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LUMEN TECHNOLOGIES

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LUMN LONGLUMN respecting the trend its been on and I am getting long here. Stops below the trendline if we close and don't hold above it. With earnings coming August 11th and it still being a solid dividend payer I think we see this bounce back higher prior to the dividend date and then a sell off after people get paid. I'm personally buying shares and the 08/20/2021 $14 Calls. Keeping the position small and managing my risk. This is a slower move so make sure to get time if you play options.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by GravityTrades
$LUMN - Lumen Technologies - Insider Buying & Resistance Break3/3/21 $LUMN - Lumen Technologies - 7.315% Gainer Catalysts: 5 Form 4's filed after hours on March 2nd. Confirming some heavy insider buying in late February. This combined with the stock price in a bullish uptrend and at resistance caused a breakout. -I'm going to be taking a look at some of the top daily gainers (may throw in some losers occasionally) of the day on their daily charts and posting them here throughout March. This is not advice. Just analyzing price action and patterns. -I will try to vary the catalysts (analyst upgrades, earnings, clinical trial results, etc.) for the stock moving (if any) and the sector that the stocks are in. -You'll notice I try to keep my charts as simple as possible. Black background and no grid. I will be focusing solely on price action, patterns, and support and resistance levels. No moving averages, MACD, volume profiles, Bollinger bands, etc. Please feel free to comment or leave suggestions. I am always looking to improve. Thanks.
NYSE:LUMN
by mgallagher1
TITAN - 5G - Lumen Tech. $LUMN - The 4th Industrial RevolutionI am ultra bullish on Smart cities, AI, edge computing, 5G/6G telecommunications, cybersecurity and AR/VR. Lumen Technologies (CenturyLink) seems to be a sleeping giant that checks all those boxes. Lumen is facing a similar situation as Nokia and Blackberry as value company which is about to enter a second growth cycle, and like Palantir Technologies, it is facing a situation of massive short selling pressure during institutional accumulation. The ruthless manipulation after earnings beat signals to me how bullish institutions are on the company, and the overwhelming (unreasonable) bear sentiment signals that the shakeout is upon us. FA: Highlights: "Lumen Technologies is the only company to win Frost & Sullivan's prestigious 2021 Global New Product Innovation Award". Who are they? - "Lumen brings together the talent, experience, infrastructure and capabilities of CenturyLink, Level 3 and 25+ other technology companies to create a new kind of company—one designed specifically to address the dynamic data and application needs of the 4th Industrial Revolution." - Company website. - Already is the global leader for fiber network. Lumen has the largest ultra-low-loss fiber network in North America with 3.5 million miles of high-capacity. - Owns the world’s most-connected CDN (Content Delivery Network). What do they do? - "Lumen is an enterprise technology platform that enables companies to capitalize on emerging applications and power the 4th Industrial Revolution". They are focused on the 5G/6G sector, which I speculate will see explosive growth soon. - "We integrate network assets, cloud connectivity, security solutions and voice and collaboration tools into one platform that enables businesses to leverage their data and adopt next-generation technologies." - Focused rebranding for edge computing solutions and 5G sector. - Lumen has partnered with VMware to develop cybersecurity software: Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Mitigation, Web Application Firewall (WAF), Bot Risk Management (BRM). - Black Lotus Labs is their threat research arm, the world’s most deeply peered networks and industry-leading endpoint protection and datacenter virtualization. Key Products: - Premises Edge: Tactile Internet, Virtual reality, Augmented reality. - Metro Edge: Smart manufacturing, Video analytics, POS transactions, Retail robotics, IoT. - Cloud Core: AI/ML platforms, Big data analytics, Disaster recovery, SaaS, Cloud storage, Hyperscale environments. Clients: - Salesforce, Zoom are big customers already. Financial Performance: - Growth & Trend shows they are almost profitable: Reported a Net Loss of $1.232 billion for the full year 2020, compared to a Net Loss of $5.269 billion for the full year 2019. Excluding Integration and Transformation Costs and Special Items, reported Net Income was $1.801 billion for the full year 2020 compared to $1.409 billion for the full year 2019. The trend is positive. - Cash Flow Positive. - Invested