1DGX trade ideas
DG Trading Setup: Capitalizing on RangeDollar General has experienced a stabilization phase following its Q1 2025 results, with same-store sales increasing 2.4% and revenue growing 5.3% to $10.4 billion. The company has regained traction in the discount retail space, mitigating previous challenges related to shrink and operational inefficiencies.
Institutional Flow & Market Positioning
Recent institutional flow highlights large orders in DG’s 115 call and 110 put, signaling either:
- A range-bound setup, where smart money expects the stock to stay between $110-$115 in the near term.
- Potential volatility, with institutions hedging both directions ahead of an unexpected move.
Considering the ATR (18) and standard deviation (7.353), this aligns with a low-breakout probability, making range-based strategies the optimal play. The absence of earnings between now and July further supports sideways movement expectations.
Options Trade Setup: Iron Condor
To capitalize on premium decay and IV contraction, I’m structuring an iron condor:
- Sell 115 Call / Buy 120 Call
- Sell 110 Put / Buy 105 Put
This strategy ensures limited risk while collecting premium in a high-probability range trade.
DG Developing Impulse [LONG]1. The Big Picture: Wave Structure
Down-trend Completion
A five-wave decline (labelled “5” at the bottom, ≈ $69.56) finishes in early March 2025.
Complex Correction (W-X-Y)
From December 2024 into March 2025 the market chops out a W-X-Y sideways correction between roughly $70–83.
New Uptrend (Impulse)
Wave 1 up to $84.53
Wave 2 pullback into the 0.5–0.707 zone ($77.05 | 75.28 | 73.95)
Wave 3 powerful thrust into the high-90s
Wave 4 shallow retrace into the mid-$80s
Wave 5 of 3 (current leg) pushing into the low-$100s
2. Current Position: Subwave 5 of Wave 3
Price now: $101.39
We appear to be in the 5th subwave of the larger Wave 3.
That means one more small thrust higher is likely before Wave 3 completes.
3. Target Zone for Wave 3
The 1.618 × Wave 1→3 extension sits at 104.18.
The grey box (~$103–$106) marks our Wave 3 target.
Traders often look to take partial profits as price enters this zone.
4. Key Support / Invalidation Levels
Short-term bump: 23.6% of Wave 4→5, at ≈ $100.00
Primary support: old Wave 4 high / 38.2% retracement, at ≈ $97.50
Invalidation: a clear break below $97.50 would argue that the Wave 5 advance is failing (and could reopen a deeper correction).
5. What Happens After Wave 3?
Once Wave 3 tops out (~104–106), expect a Wave 4 correction of that entire impulse.
Typical Wave 4 depth is 38.2% of Wave 3: that would put a pullback into roughly $90–92.
After Wave 4 completes, a final Wave 5 higher would target new all-time highs.
6. Trading Plan Ideas
Long exposure: add on small dips down to $100–$100.50, keep stops under $97.50.
Partial profit: begin scaling out as price enters $103–$106.
Watch for reversal signals (e.g. bearish divergence, high-volume down days) once inside the grey box—this will mark the end of the impulsive Wave 3.
Bottom line: DG is in the late stages of a textbook Elliott-Wave 3, with one last run higher into the $104–$106 zone likely, then a healthy multi-week pullback (Wave 4) should follow. Keep your stops under $97.50 and look to lock in profits as you approach that extension target.
$DG - Dollar General Making a RunPicked up some Call Options and some shares of $DG. Goal is a minimum 15% gain on this one for a quick swing trade, hoping we hit that $124 level for over a 25% return.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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Dollar General (DG) Discount Model Aligns With Chart BreakoutDollar General Corporation (DG) operates one of the largest chains of small-box discount retailers in the U.S., offering household essentials, groceries, and seasonal items at affordable prices. With thousands of stores in rural and suburban communities, DG thrives by meeting everyday needs with convenience and value. Its low-cost structure and expanding private label offerings continue to support growth, even in uncertain economic times.
On the chart, DG recently printed a confirmation bar with rising volume and moved above the .236 Fibonacci level, entering the momentum zone. This technical signal suggests renewed buying interest and potential for further upside. Traders may use the .236 level as a trailing stop reference with the Fibonacci snap tool to stay positioned while managing risk.
Dollar General (DG): Value Retailer Attracts Renewed InterestDollar General Corporation (DG) is one of America's leading discount retailers, with over 19,000 stores nationwide. The company offers low-cost everyday essentials, including household goods, groceries, and seasonal items, catering especially to value-conscious consumers in rural and suburban areas. As economic pressures persist and shoppers look for savings, Dollar General continues to grow through new store openings, supply chain investments, and its private-label product expansion.
The stock recently found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and closed above the 0.236 line, placing it in the momentum zone. With increased volume confirming the move, this setup suggests growing buyer interest and the potential for continued upside as sentiment shifts more positive around the retail sector.
$DG Cup and Handle BreakoutI noticed this cup and handle formation a few days ago, it's been breaking out above the downtrend on the handle. It sits above all moving averages and the AVWAP from the prior high on April 4. On the technical side, given the low of ~$66, a continued breakout should bring it to a high of ~$120 and which would fill the gap from the drop after earnings in August.
Dollar general - bottoming outNYSE:DG has confirmed its rounding bottom reversal and it has also broken above the downtrend line which started since March 2024. Furthermore, the breakout was supported by strong bullish candle and high volume, above the 20-period average. With the strong momentum, the stock may move to filled up the large bearish gap between 94-120 range.
Long-term MACD is looking at a strong long-term bullish momentum after the MACD/signal line is rising and histogram is positive.
