Short trade
📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (CG1! Futures)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 11:45 AM (New York Time)
🕒 Session: London to NY Overlap – Late NY AM
📉 Pair/Instrument: CG1!
📈 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 3179.7
Take Profit (TP): 3149.7 (–0.94%)
Stop Loss (SL): 3186.0 (+0.20%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.76
Reason: Observing exhaustion in a rally before NY closes liquidity window with a price sweep into high (supply zone) signalling a reversal.
GOLD1! trade ideas
Gold4 10 25 this is a relatively short video 15 minutes maybe a little bit more looking at the dollar and looking at Gold. I think gold is getting ready to go higher and it's because of a pattern that developed last night. the way the bars are moving and expanding is triggering a belief for me that the market is going higher. there are reasons why it might go lower since it's in a Range box. the dollars going lower the Gold's going higher you have 1 or 2 bars that make incredible swings and those swings are bi-directional in that one goes up by a lot and then the next bar goes down by a lot..... this is because it's an expanding Market that makes money for buyers and sellers and expanding markets can be very stressful because they make big changes and then on the next bar you get a big change in the other direction.... so you have to think a little bit differently and count on what you think where both sides of the market.... the buyers and the seller and know where they are. if there's 1 point that I think is very important and that is that the 2 bar reversal when the market was at support is really where you would take the best trade based on the way I look for opportunity in a market and it's important to look at where that is and what it looks like because it makes a total difference and how your experience with your entries will change for the better.
Gold vs Inverted Dollar IndexThis is what I was talking about... note that the dollar index is inverted (upside down).
For the past week, most of the move in gold is due to the movement in the dollar index because we're looking at gold futures in dollars.
Dollar tanks, then gold futures goes up in dollars. It may just stay flat in terms of Euros or francs.
So basically I got lucky shorting it last week, lol. The dollar bounced.
Short XAU (Gold) Gold Futures are showing a very clean impulsive move through Elliot Wave TA. You can see the running flat on the 2nd wave leading to a very strong move on the Wave 3 major move. The Wave 5 is shorter than the Wave 3 to confirm the possible completion of this 5 Wave move up.
A weaker DXY (USD) is throwing an obstacle to this beautiful setup. Let's see some stability to the bonds market which should lead to stability in the equities market. This should help propel traders taking profits on this Gold rush.
200 SMA pie for Bears SMA is a bold indicator to know analyze the price run & reccent prices was up by 21% & gap up opening in few trading sessions--makes a great bear move to catch let's understand.
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1) Gold is a commodity.
2) Which oftely don't show the big price moves.
3) 4 gap up opening in last 15 sessions.
4) Unusual volumes and move of the price.
5) Geoplitical Tensions of US-Tarrifs making gold the most attractive investment.
6) 20.65% up from 200SMA.
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Less favroble for buyers and with good money for bears to make, unless some investment bank put in a 1/2 Billion.... GoMakeIt
asymmetric triangle or Rising wedge ? This chart shows the potential formation of either a symmetrical triangle or an ascending wedge on MGC1! ( Micro Gold Futures). The distinction -- Both suggest consolidation, but the edge leans bearish while the triangle is more neutral until broken.
I identified the prior impulse move downward as the dominate leg. Price is currently forming higher lows, but may fail to break past the highs with strength, suggesting potential exhaustion from the bulls.
I'm watching for:
*A possible false breakout, then breakdown continuation.
*The wedge's lower support to be tested.
* Confirmation via a clean hourly close or with a bearish engulfing below $3,371.0
My ideal entry would be at the 50% FVG pull back of the engulfing candle.
My First TP would be $3303 then my extended would be $3260, stop-loss above $3,380.
Reasoning: this idea combines FVG imbalance, 50% institutional discount levels, and price action structure. The pattern also hints at market indecision, so I remain reactive rather than predictive. The market isn't worth it just tells a story and I'm listening to the chapter before the breakout.
