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US100 trade ideas

USNAS100 - Dropped and still Running!Technical Analysis: The price has declined by approximately 1.75%, as previously indicated. Currently, it is approaching 20,705. A confirmed 1-hour candle close below this level is required to sustain the bearish trend toward 20,550. Alternatively, breaking above 20,860 could shift the momentum to bullish, targeting 21,070. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20780 Resistance Levels: 20860, 20980, 21170 Support Levels: 20670, 20550, 20330 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 20780 and 20700 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
US100USD: Bearish Opportunities Targeting Liquidity PoolsGreetings Traders! Current Outlook📊: US100USD remains in bearish institutional order flow, indicating that bearish arrays are likely to hold until a bullish shift occurs. My focus is on identifying selling opportunities aligned with this market narrative. Key Observations👀: Liquidity Dynamics: Price recently took M15 sell stops (external range liquidity) and retraced into the Premium Fair Value Gap (internal range liquidity). Market Behavior: The market typically transitions between internal and external range liquidity. After respecting the FVG, I anticipate a move downward toward liquidity pools. Trading Plan🎯: Focus Areas: Look for confirmation entries in zones of confluence to align with bearish momentum, the bearish order block. Target : Liquidity pool areas highlighted on the chart. Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions in the comments below! Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action: The price is currently close to the ATH at 21,250,As long as it remains below this level, it is expected to decline further. Expected Decline: If the price does not break above the ATH, it may drop towards a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,324, which may represent a target or support zone. Upward Scenario: If the price breaks above the ATH, specifically by closing a 4-hour (4H) candle above 21,250, it could indicate a bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new ATH around 21,381. Overall Sentiment: The overall outlook is bearish if the price remains below the ATH, suggesting that trading pressure is downward until there’s a clear breakout.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
US Nas 100 _ Quarter 4 _ Distribution _ Prices: US Nas 100 _ Quarter 4 _ Distribution _ Prices: Trading Venue: OANDA It will go to the following fake prices first: $20,720.5 $20,792.8 $20,810.7 $20,824.3 ( Then will drop to $20,159.7) , ( Unless support is confirmed above $20,880 there is no way it will go higher! ____________________- Once the Retest is done correctly the next distribution price will be: ____________________________ Next Price = $21,075.7 $21,458.4 $21,743.4
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Skill-Knowledge-Conduct
Unlocking the Myth of Price Action: A Strategic PerspectiveThe Market’s Telltale Signs: History shows that when markets experience sharp moves—either a dramatic drop or an explosive rally—pullbacks often follow. These pullbacks are driven by strong follow-through candles that signal renewed interest and participation from market players. Such formations act as the market’s way of hinting at a potential reversal or retracement. The Current Scenario: Right now, the price action is falling short of these historical signals. The market has yet to produce the kind of decisive, bullish candle that would suggest a meaningful reversal. The recent candles lack strength, structure, and conviction, leaving the prevailing trend intact. Why It Matters: In trading, patience is a superpower. Jumping into the market without confirmation from strong signals can be costly. At this point, staying on the bearish side is the smarter move. Let the market speak—wait for that bold, unmistakable bullish candle to confirm the tide is turning before considering a shift in strategy. On the Flip Side: However, if the bulls do take charge, we could witness a substantial upside movement. A strong, decisive bullish move would signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a significant rally. This could present an excellent opportunity for those ready to ride the bullish wave when it materializes. The Bottom Line: Stay aligned with the bearish trend for now, but remain vigilant. A strong bullish candle could unlock a major upside, so keep an eye on the market for any signs of a shift. The key is to let the price action confirm the next move before committing to a new direction!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit
Towards 20228Hi, as you can see, it did not succeed in breaking the weekly resistance and retraced down from strongly, and even broke another line and it looks like it goes down to the low of tall green daily candle which the index jumped to high levels from at 20228 where also you could find another at the price the index will touch that strong support uptrend line and I have a feeling that it will break through due to the high selling momentum but I would prefer to gain my profit at the TP level 20228 first and will close the trade then I will monitor if it will break though or not. My trades are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice to traders or investors and is not more than a personal thought or idea which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope it could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trade and my recommendations or are free of charge all life long but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared.
NShort
by moustafa_marei
Nasdaq 100: Event Risk Needs to be Accounted ForLast week was a tough one for stocks in the Nasdaq 100, as a bout of risk aversion saw the index unwind over 50% of its gains generated after Donald Trump’s win in the Presidential election on November 5th. So far this week, the index has stabilised, and yesterday’s 0.6% rally ended a five-day run of losses. However, technology stocks are still in focus, given Nvidia, the world’s second largest company, with a market capitalisation of over $3.4 trillion reports its earnings tomorrow after the close. Nvidia’s chips are seen by many as the bellwether for artificial intelligence demand, so this earnings release and any forward guidance for performance in 2025 may influence the direction of the Nasdaq 100 given the company’s heavy index weighting. Combine this with an increased level of focus on the war in Ukraine, after the US decided over the weekend to allow Ukrainian forces to use their long range missiles, and a number of Federal Reserve speakers scheduled to talk, it may be a volatile end to the week again for the Nasdaq 100 depending on market conditions. Increased risks in trading the Nasdaq 100 during such high-impact events such as the Nvidia earnings release should not be forgotten. NASDAQ 100 – Testing Trendline Support The strong US equity performance following the Trump victory stalled on November 11th at 21247 and a correction period has materialised from these upside extremes. The setback within the NASDAQ 100 accelerated into the weekend, seeing the index approach a potentially important support level at 20372. This trendline support from the August 5th low, indicates where positive price action has been reflected by a pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price, with an uptrend connecting these lows marking a support focus. We don’t yet know if the support will hold or give way, but it could potentially lead to resumption of upside on a successful hold, or an extended fall, depending on market conditions at the time. What are the Important Levels to monitor on the Downside? As we have said, the uptrend support currently stands at 20372 and defence of this level will be monitored over this important event. Closing breaks may see increased volatility and could potentially lead to further declines, depending on market conditions. The next support if the break does materialise could be 19888 which is the October 31st low, or if a deeper decline develops, perhaps to 19719, which is the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the previous August/November phase of strength. What are the Important Levels to monitor on the Upside? A hold on the trendline at 20372 may see the index resume to the upside, although an important resistance level could prove to be 20827, equal to half the latest sell-off. This resistance area giving way may increase the potential for further development of the uptrend, suggesting the possibility for moves towards 21247, the November 11th all-time high. It should be stressed, that breaks of support or resistance levels are based on hypothetical scenarios and while previous breaks of similar levels may have resulted in further price moves, past performance is not indicative of future results. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
Liquidity Engineering and Buying Opportunities on NAS100USDGreetings Traders! Current Outlook📊: Despite the bullish trend on NAS100USD, the market has been consolidating throughout the day. We need to analyze the price action carefully to make an informed decision moving forward. Key Observations👀: Consolidation Range: Price is holding above the 50% Fibonacci level and near the extreme high of 20,842.4. Liquidity Engineering: The market is consolidating in a premium price zone, suggesting that liquidity is being engineered. Retail patterns like trendlines and support/resistance may mislead traders into expecting price to respect these levels. In reality, this is often a manipulation tactic by smart money to trigger stops and gather liquidity. Trading Plan🎯: Focus: Rather than selling at resistance, look for buying opportunities targeting liquidity pools above the current consolidation zone. Target: Liquidity areas where smart money is likely to enter, above the identified resistance. Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week The Nasdaq ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to Nasdaq's gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, Nasdaq benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: 1. FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. 2. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: - Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. - Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the Nasdaq appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The Nasdaq has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the Nasdaq’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate