GOOGL Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for GOOGL
* Current Price Action: GOOGL is attempting a recovery from a previous downtrend, but price is consolidating around the $185 level. Momentum is neutral, suggesting indecision in the market.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $188 – A breakout above this level could fuel a move higher.
* Next Resistance: $195 – This aligns with the 2nd Call Wall from GEX data.
* Major Resistance: $200 – Strong resistance based on options positioning.
* First Support: $181 – This is a critical level to hold, as a breakdown could trigger a move lower.
* Major Support: $175 – Below this, GOOGL may accelerate downward.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Near the zero line, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold but starting to curl up, suggesting a possible bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $200 – This is the key resistance where a reversal could occur.
* 51.02% Call Wall: $195 – A critical level that could act as a resistance zone.
* Put Wall Support: $180 – The market might find support here, as 69.89% of puts are concentrated at this level.
* 3rd Put Wall: $175 – If GOOGL breaks down further, this could be the next major support area.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 20.3 → Low implied volatility, meaning options are relatively cheap.
* IVx Avg: 33.5 → A moderate volatility level.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 12.8% → Higher than usual, indicating a possible bullish tilt in options flow.
Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $188 with strong volume.
* Target: $195, then $200.
* Stop Loss: Below $185.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $181.
* Target: $175 (Put Support).
* Stop Loss: Above $185.
Final Thoughts
* GOOGL is at a critical inflection point, hovering around key support at $185.
* A move above $188 could lead to a rally towards $195-$200, driven by options flow.
* A break below $181 could see downside acceleration toward $175.
* Best Trade Approach: Wait for a breakout confirmation above $188 or breakdown confirmation below $181 before entering a trade.
🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
1GOOG trade ideas
GOOGLE I Potential growth within the ascending channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GOOGLE Analysis - Listen to video!
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GOOGL Breaking Out! Is This the Next Big Move? 📈 Technical Analysis (TA):
* Trend: GOOGL has broken out of a descending wedge pattern, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
* Key Support Levels:
* $182.5 - $181.83 (Strong support, marked by HVL and previous price reactions)
* $175 (Critical downside level if selling pressure increases)
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $187.5 - $188.20 (Current resistance, next breakout level)
* $195 - $200 (Major supply zone and Call Resistance)
* Indicators Analysis:
* MACD shows bullish momentum as the histogram turns positive.
* Stochastic RSI is in the overbought region, indicating potential consolidation or a minor pullback before continuation.
* Volume Uptick confirms buyers stepping in at key support.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Flow:
* Call Resistance at $200 with a 96.33% level, indicating heavy positioning by options traders.
* Strong GEX Positive Bias, supporting a continued move upward.
* IVR at 18.1, suggesting options are moderately priced compared to historical volatility.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Play:
* Entry: Above $188.20
* Targets: $195, $200
* Stop: Below $182
* Bearish Play:
* Entry: Below $181
* Target: $175
* Stop: Above $185
🔥 GOOGL is showing strength with a potential breakout—keep this stock on your radar for the next move! 🔥
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk!
GOOGLE: Clear pattern of behavior begins to give warnings!!!On February 4th, Alphabet (Google) presented its results. The figures were positive, and show that the company's business continues to grow at a good pace (+13%). However, the slight disappointment of the cloud storage business caused the market to react with significant falls on the day of its publication (-7%) (February 4th). Since then it has not stopped falling, reaching a cumulative fall of almost -12% from its highs.
---> What does it look like technically?
If we look at the graph, there is a clear PATTERN of BEHAVIOR that has been repeated on the last 2 occasions in which Google experienced a correction phase.
---> What PATTERN are we talking about?
What is clearly observed in the graph is that the following 4 warnings occur (one after the other), before starting a new bullish impulse to attack highs:
1) Oscillator warns of overselling (blue diamond that can be seen in the oscillator at the bottom. I have painted a vertical blue line).
2) Once the oversold signal appears, the price is supported by its bullish trend line, which also always coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of between 50% and 61.8%.
