversold conditions on the 1H timeframe, meaning a possible bounce is near.
Bullish Divergence? Not confirmed yet, but if RSI starts rising while price remains stable, it could indicate a reversal.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Support:
22,400 - 22,500 (Lower trendline of the channel)
22,250 (Stronger support if breakdown occurs)
Resistance:
22,750 - 23,000 (Upper trendline and psychological level)
4. Potential Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)
If price holds above 22,500, we could see a continuation towards 22,750 - 23,000.
Long Setup:
Entry: 22,500 - 22,550 (confirmation of support hold)
Stop-loss: Below 22,400
Target: 22,750 - 23,000
📉 Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability)
If price breaks below 22,400, a decline toward 22,250 or lower could follow.
Short Setup:
Entry: Below 22,400
Stop-loss: Above 22,550
Target: 22,250 - 22,000
5. Conclusion & Strategy
Bias: Bullish as long as price stays within the ascending channel.
Trade Idea: A long trade from 22,500 with a stop below 22,400 offers a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Risk Management: If price starts consolidating near the lower boundary without bouncing, consider reducing risk or waiting for further confirmation.
GER40 (DAX) Analysis & Trade Ideas📊 Market Structure & Analysis
GER40 is in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs & higher lows.
Resistance: 22,943 – Price is testing this level; a breakout could push higher.
Support Levels: 22,132, 21,767, and 20,500 – Potential pullback zones.
Break & Retest Pattern: Price has been breaking resistance and turning it into support, confirming an uptrend.
🔹 Bullish Scenario
✅ Buy on pullback at 22,132 - 21,767 if price respects support.
🎯 Target: 23,000+
🛑 Stop: Below 21,500
✅ Breakout Buy if price breaks & retests 22,943.
🎯 Target: 23,500+
🛑 Stop: Below 22,700
🔻 Bearish Scenario
❌ Sell rejection at 22,943 if price fails to break higher.
🎯 Target: 22,132, then 21,767
🛑 Stop: Above 23,000
⚡ Final Thoughts
Market structure remains bullish—focus on buying dips & breakouts. Shorts only if rejection is strong. 📈🔥
#GER40 #DAX #Forex #Trading
DAX hits fresh record on stimulus plansThe German DAX index has just hit a fresh all-time high.
The latest gains come as a global bond sell-off extended its run, driven by Germany’s ambitious spending plans, which are poised to reshape the eurozone’s economic outlook and has already had a sizeable impact on regional stocks. Today, the focus was also on the rate decision from the European Central Bank. The ECB cut rates by 25bps as expected and President Lagarde said the next rate decision in April is defendant on data.
The market's attention shifts to US labour market data as we head to the business end of the week.
From a technical view point, the strong rally means dip-buyers continue to remain in control of price action. For that reason, there is no point in trying to pick the top. Concentrate on support levels until we see a clear reversal pattern.
Short-term support now comes in around 23,311, marking the high from Monday, followed by 23,229, marking the high from Wednesday. Below these levels, 22,937 is the next key support to watch for a potential bounce, before the trend line comes into focus a bit lower down.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Final update d30How are you friends
I posted in my profile from dates from the beginning of January
And this is the same drawing
The trend was up and the target was the end of 22600 and the end of the blue line is 22750 as the final point of the blue line and now it seems we still have an uptrend as I told you I will update
But there is no doubt that the trend will head to much higher areas at least 23k
I will update again
DAX 40 Index Technical AnalysisDAX 40 Index Technical Analysis
Market Profile Insights
Value Area Analysis
Trading ABOVE yesterday's value area high
Seeking extension from Monday's Point of Control (POC)
Anticipating potential reaction zones at Monday's High Volume Nodes (HVNs)
Current price positioning suggests bullish market sentiment
Trade Parameters
Entry Point: 22,833.71
Target Price: 23,356.52
Stop Loss: 22,572.31
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Technical Narrative
Price breaking through previous resistance levels
Showing strength by trading above key market profile structures
Volume profile indicates institutional accumulation
Momentum suggesting potential trend continuation
Entry Confirmation Criteria
Multiple timeframe alignment
Strong volume profile
Market profile structural support
Momentum indicator confirmation
Risk Management Considerations
Monitor reactions at previous HVNs
Use market profile levels for dynamic stop management
Be prepared for potential consolidation zones
Conclusion
High-probability bullish setup with robust market profile confirmation. Disciplined, structure-based approach recommended.
Germany30 Short Setup: High-Confidence Trade with Massive PointsHello Guys recently we have seen a massive downward shift in the dax 30 . a quick solid setup with entry stoploss and targets outlined in the chart
Risk less: we are in a NFP week where markets turns wild and choppy but this is a high probability trade setup
Good luck
GER30 POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
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DAX 🗝️ LEVELS TO WATCH 👀AND WHY 🤔Hello awesome traders, let's have a look at the DAX. I have a new analysis today as the previous exchange seems to be shut down.
Here are the details: The DAX on a weekly chart is trading a cup and handle pattern, and the price is now trading below near the target zone 1 at 62%: 19078.70. After a successful breakout from 16305.21, the target zones are as follows:
Target Zone 1:
62%: 19078.70
78%: 19817.23
Pattern Height:
100%: 20784.96
DAX H1 | Potential bullish bounceThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 23,236.99 which is a pullback support
Stop loss is at 23,075.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 23,593.28 which is a resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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MY THOUGHTS ON GER40 CASH INDEX
From the chart i see a brief accumulation which tended towards the upside to liquidate those in short positions (stop hunt) as a form of manipulation.
If it doesn't break through that supply zone there will be a retest to fill-up the FVG below (on the 1H TF) and probably takeout those in long positions before breaking through the supply to give us a new ATH.
If it does break through the demand below we'll most likely see a dump towards the long awaited FVG around 20k region (from the Monthly TF).
So, lets see how this plays out.
Ger40 Order Flow: Liquidity withdrawal before trend continuation📌 Idea:
We have confirmed a bullish structure and expect liquidity to be taken from below. The price is likely to move towards the 15M TF FVG with a sweep of the lows.
📍 Two possible entry setups:
1️⃣ After the liquidity sweep and confirmation of a bullish setup.
2️⃣ Breakout from the range and a retest – this zone will provide an entry point.
📈 Entry: after confirmation on a lower TF.
🎯 Targets: marked on the chart.
🛑 Stop loss: below the last low.
Falscher Ausbruch auf DAXThe German Stock Index XETR:DAX made a new All Time High yesterday only to close back inside the high's recent price action. This sets up a clear Spike with today's close back inside.
Many signs in the US stock market are pointing to the market turning over for at least a bearish correction. I'll be watching the XETR:DAX for a bearish play of this Spike: possibly back down to the 50% of the rally since August 2024.
DAX Bullish breakout retest? The DAX (DE40) Index maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a longer-term uptrend. Recent price action has confirmed a breakout above a key level, but the possibility of a retracement remains, making it crucial to assess both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 22900, 23145, 23460
Support Levels: 22230, 21900, 21780
Bullish Scenario
If DAX sustains price action above the 22230 breakout level, it could signal strong bullish momentum. A successful retest of this level as support may provide a foundation for further upside, with key resistance targets at 22900, followed by 23145 and ultimately 23460 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario
A failure to hold above 22230, followed by a confirmed breakdown and daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. In this scenario, selling pressure could intensify, leading to downside targets at 21900, with further retracement potential toward 21780 and 21607 over an extended timeframe.
Conclusion
DAX remains in a bullish structure, but price action around the 22230 level will be critical in determining the next move. A strong hold above this level could reinforce further gains, while a breakdown below it may trigger deeper retracements. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.