NFLX pullback to $803MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is positive
Price at 4.618 Fibonacci level
Down from $876.75
Target is $803 or channel bottom
will manually stop loss
1NFLX trade ideas
NETFLIX historic pattern targets $1500 in 2025.Last time we looked at Netflix (NFLX) was on its earnings release (October 21, see chart below), when we gave a strong bullish signal that easily hit our $840.00 Target:
Since 3 week ago, the price even broke above the dominant 1-year Channel Up and is now in search of a new pattern. This pattern can be found if we zoom out considerably on the 1W time-frame, where the underlying pattern since the U.S. Housing Crisis is a 25-year Channel Up.
The symmetry within this pattern is high and in fact since the June 2022 market bottom (which was a Higher Low on the Channel Up), the stock has been on a Bull Cycle. The Bear Cycle that preceded it had a massive decline of -77%. The last correction of this magnitude was the July 2011 - August 2012 Bear Cycle, which declined by -83%.
The two Bull Cycles that followed Netflix's golden years were identical (+825% and +847%). As a result, we assume that the current Bull Cycle will also rise by at least +825% from its bottom, which gives us a $1500 Target towards the end of 2025.
Notice also how both the 2012 - 2014 and 2022 - 2024 Bull Cycles had a 1W Golden Cross.
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Classic Elliot Wave Reversal?NFLX is on my short radar and given today's pullback candle after a divergent 3rd wave up. I'm expecting further pullback on any weakness in the market this week; perhaps after a bad inflation data.
Looking for a drive below $900 and lower ultimately around $865 region in the coming week(s).
Netflix - Please Buy This All Time High!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will retest the resistance trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Netflix is currently perfectly breaking above the previous all time high and with a +16% candle of November, bulls are totally in control of this stock. If we look at previous cycles, there is a 100% chance that Netflix will now retest the upper resistance trendline of the reverse triangle.
Levels to watch: $1.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$NFLX Farewell , I bid the adeiu It was a nice ride I'm sure. But it's time to go back down now. RSI hitting resistance on the monthly. Daily exhausted with 7 green days in a row , with a doji to top it off. I would love a gap up and touch of the highs, then flush!! 3 days of red incoming. Monthlies can pay well 💬
NFLX: Expecting a 5%+ HaircutNFLX has risen well above the SMA's and has seemingly topped out at the 906-908 level. This recent high of 902 shows two fib confirmations (retracement and extension) that NFLX will retrace to as low as 932 in the coming week or 2. If the SMA's continue upward after this retracement, I am still bullish. However, if they begin to rollover with a price drop, then further selling will ensue.
Volume Cluster Breakouts: A Trader's GuideVolume clusters are valuable tools for spotting potential breakout opportunities on lower timeframes. In this guide, we’ll explore how to identify these clusters, understand their underlying dynamics, and leverage them to refine your breakout trading strategies.
What Are Volume Clusters?
Volume clusters are areas on a price chart where significant trading activity converges with price compression, often preceding breakouts. These clusters form when multiple Points of Control (PoCs)—price levels where the highest trading volume occurs—align closely over a period of time. This concentrated activity highlights zones of intense market focus, where buyers and sellers reach a temporary equilibrium.
The SVP HD (Session Volume Profile High Definition) indicator plays a key role in identifying these clusters. It visually maps trading volume across price levels and highlights PoCs as red lines. When PoCs cluster at similar price levels, it suggests that market participants are heavily engaged in a specific range, indicating potential energy buildup.
Nvidia 5min Candle Chart: PoC’s Start to Cluster
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Price compression patterns , such as wedges or triangles, often develop around these clustered PoCs. These patterns signal that the market is coiling, preparing to release pent-up energy.
Nvidia 5min Candle Chart: Structural Price Compression
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The combination of clustering PoC’s and price compression creates potential for a significant price move—either breaking out of the range or reversing sharply. By using tools like the SVP HD indicator alongside price action analysis, traders can spot volume clusters and anticipate breakout opportunities with greater precision.
Nvidia 5min Candle Chart: Volume Cluster
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
How Can We Trade Volume Clusters?
Volume clusters provide an ideal environment for breakout trading. The combination of compressed price action and concentrated volume creates a high-probability setup for a significant price move once the range breaks. Here’s how to trade them:
Identify the Breakout Level: The first step is to recognise the compression pattern (e.g., wedge, triangle) formed around the PoCs. A breakout above the upper boundary or below the lower boundary of this compression zone signals a potential move in that direction.
Anchor a Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): