MicroStrategy ManiaMicroStrategy Mania
Low risk, high reward opportunities DO NOT look like this.
Many will get trapped.
#mstr #bitcoin #microstrategy
1MSTR trade ideas
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated Fair Value | Potential Sell-OffAchieving a scenario where MSTR trades at parity with its Bitcoin reserves would necessitate a remarkable surge in BTC price to $157,000, marking a staggering 130% increase from current levels!
At today's BTC price, MSTR's ideal settlement range would hover around $775-$800, representing its fair value!
Adding a slight premium, my adjusted price target for MSTR would be $960!
The growing popularity of Bitcoin ETFs presents a challenge to MSTR's relevance, making it useless to hold MSTR at such a high premium to its BTC holdings!
It's worth noting that CEO Michael Saylor sold 1,508 shares of the company on March 14, 2024.
MicroStrategy Slumps 11% As Kerrisdale Capital Shorts The StockMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) finds itself in the crosshairs of investment firm Kerrisdale Capital, as the latter takes a bearish stance on the software company's stock. Kerrisdale's decision to short-sell NASDAQ:MSTR stems from concerns over the inflated valuation driven by its heavy investment in Bitcoin. As MicroStrategy's shares plummet by 11% in response, investors are left to ponder the implications of Kerrisdale's bold move.
Kerrisdale's Short Position:
On March 28, 2024, Kerrisdale Capital publicly announced its short position on MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), citing an unjustifiable premium in NASDAQ:MSTR shares compared to the spot price of Bitcoin. The firm argues that MicroStrategy's valuation, heavily influenced by its Bitcoin holdings, has soared to unsustainable levels, with the implied Bitcoin price in NASDAQ:MSTR shares surpassing $177,000.
Risky Business:
While MicroStrategy's strategic pivot towards Bitcoin initially garnered attention as a unique way to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency, Kerrisdale Capital believes that the current premium attached to NASDAQ:MSTR shares is unwarranted. With Bitcoin readily accessible through various channels, including brokerages and crypto exchanges, the rationale for paying a hefty premium for the same asset diminishes.
Market Dynamics:
Kerrisdale's short position on MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) reflects a broader sentiment in the crypto stock market, where total short interest amounts to $10.7 billion. MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) and Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) lead the pack, commanding 84% of the bearish bets. Despite MicroStrategy's recent surge, fueled by a 155% increase year-to-date, short sellers remain undeterred, anticipating potential market corrections.
Challenges Ahead:
MicroStrategy's bullish run has posed challenges for short sellers, with the company's outlook threatening significant paper losses for those betting against it. However, Kerrisdale's decision to short NASDAQ:MSTR underscores lingering doubts about the sustainability of its Bitcoin-centric strategy and the premium embedded in its shares.
MSTR Explained (Reverse Repo Of Bitcoin) 30k+ Target
A lot of people are critizing MSTR & Michael Saylor for his Bitcoin activity and it needs to be cleared up on how serious this is for MSTR.
If Bitcoin continues on its trajectory, MSTR will be in the top 10 companies by market cap in the SP500.
1. Spot ETF's cannot be added to SP500 Index funds.
2. Spot ETF's cannot be levered on the base price.
3. MSTR shortly will be in the SP500 index funds meaning global allocation to the standard funds will be buying up MSTR shares that MSTR in return will be using to buy Bitcoin and apply low corporate leverage debt.
SP500 Index Fund > MSTR > Debt/Bitcoin > Bitcoin scarcity increased > Spot ETF rises, increasing the MSTR total value.
Large funds can park money with MSTR that MSTR then uses extremely low corporate leverage to accumulate more Bitcoin per capital invested that they then hold and adjust shares accordingly / buy back shares.
At the end of this bull market Michael Saylor can also make a decision to get debt against a portion of his Bitcoin in the company balance sheet and use his operating income / to fund and secure the debt.
Spot ETF's are extremely important including Futures.
MSTR? also very important in what he is doing.
MSTR is not a Spot ETF it's a company with a structure to generate returns like Berkshire Hathaway, there is risk involved but Saylor has taken a route that gives MSTR a strong resilience to bear markets and stronger upside to bull markets. This might have not worked if there was too much Bitcoin supply to purchase meaning Spot ETF's out weigh MSTR.
But MSTR has more than enough for what it needs to become one of the largest investment company in the world.
MSTR on this trajectory is worth north of $20,000 per share.
