NATURALGASQ2025 trade ideas
RISING WEDGE CHANNEL IN NATURALGAS📈 NATURAL GAS – 1H TIMEFRAME UPDATE
Natural Gas has been climbing nicely inside an upward channel, and right now it’s retesting the lower trendline after a strong rally last week.
🔸 Support zone: Around 306–307 (channel bottom)
🔸 EMA 55: Acting as dynamic support near 300 -295
🔸 Volume: Picking up on the recent dip — worth watching!
🔍 What to Look Out For:
✅ If support holds: We could see a bounce toward 315–322 levels.
⚠️ If it breaks below: Momentum may shift and pull price down toward the 295 region.
Let’s see if the bulls can defend the trendline!
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments & hit the like if this helped!
Natural Gas Slowed Down For A Correction Within UptrendEU Commission will propose in June banning Russian gas and LNG imports under new deals and existing spot contracts by end-2025.
Natural gas slowed down recently, but despite that retracement, we see it as an ABC correction after a potential leading diagonal formation from the lows. It actually stopped perfectly at the former wave 2 swing low and 61,8% Fibonacci support area, from where we may now see a bullish continuation, especially if it recovers back above 4.15 bullish confirmation level.
NATURAL GAS Massive 1W MA50 rebound eyes $6.800Natural Gas (NG1!) is on 3 week bullish streak following the rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which came straight after a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross. This rebound manages to keep the long-term Channel Up valid and this rebound is technically the start of it new Bullish Leg.
This price action is similar to the previous 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross, which also took place inside a Channel Up. As you can see the 1W RSI fractals among the two sequences are identical and the past one rose by +167.17% from that 1W MA50 bottom to the 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
If this time it 'only' hits the 2.5 Fib ext, then we are looking at a $6.800 Target around the end of the year.
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NATGAS Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NATGAS is below:
The market is trading on 3.787 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3.487
Recommended Stop Loss - 3.956
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NG1! BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
NG1! SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3.790
Target Level: 3.302
Stop Loss: 4.116
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Practical Application of Cycle Theory on Nat GasI can’t take credit for this one. I saw this from John Kurisko for the settings on the Stochastics but he trades it a very different way than I use it. He is short term (1 minute time frame scalper). I view this as an option to apply cycle theory to a chart. Notice how when all variations of the stochastics line up in extreme territory there is usually an explosive reversal. The concept is simple and need not be over thought. Essentially what is happening is multiple time frames are all agreeing on the condition of the market whether it be overbought or oversold. Also notice, if you can be patient enough, there may be a divergence in one or more of the stochastic variations which adds fuel to the fire.
So when the stars align on these trades, I would look for a reversal candlestick pattern followed by a trend line break and enter a position once all the conditions are met. Even if you don’t get a classic candlestick reversal, a trend line break should be sufficient.
Stop loss would be a new closing high/low or 1-3 ATR stop.
This is can be a good trade because it has asymmetric risk.
Natural Gas Near Term - May 7, 2025 Natural Gas (NG) Technical Outlook – May 7, 2025
Is Wave (3) unfolding right now? The setup says YES.
After bouncing from the $2.85 low, Natural Gas has surged and is now forming a classic impulsive wave structure. All major indicators are flashing green:
✅ Momentum & RSI: Bullish crossover confirmed, with RSI holding near 60
✅ Volume: Buyers stepped in hard above $3.50
✅ Elliott Wave: Wave (2) likely completed, Wave (3) is underway with $4.70–4.90 in sight
✅ Cycle Timing: Matches a projected late-May peak before minor pullback
✅ Seasonality: May → June often kicks off major upside runs in NG
✅ COT: Specs still heavily short = fuel for more upside
✅ Chart Patterns: confirmed double bottom with head & shoulders above that needs to be broken
📈 The current pullback may be Wave (2) of (3), with the next leg potentially targeting $4.40–$4.70. Near-term consolidation is healthy, not bearish.
🎯 Trading Levels to Watch
Buy zone: $3.30–3.50
Support: $3.20–3.30
Resistance: $4.40 neckline → then $4.90
Wave (3) projection: $4.90–5.20 if structure holds
🧠 This is a strong technical setup backed by converging signals. We’ll be watching closely to see if NG confirms this bullish roadmap.
📊 Full PDF report + updated trading strategies available via email 📬
NATGAS: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NATGAS
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell NATGAS
Entry - 3.787
Stop - 3.900
Take - 3.557
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NG1!: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.789 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3.690.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NATGAS SWING SHORT|
✅NATGAS has been growing recently
And Gas seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 3.80$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long Term H&S Pattern with a Completed Intermediate H&S PatternHead and Shoulder pattern are one of the most reliable patterns. And when you think about the psychology behind them it makes sense why. Essentially natural gas pricing in the long run is driven by fundamentals but speculators who trade solely on technical analysis add gasoline to the fire to cause massive price dislocations. The H&S pattern is an example of this. Fundamentals drive the price up. Speculators participate forming the left shoulder. Profit taking ensues completing the left shoulder. Speculators then tap the well again to form the head. At this point fundamental traders(hedgers like large commercials) can’t pass up the massive price dislocations and lock in large profits for future deliveries. Speculators panic and close longs once they lose control. Right shoulder is forming. Speculators will try to tap the well again thinking they can control the large commercials. Large commercials allow them to be right for a short period so they can sell even more future deliveries. In the end the commercials win out and price goes lower. Neckline complete. Speculators panic and massive selling ensues. The expected move to complete the pattern would be the distance from the head to the neckline in terms of percentage. So a $5 head and $3 neckline means a 40% target lower from the $3 neckline. $1.80 seems like a lofty price target. Price targets are suggestions in patterns. They are not absolutes.
These patterns fail as well so while this pattern is forming technically, it is not complete. In my experience, anticipating patterns has a 100% failure rate.
NATGAS Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.667
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3.408
Recommended Stop Loss - 3.818
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS: Short Trading Opportunity
NATGAS
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NATGAS
Entry - 3.667
Sl - 3.862
Tp - 3.269
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Nat Gas-Holding PatternNat gas is currently still in its long term H&S pattern and it might be forming the right shoulder. As we speak it is holding a bullish Trendline and above the monthly pivot of $3.58 and it rejected the PWH of $3.82 so it seems stuck between support and resistance waiting to see will take charge. I will be looking for long positions on closes above $3.82 and short on closes below $3.58. If we break the PWL or PWH this week that should make way for a 10-15% move to find new support or resistance($4.12 resistance and $3.03 support).