Capital and Total Assets are decreasing, yet total liabilities and debt decreasing, while CapEx is increasing. - Reduced Net Debt by approximately $1.6 billion and reduced leverage to 3.6x Net-Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA. - For 2021, Lumen has debt obligations of $2.4 Bn still. - However, Lumen had $34.1 Bn of debt in 2020. - LUMN finished the year with $2.9 billion in free cash flow and a requirement of $1.1 billion to meet its dividend obligation. - Insiders & Insider Trading: -0.92% - Institutional Ownership: 79% - About 659 funds hold LUMN, and interestingly enough, while the stock price dumped, Average 13F Ranking has been steadily increasing. This aligns with the Accumulation Distribution model that I presented. - Float: 976.12M. - Short % of Float: 7.51%. - Valuation: 0.97 P/B ratio and 0.64 P/S ratio. Undervalued, by traditional valuations. - Financial Reporting: Solid. - Potential: 5G Market: Market size value in 2020: USD 41.48 Billion Revenue forecast in 2027: USD 664 Billion "The global 5G Applications and Services Market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.8% from 2019 to 2027" (According to 180+ page research report by Fidelity National Financial) - Lumen Technologies should benefit from the growth of the 5G market, so we can expect 25.8% CAGR in revenue from their market share of 5G, and factor in growing market dominance. TA: - Accumulation/Distribution Phases are rather difficult to predict with Elliot Wave Theory, so Dow Theory will be used instead. - Expecting 600%+ move up on breakout. - MACD long term analysis: - Short term outlook: Fib support level, with a big whale buy. Looks ready to move up. - MACD short term bullish divergence: - Stoch RSI indicating possibly one more shakeout: - Historical analysis showing this is likely, if the same whale is in charge: - However, Fib levels indicate that it cannot possibly go much lower! QA: - Interestingly, it would take 5.7 days for shorts to fully cover. It is likely the shorting was used to take the price down from the previous distribution level. Great short squeeze potential. - Naked short selling report collected from FINRA shows that naked short volume was massive in the end of Jan. Most likely to suppress the price at the resistance point. Institutions were not positioned for the breakout yet. - Options flow does not present high gamma squeeze potential, however, the low OI presents a very good long entry. VERDICT: - The company is reducing debt and leverage. This is smart, as there is sentiment that a market correction and stagflation is nearing. - The critical point that investors will need to decide on is if the company can survive such conditions with their remaining debt. At this point, it looks like their debt will soon be eliminated, and they will be profitable. - It is my speculation that in the case of a tech correction, and a rotation into value, tech will still thrive, but it is companies like these - non-speculative, but necessary, will be real winners. A lot of retail excess will be trimmed from unreasonably valued companies. At least some Institutional investors seem to share this sentiment, judging from their accumulation. - This company checks many boxes for me, and looks ready for an explosive move up, so I assign it an S-tier rating. STRATEGY: - Accumulate. - Entry levels: 7.50, 4.00. - Trigger for Long: breakout of falling wedge resistance. - Wave 3 PT: 80.00. - Wave 5 PT: 130.00. I think the Impulse wave 3 target of 80 aligns with the MACD signaling a 600% move-up to come. This is a high probability level. This would put the company's valuation at 86B~, which is not unreasonable, and even still would be undervalued, in my opinion. GL, and if you like the content, give a like, leave a comment, and follow! P.S. Trying to take a more succinct presentation model for DD, based on constructive criticism I have been receiving.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
9
LUMEN TECHNOLOGIES Strategy DailyHey Tradingview community, LUMEN TECHNOLOGIES is in a bearish push fake with a sort of inverted hammer candle and a buy volume return issued. On the TIMEFRAME M1 we notice a shape of an inverted hammer candle with a fake return of executed sales volume, it is heading towards its last previous lower. Make his swallow come back check the base of the bollinger as well as the VWAP to finish on the top of the consolidation zone and stay there. Great potential for a price breakout with momentum in both the area to join the new one and move to the next high. Before the breakout of the zone see if we will try to close the breakout gap of bearish which is on the next high to go to test the intermediate median of ANDREWS PITCHFORK. But that can not do this session for the fill. Please LIKE & FOLLOW, thank you!