3) The bullish (Bull) signal of MOMENTUM appears.
4) The FORCE also turns bullish (Bull) (the candles turn blue).
--> What happened today?
The oversold signal has appeared again in the oscillator (point 1), and it has also been supported by its bullish trend line which coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 61.8% (point 2).
---> What do we need now to be sure that it will go for new highs?
That both the MOMENTUM and the STRENGTH turn bullish (Bull). At the moment they are still bearish and therefore we have to wait.
--- What strategy can we follow?
1) Aggressive profile: Enter long when the MOMENTUM turns bullish (Bull). (at point 3).
2) Conservative profile: Enter long when the MOMENTUM and the STRENGTH turn bullish (Bull). (enter long when point 4 occurs).
If everything goes as normal, tomorrow it is VERY LIKELY that we will see the bullish (Bull) MOMENTUM signal and therefore, we will be able to think about whether or not to go long depending on our investor profile.
Greetings and good trading!
$GOOGL .... LETS GET LOUD!!!Within the last month, we have watched NASDAQ:GOOGL get absolutely crushed, most of which has to do with a generally weak earnings report in early February. However, skepticism of this price action and investor sentiment is the only thing that should be on anyone's mind right now. One thing we know for a fact is that Google isn't going anywhere especially considering all the data they collect on their users. So why not apply this reasoning into buying the dip? To answer that, we should Look First/Then Leap ...
Here is the 4 Hour chart refencing back into September of 2024.
Let's start with the circle. The reason I have the area marked is because of the key factors in play that indicate we may possibly be bottoming out on this timeframe. Firstly, there are two lines to keep an eye on, a diagonal trendline and a horizontal price-level line. NASDAQ:GOOGL 's price action seems to obey these two levels (for whatever reason), which are coincidentally in the same area at the same time. Secondly, NASDAQ:GOOGL has just shown a rebound from the 400 EMA which also falls within this area giving a sort of "stars aligning" situation here. But the price action doesn't have to be the only thing we examine to analyze $GOOGL.
This is the MACD indicator on the 4 Hour timeframe referencing back to September of 2024.
This MACD chart shows the comparison between the last regional low for the MACD compared to the recent regional lows. Between these lows there is an interval of 76 to 78 calendar days (just over 2 and a half months) if I am not mistaken, which should strike some traders as very odd considering their similarity in distance. Amazingly, that's not even the weirdest part...
This is the combination of both charts.
How about that? Not only are the lengths between regional MACD lows similar, but NASDAQ:GOOGL 's returns between these periods are only roughly 2/3% in difference to each other. This just shows that there is more that what meets the eye when it comes to charting. Always look where others don't because that's where some keys are found.
In conclusion, I will be taking a long position on NASDAQ:GOOGL for the reasons stated above. When stars align like this, we are given no option but to act upon our rationality instead of our emotions...
Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Drops 10% – What's Behind the Decline?Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Drops 10% – What's Behind the Decline?
As the stock chart for Alphabet (GOOGL) shows, on 4 February, the share price reached a historic high above $205. However, despite surpassing analysts’ expectations, GOOGL shares dropped sharply after the earnings report was released:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $2.15, forecast = $2.12
→ Gross revenue: actual = $187.8 billion, forecast = $187.3 billion
As a result, GOOGL's current price is approximately 10% below its all-time high. Market sentiment may have turned negative due to several factors:
→ Cloud revenue fell short of expectations, raising concerns about Alphabet’s ability to compete in the rapidly evolving AI sector.
→ Weaker-than-expected advertising revenue from Google, Alphabet’s core business. While advertising revenue grew by 10.6% to $72.46 billion in Q4 2024, analysts had anticipated a 12% increase.
→ Alphabet announced plans to significantly increase capital expenditures next year to around $75 billion, prompting questions about the impact on depreciation and profitability.
