1MS trade ideas
Morgan Stanley's chart is under strain. Break imminent. Morgan Stanley investors are not expecting anything overwhelming from earnings , the warning signs seemed evident as early as May, when JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon projected that his company would see M&A and capital market revenues drop 10% in the second quarter, likely the result of clients postponing deals amid lingering trade policy concerns and a turbulent Brexit process. This is for sure going to be the case for all the banks this quarter.
On the positive side the management have claimed that its investment backlog is very solid, while the stock remains undervalued.
It seems that it is just too risky to get involved prior to earnings as the chart is technically looking weak, there is hope that the stock could break higher as it is in a very tight trading range wedged between Ma's.
LONG ABOVE $45
SHORT ON BREAK BELOW $43 WITH HEAVY VOLUME
LONG Options Trading: Morgan Stanley(MS) Buy Call $49 Exp: 7/19Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early july(see green box) as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl of .786. If you have any questions please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Bounced off the Feb & Mar 19' low of 40~41 lvl
• Broken downward channel (1D chart May 1st -June 3rd)
• Broken RSI Channel
• RSI Overbought > 30
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 20
• Entry Price: .10
• Risk: $200
• Reward: $600
• ROI: 300%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
Morgan Stanley (MS) uptrend in formationMorgan Stanley stock is going up with the banks in a strong upward rally. For longterm investors, you can buy into this recent strength and hold it for highly probable and profitable investment. I think this investment should be about the next 6 months -1 year. The technical analysis looks really good too because the relative strength index has broken the downward channel and now is going up positively. If this stock here today is at 47.89, I would expect a retest near the all last highs of 56$-58$. By buying low relatively now and selling higher at 56$, you will receive approximately 16% !!!!!. Now that doesn't seem like ALOT, but it is when your investing consistently.
Anyways, goodluck out there and enjoy buying the banks. (They've finally made bottom from last year !!!)