Silver's Resilience: A Compelling Bounce BackSilver, often recognized for its resilience in the commodities market, is currently staging an impressive bounce back, creating a compelling narrative for traders seeking long-term opportunities. This resurgence in silver's performance holds promise for those looking to capitalize on potential upward movements.
The recent bounce back in silver reflects a renewed investor interest and confidence in the precious metal. As market dynamics evolve, silver has demonstrated its ability to recover from recent downturns, signaling a potential shift in sentiment and paving the way for long-term trades.
Investors considering long positions in silver may find the current bounce back appealing, as it aligns with the metal's historical reputation for serving as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. The resilience displayed by silver in the face of market fluctuations underscores its potential as a viable asset for long-term investment strategies.
However, as with any trading decision, it is crucial for participants to conduct thorough research, considering both technical indicators and fundamental factors influencing silver's movement. Understanding the broader economic landscape, global trends, and geopolitical influences can provide valuable insights for those seeking to leverage silver's bounce back for long trades.
Prudent risk management remains imperative in commodities trading. Monitoring market conditions, staying informed about relevant factors affecting silver prices, and aligning positions with individual risk tolerance are essential steps for those considering long trades in silver amid its current bounce back. Seeking advice from financial professionals or advisors can offer valuable insights tailored to individual investment goals and risk profiles in the context of silver's resilient performance.
SILVER1! trade ideas
SILVER FUTURES Daily Technical AnalysisSI1! Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Cluster, Confluence, Rectangles, Pitchfork, Modified Schiff Pitchfork, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck
DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
Major Overhead Resistance for SilverSilver futures have faced challenges in the new year, but the market has established higher lows, instilling a layer of optimism for the precious metal.
Like all risk assets, silver will continue to be susceptible to changes in interest rate expectations and the path of the Federal Reserve. Recently, the bond market has tempered its expectations of an interest rate cut in March, with probabilities now ranging from low to mid-60%, compared to expectations as high as 80%+ in late December.
Comparison of Fed’s Interest Rate Projections to Market Expectations:
The latest Summary of Economic Projections outlined the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) expectations for the path of interest rates in 2024. Median estimates anticipate a terminal rate of 470-475 basis points (75 basis points of cuts) by the end of 2024.
Current market expectations are pricing in a terminal rate of 395 basis points (125 basis points worth of cuts) by the end of 2024, reflecting 75 basis points more in cuts than the Fed's latest median projection.
For the market to align with this interest rate trajectory, a significant downward trend in inflation or a slowdown in growth would be necessary. Otherwise, we might witness the bond market realigning expectations, converging with the Fed’s projections and posing a headwind to risk assets like silver.
Technical Analysis:
Silver encounters significant overhead resistance from 23.50 to 23.75. To observe more momentum and conviction, a break and close above this level would be required.
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Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
DeGRAM | Silver at the reaction zoneSilver dropped from the resistance and broke the lower border of the descending channel.
If we look closely, we can see that the price is near the reaction zone. It bounced off this level multiple times.
If the market fails to break through the resistance level, we can sell at that level.
We anticipate a breakout of the channel and further bearish moves.
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How to short SilverSilver popped up on our TrendCloud Scanning System and started showing us a short signal.
TrendCloud signals started forming and are still working out nicely.
Trend and momentum are both down across multiple timeframes and heading toward the first ADR checkpoint.
If you would like to become consistently profitable so you can move out of the simulator and into a live trading account then click the link in my profile and check out what TrendCloud can do for you.
Chris Juliano
TrendCloud
SIH4 SilverLast 15 years this seasonal trade has a 93% success rate. Entry is on paper 12/22 however entering it a little early isn't the end of the world.
Looking to exit before the 9th of Jan but leaving myself room incase i need to leave it open.
"I'm never going to financially recover after that last trade."
-Kewlkat
DeGRAM | Silver 50% retracement levelSilver pulled back to resistance and 50% fibo level.
If the market fails to break through the resistance level by creating a false breakout, we can sell from the confluence level.
We anticipate a retest of the support level since we have a price drop from resistance.
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Silver Short 12/11/23COMEX:SI1!
The recent sharp and sizeable decline sheds some light on the developing pattern.
The failure to breach the 26.435 high, coupled with the immediate rejection and 12% decline from said high, indicates the high probability of the completion of a wave X triangle pattern. Upside should remain corrective as prices begin falling through 21.925 and eventually 17.40. A violation of 26.435 voids the pattern.
20 Reasons To Buy Using The Gold/Silver RatioThe gold/silver ratio makes you want to buy silver.
This also shows you the opportunity in silver.
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Silver will outperform gold.
It will reach a point where by everything is expensive except for silver.
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This ratio shows the selling price between gold and silver.
This price going up happens when there is more
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silver in circulation.
This is based on the quantity of silver in the market.
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Silver is undervalued compared to gold prices.
This is the best time to consider buying silver
because people are ignoring buying silver.
This is because silver is at bargain prices.
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Silver at this time of this writing is in an area of massive leverage.
Compared to gold, volatility in silver is higher.
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Remember silver is incredibly undervalued compared to gold.
The gold/silver ratio, is one of the confirming indicators.
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Remember that silver is an undervalued asset.
Also, this is the best time to accumulate physical silver.
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This ratio represents how many ounces of silver are required to buy gold.
This also shows that silver has to catch up to Gold.
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Gold /Silver ratio is one of the best investment strategies.
Its during this time that people opt to buy Treasury notes.
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Disclaimer:Do not buy or sell anything i recommend to you
do your own research before you buy or sell anything.
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Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Can Silver Break-Out? Since reaching recent all-time highs, gold has outpaced silver, and despite a favorable risk asset environment, recent price action in silver has yet to validate a decisive upward move.
It's crucial to recognize that silver holds significant industrial applications, establishing a notable correlation with metals like copper and zinc. As these metals are considered forward-looking due to their integral role in various industries, their increased demand is often indicative of growing economic activity, positioning them as leading indicators.
Economic Headwinds and Fundamental Challenges:
The recent revision of the Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q4, were lowered from 1.8% to 1.2%, reflecting weaker economic growth expectations. Concurrently, weaknesses in the labor market have shifted interest rate expectations, now pricing in a potential cut as early as March 2024.
While easier financial conditions typically boost silver prices as investors seek risk assets, concerns arise regarding demand in the industrial sector, heavily influenced by the business cycle.
Can We Break Out?
Silver, with characteristics of both a precious and industrial metal, requires more robust fundamentals than gold. Upcoming unemployment rate and Nonfarm payrolls reports will offer insights into the labor market, with further weakness likely leading to lower rates and supporting silver. However, industrial sector strength in China and the U.S. is equally imperative.
The Technical Picture:
From a technical standpoint, the 21-Day EMA serves as a near-term support, while 26.25-26.75 presents substantial overhead resistance. A breakthrough and close above this level are essential to retest the $28 mark.
Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.