Testing Trumps Theory About StocksSo, as you can see, I just kept it simple, Trump made a claim about buying stocks because this country is about to take off like a rocket. I told my wife I will check the charts. It's been a long time but ugh I think we will see a drop towards resistance before we see what he's talking about. This is the monthly I looked at it on the 3 months chart as well same things keeps popping up some pain before profit so I will be looking to buy on our way down this is the DOW but I am for sure looking for similar patterns in other stocks. But the S&P 500 Is looking the same also.
LET ME KNOW YOUR THOUGHTS BELOW.
this is a small reminder that I am not a professional and this is not investing advice I am simply giving my opinion as a fellow student in the art of trading.
US30 trade ideas
US30 - At Resistance? Holds or not??#US30 #DOWJONES - market just reached near to his current resistance region.
And if market hold it in that case we can expect a drop from here.
So don't be lazy here and only short below that.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Overview:
1. Daily Chart:
• Price has retraced sharply into resistance (near 41,300–41,400), rejecting the 200-day EMA zone.
• MACD still negative but turning up—suggests potential for a failed bounce.
• RSI at 55.33—approaching overbought in a corrective move, ripe for reversal.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Bearish divergence forming on RSI with lower highs.
• MACD is turning down with momentum fading after a recent high around 41,665.
• Price has broken short-term moving average support, with momentum shifting down.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD and RSI confirm short-term weakness.
• Price hovering near local support (around 41,302), if broken, would confirm further downside.
⸻
Fundamental Context (Macro):
• FOMC & NFP results (recent) suggest continued uncertainty in interest rate direction.
• US manufacturing and employment data have shown mixed signals—equities vulnerable to downside corrections amid macro volatility.
• Seasonally, May is often a pullback month (“Sell in May”).
⸻
TRADE IDEA – SHORT US30
• Entry: 41,295 (current price at resistance zone)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 41,670 (above recent intraday high and 15-min resistance)
• Take-Profit (TP): 40,500 (prior support zone on 15-min chart)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30 Breakdown May 11thWhy don't skeletons fight each other? Cuz they ain't got guts, like you if you keep making excuses. Ok let's get to work.
Price has been steadily moving upwards this past month. Right now, there seems to be a counter bearish trend, so I plan to react to the market when it gets to my key level 41,353. If price breaks and retests that level on the 1 minute, and for extra confirmation the counter trendline, I will buy it to 41,500.
If price gets to that 41,353 level and decides to break structure and trend down, then I will sell it to 41,100 level.
But like my ex, price does whatever it wants, and it could buy earlier or sell earlier then I've predicted. So, when price gets around one of my key areas (any of the horizontal lines) and decides to start making higher highs and higher lows or breaks and retest it then I'll buy. And If price decides to start making lower highs and lower lows at my key area then I'll sell it.
Have Fun with trading. Keep smiling and I promise if you look at it with positivity you will always win
One of my FAVOURITE ENTRY MODELS!!!!AMD is one of my favourite ways to get into the market. Tom Camp, my mentor, has taught me this. Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution is known as AMD which is a certain movement in price with in a range. When price Accumulates it consolidates, engineering liquidity on both sides of the market. When price Manipulates it targets either buy-side or sell-side liquidity first then it will target the buyside or sell-side liquidity. Meaning if you're in a bullish environment and price pulls into a HTF POI on a LTF price displays AMD where it will target buy-side liquidity first then target sell-side liquidity and price will reverse. When price distributes it retraces back into the range created in the Manipulation phase. Normally Manipulation phase price displaces or there is an inverse FVG or FVG or OB you can enter off of.