NYSE:LUMNShort
by stephanelibatd
Lumen Long AnalysisLumen (more commonly known as CenturyLink) appears to be a failing company sinking in debt. Down more than 70% from its ATH, it has been slow to adapt to a changing market, cut its dividend by more than 50%, and reported a staggering $5.3 billion net loss in 2019. These factors have driven investors away from LUMN, dropping the share price to its lowest point since 1992. Why would anyone buy into this company? Dividend Sustainability Although LUMN has cut its dividend from $0.54 to $0.25, it currently holds a yield of 8.7% annually. Dividend yields are usually at these high levels because investors feel that the sustainability of these payouts have significant risks. Lumen's dividend payout ratio for the last four quarters is a dangerous 84%, meaning that the amount that LUMN paid to its shareholders made up 84% of its net income this last quarter. However, net income is an inaccurate indicator of LUMN's ability to pay its dividends when compared to free cash flow, as net income is affected by non-cash expenses such as depreciation and amortization. LUMN's free-cash-flow dividend payout ratio for the last four quarters sits at a much more comfortable 39%. This suggests that LUMN is unlikely to cut its dividend any further. Furthermore, LUMN did not decrease its dividend because of its inability to pay. Rather, the cut was issued in order to free up money to pay off the debt it had leveraged in its acquisition of Level 3 Communications. Level 3 Communications and Fiber Optic Internet LUMN 's acquisition of Level 3 Communications in 2017 marked a fundamental shift in Lumen's business model. Not only was Level 3 the largest competitive local exchange carrier, but it was also the third-largest provider of fiber-optic internet access in the United States. Although revenue has been decreasing from standard broadband and landline services, I believe LUMN shows promise in continuing to increase its profitability. It has already begun showing positive data, increasing its operating cash flow by more than 70% from 2017-2019 and continuing to paying off its long-term debt. It also has a current P/E ratio of 9.72, far below the SPY 's ratio of 38.96. Entry Point Share Price recently broke out of resistance at $11.50 before breaking the pre-covid high, ultimately reaching a price of $16.60 before reversing back to the $11.50 range. Previous resistance at $11.50 could possibly provide LUMN with support. I believe that it is also worth mentioning that the 200-hour exponential moving average could provide additional support at that range. This suggests that the current price could be an optimal entry point. It is also possible that it could break through support at the $11.50 range where it would likely find support in the $9.75 range.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by banyanneececa
LUMN’s technical picture on Jan 29The mid- and short-term trend charts are presented. ___ Prompt: New traders should take some time and carefully read the post they will find on my profile entitled 'You can't beat the market'. Disclaimer The author of this text is not an investment advisor. The preceding content is intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. It is not an advice or inducement for the purchase or sale of the products mentioned. Before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances, it is very important to do your own research and analysis and also take independent financial advice from a professional to verify any information provided here.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by Gnothisafton
$LUMN Impulse or squeeze?The way the fibs are lining up, I am tending to believe this is an impulse and not just an isolated short squeeze, but my Elliot wave theory understanding is limited at best. I found this stock through option flow, then looked at the chart and thought it looked impulsive, but am aware this is one of the meme stocks and perhaps technical analysis is flawed in the world of meme, I don't know. But the first wave 2.618 happens to line up almost to the tick with the top of wave 3, and the wave 4 has formed a shakeout pattern through the .618 retracement of wave 3. Technically all the rules of an Elliot impulse wave are in tact and for the low price of the options currently vs the projected targets, I had to take a punt on this one. Not financial advice, call your Mom for that, I know I will be calling her later.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by donthavename123
1
NOKIA and LUMEN yo-yo for the shake of hedge fundsIn the context of the war that broke out on Wall Street between small investors and hedge funds and in which the serious stocks of NOKIA and LUMEN were unfortunately involved, took place the presented aggressive movement of entrapment of small investors with a -28.40% in Nokia and a -22.46% in LUMEN. This move cancelled the crossovers of the great resistance of the 200weeks SMA of NOK which is at 5.06 and the 30months SMA of LUMEN which is at 12.83. One would expect the institutes that organized this move in NOK and LUMN not to act vindictively, to at least respect the breakdown of these important resistances and not to play with investor confidence in unwritten market rules and technical analysis. Stocks of serious companies with good fundamentals and excellent prospects should not become yo-yo shattering investment confidence and turning Wall Street into a casino. Disclaimer The author of this text is not an investment advisor. The preceding content is intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. It is not an advice or inducement for the purchase or sale of the products mentioned. Before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances, it is very important to do your own research and analysis and also take independent financial advice from a professional to verify any information provided here.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by Gnothisafton
1
LUMN. If someone wants to bet, this is an extremely safe betYesterday LUMN with an explosive 28% rise decisively broke 30months SMA and closed at $14.59, changing its long-term trend to rising. It should be stressed that the rise was not by a gap but by continuous purchases that led to a volume of 60 M when the average volume of the last 10 days was 6.4 M. That is, the rise was not for unloading but for buying cheap shares, which indicates that it is extremely likely that the rise will continue. The stock was, is and will continue for some time to be an investment opportunity because it is deeply undervalued. Any price retreat must be seen as a huge opportunity to buy. Even after this 28% rise the stocks has 8.78% dividends yield. Following are presented the mid- and short-term trend charts. Disclaimer The author of this text is not an investment advisor. The preceding content is intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. It is not an advice or inducement for the purchase or sale of the products mentioned. Before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances, it is very important to do your own research and analysis and also take independent financial advice from a professional to verify any information provided here.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by Gnothisafton
1