US100US100 has shown great strength after terrif news.
If we look at the bigger picture, recent bullish rally looks like a pull back. Currently it is heading towards very important region , 20500 which is also the 61% retracement level.
If the price close above 20500 then we can consider it a new bullish rally.
US100 trade ideas
US100There’s a **Sell opportunity** forming on **US100**, but this one carries a bit more risk compared to the others.
That’s why I recommend opening the trade with a **smaller lot size** just for this setup.
🔍 **Criteria:**
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 20021.8
✔️ Take Profit: 19945.8
✔️ Stop Loss: 20059.6
🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
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NAS100USD: Institutional Support Fuels Bullish MomentumGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that institutional order flow remains bullish, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias.
Key Observations:
Institutional Support Zones:
Price has recently retraced into a significant institutional support area—a large mitigation block, where smart money typically mitigates previous sell orders and initiates new buy orders. This zone is further reinforced by the presence of a reclaimed order block, signaling an area where prior institutional buying occurred and may now be re-engaged.
Confluence of Bullish Arrays:
The alignment of the mitigation block, reclaimed order block, and an adjacent breaker block provides strong confluence. While price is currently showing signs of rejection at this zone, it is important to exercise patience and wait for confirmation before entering, especially given the size of the mitigation block.
Trading Strategy:
Upon confirmation, we will look to initiate long positions from these institutional support levels, targeting liquidity pools resting in premium pricing zones where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined and let the market confirm your narrative.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
5 May Weekly NAS100 Forecast USTECH: Trade Talks and Fed Decision in Focus
Analysis:
Markets are at a pivotal juncture as investors monitor two critical developments: the potential resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision.
Trade Negotiations: Renewed dialogue between the U.S. and China could alleviate tariff pressures, stabilize global supply chains, and bolster investor confidence, thereby reducing recession risks.
Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on May 6–7, 2025. While the Fed is widely expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, market participants are keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's commentary for insights into future monetary policy directions.
Market Bias: Cautiously Bullish
The confluence of potential trade resolutions and a steady monetary policy stance supports a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, market volatility may persist pending concrete developments.
Key Levels to Watch:
USTECH (NASDAQ 100):
Resistance: 20 531
Support: 19 481
Conclusion:
Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank communications, as these factors will significantly influence market trajectories in the near term.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
---
Approaching 200SMA and long-term uptrend line, pullback expected(The following is a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise independent judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the market remained in a consolidation phase near recent highs. The current price has broken through and is approaching the 200-day moving average, while also nearing a retest of the uptrend line that began in 2023. Considering the price has been on a 9-day upward streak, there is a high probability of a significant pullback upon reaching these key resistance levels.
At present, it is difficult to categorize the overall market trend as either bullish or bearish. With ongoing uncertainty around tariff-related policies, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase rather than a sustained uptrend, lacking fundamental support for further rallies. As such, there is a higher probability that the price will fill the lower gap at 18,264.
Next week, special attention should be given to the FOMC rate decision and the press conference on Wednesday. Recent employment data has been strong, and inflation has shown signs of rising. The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, which could trigger a market sell off. It's also possible the pullback may begin as early as Monday or Tuesday, offering opportunities for early positioning.
From a technical perspective, if the price continues to rise, it may test the area around the 200-day moving average and previous trend resistance, roughly between 20,226 and 20,400. Should this area be tested early in the week (Monday or Tuesday), I would consider initiating short positions. Light positions can be considered above the 20,000 level, as the current price range offers a relatively favorable risk-to-reward.
To the downside, a break below the 19,000 level is required first, after which there's a higher probability of filling the price gap between 18,264 and 18,583. If supported by macro news, the market may further test lower levels in the coming weeks, including 17,589, 17,278–16,946, and potentially 16,108–16,589. These levels will require further observation as developments unfold.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,595.55 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 18,900.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 20,343.35 which is a swing-high resistance.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Time for Pullback
There is a high chance that US100 will retrace from the underlined
blue daily resistance.
I spotted a double top pattern on a 4h time frame after its test
and a nice bearish imbalance candle that was formed
during the NY session yesterday as confirmations.