Additionally, news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Alphabet—potentially in response to tariffs imposed on Chinese goods by the Trump administration—may have weighed on the stock price.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL)
GOOGL remains within an upward trend channel (marked in blue on the chart), with the price having pulled back to key support levels, including:
→ The lower boundary of this trend channel
→ The $180.90 level, marking the top of the bullish gap from 10 December
→ The psychological level of $180, which acted as resistance in late 2024 (indicated by arrows)
This suggests that the downward momentum caused by the earnings report could slow down or even reverse, meaning the current price action may be a pullback within the prevailing uptrend.
Should You Buy GOOGL Stock Now?
According to a report from The Smart Investor via Yahoo, investors should not be overly concerned, as:
→ Alphabet's strong cash flow will allow it to fund its planned $75 billion in capital investments without issue.
→ The company’s leadership stated that demand for its AI-driven products currently exceeds supply.
Meanwhile, analysts surveyed by TipRanks believe Alphabet can overcome its challenges:
→ 27 out of 37 analysts recommend buying GOOGL, with none advising to sell.
→ The 12-month average price target for GOOGL is $215.85.
Overall, while short-term volatility remains, long-term prospects for Alphabet appear solid. Investors with a longer time horizon may see this dip as a buying opportunity.
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Multi-Confluenced Buy Area (GOOGL)GOOGLE’s weekly chart is STACKED with confluences. I’ll live with any loss after such a signal. For starters there’s a Jeanius Buy on the weekly. This is signal is being printed a key area with many confluence factors (listed below).
- Multi-Demand Area test that has been tested about 15 times.
- Break and Retest of a supply area
- Longterm uptrend that has been tested 4 times.
- A weekly fair value gap that has been 14.29% filled.
- Weekly break of structure and retest
- Long term and short term trend alignment
- Price has reclaimed the 50MA after previously closing below
- Weekly Larkuidity Sweep (sweeping 2 untested lows with a volume of 374.107M) … volume bar exceeded average
- Sitting within the golden zone of a weekly fib retracement
- Bounce from oversold area of RSI
- A weakness in sellers are displayed
Google trading planHi traders what is your opinion on Google?as you can see it creates bearish flag for the second time the first one fails,are you expecting the second one to fails too or breakdown or continuation of the trend,this is very tricky ok, but simple to follow,weekly candlestick close lower as you can see let's findout whats next,I won't mind talking some buys from this trendline support followed by tight stop looses,yes it can breakdown and that will give alot of people's chances to take a long buy,however it's not going to easy one,as we have to make tough decisions from the current zones meaning it can bounce bek from current price or fall,that will be more than 10% if it continues to fall soo you can also expect some pull back after this drop for earning report,soo its up to you this is my trading plan.
Google Gapping Down. GOOGLWhen gaps occur in an overstretched market in the opposite direction to the trend, these tend to become areas of resistance and do not get filled. Here, the price action prior to the gap flipped the VZO, BB %pct and Ehlers StochRSI. Adding fuel to the fire, vWAP and US are in tandem acting like resistances to downward price action.
GOOGL correctionGoogle looks like it could retrace back to the 200 ma and the Gap fill at the $175 area before bouncing, depending on market strength i think we could see new highs over $220.
AI model seems to be stronger and more in demand than previous thoughts, with all the new engines, Gemini is taking market share.
I have always been partial to owning GOOGL for the fact of my YouTube consumption and I use GoogleTV, for my home.
I'm a long term buyer at $175 or lower.
No options on this for me, it moves different than some of the mag 7
Alphabet (Google) Stock Approaches Critical SupportIn recent sessions, Google's stock has recorded a decline of over 8% in just a couple of trading days, as market confidence weakens following the company's latest earnings report (February 4). Google Cloud services revenue grew by 30% , falling short of the expected 35% , signaling that competition in the cloud sector is becoming increasingly aggressive for Alphabet. This has dampened growth prospects for the company, leading to sustained selling pressure on the stock.
