US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones (US30): Recovery in Motion — Target at 45,000Market Overview:
The Dow Jones index holds above the support zone at 44,183 after a local correction. The broader trend remains bullish, with the primary target set near the monthly resistance zone at 45,000.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABCD pattern
— Support confirmed at H8 level (44,183)
— EMA acting as dynamic support
— Upside potential toward channel resistance
Key Levels:
Support: 44,183, 43,455
Resistance/Target: 45,000
Scenario:
Primary: If Dow Jones remains above 44,183, continuation toward 45,000 is likely.
Alternative: A break below 44,183 could trigger a deeper correction toward 43,455.
US30 – Pullback Holding Above 44300After rallying into the 45,011.92 resistance, US30 is pulling back modestly but still trading above the prior breakout zone at 44,313.00. This could act as short-term support if bulls maintain momentum.
Support at: 44,313.0 🔽 | 43,800.0 🔽
Resistance at: 45,011.9 🔼 | 45,500.0 (psych level) 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Price holding above 44,313.0 keeps bullish structure intact with eyes on new highs.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 43,800.0 may shift momentum and trigger a deeper retracement toward 42,800.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Long position on DJIA Price action analysis on Dow Jones. Dow Jones has a repetitive pattern of retesting the previous Higher High after a market crash so in this analysis I'm anticipating a breakout on the 45.000 price mark then go long till 55.000 which is 10000 pips before a market crash occurs to retest the 45.000 price. Dow Jones moves +- 18000 pips on a long position before a market crash occurs which provides a beautiful opportunity to go long.
DOW JONES repeating May's pattern.Dow Jones (DJI) has been testing its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since yesterday, following 2 straight weeks of trading strongly above it.
If it holds and rebounds, the pattern will draw even more similarities with May's Channel Up, which after the May 06 Low, it resumed the uptrend to peak on a +9.27% rise from the bottom, before breaking below the 4H MA50.
Since the current rise is -0.70% weaker (+4.94% against +5.66%) from May's fractal, we can assume that as long as the 4H MA50 holds, we can expect a peak at 46400.
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US30 Projected All Time Highs As Bullish Trend ResumesPrice is currently being supported by an H4 demand zone. If this demand zone continues to hold and apply pressure to the upside, we will soon be seeing new all time highs. Which really should not surprise us because as we all know, indices are generally bullish long term.
Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again.
This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish.
On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks.
What’s the next expected move?
The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4h Chart (FOREXCOM)4-hour candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (US30) showing the price movement from late June to early July 2025. The current price is 44,314.0, with a slight increase of +23.0 (+0.05%). The chart includes buy and sell signals at 44,316.5 and 44,310.5 respectively, with highlighted resistance and support zones. The index has shown a general upward trend with some volatility over the period.
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones.
Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears.
Technical Outlook:
Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum.
A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960.
However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond.
Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770
Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100
Note:
Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices.
Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
Dow Jons artistic outlook - a proposition for you to take or disWhen I'm looking at my chart, i like to know what this story is about.
This is what
the whole world is looking at,
some say between 1-5 years from, now we are all going to see what it is about.
Most of us want to prosper but there is a certain minority group who doesn't want that. Why? IDK tell me that.
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The chart do not represent a prediction of any kind its more an invitation how to start thinking -about build.
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Time is short although my chart is on 12 month time line
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they say 1-5 years but very unlikely now. I don't know if you can see that
there is a time in next 3 years when the trend goes up.
Its my 10 years of experience i and some hard challenging times. i tracked dow nearly 24/7 for 3 years now so i know what it is about. to explain it to you in full could take some time and here is not a place to do just that.
You can see some general shapes and possible traversals, it happens i track them quite correctly due to my different mind.
"I have good intuition when I'm true to myself
this is my point of view I hope to share with you."
SimonTheBeekeeper
PS:
when things starts to move fast
i have my map to find out
where and how.
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thanks for watching I
US30 short bias- 9th July 2025
I have conducted a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of the US30 index, with particular focus on its recent price action and structural context.
Quarterly Timeframe:
On the three-month timeframe, the second quarter’s candle close is notably bullish, having engulfed the previous ten quarterly candles. This significant engulfing pattern suggests strong underlying momentum. Importantly, there has not yet been a body closure above this quarterly candle, which indicates that price may attempt to break above its range to establish new all-time highs.
Recently, price action reached an all-time high near a major psychological level of 45,000 before retracing sharply to a liquidity region around 37,500. Since this retracement, there has been substantial accumulation of bullish orders, reinforcing the potential for price to retest and surpass prior highs.
Monthly Timeframe:
On the monthly timeframe, price has approached a key liquidity region around 44,500, where it is currently encountering resistance. While the higher timeframe bias remains firmly bullish, it is reasonable to expect healthy retracements before new all-time highs are made. It is worth noting that price has already broken above significant monthly levels at 41,750 and 42,600.
A retracement to these regions to collect further liquidity remains plausible, although this scenario is speculative rather than confirmed at present. Consequently, my bias on the monthly timeframe remains neutral in the short term, pending further developments.
Weekly Timeframe:
Price action on the weekly timeframe mirrors that of the monthly. There is little of note beyond the observation that price absorbed considerable bullish orders at 41,750 and has since encountered resistance near 44,750, leading to a modest retracement. Given this structure, I maintain a neutral outlook on the weekly timeframe.
Daily Timeframe:
On the daily chart, we can observe that the bullish momentum initiated from the 43,000 order block region faced resistance at approximately 44,500. Price briefly broke above this region on Thursday, 3rd July, but quickly closed below it on Monday, indicating a lack of sustained buying interest to propel price higher.
This retracement suggests that the market is searching for a deeper liquidity area to support its next upward move. Notably, a bearish three-pin formation is present, implying that price may break below the recent lows around 44,150. Accordingly, my bias for today is bearish.
4-Hour Timeframe:
In alignment with the daily bias, the 4-hour timeframe indicates that price is likely to target Monday’s low at approximately 44,155. The next key liquidity region lies around 44,000, where substantial bullish orders were previously filled. I am currently waiting for price to offer a suitable entry region to sell towards 44,000.
I am also mindful that the FOMC minutes are scheduled for release today, which could introduce significant volatility. Should a valid setup emerge, I will look to enter a short position. Specifically, if the current 4-hour candle closes bearish, I intend to consider shorts from around 44,220.
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- Dow Jones reversed from long-term resistance level 45000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 44000.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the long-term resistance level 45000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous medium-term ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
DowJones Bullish trend support at 44000Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45440
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44000
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43430
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Market Recap – 07/08/2025📍 US30 Market Recap – 07/08/2025
The bulls lost steam, and momentum shifted 📉
After tapping a local high near 44,867, price got rejected hard and broke below both EMAs for the first time in over a week 🚨
🧠 What’s Changed:
Clean lower high formed around 44,800s
EMA structure broken → 20 EMA crossed below the 50 EMA
Price now consolidating under 44,450 zone
📊 Key Levels:
🔼 Resistance: 44,521 → previous EMA zone
🔽 Support: 44,250 → then 44,000
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔻 Short Setup (Primary Bias):
Look for rejection around 44,450–44,500 zone
Entry: Bearish engulfing or break/retest from 15min or 1H
Targets: 44,250 → 44,000
SL: Above 44,600
🔹 Long Setup (Only if Reclaimed):
Bulls must reclaim 44,600 and flip it to support
Watch for strong breakout candle + volume
Target: 44,800 → 44,867
SL: Below 44,450
US30 Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 44,371.8.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 43,586.3 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.
US30: Market in Rally Mode – Prepare for the Next OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis !
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