MICROSTRATEGY Top of the Channel. Time for a shortterm pullback?MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) has been trading inside a logarithmic Channel Up on the 1D time-frame since the December 30 2022 bottom. The price is currently at the very top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern and that is a technical bearish signal on its own.
It gets increasingly relevant though if we consider the 1D RSI which is overbought and at its highest level since November 13 2023 and more importantly, the remarkable symmetry among the phases of the Channel Up.
As you ca see the price action from the October 04 2023 Higher Low until today is very similar with the price action from the December 30 2022 bottom until (so far) the April 14 2023 High. Both started on a +136.17% rise then -40% correction and a Channel Up rebound for a new Higher High. The symmetry is evident among the 1D RSI sequences as well.
If this continues to hold, we should be expecting a -22.88% pull-back followed by a +77.48% rally that will break above the long-term Channel Up, which would inevitably do at some point since the stock price is so positively correlated to Bitcoin's price.
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1MSTR trade ideas
MSTR - Breakout at Pre Market - More to FollowIn my previous BTC post, I said I am starting to move more down the risk curve.
MSTR is breaking out of its 3 years resistance and honestly if BTC goes to 100k from here,
MSTR will blast past 2k.
Its previous high stands somewhere around 3.3k, that might be on too.
I would suggest stops around 760 and just let it run.
Goodluck!!
Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy Buys $155 Million In BitcoinMichael Saylor, the visionary executive chairman of MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), has once again propelled the company into the cryptocurrency spotlight. With a bold purchase of $155 million worth of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) continues to cement its position as a frontrunner in the realm of digital assets.
Expanding Bitcoin Holdings:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) latest acquisition of nearly 3,000 Bitcoins brings their total BTC holdings to an impressive 193,000. Executed at an average price of approximately $51,813 between February 15 and February 25, 2024, this move underscores Saylor's conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.
Strategic Financial Maneuvers:
The funding for this substantial Bitcoin purchase originated from proceeds generated through the issuance and sale of shares, demonstrating MicroStrategy's adeptness in navigating the evolving financial landscape. Saylor's calculated decision-making stands in stark contrast to concerns surrounding potential negative impacts of Bitcoin ETFs on NASDAQ:MSTR , highlighting MicroStrategy's unique position as an operating company with a distinct strategic vision.
Robust Asset Management and Security:
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains steadfast in its commitment to safeguarding its digital assets, entrusting 98% of its Bitcoin holdings to Fidelity Custody while diversifying its asset management and security through Coinbase Prime. This multi-faceted approach underscores MicroStrategy's dedication to maintaining the integrity and security of its cryptocurrency investments.
Market Performance and Outlook:
In tandem with MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) bold Bitcoin acquisitions, NASDAQ:MSTR stock (NASDAQ: MSTR) has experienced significant gains, surging by 6.77% trading at $733. With the prospect of surpassing the $700 mark once again, MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) strategic alignment with Bitcoin's upward trajectory continues to fuel investor optimism.
Reflecting on Success:
The meteoric rise of both MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock and Bitcoin price underscores the symbiotic relationship between traditional finance and the burgeoning cryptocurrency ecosystem. As NASDAQ:MSTR stock continues its ascent, propelled by Bitcoin's meteoric rise, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains at the forefront of revolutionizing the intersection of traditional finance and blockchain technology.
MicroStrategy's Market Cap and Potential S&P 500 InclusionMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), a Bitcoin development company, has seen a surge in its shares, driven by the rise in Bitcoin prices, and now holds over $10 billion worth of BTC. The company's market capitalization currently stands at approximately $12.4 billion, which is not too far from the $15.8 billion required for inclusion in the S&P 500 Index. This index tracks the large-cap U.S. equity market across 500 companies.
If it qualifies for the S&P 500 Index, MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) shares could see new demand from passive SPY investors, who are not necessarily seeking Bitcoin exposure. According to experts, inclusion in the index could trigger a positive feedback loop, benefiting Bitcoin, as MicroStrategy's primary goal is to acquire as much BTC as possible.
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has marketed itself to investors as a Bitcoin ETF with perks, including cash-generative operations and the ability to leverage capital markets. However, experts caution that using NASDAQ:MSTR as a proxy for Bitcoin exposure is misguided. The company is exposed to a wider range of variables, such as management expertise and lending environment.
Inclusion in the S&P 500 Index is not guaranteed, as eligible companies must fulfill several criteria, including being domiciled in the United States, boasting sufficient liquidity, and showing net positive earnings over their previous four quarters. Even Coinbase, a crypto exchange with a $39 billion market cap, has struggled with profitability over the past four quarters and has not made it into the S&P 500.
It's worth noting that exchange-traded funds, including Bitcoin ETFs, are also ineligible for the S&P 500.
