Get started
Gold FuturesGold FuturesGold Futures

Gold Futures

Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Forward curve Seasonals

GOLD1! trade ideas

GOLD - Prepare for Extreme Volatility**Week of:** April 7–11, 2025 **Status:** Parabolic Phase | Euphoria Peaking | Structure Fragile --- ## 🧠 Thesis Gold has shifted from trending to **momentum-driven price action**. We're now in the parabolic stage of the breakout — where belief is at its highest, structure is at its weakest, and volatility becomes the release valve. This is no longer a trend-following environment. It’s a **sentiment-pressure zone** where intraday risk expands sharply. --- ## 🔍 Key Signals - Parabolic curve formation - COT shows aggressive commercial selling - Open interest is peaking with sentiment extreme - Weak closes despite strong highs = possible exhaustion - Structure thin above breakout zone = high whipsaw risk --- ## ⚠️ What to Expect - Intraday **fakeouts and rejection candles** - **Range expansion** in both directions - Emotional breakout chasing followed by sharp reversals - Market-wide volatility spillover if rejection confirms --- ## 🛠️ Strategy Guidance - Avoid breakout chasing — look for **confirmation first** - Fade emotional spikes only after rejection candles - Focus on **tight invalidation and reduced size** - If it holds and extends, trail stops closely — **don’t get greedy** --- > “When price goes vertical, risk doesn’t rise gradually. It explodes.” --- ## ✅ Summary Gold is in its most unstable phase — euphoria is priced in. Whether this is continuation or climax, **volatility is guaranteed.** Trade with precision, or not at all.
COMEX:GC1!
by pharyeh
GOLD - WEEKLY SUMMARY 31.3–4.4 / FORECAST🏆 GOLD – 6th week of the base cycle (15–20+ weeks), nearing the end of phase 1. Market turbulence usually weighs on gold, so the sharp correction on Thursday–Friday, which wasn’t supported by any extreme or pivot forecast, didn’t come as a surprise. That’s what stop-losses are for. ⚠️ The working range of the long position from the March 3 extreme forecast to the March 19 pivot forecast in GC futures exceeded USD12K per contract. The working range from the March 24 extreme forecast to the stop was USD6K per contract. Congrats to those who entered. Special thanks to Mercury retrograde, as the March 24 extreme forecast was its midpoint. The next extreme forecast is on April 7. The next pivot forecast is on April 14.
COMEX:GC1!
by irinawest
Gold Futures: Flight of the PhoenixCOMEX:GC1! Gold Futures Analysis: Gold futures are currently presenting a clearer picture compared to equity index futures. Crude oil futures, on the other hand, have already priced in much of the recent tariff news, with a reversal observed from the 2025 mid-range back towards $65. Despite heightened volatility, the WTI crude oil market remains relatively balanced, with bearish sentiment materializing, if prices drop below and stay below the $65 mark. Gold futures, however, are offering more defined risk-reward opportunities at the moment. Our analysis shows a macro bullish trend in gold, along with price discovery and market auction trends visible on lower timeframes. On the 4-hour chart below, we observe a rising upward channel, with key levels identified and reasoning for these levels labeled on the chart. Key Levels: • ATH: 3201.6 • HVN (High Volume Node) for long entry: 3115 • LVN (Low Volume Node)/LIS for short entry: 3095.1 • Key LVN Support: 3003.7-3018 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation If Gold futures stay below the trend line that defines both our long and short trade ideas, the bearish scenario could materialize. For a short trade to be viable, we would look for a close below the LVN/LIS level (3095.1) and enter on a pullback, targeting the major LVN support zone around 3018.0. Example trade parameters for Scenario 1: • Entry: 3095.1 • Stop: 3125 • Target: 3018 • Risk: 29.9 points • Reward : 77.1 points • Risk to Reward Ratio: RRR=77.1/29.9 ≈2.58 Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal In the event that Gold futures push back towards all-time highs due to heightened uncertainty and a flight to safety, we expect initial profit-taking by shorter timeframe traders to provide a pullback. This could present a long opportunity towards the all-time highs. Example trade parameters for Scenario 2: • Entry: 3115 • Stop: 3095 • Target: 3200 • Risk : 20 points • Reward : 85 points • Risk-to-Reward Ratio: RRR= 85/20 = 4.25 Important Notes: • These are example trade ideas, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions. • Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
COMEX:GC1!
by EdgeClear
Hilarious algo failImagine getting one hour to think about what to do after the Trump speech, and coming up with the idea to sell your only winner (gold futures) at market price immediately after the one hour break, lol. Probably sold it to buy more index futures, lol, morons. Apparent that is what at least one of the algos did. It looks like all of the algos are desperate for cash right now because gold futures are not tracking spot price. (I posted a plot) If you bought GLD like I did, look at spot pricing XAU/USD tomorrow, not futures GC1!. We're up over 1% now.
COMEX:GC1!
by hungry_hippo
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish. When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
COMEX:GC1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
INTRADAY MOVEMENT EXPECTEDi can see still there is liquidity above at the poc of the weekly volume but if the price can cross up the level it can visit the next resistance above so if the price at london session cross down the value area i will expect visit the levels shown on the chart as support and make the rejection so we have to follow the plan and and use the levels on the chart risk management safe the profit secure the orders after the price move stop at break even we wish happy trade for all
COMEX:GC1!
by ConcordDeath
Long for Gold: Seizing Safe-Haven Opportunities Next Week -Key Insights: Gold is maintaining its robust uptrend as it benefits from global economic uncertainties, making it a favored safe-haven asset. Investors are moving towards gold due to geopolitical tensions and a volatile stock market. The precious metal's performance is strong compared to other sectors, with a bullish outlook supported by experts and analysts. -Price Targets: For the upcoming week, traders should consider the following targets and stop levels for long positions: T1 at 3155 and T2 at 3220, indicating potential gains. Set your stop levels at S1 of 3080 and a more conservative S2 of 3050 to mitigate risks. -Recent Performance: Gold has showcased a strong and consistent uptrend, distinguishing itself amidst broader market volatility. Its appeal as a safe- haven asset has attracted investor interest, particularly as geopolitical tensions and trade developments influence market dynamics. -Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a bullish perspective on gold's trajectory. Despite warnings of possible corrections if certain resistance levels are met, the overall sentiment is optimistic. Experts emphasize the strength of gold in current economic conditions, underscoring its appeal. -News Impact: Ongoing trade war developments and geopolitical tensions are significantly impacting gold prices, reinforcing its position as a safe haven. Investors are advised to stay informed about tariff changes and policy shifts, which can influence demand and drive price momentum. In conclusion, gold remains in a favorable position, driven by persistent economic uncertainties and investor flights to safety. Targeting the specified levels can optimize outcomes for those positioning long in the market next week.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
GOLD - WEEKLY SUMMARY 24.3-28.3 / FORECAST🏆 GOLD – 5th week of the base cycle (15-20+ weeks). After a brief correction at the pivot forecast on March 19 (see the previous post), gold resumed its bullish trend at the extreme forecast on March 24 – the midpoint of retrograde Mercury. ⚠️ Holding the long position from the extreme forecast on March 3. The movement range to the pivot forecast on March 19 for GC futures exceeded USD12K per contract. Those who took profits, I hope you reopened long positions. The next extreme forecast for gold is April 7.
COMEX:GC1!
by irinawest