sell US30📉 Technical Indicators
As of May 22, 2025, at 1:05 PM GMT, the Dow Jones 30 Futures show the following:
Investing.com
Price: 41,880.00 USD
Technical Summary: Strong Sell
Moving Averages: Strong Sell (12 out of 12 indicators)
Technical Indicators: Strong Sell (7 out of 7 indicators)
Investing.com
+1
TradingView
+1
Key indicators include:
RSI (14): 31.72 (approaching oversold territory)
MACD (12,26): -151.76 (bearish)
CCI (14): -260.43 (oversold)
Williams %R: -0.503 (overbought)
Stochastic RSI (14): 100 (overbought)
FastBull
+5
Investing.com
+5
TradingView
+5
🔍 Footprint Chart Insights
Footprint charts, which display executed buy and sell orders at specific price levels, are valuable for assessing market sentiment. Currently, the charts indicate:
Optimus Futures
+1
Wikipedia
+1
Investing.com
Sell Imbalances: Higher volume of sell orders at key price levels, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Point of Control (POC): Located at lower price levels, indicating that the majority of trading volume is occurring at these prices, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Lack of Buy Imbalances: Minimal indications of strong buying interest at current levels.
📊 Market Sentiment
Recent analyses from trading communities suggest a bearish outlook for US30. For instance, a TradingView analysis notes that US30 is reacting from a strong demand zone (42,400 - 42,500), showing a possible reversal after a liquidity grab below recent lows. However, the overall trend remains bearish, and traders are advised to watch price action closely and confirm momentum before entering.
TradingView
+1
TradingView
+1
TradingView
✅ Conclusion
Given the prevailing technical indicators and order flow data, the US30 is currently in a bearish phase. Traders should exercise caution and consider waiting for clear signs of reversal or stabilization before entering long positions. Monitoring key support levels and staying updated with market news will be crucial in the coming days.
For a visual understanding of US30 order flow trading, you might find this video insightful:
Dow Jones Short Term Sell Trading PlanM15 - Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold I expect the price to continue lower further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30 (Dow Jones) Update – May 22, 2025 📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Update – May 22, 2025 ⚠️
Massive Breakdown Below 42,000 – Momentum Shift in Full Effect 🧨
🔎 Market Breakdown:
📉 Current Price: 41,803
💥 Major Support Lost: 42,000 ➡️ retested + rejected
🧵 Bearish structure confirmed – lower highs + breakdown of prior higher low
📉 9/21 EMAs sharply angled down, widening = increasing downside momentum
We're now back below key structure from early May, and that 41,770 zone is hanging by a thread. Volume uptick adds weight to the downside move 🔻
📊 Key Levels:
🧱 Immediate Support: 41,770
🔻 If that breaks → next target: 40,700, then 39,775
🔼 Resistance now flips to 42,000 and 42,300
🔥 Trade Outlook:
Bearish bias 🟥:
Below 42,000 = continuation expected
Any bounces into 41,900–42,000 may offer sell setups
Watch for clean break & close below 41,770 for acceleration
Bull case invalid unless:
Price reclaims 42,000 and flips it into solid support with volume ✅
🧠 Smart Money Take:
This is a classic supply re-entry zone. Buyers failed to hold higher structure and are now trapped → liquidity likely fueling this sell-off 📉
Don’t counter-trend guess too early! Wait for reclaim signals.
US30 SMC/ICT Plan – Waiting for Pullback Short OpportunityIdea/Scenario:
Expecting a pullback to the 42,100–42,200 zone after a strong bearish move.
Looking for bearish confirmation (price action or rejection) in that area for a potential short entry.
Main target: 41,650–41,600, possibly lower toward 41,000.
Bias remains bearish below 42,200.
US30: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 42,703.0 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 42,646.1.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 Sell NowUS30 price is static when the market is closed. At all other times the prices are constantly fluctuating. The best time to start active Dow Jones trading on US30 CFD instruments is during periods of very high volatility when investors feel extreme emotions and high volume enters the market.
US30 - Key Breakout Scenario📊 US30 - Key Breakout Scenario
If the price successfully breaks and holds above the 42,656 level, we could consider opening a relatively risky long position. This level has previously acted as a resistance, and a confirmed breakout may indicate bullish continuation.
However, due to recent price volatility and lack of strong impulsive momentum, the entry would be classified as aggressive unless further confirmation is received.
🧠 Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: On a confirmed breakout and 15m or 1H candle close above 42,656 with volume support.
