1MSTR trade ideas
MicroStrategy still heading sub $100I still think we will se a last trip down in the $BTC price before heading for $30,000 per coin.
No doubt that $MSTR is extremely sensitive to that PA. Which is also why this stock will become extremely valuable once $BTC travels to new ATHs.
Not only does the company own a ton of coins, but they also have the #1 advocate and spokesperson for Bitcoin as their CEO. That's why I can easily see $MSTR outperform $BTC in this cycle.
I've got a chunk of fiat side-lined for when we enter the drawn box. An area in which the stock has spend quite a lot of time in in the past.
6/26/22 MSTRMicroStrategy Incorporated ( NASDAQ:MSTR )
Sector: Technology Services (Internet Software/Services)
Market Capitalization: $2.321B
Current Price: $205.44
Breakout price: $222.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $195.30-$135.90
Price Target: $404.50-$418.10
Estimated Duration to Target: 99-103d
Contract of Interest: $MSTR 10/21/22 220c
Trade price as of publish date: $44.80/contract
MSTR: About that margin call...2 bottom signals b2b on Cipher bouncing off the 1.618 fib at $136 should indicate that a temporary bottom is being set here for MSTR and probably bitcoin as well. Relief rally incoming back to the 1 fib level/Yearly VWAP at $278. Last week's barrage of FUD was strong ranging from MSTR's supposed margin call to Celsius's liquidity concerns.
That being said, the bear market is just getting started for MSTR and BTC as shown by the weekly money flow deep in the red.
Microstrategy to sub $100 per stockGive me one good reason as to why $MSTR should not visit the lows of this fibonacci retracement .
Right now you can't.
Will it see ATH again? "Absolutely". But it will continue to bleed along $SPX and other stocks.
Good to hear Michael Taylor assure everyone that they will be fine no matter have bad $BTC will dump.
$MSTR short the bounceWith bitcoin looking to bounce and $MSTR trading below its base value in bitcoin I believe it will have a bounce but likely find resistance in the low to mid 300s at the resistance trend line of the downtrend that is forming. Since $MSTR is leveraged up on bitcoin I would expect to see them drop a lot more then Bitcoin. If bitcoin eventually goes low enough its possible for MSTR to go bankrupt so I believe they are a good way to get exposure to shorting the crypto space.
Serious Risk For Microstrategy & Bitcoin (MSTR + BTC)This is a short post. Over the last few months, I've written and spoken about why Michael Saylor's entrance into Bitcoin has contributed to my skepticism about the valuation of the market, since the MSTR chart eerily echoes the bubbly behavior from the dotcom boom. As leverage and profit come out of the market, I think MSTR will be severely impacted. Saylor himself has said that holding MSTR is the closest you can get to holding a Bitcoin spot ETF. I think this is all going to backfire, and result in a precipitous drop for both. If MSTR declines back to $160 per share, I expect Bitcoin also to fall at least 50% and break the $20k line.
As shown on the left, Bitcoin can bounce at this trendline to begin the next month and perhaps make an attempt at the $50k level. This is seeming less and less likely, but you never know! I always acknowledge the alternate possibility. We'd need to see a dovish shift from the fed and/or student loan cancellation for that to occur, in my opinion.
Immediate Bearish targets for Bitcoin:
$17.2k
$13.4k
$9.7k
MSTR:
$227
$165
$121
This is not meant as financial advice. This is meant for speculation and entertainment only - this represents my opinion. There are plenty of other opinions out there :)
-Victor Cobra
$MSTR Bounce to ShortNatural covering/buyers here. Could see the lows get taken out and get shorts really worked up and emotional only to squeeze them out back to low $400s where quarterly vwap sits and is curling down. Would be a perfect way to trap new longs and also shake out the shorts looking to freeload and ride the momentum downwards. Some of this depends on BTC spot, some depends on the Q's and where the FOMC decision takes us tomorrow. IMO not a good company, pretty ugly balance sheet and I wouldn't be shocked to see this eventually go much much lower. As with intraday movements on anything tradeable, when price keeps probing lows and highs it doesn't not usually do so to bounce/reject like many retail is taught to buy/short at similar levels. It creeps around these levels to BREAK them even if momentarily, get everyone off sides and THEN make the real move up or down. Good luck.
NASDAQ:MSTR Bear of The DayMicroStrategy Incorporated provides enterprise analytics software and services worldwide. It offers MicroStrategy, an enterprise platform, which provides a modern analytics experience by delivering insights across multiple devices to users via hyperintelligence products, visualization and reporting capabilities, mobility features, and custom applications developed on the platform; analysts and data scientists with seamless access to trusted, governed data directly within their tools; and APIs and gateways, multiple deployment options, enterprise semantic graph, scalability, and security. The company also provides MicroStrategy Support that helps customers to achieve their system availability and uptime goals, and to improve the overall experience through highly responsive troubleshooting and proactive technical product support. In addition, it offers MicroStrategy Consulting that provides customers with architecture and implementation services to help them quickly realize results, and helps to achieve returns on investment derived from understanding of data; and MicroStrategy Education that offers free and paid learning options. The company provides its services through enterprise sales force and channel partners. It serves companies from a range of industries, including retail, consulting, technology, manufacturing, finance, banking, insurance, healthcare, education, and telecommunications, as well as the public sector. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.