GOLDGUINEA1! trade ideas
GOLD sellers pushes to $3000
Logic behind this idea;
1. Structural break of last support
2. Five legged down of wave 'A' in wave signifies further five wave down for wave 'C'
3. Weekly candle losses its 50% support
4. Weekly price not able to break previous peak and subsequently closed below MSS
5. All these criteria will get valid if the price fell below $3180 next week
3 Bar Uptrend Line in Gold Intact!Hey Traders so here is an example of how to trade the uptrend in Gold. Watch for pullbacks to the trendline then place trades and use risk management. This is why you don't need indicators all you need is a simple trendline, basic fibonacci levels and support and resistance knowledge. As you can see sometimes these 3 bar Trend lines can be the actual long term trend!
Here is a close up of why want to draw the trend line early.
Hope it helps your trading,
Enjoy!
Clifford
Gold- 50 day ema in playAs my bearish gold call materializes, I must be aware of the 50 day ema. For all the reasons previously stated, gold is moving lower and it makes sense based on the patterns, divergences, support broken, etc. However, the 50 day ema support level can easily wipeout bearish sentiment if it holds. The 50 day ema is far more powerful than the multiple reasons to short gold. It is such a widely followed indicator and it lets new buyers come into the market to halt the price decline and further more, there will be a cohort of traders that close (buy) their short positions at the 50 day ema. So it almost becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.
Gold had Swept Lows and Filled Bullish Gaps! Reversal next?This is price action that I was patiently waiting for. Now that we have that sweep lows Im looking for signs price want to turn around. It can remain bearish for now. But Im expecting to see something clear by the time we get inside of the killzone.
Gold Selling Continues While Equities Were MixedThe S&P and Nasdaq finished the session today with slight gains while the Russel decreased near 1%, with tech leading the way higher for equities. Along with that, the precious metals saw more selling pressure today with Gold, Silver, and Copper all trading lower today with Silver leading to the downside, decreasing by over 2%. Looking at a daily chart for Gold, the market has been trading out above the 50-day moving average since January of this year, and the current selling pressure has sent the Gold market back down toward this level.
Gold has been on a strong push higher since the start of the year, achieving a new all time high on multiple occasions and being up over 20% even with the recent decline in prices. The Fed environment and inflation landscape can have a large impact on the global price of Gold, and the potential changes in interest rates and inflation data could be adding to the volatility seen since the recent all time high from April 22nd. Tomorrow, there is a large slate of economic data along with remarks from Fed Chair Powell which could potentially spark catalysts for Gold prices as we wrap up the week.
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*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
GC - Gold digging for a possible ShortAfter reaching WL2, we saw a sharp pullback followed by an immediate double top. Price failed to reach the centerline of the yellow fork, instead stalling at the 1/4 line.
Then came the break of the lower median line (L-MLH), a pullback to the white WL1—then the drop began.
If this market can’t push to new highs, we’ll likely fall back into the median line set. A pullback to the upper median line (U-MLH), as indicated by the red arrows, is a probable scenario.
Next stop: the white centerline.
I trade tiny. I trade with extremely high risk-reward setups. I’m fine getting stopped out all the time —because I’m hunting huge moves.
I don’t chase. No FOMO.
It’s how I sleep well, make money from trading and keep my stress level very low.
Gold Futures 15-Minute Timeframe Analysis15-minute timeframe, upper range boundary at 3247.4, lower range boundary at 3220.7.
You could consider trading within this range by selling near the top and buying near the bottom (high-probability mean reversion). However, I recommend waiting for a breakout or breakdown of the range and then trading the trend on the 5-minute timeframe.
15分钟周期,区间上沿3247.4,区间下沿3220.7。可以考虑做该区间内的高抛低吸,但我建议等待突破或跌破区间后,在5分钟周期做趋势单子
Bearish Price Action for GoldThe risk on trade is putting further downward pressure on gold. Combine that with the bearish technical setup( multiple divergences, triangle pattern break, Trendline pattern break, bearish evening star candlestick pattern) and the charts suggest this move has room to extend to the downside. Conservative pattern targets suggest the PML(previous monthly low) is in play which is 2970. That seems reasonable as it is a conservative target. As I write this gold is testing 3240 which is a PWL(previous weekly low) and it is acting as support. Gold is below its monthly pivot of 3266 so the bears and bulls will probably fight this one out for a day or two and then the picture will get clearer if this move wants to extend or it is simply a correction in a longer term uptrend.