MSTR Bitcoin Boom: Saylor's Bold Moves Yield 46% Surge in a WeekMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has emerged as a beacon of innovation and foresight, led by the visionary Michael Saylor. As the clamor for cryptocurrency reaches a fever pitch, Saylor's strategic maneuvers have positioned MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) at the forefront of the Bitcoin revolution, yielding a remarkable 46% surge in stock value within a single week.
Saylor's Revelations: Unveiling the Demand for Bitcoin ETFs
At the heart of MicroStrategy's meteoric rise lies Michael Saylor's keen insight into the burgeoning demand for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). With investors clamoring for traditional avenues to access the digital currency, Saylor's bold assertion of a tenfold increase in ETF demand underscores MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) astute alignment with market dynamics.
MicroStrategy's Strategic Shift: From Software Titan to Cryptocurrency Leader
Gone are the days when MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) was solely synonymous with software solutions. Under Saylor's guidance, the company has undergone a seismic strategic shift, rebranding itself as a vanguard in the realm of cryptocurrency. By amassing substantial holdings of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has not only embraced the digital currency but has also cemented its status as a trailblazer in the field.
Despite this pivot, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains steadfast in its commitment to its core software and business intelligence offerings, which continue to serve as linchpins of revenue generation and client satisfaction. This delicate balance between tradition and innovation underscores MicroStrategy's versatility and resilience in a rapidly evolving market landscape.
Future Growth Strategies: Pioneering Financial Planning for the Digital Age
Looking ahead, Michael Saylor has outlined a vision for MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) that transcends mere adaptation; it encapsulates a proactive pursuit of growth and value creation. By leveraging capital markets and exploring strategic initiatives such as stock splits and capital restructuring, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) aims to optimize its financial resources to fuel expansion and innovation.
Conclusion
In conclusion, MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) meteoric ascent amid the Bitcoin boom epitomizes the power of visionary leadership and strategic foresight. Under Michael Saylor's stewardship, the company has not only embraced the winds of change but has also harnessed them to soar to new heights of success and prosperity. As the cryptocurrency revolution continues to unfold, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stands poised at the vanguard, a beacon of innovation illuminating the path forward for investors and industry titans alike.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet Pays Off BigMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), the pioneering business intelligence software giant, has been making waves in the financial world with its bold and unconventional investment strategy: accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Despite enduring a tumultuous journey through the volatile crypto market, the company's steadfast commitment to its Bitcoin accumulation strategy has paid off handsomely. With Bitcoin's recent surge past $47,000, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) finds itself sitting on unrealized profits amounting to billions of dollars. Let's delve deeper into this remarkable story of resilience, conviction, and staggering financial gains.
Unwavering Conviction Amidst Market Turbulence:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) journey into the world of Bitcoin began in August 2020 when it made its first substantial purchase of the cryptocurrency. Led by then-CEO Michael Saylor, the company declared its intention to continue accumulating Bitcoin regardless of market conditions. This unwavering conviction in the potential of Bitcoin as a store of value and hedge against inflation set MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) apart from traditional corporate investment strategies.
Navigating Through the Crypto Winter:
The road hasn't been without its challenges for MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ). The late 2022 and early 2023 market crash sent shockwaves through the crypto space, causing significant financial losses for the company. Despite enduring consecutive quarterly losses and multi-million BTC impairment charges, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remained resolute in its commitment to its Bitcoin accumulation strategy. This steadfast determination to weather the storm has proven to be a defining characteristic of MicroStrategy's approach to investing in cryptocurrencies.
The Rise of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Stash:
Despite the challenges posed by market volatility, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings continued to grow steadily. With each purchase, the company employed a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy, ensuring that it capitalized on opportunities presented by fluctuations in Bitcoin's price. This disciplined approach to accumulation has seen MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) amass a staggering 190,000 BTC over the past three and a half years, making it the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.
A Lucrative Investment:
MicroStrategy's patience and persistence have finally borne fruit as Bitcoin's price surged above $47,000. With an average entry price of $31,464, the company's Bitcoin stash is now worth over $9 billion, representing a 50% increase in unrealized profits. Despite the temptation to realize these gains, MicroStrategy's CEO, Michael Saylor, has reiterated the firm's commitment to holding its BTC holdings for the long term, signaling confidence in Bitcoin's future potential.
