GOLD Closing out the MonthLooking for Gold to fill in the Weekly FVG then turn around to flip back bullish going into the new month. Price will show its hand between now and London. We just have to wait for it. Patience is key!
GOLDM1! trade ideas
New Month, New Week, New Opportunities on Gold! looking for price to flip back to bullish this week but we need to wait for a break in structure of a possible sweep of the lows first before we see it. Monday might just be flaky so being hesitant until Tues for the best move.
Gold Confirms its Bullish for the week!The bullish play that I was looking for ended up playing out. Now I'm looking for it to continue but sitting on hands till it gives up a solid entry point. Waiting for the killzone is key.
GOLD FUTURES MADE TREND LINE BREAKOUTgold if comes above 85000 again can make strong bullish trend
also can make new all time high
LETS GOOOO!!! NEW WEEK ON GOLD!!!Looking for the moves an I think we will come out the gate moving bullish all week. Practicing patience and waiting for the killzone before getting active on anything. Expecting some good moves starting tonight.
Remaining Bullish on Goldyesterday was the Non Farm Payroll news. Price stalled till it was time for news then pulled back to fill in a H4 Gap. Now I'm looking for price to continue bullish. There is not Area that they did not fill in so I'm thinking they might just come out the gate running soon as we are inside of the killzone. waiting for the killzone is the key though.
Gold Futures - Potential Springtime ReversalGold futures have been on a rally, but recent price action suggests a potential shift. Could we be witnessing a Wyckoff distribution forming?
Understanding Wyckoff Distribution
The Wyckoff distribution pattern occurs when large institutions begin selling off their positions to retail traders before a downtrend begins. This phase is often characterized by sideways price movement, false breakouts, and key "Signs of Weakness" (SOW) that hint at an impending sell-off.
A Recent Sign of Weakness in Gold Futures
A possible sign of weakness in gold futures was observed recently when prices gave a false break out at what retail traders would label "key levels".
Historical Seasonal Trends: Spring Reversals
Looking at historical data, Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI.com) has tracked seasonal gold price patterns for over 40 years. Their findings indicate that gold often experiences price reversals during the spring months. This aligns with the idea that we could be heading into a seasonally weak period, increasing the likelihood of a distribution phase playing out.
What Traders Should Watch For
As Gold rallies back towards a new all time high we should be aware that it may be just a false break to form the final phases of a distribution schematic. This would form an upthrust, and upthrust after distribution, followed by a sharp retracement back into the range and ultimately leading to a sell off and market reversal.
Final Thoughts
While nothing is certain, the combination of the financial institutions footprint and historical seasonal data suggests gold traders should proceed with caution. Whether you’re trading futures or investing in physical gold, staying aware of these patterns can help you make informed decisions.
Do you think a Wyckoff distribution is playing out in gold? Share your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD CORRECTION AND THEN RALLYGold may fall to fill the gap of 2773.00 and test 2735.00 area before rallying back to 3000.00
GOLD AssertationNot 100% confident in this trade Based on whats been happening in the market Missing about two confluence to be More Confident But Will See How This Works Out and Learn From my Mistake Even if i Am Right Originally my confidence in this wasnt there So i will dissect That Reason To better Pin Point High Confluence Trades
Bullish Hourly Setting up on Gold ChartsGold is showing strong potential for an upward move. With a solid support level in place and bullish momentum building, this could be an excellent time to position for a breakout. If the price holds above key support, we may see significant gains in the near term.
Gold Temp Bearish Pressure Price looks like its going to sweep the lows. I mentioned this in my previous update. Being that it is the end of the month and coming up to end week we might not get the bullish play this week but if they move inside of the Weekly FVG then they have my attention.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin.
It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours.
It could be a good setup for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
MASSIVE Bull Run Pending for Gold!!!Been looking for this drop! Waiting for a great entry for a bullish swing. Price looks like it might have made lows right at a H4 Gap but there is a larger one lower that I want to wait and see if they go for. I'm just not interested in a Long until I see price sweep the recent lows first.
GOLD, is it possible time to sell? Hello everyone! There is a high likelihood that gold may decline from its current level. The 2800 mark is a historical high and a critical level. Will the bulls be able to break through it immediately?
From a long-term wave perspective, the price of gold may currently be in corrective wave 4, which is likely not yet complete, as the time targets have not been reached. The RSI on the daily chart is near the overbought zone and is trending downward, while volumes have been declining for four consecutive sessions. Additionally, according to the CFTC report, speculative long positions have reached the peak levels of October 2024, when gold prices dropped, leading to profit-taking.
Taking all this into account, I believe the bulls currently lack sufficient strength to continue the trend, and some cooling is needed.
From a wave analysis standpoint, a triangle formation is possible, followed by gold entering wave ((C)) with a target in the range of 2660-2640.
It is important to exercise caution. For a more confident entry into a position, it would be preferable to see a false breakout of the level, which has not occurred yet. This should be kept in mind.
Equity Markets Lagging the Precious Metals
Equity indices slipped today as they are looking to retest all time high levels for the ES and the NQ. Traders saw economic data released today including a higher than expected initial jobless claims number along with a lower than expected Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing number. As the equity markets slipped, the precious metals complex saw gains today with Gold, Silver, and Copper all in positive territory.
