1DY6 trade ideas
DVN Poised for a Break Out (30 Minute Chart)Price keeps being drawn to 78 like a magnet. Riding 9 EMA support, this looks like its ready to break out. High inflationary / High interest rate environments, great for energy. OPEC unable to meet its previous production quotas, much less the recently raised benchmark. Geopolitical conflict in Eastern Europe... Energy is the sector now.
DVN is a great play with all of the Russia and Ukraine garbageI look for DVN to hit 58 tomorrow if oil goes up. keep a close look on oil though. if crude prices drop, then DVN could follow. If DVN dips down more then 2 or 3 bucks, buy more. These are all simply my speculations though, and should not be taken as trade advice.
DVN short term overextendedST bearish. Seems overextended with lower momentum. MT and LT unclear; oil is a rough one with a lot of geopolitical influences.
Fundamentals
Forecasted 5.15 EPS 2022
Norm P/E 13.23
Valuation Estimate ~68 based on 2022 forecast. But keep in mind that growth is forecasted to stall after, so around 60 is probably more appropriate.
Value based on 2021 EPS would be 44.58
Geopolitical uncertainty may drive the multiple down
1/16/22 DVNDevon Energy Corporation ( NYSE:DVN )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil & Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: 34.114B
Current Price: $50.39
Breakout price: $51.30
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $47.80-$44.40
Price Target: $56.20-$57.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 74-77d
Contract of Interest: $DVN 4/14/22 55c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.10/contract
Devon Energy - It's complicated (TL;DR @ end)To start off. Few people have even heard of Devon Energy unless they actively deal with commodities and the energy industry. Devon Energy Corporation ( NYSE:DVN ) is an Oklahoma based hydrocarbon exploration company that produces (primarily) natural gas and oil. Considering the company was only founded in the early 70s, they have quite the interesting market history since their IPO in 1988. They had absolutely spectacular growth prospects from around 2000 through to 2007. Unfortunately at one such spectacular peak (around 1700% gain since May 2000) the stock market crash of 2008 occurred in the fourth quarter. This threw their stock down drastically like many other companies and for another 12 years after that, they declined with 2 signs of a 'comeback' that were not exactly fruitful.
Recently, they have taken the market by absolute surprise, beating the S&P 500 by more than 150 percentage points, announcing a revision of their already generous dividends (especially in comparison to their competitors), 3rd quarter earnings and the anticipated earnings published by various analysts. Needless to mention they were 1 of 3 very popular non-tech stocks to beat the market by a considerable amount (YTD). Their 3rd quarter earnings report and their recently published sustainability report regarding their operations in the Permian Basin have instilled hope in many investors and many are anticipating a bull market despite the, already occurring strong buy indicators. Whether this may be considered another one of those fruitless 'comebacks' is very much up for debate. The increased dividend payout may just be a sign that they have altered their policies for the long-term loyal investor and future prospects may very well be extremely profitable, especially given the current market conditions and maybe the 'low'* P/E multiplier may just be a sign of future performance and inherent value too.
As usual, any other opinions, news and facts are always welcome, thank you for reading and comment away!
TL;DR: NYSE:DVN has had a confusing past but increased 3rd quarter earnings, a moderately attractive P/E ratio (YTD), future earnings from their main operations in the Permian Basin and a dividend revision may all just hint towards a better future for the company and potentially a profitable investment or it may very well turn out to be another fruitless price climb that results in another drop.
*In this case, I have used the term 'low' relative to other corporations of similar scale that deal with commodities and what PE multipliers they acquire when under a growth period.
2021 Actual Trade: DVN +31% ProfitsRecognizing the big trend is important for investment in the stock markets. Especially, if you see a group of fish is coming in front of you, it would be much easier to catch a fish.
This is a classic example is using the energy sector (ETF: XLE), oil price (ETF: USO), and then individual stock Devon Energy (DVN) for a quick and easy +31% profits.
Devon Energy Corp (DVN) - [M1] - LONG & Strong for Profit!Devon Energy Corp (DVN) - Get Long & hold on with this hydrocarbon producer on continued inflationary pressures driving hydrocarbon energy such as oil and natural gas higher, along with legacy hydrocarbon ("fossil fuel") exploration & production companies such as this company.
Ride the global energy crunch/"crisis"" wave higher yet still to profit, profit, and more profit. Ultimate price target on the underlying oil and natural gas as well as the shares of oil and natural gas production companies remains as of yet unknown given emergent global energy situation continuing to unfold! Stay tuned and pay attention.
See description (below) for further details...
$DVN - Breaking outDVN breaking out of its bull flag. Materials, commodities, financials are looking strong for the next while. Mid cap play here but oil should continue to do well over next 12-24 months with inflation and consumption expectations. If you want safer, CVX, XOM, and many others are good with bigger dividends.