MSTR has more rocket fuel LONGMSTR recently bought up a lot more coins. News that an insider sold $7 M in shares while
interesting is quite meaningless. He still has $150M plus. MSTR is riding a " Bollinger Band
march" on the upper band. This is a huge surge. I was happy to catch a buy today at $1575
off a low-ball limit order that somehow got filled. All things crypto has a great day. It was
a Magic Monday for sure. I will sell some on Thursday mid-day and buy more next Monday.
I know all the contrary ideas- Reckless abandonment. Poor risk management. The answer
my initial capital into MSTR has been long returned to the account ( then spent getting
larger in semiconductors); this is all profit being compounded. If there is some risk it is
all accepted. the entire position has a trailing stop loss of !0% - no problem seen. Risk on.
BTBT RIOT are running in the shadows and the positions are not half bad. BTUSD and ETHUSD
on forex with 100:1 leverage are carrying their own weight.
Sailing on a Rocket Ship (700s conservative)MSTR has the setup to make a move similar to Jan/Feb of 2021.
Needs to clear 658 for this to activate.
- initial target 658 by 1/3/2024
- If it breaks this next target is 781 (gap fill) by end of Jan. 2024
- If both of the above hit it will get insane from there, 1300+
MSTR: WHAT'S NEXT?Hi guys, I don't remember If I ever did an analysis on Mstr, since I have a long position I give you my view.
Could I be wrong? Obviously.
Could this pattern be the same? I don't think.
Let's see, however I'll take a profit for sure but not now.
MicroStrategy Owns About 1% of Bitcoin’s Total SupplyMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), under the leadership of CEO Michael Saylor, has made waves yet again in the cryptocurrency market with its latest strategic move. The company has solidified its position as a major player in the Bitcoin space by acquiring an additional 9,245 Bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to a staggering 214,246 Bitcoins. With this acquisition, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) now possesses over 1% of the entire Bitcoin market supply.
The decision to invest heavily in Bitcoin is a testament to MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) unwavering confidence in the long-term value and potential of the leading cryptocurrency. Despite recent market fluctuations, MicroStrategy has continued to double down on its Bitcoin holdings, demonstrating its commitment to diversifying its assets and hedging against fiat currency depreciation.
The funding for this significant purchase was secured through a combination of sources, including a substantial convertible debt offering totaling $592.3 million and allocation from surplus cash reserves. This bold move underscores MicroStrategy's proactive approach to capital allocation and its willingness to leverage debt to capitalize on strategic investment opportunities.
However, the announcement of MicroStrategy's latest Bitcoin acquisition was met with mixed reactions from investors. Despite the company's bullish outlook on Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's stock experienced a 13% decline following the news, coinciding with a downturn in Bitcoin's price. This reaction highlights the inherent volatility and risk associated with cryptocurrency investments, despite their potential for substantial returns.
Looking ahead, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has outlined its plan to repay its borrowed funds in a unique manner, offering investors the option to swap cash loans for MicroStrategy shares. This innovative approach to debt repayment reflects MicroStrategy's commitment to shareholder value and its confidence in the company's long-term growth prospects.
As MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) continues to navigate the evolving cryptocurrency landscape, its bold Bitcoin investments serve as a testament to its visionary leadership and strategic foresight. With its substantial Bitcoin holdings and innovative approach to capital management, MicroStrategy is poised to remain a dominant force in the digital asset space for years to come.
By seizing opportunities in the volatile yet promising world of cryptocurrencies, MicroStrategy is setting a precedent for corporate adoption of digital assets and paving the way for a new era of financial innovation and opportunity.
MSTR seems quite unpleasant!Despite Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy being one of the largest BTC holding companies, what I see on the chart doesn't make me optimistic at all about a positive correlation with a good cryptocurrency performance.
However, in the very long term, their actions may be setting up for something big.
approaching double resistLooks like a probable huge rejection incoming. Probably aligns with a top in risk on.
MSTR the time has finally comeNASDAQ:MSTR here is a Monthly chart with a start to a Bullish wedge break out , VOL MFI and MACD all in bullish flows/ momo with fundamental winds behind our sails , Looking for $1977 and $2513 and our next PT in the next 6 months
The Saylor Strategy/TragedyFirst off, please know that I am a massive Bitcoin proponent.
What Saylor started in 2020 was special and bold, but now, it has morphed into the opposite.
The company is levered to the max with bitcoin holdings now at 1% of the entire supply ($10 billion at current prices) coming primarily from dilution and debt offerings (of which we are now in a high interest rate environment).
Meanwhile, Saylor himself continues to sell all of the stock options/shares that come his way. All it takes is for financial conditions to come back to reality for things to get ugly real quick.
It's worth betting against the crowd at the right turning point from my POV at least.
This will be one for the books either way, perhaps I am wrong.