Uptrend at Risk
Google has maintained a solid uptrend since September 2024, with bullish momentum pushing the stock above the $200 per share level. However, the recent short-term bearish bias has cast doubts on the stock’s strength, as the price now approaches the trendline support level, where sellers must prove whether this movement is just a correction or a sign of a stronger bearish shift in the short term.
MACD Indicator
Currently, both the signal line and the MACD line have adopted a downward slope, while the histogram remains oscillating near the neutral 0 level. This indicates that the previous bullish dominance has faded, and if the histogram continues moving further away from the neutral zone, it could reinforce a stronger selling bias in the coming sessions.
Key Levels:
$200: The most important resistance level, aligning with previous highs in Google’s stock. A rebound to this level could revive the long-term uptrend.
$187: A critical new support zone, aligning with previous lows and the uptrend line support. Sustained movements below this level could reinforce the current bearish bias and threaten the long-term uptrend.
$173: A major support level, corresponding to previous neutral price zones. A breakdown to this level could signal the beginning of a much more extended downtrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
Alphabet (GOOGL) LongAlphabet (GOOGL) Trade Idea: The stock has broken out from a large wedge pattern, signaling a strong trend continuation. Following earnings-related volatility, it is now stabilizing, setting up for potential upside. Given the technical strength and sustained momentum, this presents a compelling continuation play.
GOOGLE: Historic profits!! What is the reason for the fall?GOOGLE has been falling on the stock market since late yesterday, after presenting its results with the market already closed. Google's parent company achieved a historic profit of more than 100 billion dollars and revenues for the entire year of 350 billion. However, its shares are dyed red in the pre-opening.
--> What is the reason for the fall?
One possible cause would be that the fourth quarter revenues did not reach what was expected, which see in these numbers a sign that Google's parent company was being affected by the increase in competition in the digital advertising market and the slowdown of its cloud computing business.
A second reason is that Google surpassed historic highs days ago and it could be a MANIPULATION and PROFIT-TAKING movement by some FUNDS taking advantage of the volatility of the value to present results. In any case, the results ARE GOOD and the TECHNICAL ASPECT is good, so if nothing strange happens, the trend in Google will continue to be bullish.
--> What technical aspect does it have now after the -7% fall?
If we look at the graph, the technical aspect is still clearly bullish (Bull). In addition, it did not lose any of its main supports, so we will continue to think about long positions.
--> When could we enter?
The table shown in the graph indicates that the MOMENTUM in H1, H4 and DAILY time frames is bearish (Bear) and also the STRENGTH in H1 is bearish (Bear). Therefore, to ensure that the pullback has ended, we have to wait for at least in H4 the MOMENTUM to turn bullish (Bull) again. And when could this happen? When the price exceeds the 198 zone, it is very likely that the IVO indicator will already show us bullish MOMENTUM ( Bull ).
(If it happens before, I will update the analysis to anticipate the entry).
--> What important support does Google have?
The 184 zone is a very important support zone that, if not respected, we could see a much deeper retracement phase.
-------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 198.
POSITION 1 ( TP1 ): We close the first position in the 208 zone ( +4.8%)
--> Stop Loss at 188.9 ( -4.8%).
--> Ratio 1:1
POSITION 2 ( TP2 ): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4.8%) (coinciding with the 188.9 of position 1).
---We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (208).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
GOOGLE Impulse Spike for Friday, January 31 2025The Fibonacci levels on Google line up precisely at many junctures.. The FIB level just above the price channel and the closing price for Thursday, January 30, 2025 is near $203.85..
I'm of the opinion that price seeks that level today and then fades toward the gap (and a FIB level) at $182.25 -- A gap fill or gap JUMP to $174.75 is also possible.. This will depend on guidance after earnings.
One should consider the AI market is becoming saturated, and the vast money spent to promote Kamala will reflect in earnings *this* cycle, but not for the next cycle. I personally don't resonate with the myriad upgrades for price targets the expert pundits are making.
These are just my opinions and are not recommendations to buy or sell any stock or options.