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US30 trade ideas

Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 41,309.98 1st Support: 40,778.41 1st Resistance: 42,730.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress) The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe. 🧠 Pattern Breakdown: Left Shoulder: Formed in early March. Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April. Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels. Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder. 📌 Technical View: Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance. If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall. Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones. 🎯 Target: Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone). This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear. Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal. 🔔 Trade Setup Insight: Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone. Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns. Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
TVC:DJIShort
by shiva560060
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 42,479.50 1st Support: 41,294.20 1st Resistance: 43,190.10 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
1
Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)🧠 Quick Terminology Refresher: Absorption = Large volume hitting the book with little price movement (strong limit orders halting progress). Exhaustion = Declining volume near highs/lows, indicating a potential reversal or lack of continuation. Delta = Net buying/selling pressure (positive = aggressive buyers, negative = aggressive sellers). Imbalance zones = Strong activity favoring one side of the market — high-probability interest areas. 🔎 Breakdown of Key Zones (Right Side of the Chart – May 20–21): 🔴 Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs) May 20 Candle: Delta: -1.37K on 80.27K volume = net sellers present. Upper wick shows buy volume at the highs being absorbed by resting sell orders. Price fails to close above 42,300, the same level it touched multiple times (look left), reinforcing it as resistance. The cluster of buying at the highs followed by price dropping suggests buying exhaustion + absorption by sellers. 🔻 May 21 Candle (Early): Delta: -387 on low volume (21.68K) — early in the session. Low delta but presence of symmetric buy/sell volume suggests a balance day or low conviction. However, failure to break back above the previous POC zone (around 42,200–42,300) + no aggressive buying continuation = bearish bias. 🔵 Prior Bullish Activity (May 15–19): May 15: Strong positive delta (+3.84K) with 99.68K total volume — clear initiative buy pressure. May 16–19: Successive candles show diminishing delta and heavy total volume with: Imbalance blocks shifting down. Lower highs and failed follow-through after May 15 = exhaustion of buyers. Especially May 19: delta of -1.14K, and large wick + failed upside = absorbed buys, followed by rejection. 🧱 High-Volume Nodes (Support/Resistance): Resistance Zone: 42,270–42,300 Multiple failed closes above, heavy sell volume absorbed buyers. Support Zone: 42,000–42,100 Yellow highlight zone — recent volume nodes + last remaining absorption candle May 14–15. But current candles are testing this zone, and not bouncing with strength. 📉 Conclusion: Sell Bias Based on Footprint Behavior ✅ Reasons to Lean Bearish / Sell: Absorption at highs (May 19–20). Exhaustion of buying delta after May 15–16. Lower highs and lower volume follow-through. Price failing at POC/resistance zones (42,300) repeatedly. No new aggressive buying footprints in current bars. ⚠️ Not a Blind Sell – Wait For: Break and hold below 42,100, ideally confirmed by: Negative delta + rising total volume. Sell imbalances near lower levels. Signs of no strong passive buyer absorption at 42,000. 🛠 Suggested Strategy: 📉 Short Bias: Target zone: 41,850–41,900 📈 If price reclaims 42,300 with positive delta spike, exit shorts or flip long (failed breakdown = trap). 🎯 Watch Volume Profile: Large nodes mean congestion — avoid taking new trades in the middle of these zones.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
US30 Is Very Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for US30. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,620.8. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 45,530.9 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US30Long
by SignalProvider
1
DOW JONES History shows that we're now targeting 68000.Dow Jones (DJI) recovered its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), sending a clear technical message that the 'Trade War' correction is over and the long-term bullish trend has been resumed. The bottom of that correction was on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the absolute long-term Support trend-line for the index, having broken by a large extent only during the March 2020 COVID crash. That was also a bottom for Dow's Bullish Megaphone pattern. The last time that the index handed a 1W MA200 bottom while trading within a Bullish Megaphone was on February 08 2016. On both bottoms, the 1W RSI hit the 30.00 oversold barrier. In 2016 that bottom rebound initiated a (blue) Channel Up that lasted for almost 2 years and peaked on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension level. If Dow continues to replicate that pattern, we are looking at a 68000 Target (Fib 3.0 ext) by mid-2027. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (DJ30) is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 42,431.21 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 41,768.34 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 43,934.49 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Long
by VantageMarkets
US30 Locked & Loaded – Get In, Get Profit, Get Out!**💰 Market Heist Alert: US30 Setup 🔥** Yo Money Raiders & Chart Bandits! 🏴‍☠️📈 US30 is ripe for the taking, and we’re rollin’ in with the *Thief Trading Style*—a slick mix of sniper-level technicals and street-smart fundamentals. Whether it’s bull or bear, we strike fast, grab profit, and vanish! 💨💸 --- **🧠 The Blueprint – US30 Hit Plan** **📍 Entry Zones:** 🔹 **Bullish Strike 1**: Look for a pullback and **buy at 42400** – clean signal to enter the action! 🔹 **Bullish Strike 2**: Set your sights on **40900 - 40800**, inside the Institutional Buy Zone. Wait for an MA pullback, then hit it hard. Fortune favors the bold! ⚔️ 🔹 **Bearish Ambush**: If price breaks down below **41600**, it’s time to ride that bear wave 🐻💨 💡 **Pro Bandit Tip**: Set alerts on key levels so you never miss the moment! 🔔 --- **🛑 Stop Loss Defense:** Protect the stash! Use the **nearest 4H low** as your SL for day/swing trades. Tweak based on your risk level, lot size, and open positions. 🛡️ --- **🎯 Profit Targets – Take the Loot:** 💥 **Bullish Goal**: Lock in at **44200** – or escape early if momentum cools 😎 💥 **Bearish Goal**: Target **40600** – but don’t overstay if signs reverse 🚪 🚨 Watch out for overbought/oversold traps – this is where many fall. --- **⚠️ Risk Alert – News Incoming!** News events = wild moves. Handle with care: 📰 Avoid new entries during major news drops 📉 Use **trailing SL** to secure profits and manage risk like a pro Stay smart. Stay ready. This is a heist, not a gamble! 💼💣 --- **🚀 Boost the Thief Trading Movement!** If this setup hits your style, smash that **boost** and show love to the Thief Crew! 💪 We raid charts daily with precision, profit, and a bit of outlaw swagger. Let’s own the US30 together! 🤝💵 Stay sharp, alerts on, and eyes wide—more setups coming soon. Catch you in the green, bandits! 🤑🎉📊
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Thief_Trader
US30 Breakdown May 19thWhy shouldn't you write with a broken pen? Because it's pointless. Just like your life if you don't stay focused on your purpose. Ok let's get to work! Price is on a beautiful uptrend and right now it's on a retracement down to 42650 area. I believe price will continue to push up to the 42870 Level. How I'll enter I am going to wait for price to get down to the 42650 level Wait for a break of structure as confirmation for a buy (on a 1min) Then Buy But like my ex, price does whatever it wants, so be careful and always wait for a break and retest or a break of structure near the key areas. Have fun. And trade responsibly
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Masked_Gem
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment. 1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones. 1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations. Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth. 1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further. Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78. Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot. 1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears. 2. Technical Analysis The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025: Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000. Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78. Price Targets: Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78 Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones). 3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today. Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow. 4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast 4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025) PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off. Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7. Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns. 4.2. Dow Scenario Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025. 4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500 I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power. Idea: New Screenshot: 4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts: · Europe vs. Russia · India vs. Pakistan · Iran vs. Israel Brent (UKOIL): Natural Gas:
TVC:DJIShort
by SergioRichi