MicroStrategy's $800 Mil Notes Offering Fuels BTC AcquisitionMicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has once again made waves in the financial world with its recent completion of an $800 million offering of 0.625% convertible senior notes due 2030. The move, which saw significant interest from qualified institutional buyers, marks a strategic play by the company to bolster its Bitcoin acquisition strategy and further solidify its position as a pioneer in the cryptocurrency space.
The offering, completed on March 8, 2024, garnered widespread attention as MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) signaled its commitment to expanding its Bitcoin holdings. The notes, which are unsecured senior obligations of the company, offer investors an opportunity to participate in MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) ambitious vision of utilizing Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset.
With a nominal interest rate of 0.625% per annum, payable semi-annually, and a maturity date set for March 15, 2030, the notes provide investors with a unique avenue to engage with MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) long-term growth trajectory. Additionally, the convertible nature of the notes allows holders the flexibility to convert them into cash, shares of MicroStrategy's class A common stock, or a combination of both, at the company's discretion.
What sets this offering apart is MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) explicit intention to utilize the net proceeds from the sale of the notes to acquire additional Bitcoin. This strategic maneuver underscores MicroStrategy's unwavering confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value and highlights its proactive approach to capitalizing on the burgeoning cryptocurrency market.
MicroStrategy's CEO, Michael Saylor, has been vocal about the company's Bitcoin-centric strategy, viewing the cryptocurrency as a hedge against inflation and a long-term store of wealth. By leveraging its operating structure and cashflows, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has amassed a substantial Bitcoin reserve, positioning itself as a trailblazer in corporate Bitcoin adoption.
The timing of the notes offering coincides with MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) ongoing efforts to enhance its position in the cryptocurrency market amidst increasing competition and regulatory scrutiny. With the conversion rate set at a premium over the current market price of MicroStrategy's class A common stock, investors stand to benefit from potential upside opportunities as the company's Bitcoin holdings appreciate in value.
However, the move is not without its risks. The volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market coupled with regulatory uncertainties presents inherent challenges for MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ). Moreover, the company's heavy reliance on Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset exposes it to fluctuations in the cryptocurrency's price, which could impact its financial stability in the long run.
Nevertheless, MicroStrategy (MSTR) remains undeterred in its pursuit of pioneering Bitcoin adoption among corporations and institutional investors. Through its strategic initiatives and relentless focus on technology innovation, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) aims to redefine the traditional financial landscape and usher in a new era of digital asset management.
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:MSTR is trading above its 200-day Moving Average. With a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 74, NASDAQ:MSTR has seen an increase of 9.66% in Premarket Trading on Monday morning.
As MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) continues to chart new territory in the cryptocurrency space, its $800 million notes offering serves as a testament to its unwavering commitment to Bitcoin and its vision of Intelligence Everywhere.
In a world where digital assets are reshaping the future of finance, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stands at the forefront of innovation, poised to shape the course of history with its bold and visionary approach.
MSTR slammed earnings beyond the parking lot LONGMSTR while Bitcoin and the whole ETF thing has caused crypto momentum had a good
4QTR23 and 8Xed the analyst's earnings estimates two days ago. The momentum is expanding
as market volume is accelerating. Late afternoon the zero lag MACD showed some recyling as
some early traders took cash off the table. To emphasize however, there is no sign of bearish
divergence on the RSI. This has gained 25% in 3 days. Anyone into the prices needed to acquire
options contracts could consider looking for an option using their own typical selection criteria.
There are others who as price is overextended and it will fade. They say the same thing about
NVDA. For me, I will take a trade here even if the continuation is short lived. At the end of
the day, Bitcoin could go to MIL:1M per each as some of those with crystal balls forecast.
See also small cap miners BTBT BTCS Cleanspark HUT and some middle caps in RIOT and
MARA. It's a buyers' market right now but only if you do not chase. Look on a low time frame
for an oversold undervalued intraday moment and take your trade !
MSTR oversold for a long tradeMSTR is now oversold but has a great earnings beat and the cryptomarkets surging to support
a bullish idea. The 15 minteu chart shows price sitting on support of the POC line of the
immediate volume profile. With confluence, it is above a fully horizontal lower VWAP line
that has no slope. Support and resistance horizontal zones are drawn in for reference purposes.
I will close my short position of the past day and switch sides here. The RSI indicator gives
reassurance as it has pivoted up from the bottom, especially the faster green line. Selling
volatility declared the bottom in the immediate term at the same time the relative volume
indicator printed a selling volume spiking black bar both immediately before the regular
market closed.