Stochastic has been rising and is in a steady state, indicating strong bullish momentum in the mid-term.
23-period ROC is rising and staying above the zero line. Directional movement index is strong bullish.
Ichimoku is strong and has confirmed a three bullish golden cross
DG Potential BreakoutPrice is showing a nice strength to the upside. With 2 days remaining in the month we can see a new higher high. Today 2/26 showed a retest of a d1 breakout to the upside with rejection. DG is a long term hold and will hit new highs with plenty of gaps to fill. Hopefully February starts the reversal in the consumer staples sector.
$DG: Dollar General – Discount Dynamo or Bargain Bust?(1/9)
Good afternoon, folks! ☀️ NYSE:DG : Dollar General – Discount Dynamo or Bargain Bust?
NYSE:DG ’s at $82, riding a rocky retail road! Is this budget king stacking cash or just scraping by? Let’s rummage through the bins! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 82
• Recent Moves: Down 0.78% from Mar 7 close, per web data 📏
• Sector Vibe: Retail shaky, but discounts hold appeal 🌟
It’s a bumpy ride with a bargain twist! 🚛
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: ~$18B (219.93M shares) 🏆
• Operations: 20,000+ stores, rural retail champ ⏰
• Trend: X posts hint at turnaround hopes 🎯
Tough, but planted firm in small towns! 🏡
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Analyst Takes: Bernstein’s $90 PT, per X 🔄
• Store Push: 575 new stores planned for 2025 🌍
• Market Mood: Mixed—soft sales vs. value focus 📋
Chugging along, eyes on the prize! 💪
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Consumer Woes: Low-income pressure, per X 🔍
• Competition: Walmart, Dollar Tree crowding in 📉
• Margins: Profit dips spook, per web data ❄️
Risks stalk like aisle lurkers! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Scale: 20,000+ stores, rural reach 🥇
• Value Play: Budget shoppers’ haven 📊
• Growth: New store spree in 2025 🔧
A lean, mean discount machine! 🛒
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Margin squeeze, soft sales 📉
• Opportunities: Reinvestment, consumer shift 📈
Can it turn pennies into profit? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢DG at $82, retail’s rough—your guess? 🗳️
• Bullish: $95+ soon, value shines 🐂
• Neutral: Flatline, risks weigh ⚖️
• Bearish: $70 crash, margins fade 🐻
Cast your lot below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
DG’s $82 stance shows grit 📈, but retail’s a grindstone 🌾. Volatility’s our sidekick—dips are DCA gems 💰. Snap ‘em up, rise steady! Paydirt or pyrite?
Bullish Spike on DG: Consumer Staples playI think that people might hate this pick... but I love "hated" tickers.
NYSE:DG came up on my 30m Spike scan this morning amid a sea of red and tanking "risk on" stocks. This indicates some interesting opening price action this morning as a "hey, come look at me!"
This action is happening in the context of a clear rotation into "safe" stocks like Consumer Staples and Utilities; DG is renowned for being a Consumer Staple. The logic is that people will still need to buy basic good, no matter what, and Dollar General's brand is to sell these at low costs to Consumers.
Dollar General experienced a meteoric rise (and fall) due to what analysts attribute as a rapid OVER-expansion. Anecdotally, I recall a newly built location in rural Georgia that I pass by frequently on trips to see family that opened, closed, and in just recent weeks was renovated and re-opened. Either way, I like a stock that everyone thinks is dead that more importantly has come to a decadal low, matching with Volume Profile support, that was also the technical Support that launched the prior rally.
Furthermore, on the Daily there is a clear path for a good Ichimoku Breakout that taking the stock now lets one get the jump on. A full Daily breakout would reverse the bear trend since last April.
One Stop for All Your Needs - $DGDollar General is a retail chain that's got pretty much everything you need. They've got:
- Food and snacks to fuel your day
- Health and beauty products to keep you looking and feeling good
- Cleaning supplies to keep your home tidy
- Basic clothes and housewares to keep you comfortable
-Seasonal stuff to get you in the mood for holidays and whatnot
They carry a ton of big-name brands, including:
- Clorox
- Energizer
- Procter & Gamble
- Hanes
- Coca-Cola
- Mars
- Unilever
- Nestle
- Kimberly-Clark
- Kellogg's
- General Mills
- PepsiCo
Dollar General was founded way back in 1939 by J.L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. and is still headquartered in Tennessee.
DG to $72My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near bottom channels (period 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative and below Bollinger Band
Entry at $68.95
Target is $72 or channel top
Dollar General’s Next Stop?Dollar General (DG) is building bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $80.00 level. A breakout above the $96.88 resistance would confirm continued strength, positioning the stock to target the $122.17 weekly resistance. This trade setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $71.36 to manage downside risk.
Dollar General’s position as a leader in the discount retail space positions it well to benefit from consumers seeking value in a challenging economic environment. With its ongoing focus on store expansion, private label products, and operational efficiencies, DG remains a strong player in the retail sector. Additionally, the company’s ability to adapt to shifting consumer trends further supports its long-term growth potential.
This combination of technical momentum and strong fundamentals supports a bullish push toward $122.17, making DG a compelling opportunity for traders and investors.
NYSE:DG
Liquidity grabs on DG. Potential reversal?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Dollar General 32% CRASH Price Target $DGBullish price target: ~$100 Resistance.
Bearish price targets: ~$80 > ~$67 > ~$55.
- Based on Support, Resistance and Demand.
- Dropdown Price Range aligns with ~$67 Support.
Possible scenario: Finding support around $67 and going back up to $100 resistance. Timeframe months/years.