Stock Performance Reflects Bitcoin's Trajectory:
The success of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin investment strategy is reflected in its stock performance. Despite facing criticism and skepticism from some quarters, MicroStrategy's stock price has soared by over 400% since implementing its Bitcoin-purchasing strategy. This remarkable appreciation underscores the symbiotic relationship between MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock performance and the trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy's bold foray into Bitcoin has proven to be a masterstroke, yielding unprecedented gains amidst the unpredictable landscape of the cryptocurrency market. Despite facing adversity and skepticism, the company's unwavering conviction, disciplined approach, and long-term vision have enabled it to emerge as a trailblazer in the realm of corporate Bitcoin investment. As Bitcoin continues to redefine the boundaries of traditional finance, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stands as a testament to the transformative power of bold decision-making and unwavering conviction in the face of uncertainty.
MSTR - POTENTIAL UPSIDE MOVEMENTMicroStrategy (MSTR) is a company that holds over 190,000 Bitcoins and could potentially see an upward movement to $1,100+.
Beyond the charts, Bitcoin will soon experience a macroeconomic event, the Bitcoin Halving, scheduled for April 2024, which could trigger a cryptocurrency bull run.
MSTR is a safe bet for those who don't want to invest directly in cryptocurrencies but wish to bet on the next bull run.
What do you think?
MSTR Retracement Reaching a Potential Bottom MSTR is currently in a strong monthly trend since January of 2023. This past months selling has served as a potential retracement into a previous buyside imbalance. After price filled this void it began showing signatures of a market structure shift on the hourly time frame. Though I think it's still too early to claim bottom, price is surely leaving obvious hints before trending upward to December's High. Confirmation to me looks like price displacing the $528 level. From there I would position myself on the retracement of the impulse move taking out $528. Invalidation (stoploss would be $467)
microstrategies The weekly apex is not until ~June (Q2) of this year.
The entire structure is being held by a weekly uptrend marked back in October 2023. Although current price is being held by a weekly support at $460, the uptrend is what important here.
Breaking below the uptrend will result in a drop the following tested supports at $304-$360
A break OUT of the apex will result in a move up to the tested resistance at $711, then $785 if $711 breaks. considering $711 has already been tested there is a chance that it will likely reject hard at $785.
Optimistic Outlook on MicroStrategy Amidst Bitcoin Strategy and
MicroStrategy Incorporated, known for its business intelligence solutions and significant investment in Bitcoin, has shown a mix of financial performance and strategic decisions that could influence its stock price. The company's second quarter 2023 financial results revealed a 1% decrease in total revenues year-over-year, but a notable 42% increase in Subscription Services Revenues, indicating a strong growth in its software services . This growth in recurring revenue is a positive sign for the company's financial stability and could be a driver for future profitability.
The company's aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy has been a major talking point. As of the second quarter of 2023, MicroStrategy holds 152,800 BTC, acquired at an average price of $29,672 per Bitcoin . This strategy has been polarizing among investors, but it has not penalized the company's stock performance thus far . The Bitcoin strategy is seen as an arbitrage opportunity against the growing money supply, and the company's stock performance is closely tied to its Bitcoin holdings . Given the volatile nature of Bitcoin, this strategy introduces a significant risk factor, but also the potential for high reward if the cryptocurrency market performs well.
The company's financial health, as reported in its income statements, shows a mix of profits and losses over the past years, with a recent net income of $90,326 after a series of substantial losses . This recent profitability could be a sign of a turnaround, although the company's unusual expenses and the impact of its Bitcoin strategy must be considered when evaluating its financial stability.
Technical analysis from TipRanks suggests a neutral consensus, with a mix of bullish and bearish signals based on moving averages and the Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator . The stock's recent price is slightly below the 20-day exponential moving average, indicating a potential sell signal, but the 100-day and 200-day moving averages suggest a buy .
Given the above analysis, the bullish sentiment on MicroStrategy's stock seems to be based on the growth in subscription services and the potential upside of its Bitcoin holdings. The proposed trading strategy involves entering at $524.09, slightly above the current price of $513.81, which could be seen as a confirmation of an upward trend. The exit point is set at $570.33, aiming for a substantial profit of $4624.29. A stop loss at $508.67 is in place to limit potential losses to $1541.43, which is a reasonable risk management measure given the stock's volatility .
**Profit Targets and Stop Loss Clarification:**
- **Entry Point:** $524.09
- **Exit Point/Take Profit:** $570.33
- **Stop Loss:** $508.67
- **Total Potential Profit:** $4624.29
- **Total Potential Loss:** $1541.43
The strategy takes into account the company's financial performance, its strategic investment in Bitcoin, and technical analysis indicators. Investors should be aware of the inherent risks, especially those associated with Bitcoin's price volatility and the company's recent financial history.
Navigating MicroStrategy's Future
MicroStrategy Inc (NASDAQ:$ MSTR), a key player in enterprise analytics and mobility software, recently caught the attention of investors with the news of Executive Chairman and 10% Owner Michael Saylor selling 5,000 shares on January 25, 2024. This move adds to a series of sales totaling 85,000 shares over the past year, without any corresponding insider purchases. This article delves into the implications of these insider transactions, examines the company's overall performance, and analyzes technical indicators to provide investors with a comprehensive outlook.