As the week wraps up, traders can look ahead to the existing home sales number along with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI tomorrow to add some volatility to the market. The CME Fed Watch Tool is currently indicating that rates will again be unchanged for the March meeting, and then a 43.6% chance of a rate cut of 25 basis points at the June meeting. These expectations can change as the year progresses based on different employment and inflation data and will help give a better indication of the strength of the equity and precious metal markets.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Gold H4: Ending Diagonal Signals ReversalUpdate: Gold formed an ending diagonal in H4, suggesting a wave cycle completion. A pullback for wave (iv) is expected before a new push higher. Watching for key support to hold before wave (v) continuation.
Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? ⚖️ Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? 🤔📉
Gold has almost hit the $3,000 mark—but not quite. 🚀 While many are ultra-bullish, let’s take a step back and consider the potential for a pullback before any new highs.
Gold is expensive, and even my jeweler friend admits it’s becoming more of a store of value than a commodity for luxury. That brings us to a key question: Is a drop coming first?
🔄 Two Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Pullback First (More Likely) – Gold could drop toward $2,794, or even deeper to $2,575, where the all-time trendline support sits. A cooling-off period makes sense, especially after such an extended rally. 📉
2️⃣ Breakout to New Highs – If buying pressure holds, a clean push above $3K could send gold toward $3,294 - $3,600, and even EUROTLX:4K later in the cycle. 🚀
🔍 The Fort Knox Question 🤯
There’s growing speculation about the $400 billion in gold reserves at Fort Knox. If something unexpected is uncovered, could that fuel a major gold rally? Or will Bitcoin, the digital gold, start to steal some of its shine?
It’s a fascinating time for gold traders. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, a dip before liftoff seems like the logical play. Let’s stay sharp. ⚡📊
P.S. Gold has risen even with the USD remaining expensive and interest rates still high—which is not the norm. Could it be that we see gold detach from its historical correlations and trade in a completely new paradigm? 🤔
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
XAUUSD Analysis & Projection This Week (Feb 24 2025-Feb 28 2025)Last week, XAUUSD reached a new All-Time High but got swept, as the weekly candle failed to close at its peak. On the H1 timeframe, the Order Block has been mitigated (refer to the attached chart).
For this week's setup, my bias is towards a retracement into the Order Block (not FVG) before a significant drop (DUMP). I anticipate a clearer price movement around the release of the New Home Sales (January) data.
JOURNAL FOR MGC1!Today I placed two trades on MGC1! my first entry was a sell scalp which was strictly a technical entry and the second was the buy back up because it goes with the bias of gold being bullish, and inflation fears, so for each trade Ive wait on a area of consolidation (order block) then wait on a break out in this case after that impulsive move to the downside on gold I waited for an area of support to form with rejections of pushing lower at this point an order block should start forming, I tend to get a better structure of an order block forming on the 5min, once a bullish engulfing to print above the last high then I take the trade, today I had no draw down my entry was precise!
Gold's Resilience: A Bounce Back from Key Support Demand ZoneGold has rallied off a key demand area of support as the US Dollar peaked and then retraced. This precious metal is currently navigating challenges stemming from forecasts regarding US interest rates and ongoing economic policies tied to the Trump administration.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the US economy is in "remarkably good" shape, which has bolstered the Dollar while putting downward pressure on Gold. However, analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that smart money remains positioned on the long side, suggesting that there is still potential for upward movement in Gold.
Despite its recent performance, Gold appears to be in a relatively oversold position, supported by favorable seasonal trends that could lead to a bullish outlook. The current demand area presents a crucial opportunity for Gold to retrace and gain momentum once again, making it an interesting point of observation for traders looking to capitalize on potential price recovery.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GC1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Gold is rotational for now! So we be PatientWe need a breakout to the upside or a break down to retrace before we get a significant move. For now we will just monitor the price action to see what they want to do. Cause in the area its in right now, it can go either way.
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2935.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2820.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
💠 Fundamental Analysis
The GC1 contract is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policies, and commodity market fluctuations. Central banks' cautious approach to interest rates and inflation management impacts gold prices.
💠 Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP Growth Rate: Global economic growth slows down, with the US GDP growth rate at 3.3% in Q4.
Inflation Rate: Inflation trends show moderation, with the US inflation rate at 1.0% annualized.
Employment and Labor Market: The US job market remains solid, with 353,000 jobs added in January.
💠 COT Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short.
Retail Traders: 52% short, 48% long.
Large Banks: 57% long, 43% short.
💠 Market Sentimental Analysis
Market Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish.
Trader Sentiment: 29% long, 71% short.
💠 Market Sentiment by Trader Type
- Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
💠 Positioning Data Analysis
Bullish Trend: 45% likely.
Bearish Trend: 55% likely.
💠 Overall Outlook
GC1 prices may fluctuate due to central banks' monetary policies, inflation trends, and geopolitical tensions. Investors are cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and innovation-driven sectors.
Key Factors Influencing GC1 Prices
Monetary Policy Adjustments: Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Inflation Trends: Global inflation rates.
Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions and commodity market fluctuations.
Technology Sector Resilience: Growth potential in AI and semiconductor fields.
Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Bitcoin's impact on traditional markets.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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GOLD week close review as we come to Month endLooking at how price has played out this week. Extremely bullish. We can get a continuation of the bullishness or get a significant pullback. We just have to be patient and wait for price to show us what it wants to do.
