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COPPER1! trade ideas

long on the copper bullish cycle that started in Nov, 2020 HG copper had started its bullish cycle after the disclosure of the USA presidential elections, as Joe Biden the current president announced the 1.9 Trillion fiscal stimulus program which tends to recover the American economy that suffered badly since April 2020, that also stimulated the industrial commodities as investors biding on the upcoming recovery, briefly HGC started cyclical wave 5 that tends to target 4.60-4.65 levels.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by AhmedKhater
Traditional|HG1!|Long and shortLong and short HG1! Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken. The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky. If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone. Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone. * Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author. + ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction. The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %. The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long. Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short. Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone. Blue zones - activation zones. Green zone - take zone. Red zone - stop zone. Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take. Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop. Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter. Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop." Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas. SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take. P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
COMEX:HG1!
by Henry_Ross
18
The case for CopperI don't normally invest in metals, but I am making an exception for copper. The price of copper cannot go down in the near future for two main reasons: 1. Supply and demand 2. Inflation/Economic Strain The supply and demand side looks like this: There are three principle users of copper currently, they are: Electric component/part manufacturers (think copper wire) Plumbing component manufacturers (copper pipes and fittings) Industrial alloy manufacturers The economic strain caused by inflation and poor monetary policy cannot be overlooked. At the same time that Copper is becoming harder to find in abundance cheaply, the underlying economies which support these mining efforts is undergoing what I see as a fundamental shift. To expand on this, consider the raw indicators of inflation (not the falsified Government provided ones). A quick review of the World Bank's "Pink Sheet" list of commodity prices *globally* reflects this issue. I recommend a starter position on Copper to the up-side. Copper is a very slow moving instrument, so you will likely find better returns elsewhere, but this is one metal which has historically been needed and with the push for electric vehicles, and new power generation technologies, demand alone will cause the price of copper to appreciate over the years to come. Pinksheet list (remove spaces): https: //www.world bank.org/en/ research/commodity- markets
COMEX_MINI:QC1!Long
by BenjiFutures
There is nothing to see hereThe prices of house construction materials in particular is tearing up the fabric of the universe, while the USA are taking in more migrants than ever, not sure how they plan to house them. Tents? Cages? Camps? The forest? In people's backyards? The prices of materials used for building cars & electronics is also going up, will it go back down? If these prices stay up then the end product prices will go up, some already have. And also the price of grains has gone up, which will end up having an effect on burgers (wheat => bread, soybeans => meat) and this, mainstreet will notice very rapidly (we all need to eat everyday), prob they demand more social programs, more stimulus checks... And so you get this cycle of euphoria where the public celebrates their "free" money. I don't get it. In real time strategy games the economy is real stuff down to earth: Gold, Wood, Oil, Iron, Food, Stone. You get all these ressources and that is your economy. It makes sense, it is not hard to understand. What matters in your economy is the real ressources that are needed for living and building, as well as selling them if you produce enough. And then you also have gold which purpose is to faciliate exchanges inside your nation, to trade with other nations, as well as hire soldiers which can then use it to buy the ressources they need (wood & stone to build a house). It's a tool. If we run out of wood, stone, or food IN A VIDEO GAME no one will argue that there is more hidden in a parallel universe that "the rich" can access via a magical portal. But in this declining civilization there is no "real stuff" in the real world, the public and decorated economists (it's like a reward for being stupid) think the economy is some abstract number and we can always increase the number with magical fiat. Chavez supporters were euphoric back then. Let me tell you they're not laughing now. Some numbers if this interests you: www.census.gov In particular: Exhibit 6- U.S. Trade in Goods by Principal End-Use Category Will the US follow New Zealand recent policies to try and magically fix the housing crisis? If you make it less lucrative to build a house, then plenty of houses will pop out of the ground and everyone will have a home, right? Don't get me wrong, landlords are technically parasites. Especially those that just got lucky and bought, or worse inherited, some property decades ago. But if you punish people for building houses... I don't know... Maybe that's not the right way to handle the issue? Just maybe? Actually the largest China import is Oil (1/4) from the Middle East & Russia, electronics from Japan SKR & Taïwan, also Germany is quite big, probably cars or something. Does not mean Africa is not the final sucker holding the bag as other countries spend those usd. oec.world Angola exports over 3 times what they import. Baggy. Lmao the Current Account Balances values. China is number 3 with 165 billion. Guess who are number 2 and 1? Japan nb 2 with 195 billion, over capitalized country, they just buy Bitcoins and start building casinos now even. And then you can easilly guess who is number 1. An industrial power. A machine. They make the best cars. 297. Meanwhile the US are in the whole, they are number all right, number 1 from the bottom that is, their account is at -466 billion. They are the brokest of broke, their production is down and about to get worse, prices go up, imports will slow (what fool will send them free stuff?), they are already in the whole and the depression/hyperinflation crisis has not even started, usually this situation is what is seen at the bottom. It's going to go from bad to worse. Mathematically it is worse than Greece, Greece also has a bit of a border crisis with Turkey and the refugees that want to go to Germany but that too is worse for the US. Michael Burry warned, and know what happened? The SEC paid him a visit and blamed him for "spreading panic". They are pressuring him into silence. Can you spell DENIAL? I'm giving this circus less than 10 years until "this was not real socialism".
COMEX:HG1!
by MrRenev
7
COPPER - DUE FOR A MAJOR CORRECTION?Looks like copper finally reached the top of the 5 wave impulse. We also saw an extended 5th subwave as the very last wave in the 5th wave which is typical in the commodity market. Also RSI didn't create a divergence but that is because of the extended 5th wave. We should see copper come down atleast 25-30% of it's value as a correction from the huge run it made that started early 2020. This isn't a "crash", this is just a healthy pullback before the next wave up in the future. I'm not planning on shorting it, but I did take profits on my long positions. I will look to re enter when it is done correcting.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by CathartesCapital
Copper vs Kitchin cycle Copper seems to be in a topping area... Copyright: Wikipedia Kitchin cycle is a short business cycle of about 40 months discovered in the 1920s by Joseph Kitchin. This cycle is believed to be accounted for by time lags in information movements affecting the decision making of commercial firms. Firms react to the improvement of commercial situation through the increase in output through the full employment of the extant fixed capital assets. As a result, within a certain period of time (ranging between a few months and two years) the market gets ‘flooded’ with commodities whose quantity becomes gradually excessive. The demand declines, prices drop, the produced commodities get accumulated in inventories, which informs entrepreneurs of the necessity to reduce output. However, this process takes some time. It takes some time for the information that supply significantly exceeds demand to get to the business people. As it takes entrepreneurs time to check this information and to make the decision to reduce production, time is also necessary to materialize this decision (these are the time lags that generate the Kitchin cycles). Another relevant time lag is the lag between the decision (causing the capital assets to work well below the level of their full employment) and the decrease of the excessive amounts of commodities accumulated in inventories. Yet, after this decrease takes place one can observe the conditions for a new phase of growth of demand, prices, output, etc. For example, the volume of oil production on tight oil formations in the US depends significantly on the dynamics of the WTI oil price. About six months after the price change, drilling activity changes, and with it the volume of production. These changes and their expectations are so significant that they themselves affect the price of oil and hence the volume of production in the future. These regularities are described in mathematical language by a differential extraction equation with a retarded argument.
COMEX:HG1!
by TheMarketDog2