NGM2023 1D wolfe wave bullish 5/11NGM2023 1D wolfe wave bullish 5/11
NGM2023 1D wolfe wave bullish 5/11
NGM2023 1D wolfe wave bullish 5/11
NGM2023 1D wolfe wave bullish 5/11
NATURALGAS1! trade ideas
Flag on Natural GasLooking at this weekly chart of natural gas I see the current pattern as being a bear flag of a much larger down trend. It does not look like a bottom but rather a continuation.
NATGAS, Accumulation mode is definitely ON before x4 by DecemberNATGAS weekly data is conveying massive accumulation at the current price range of 2.0 to 2.2.
Target by Winter/December will be a 6.0-8.0 price range.
TAYOR.
Natural Gas: Has it Found a Bottom?Natural gas made a stunning rally to an all-time high, only to come crashing back down again. It's been a while since we last covered natural gas, so let's take a look at what's happened since then.
The previous technical & seasonality setup played out perfectly with the RSI bouncing off the low and the rally into the winter season, hitting our profit target and extending further.
This time, we're seeing a similar setup on a different timescale. Zooming out, natural gas has retraced the entire move it made in the past three years and is now back to pre-COVID levels. The question is, has natural gas found a bottom here?
Looking at the weekly chart for natural gas over the past 20 years, we see an interesting picture. The weekly RSI has only broken past the 30 level five times over this two-decade period, and each time marked the rough bottom for natural gas. Fortunately, we're seeing this exact setup now, with prices seeming to find resistance at the $2 handle, which has also proven to be a reliable resistance level.
Comparing the Henry Hub natural gas against the Dutch TTF natural gas, we can see the spread back to the lows when adjusting for the same unit measurement of MMBtu and in USD.
On the fundamental side, this excerpt from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) sums up the outlook for Natural Gas vs Coal:
“Natural gas-fired generation capacity in the United States has grown in recent years, although coal-fired generation has continued to decline. Lower coal-fired generation is due to a long-term trend of coal power plant retirements and increased competition with natural gas-fired combined-cycle plants when natural gas prices are low. A total of 11.5 gigawatts (GW) of U.S. coal-fired electricity generating capacity retired in 2022. No new coal-fired capacity has come online since 2013, and developers have not reported any plans to build new U.S. coal-fired capacity in the future. In contrast, nearly 6.1 GW of natural gas-fired capacity was added in 2022, according to our Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory.”
Natural Gas saw a record high for the winter heating season.
Additionally, close to 23% of US coal plants have plans to retire by 2029, and the last new coal plant that came online in the US was in 2013, 10 years ago.
With coal plants being the second-largest source of electricity in the US and supply being cut, energy has to come from somewhere else. While the push for renewable energy continues, natural gas remains the main source of energy production. The dissipation of supply from retiring coal plants will likely be filled by natural gas. The reason being? Natural Gas currently remains most reliable form of energy source, while nuclear faces political pushbacks and Wind, Hydro & Solar have unpredictable/intermittent generation capacity.
Lastly, the Dollar sits on a key level now. If broken, the weakening dollar could drive commodities prices higher en masse.
All in all, the case to long natural gas from here seems reasonable, with the fundamental outlook for Natural gas still positive and the technical set-up pointing to a low. Taking a long position at the current levels of 2.186 and setting our stops at 1.85 and our first take profit level at 3.1 gives us a reasonable halfway point while setting our next take profit level at 3.8 gives us a higher profit potential if prices continue to rise. CME’s Henry Hub Natural gas is quoted in U.S. dollars and cents per MMBtu. Each 0.001 increment equal to 10$.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
www.eia.gov
www.eia.gov
blogs.worldbank.org
Natgas: More pressure! 💪You know this one?
Pascal: “Hurry up! Get a move on! We really need to get going!”
- “Whoa, that’s a lot of pressure for just one Pascal…!”