Goal - 19590
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NAS100 – Supply Zone Rejection! Are Tech Bulls Out of Breath?Timeframe: 4H | Methodology: Supply & Demand + Structure
The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is struggling to break above the key supply zone around 19,832. Price has printed multiple wicks at resistance, hinting at weakening bullish momentum.
Technical Breakdown:
Major Supply Zone: 19,800 – 19,850
Critical Support Level: 18,846
Demand Zone Target: 17,700 – 18,000 (highlighted in orange)
Key Observations:
Price has rallied into supply after a strong bullish move from the 18,000s
Repeated rejection candles are forming inside the supply zone
Bearish divergence may be developing — a possible early reversal signal
Trade Setup Idea: (Bearish Bias)
Sell Trigger: Break below 19,700
Target Range: 18,850 first, then 18,000
Stop Loss: Above 19,850
Macro Note:
Several U.S. economic events are lined up (see calendar icons). Expect high volatility — perfect environment for trap moves and liquidity grabs.
Will NAS100 reverse from this zone or break out to new highs? Let me know your view!
Like & follow for more clean chart breakdowns.
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #USTech #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ReversalSetup #TradingView
Understanding the Crab's Potential Ascent Before the DescentCurrent market analysis suggests a potential temporary surge in the Nasdaq index, colloquially referred to as a "crab walk," possibly reaching a level of 20.4 before a significant correction.
While this upward movement may present short-term opportunities, it is crucial to recognize its potential transience.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
US100 Locking as Bullish directionUS00 Structure Looking as strong Bullish Pattern,
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 02 May 2025,
US100 Price will looking as buy side recently price will break and catch the support after push to buy side the bullish structure continue to play out the next project would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel US100 is holding its bullish structure well,
Key Level to watch
Resistance level 20,500 / 21,000
Support Levels 19,500
you can find more details in the chart of you find this idea help or learned something new then leave comments Thanks for Regarding.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook.
One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240.
That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
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NAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RRNAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RR. After the TP hit from yesterday Im still expecting more bullish momentum so Im waiting to see if I can get this 1-10RR or at least 1-5RR from this. Remember we need confirmations to enter the trade. It has to brake structure in 5min before we enter.
Lets see
NAS100 1H | Major Rejection Zone – Time to Sell?NAS100 is trading inside a key supply zone, showing clear rejection signs near 19,825, with a potential downside move on the table.
Watch These Levels:
Resistance (Rejection Zone): 19,825
First Support: 18,328
Major Demand Zone: 16,948
Bearish Bias if price fails to break and close above 19,825.
A break below 18,328 could trigger a deeper drop toward 16,948.
Trade Plan:
Sell near 19,825 with SL above zone
Target 18,328 → 16,948
Bullish reversal only above clean breakout
What do you think—pullback or breakout?
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #Indices #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #US100 #CFD
NAS100USD: Volatility Opens Door for Sell Setup in NY SessionGreetings Traders,
As we enter the New York session—a period known for heightened volatility—we note that NAS100USD remains in a broader bullish environment. However, current price action suggests the potential for a short-term reversal, prompting us to explore selling opportunities.
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Internal Structure Developing:
Despite the overall bullish trend, internal price action reveals a sequence of lower lows, indicating the formation of a bearish microstructure. This internal weakness is reflected in the way bearish arrays—such as mitigation blocks and fair value gaps (FVGs)—continue to act as resistance zones.
2. Mitigation Block & FVG Alignment:
Recently, price delivered a strong displacement to the downside, followed by a retracement into a mitigation block that aligns with a fair value gap. This confluence reinforces the bearish bias and suggests institutional selling may be active in this zone.
3. Downside Targets – Gap Fill & Liquidity Pools:
The first downside target is a nearby inefficiency (gap) in price action, which the market often seeks to fill. The second target lies below, where sell-side liquidity pools are likely resting.
Trading Plan:
Monitor price behavior within the current resistance zone. If confirmation of continued bearish momentum appears, short positions targeting the aforementioned levels may be viable.
Stay focused and wait for confirmation before committing to any positions.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
US100 WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅US100 price grew again to retest the resistance of 20,300
But it is a strong key level
And we are already seeing
A local bearish pullback
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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