Insider Selling Patterns:
Insider transactions often serve as valuable signals for investors trying to gauge the health and confidence of a company's leadership. Michael Saylor's consistent selling over the past year raises questions about the motives behind the divestitures. Investors should closely monitor such patterns, as they can sometimes provide insight into the leadership's perception of the company's future prospects.
Company Overview:
MicroStrategy Inc has carved a niche for itself in the enterprise analytics and mobility software sector. The company's offerings, including MicroStrategy Analytics, MicroStrategy Mobile, and Usher, enable organizations to analyze vast amounts of data, deliver actionable insights, and provide digital credential and identity intelligence solutions.
Technical Analysis:
MicroStrategy's stock has been on an upward trajectory within a rising trend channel in the medium to long term. This suggests sustained investor confidence, with shares consistently being bought at higher prices. The recent positive signal from the inverse head and shoulders formation, marked by a break above the resistance at 321, adds another layer of optimism. Analysts anticipate a further rise, with a target set at 691 or beyond.
However, the stock is currently approaching a critical support level at $460. This level is expected to trigger a positive reaction, providing a potential buying opportunity. Investors should closely monitor whether the stock can hold above this support, as a break below could signal a negative trend reversal.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy Inc's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) recent insider selling, technical indicators, and overall market sentiment present a mixed picture for investors. While the insider selling may raise concerns, the positive technical signals and the company's strong position in the enterprise software space suggest a nuanced evaluation is necessary.
MicrostrategyMicrostrategy is one of the few stocks with a positive correlation to Bitcoin and it can be an alternative investment for those who cannot own bitcoin due to regulatory reasons. However, the introduction of Bitcoin ETF has the potential to cause a capital migration from Microstrategy to Bitcoin ETFs as investors look for the next big thing with the potential of higher returns.
Bitcoin ETFs have disappointed investors as they lost over 10% since their launch. This was because Bitcoin spot investors sold the news since the ETF hype was already priced in.
If Bitcoin falls to $40,000, we assume that Microstrategy shares will be within out 1st entry range or at the 120 Months moving average.
We are monitoring the stock for our first entry.
Michael Saylor Sells 5,000 $MSTR Stocks For Investing Into $BTCBetween January 2 and January 10, Saylor sold 3,882 to 5,000 NASDAQ:MSTR shares in accordance with the SEC's announcement.
Leading up to the recent approval by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of exchange-traded funds directly investing in Bitcoin, Michael Saylor, the co-founder of MicroStrategy Inc., participated in a series of share sales.
MicroStrategy Sells NASDAQ:MSTR Just Before ETF Approval
According to data compiled by Bloomberg, Saylor sold between 3,882 and 5,000 shares on specific days from January 2 to January 10, coinciding with the SEC’s announcement. The transactions are estimated to have yielded Saylor over $20 million, marking the first instance of him selling company shares in nearly 12 years. This development comes as the company already sold $216 million worth of NASDAQ:MSTR stock last week.
A spokesperson for MicroStrategy has verified the recent share sales by Michael Saylor, clarifying that these transactions are part of a pre-existing plan disclosed in a filing last year. The spokesperson emphasized that these sales are unrelated to the recent approvals of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The planned sales, involving up to 5,000 shares daily, are scheduled between January 2, 2024, and April 26, 2024, with the intention of selling a total of as much as 400,000 shares during this period.
MicroStrategy, a leading business intelligence firm with substantial Bitcoin holdings, weathered significant losses during the previous crypto winter. The company had to undertake substantial write-offs due to the market downturn at that time.
However, in a remarkable turn of events, MicroStrategy’s current Bitcoin holdings have surged in value to approximately $8.3 billion. This represents a notable paper gain of around 40%, underscoring the company’s resilience and recovery in the crypto market.
NASDAQ:MSTR Stock Under Pressure
MicroStrategy, a prominent player in the business intelligence sector, has witnessed a 23% decline in its stock since the beginning of the year. The drop is attributed, in part, to concerns arising from the debut of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that could potentially diminish the appeal of the company’s shares as investments.
MicroStrategy, headquartered in Tysons Corner, Va., has long been regarded as a proxy for Bitcoin, given its substantial holdings of the cryptocurrency on its balance sheet for several years. Prior to the recent approval of a dozen spot Bitcoin ETFs by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), MicroStrategy was a primary avenue for investors seeking indirect exposure to Bitcoin. The emergence of alternative options through ETFs has introduced new dynamics to the market.
However, MicroStrategy chief Michael Saylor stated that the spot Bitcoin ETF launch won’t negatively impact the MicroStrategy stock price.