Mid-Week Market Forecast: GOLD, SILVER, COPPER & PLATINUMIn this video, we'll present analysis and best setups for Wednesday, April 22nd to the end of the week.
Gold is still a buy.
Silver may present a sell opportunity at current levels.
Copper looks like it is setting up for a valid sell.
Platinum has showed weakness early this week. We'll watch for continuation.
Be patient, and wait for confirmations!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Gold chart showing interesting dataInteresting chart on GOLD futures.
Always wise to WAIT until end of day/week.
Daily Chart
Heavy selling has not meant much BUT the movement today is....... different.
Weekly Chart
RSI is not bad but it is weaker than Oct 24.
$ Flow is down a significant amount compared to last top.
GL Long on 3rd bullflagMy GL trade thesis. Previous two potential bullflags had a strong confirmation when first 15 min candle closed abolve VWAP. A 3rd Bullflag might be forming. Looking to go long on the 1st closed green candle on 15min today. With a stop at 3450. Profit target, 3550 (psychological level).
Gold's Surge: Flight to Safety or Foreshadowing Fear?🚨 Gold just saw its largest weekly inflow in history as shown in the chart by BofA Global Research. The metal is soaring above $3,400/oz while most other assets are crashing hard.
This isn't just bullish momentum — it's panic capital. When fear dominates markets, investors rush to safety. And historically, that safety has always been gold.
But here’s the catch: when fear becomes too crowded, even safe havens can become dangerous. If gold fails to hold these levels and begins to correct, it won’t be a slow bleed — it’ll be a free fall, and a lot of people will get caught.
💬 What do you think? Is this just the beginning of gold’s golden age, or are we seeing the early stages of a bubble?
Long term gold bull still good even if near current sell zoneFrom 1970 to 1980 I took 2 different fib extension to project the target sell zone for the blow off top and the price hit the target. I used the same fib extensions to give the target sell zone for the current bull market. Then I looked at how extended was the price from the 12 month SMA and it was 57%. Then I made a channel with the at the 12 month SMA and expanded it by 57% from the current and followed the angle of the 12 month SMA. If the price reaches the target sell zone and also is extended to reach the top of the channel this would most like be the blow off top. There are also other trend channels (gold color) that will give top side resistance. The green box in 2000 is the retrace buy zone and since we do not know the exact current top I drew possible bottom retrace buy zones of the next bear way out in the future and will need to be adjusted. This is not trading advise , just my thoughts.
GOLD HITS RECORD $3,300/OZ – WHAT IS IT TELLING US?Since 2020, stocks and gold have danced to very different rhythms. Initially, equities ran far ahead, but now… the tide is turning fast.
📉 As the equity market sinks into a bear phase, capital is pouring into gold.
Just in the last 9 months, gold has surged over $1,000/oz — a historic move rarely seen outside of crisis periods.
💬 We’ve been calling this for over a year: Gold is now the ONLY global safe haven.
US bonds are no longer the refuge they once were. Investors are voting with their wallets — and gold is winning.
Let’s put it into perspective:
➡️ Over the last 20 years:
• Gold is up +620%
• S&P 500 is up +580%
📈 Gold is trading like we’re in a modern depression — quietly pricing in risk, instability, and loss of trust in traditional instruments.
🧠 The question is no longer "why is gold rising?" — it’s "why didn’t more people see this coming?"
GOLD v DXY in breakout move --- HVF hunt volatility funnelAlways good to measure against the DXY not just the USD value
Not perfect of course as it is mainly the Euro and Yen but still insightful.
Been watching the relationship for a while
currently breaking out to the upside
HVF theory means this should be a violent expansion
Target 1 coming up.
Unpopular opinion, but I think it's time to short GoldThis melt-up is approaching resistance, and the symmetry on the chart is compelling. It could set up a great short opportunity as gold consolidates ahead of its next major move higher, likely in 2027.
However, if it breaks out of the current channel, we could be entering a true melt-up phase — and there's potential for significantly higher prices.