Safer Entry: Wait for a pullback to 42,656 and a bullish reaction (support confirmation) before entering long.
Target: Potential move toward the next resistance zone around 43,302.
Stop-loss: Below 42,500, where recent support structure lies.
⚠️ Caution: This setup becomes much stronger if today's FOMC sentiment aligns with the overall market bullish trend.
US30 (Dow Jones) – 19 May 2025 Breakdown📉 US30 (Dow Jones) – 19 May 2025 Breakdown ⚠️
The Dow just lost the key 42,300 level after struggling to hold above it, signaling momentum shift in the short term 🧯
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📍 Current Price: 42,263
🔻 Support lost: 42,300
❌ Lower high formed under 42,700
📉 EMAs starting to cross downward – early signs of a short-term trend shift
After failing to hold above 42,700, price dropped aggressively and is now sitting right under previous structure support turned resistance.
🔥 Key Scenarios:
Bearish case 🔴:
Rejection at 42,300–42,350 = likely continuation toward 42,100 and 41,900
Clean break of 42,100 could open up a move to 41,600 zone
Bullish recovery 🟢:
Reclaim 42,300 + strong close = chance to revisit 42,500–42,700
Watch for a fakeout and EMA compression reset
🧠 Pro Tip:
⚠️ Breakdowns below structure with confluence (e.g., EMA crossover + volume spike) often lead to momentum flushes
➡️ Don’t fight the shift — adapt fast
➡️ Lower highs = sellers taking control
Bullish momentum ahead?Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $43500
- T2 = $44200
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $42000
- S2 = $41500
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Dow Jones.
**Key Insights:**
Dow Jones is currently positioned at a crucial technical pivot point, showing strong bullish signals supported by improving macroeconomic conditions. Investor sentiment appears to have turned increasingly optimistic as recent updates on GDP growth exceeded forecasts, and corporate earnings have been beating expectations. The index is trading confidently above its 200-day moving average, showcasing healthy upward momentum.
Market volatility remains subdued, which is historically a prerequisite for steady gains in the Dow Jones. Volume analysis indicates rising accumulation from institutional investors, signaling their confidence in continued upside. With sectors like energy and industrials leading gains, the broader market appears poised for further advances.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past month, the Dow Jones has climbed nearly 4% from its September lows near the $41000 level. This rally has been sustained by increasing investor risk appetite, particularly following easing concerns over inflation as shown by cooling Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The index has also outperformed its peers, recording fewer broad-based declines compared to the S&P 500.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts have highlighted a breakout above the $42500 resistance level, which now acts as strong support. Momentum oscillators such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) point toward further bullish divergence, suggesting that the upward trend has more room to run. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has crossed into bullish territory, enhancing the case for long positions.
Economists and strategists suggest that fiscal policy stability, combined with a steady labor market, provides a favorable environment for equities. The resilience of key Dow components like Caterpillar and Boeing further underscores the strengthening bullish case.
**News Impact:**
Recent news around potential interest rate pauses by the Federal Reserve has further soothed investor nerves, leading to an influx of capital into blue-chip stocks. Positive economic data from manufacturing and services sectors has also bolstered expectations for a "soft landing" scenario, minimizing recessionary concerns and driving up valuations in core index components.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the confluence of technical and fundamental strengths, we recommend a LONG position in the Dow Jones. The entry around the current $42654.74 level provides an attractive risk-to-reward ratio. Targets of $43500 and $44200 correspond to key resistance zones, while stops at $42000 and $41500 provide ample protection against unexpected market reversals. This trade is suitable for medium to long-term horizons, capitalizing on the solid macroeconomic and technical foundation supporting the Dow Jones' upward trajectory.
Potential downward moveUS30 has been bullish since selling to 36,500 and later retested the lower bound but settled at 37,800. Upon settling above these figures, the indice has been gradually growing, intending to touch the established highs at 42,800 and further up at 45,000. If the price action manages to stabilise above 42,800, the bullish move will still continue until the top.
However, if price fails to settle above 42,800, a bearish correction may be likely, in search of a support structure that will initiate a bullish rise again.