Okay okay, bad jokes aside, Natgas does need a bit more pressure to rise from the compound consisting of the white zone between $1.880 and $3.436, the blue zone between $2.407 and $3.277 and the pink zone between $2.573 and $3.439. Above this conglomerate, it should finish wave iv in pink before turning downwards to develop wave 2 in green, which should then lead below the bottom of the white zone. Once this prominent low is established, Natgas should take off again. However, there is a 40% chance that Natgas could leave the white zone on the southern side, thus expanding wave alt.2 in green earlier already.
NATGAS Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS is nearby the
Horizontal support of 2.00$
So despite the downtrend
I think that a good rebound
Is possible on GAS
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
NG1! Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NG1!.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.113.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.286.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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✅NATGAS GROWTH AHEAD|LONG🚀
✅NATGAS has retested a key support level of 2.00$
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 2.28$ is likely
LONG🚀
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NG1! Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers ,
I analysed this chart on NG1!, and concluded the following:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.160
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Goal - 2.287
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NG1!: Long Trading Opportunity
NG1!
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NG1!
Entry - 2.200
Sl - 2.027
Tp - 2.460
Our Risk - 1%
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NG - Serious Bear - ST/LT View This is a serious bear... I am giving my short term/long term outlook here.
Setting up for near term buy. Longer term I believe there will be another low coming. A wave 3 low is currently setting up with a long side wave 4 counter trend trade opportunity.
Here is a Monthly Linear Chart with my anticipated pathway and target price for a longer term buy.
NG 4-hours chart, Will it hold? Sell pressure continued, yet it could provide opportunity for a swing as touching the bottom channel, as long as it holds.
NATURAL GAS Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 050123Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 2.34/61.80%
Natural GAS : LONGNatural gas bounced from a low of $1.95/MMBTU, where almost all producers lose money.
Since natural gas and crude oil are near or below breakeven levels, producers are reducing their drilling rate - likely lowering production levels given the lack of capacity.
The negative shift in weather, falling rig count, and potential export boost from Freeport may push natural gas back into a shortage over the coming months.
While natural gas spot prices appear likely bottoming, UNG's immense "contango" pressure remains a key investment rig factor.
Source : Seeking Alpha
Bobby's Homework Assignment Part 14.30.23 I'm going to make two or three videos this weekend in an effort to clear up Misunderstandings and misconceptions about how the market should be traded. Generally speaking... for myself... I picked the markets that have features that I understand... that allow me to use the tools that I need to make a trade decision. In reality if I were not posting charts I would have three possibly four markets that I would be looking at but a routine basis... and I would probably be trading one market at a time, And possibly two at most.... and I would have a specific reason for trading that market. that's all you need.... and if you get really good at it and you want more money you can trade two contracts instead of one. If you're Trading has been very very good... you might trade with scaling techniques that can bring you back to break even on a losing trade because you understand market dynamics.... or you can scale in and out to control your risk Parameters. Your probability of success Is largely a function of the market you choose to trade. Indiscriminate Trading has never been a way for me to be profitable in the market. It just never worked for me.
NG1! Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NG1!.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2.465.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2.316 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NG1! Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends ,
My technical analysis for NG1! is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.458
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.312
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.541
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NG1!: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NG1! chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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NG1! BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
NG1! pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2.169 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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NATGAS, keeps the flame burning. Upside continues.NATGAS weekly data is suggesting firm price foundation at current levels and an upside continuation is inevitable.
SPOTTED at 2.4 (continuation from 2.0 levels)
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Related news:
Nat-Gas Prices Rebound on Outlook for Cold U.S. Temps
www.tradingview.com
Natural Gas Natural Gas - Long
SL - only if 1h close below green Zone
Target - Green Zone top
Trade Analysis done in 1h time frame.
NG1! BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
NG1! pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.949 area.
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nat gas divergence spotted at potential supportfrom decline, to sideways, thats how trend end and change.
shifts in moment tum are often seen as divergences in the indicators. odds not guarantees of course.