Microstrategy Bitcoin Halvening Hype FadesEveryone is gonna wake up some day and realize that the halving isnt a big deal anymore because it has a marginal impact on daily supply and demand.
The bigger factor now is institutional flows. theyve been on fire for a month or two since ETFs launched, but at some point theyre gonna decide to take profits and plan for retracement.
Look for MSTR to pull back soon to about $900, to form a new support level before rallying to $2,000 later in this year. Cheers to Michael Saylor he really is a courageous visionary.
MSTR: Likely To Fall Off Due to Heavy Dilution of ShareholdersMSTR is seen as somewhat of a BTC trust given its BTC holdings, however, over the last few years we've seen MSTR engaging in the obsessive dilution of its shareholders and in recent days it was announced that they would further dilute shareholders in order to buy more BTC at the highs. I see this as being totally against the deflationary limited supply spirit of Bitcoin and in my opinion, MSTR seems to be acting as more of a trap asset for those that are ignorant of Bitcoin itself. As a result of all of this dilution, I would expect MSTR to show weakness at these highs and retrace the majority of the move up it has had in recent weeks.
I will also add that dilution of shareholders going into a halving cycle, even if you though 1 share of MSTR represented 1 BTC, now would be a really bad time to be adding more shares given that BTC itself would actually be becoming more scarce during the same period, in many ways MSTR is more like your average Binance Smart Chain Scoin with the potential to add an infinite supply while Bitcoin itself has a fixed supply that can never be increased so all in all I find MSTR to be a very bad, misleading, and dangerous way to get Bitcoin exposure.
My preferred positioning on MSTR would be bear call spreads or bear put spreads, depending on the deals, I may choose one or the other or both.
MicroStrategy Announces Proposed Private Offering of $600 MilMicroStrategy® Incorporated (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has announced its intention to offer $600 million aggregate principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2030 in a private offering. This strategic move underscores MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) commitment to expanding its Bitcoin holdings and pursuing innovative technology initiatives.
Empowering Bitcoin Acquisition:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) proposed private offering of convertible senior notes reflects its steadfast focus on accumulating additional Bitcoin holdings. The net proceeds from the sale of the notes will be utilized to acquire more Bitcoin, further solidifying MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) position as a prominent player in the cryptocurrency space. By leveraging its financial resources, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) aims to bolster its Bitcoin treasury reserve asset, aligning with its vision of becoming a leading Bitcoin development company.
Strategic Investment and Corporate Growth:
In addition to fueling Bitcoin acquisition, the proceeds from the notes offering will support MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) general corporate purposes. This includes funding technology innovation initiatives, advocacy efforts, and the development of AI-powered enterprise analytics software. MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) multi-faceted approach encompasses both its core focus on Bitcoin accumulation and its commitment to advancing technology innovation, positioning the company for sustained growth and value creation.
Navigating Regulatory Landscape and Market Dynamics:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) decision to pursue a private offering of convertible senior notes underscores its agility in navigating evolving regulatory landscapes and market dynamics. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains proactive in its strategic initiatives, leveraging its operational structure and financial flexibility to capitalize on emerging opportunities and mitigate potential risks.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) proposed offering of $600 million convertible senior notes represents a strategic milestone in the company's journey towards enhancing its Bitcoin holdings and advancing its technology innovation agenda. With a steadfast commitment to Bitcoin accumulation, coupled with its expertise in enterprise analytics software, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) is well-positioned to drive value creation and innovation in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
nasdaq microstrategy inc +10% everyday?nasdaq microstrategy inc created head and shoulders pattern it will do a correction then breaking thge ATH
MSTR Long Momentum Seen: New High Possible?
Title:
MSTR Long Momentum Seen: New High Possible?
Overview:
Hello Traders,
MSTR is showing strong long momentum with high volume, fueling speculation of a potential push towards new highs.
NASDAQ:MSTR
Key Points:
- MSTR is exhibiting robust long momentum, supported by high trading volume, suggesting significant buying interest in the stock.
- The combination of strong momentum and high volume often indicates a continuation of the current uptrend, potentially leading MSTR to achieve new highs.
- Traders are closely monitoring MSTR's price action for confirmation of the bullish trend continuation and potential entry points for long positions.
Technical Analysis:
MSTR's price chart displays clear signs of bullish momentum, with price consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Volume indicators confirm strong buying pressure, reinforcing the bullish bias and suggesting further upside potential.
Conclusion:
With MSTR demonstrating strong long momentum and high volume, traders may anticipate a push towards new highs. However, it's essential to remain vigilant and monitor price action closely for confirmation of the uptrend continuation before entering into new positions.
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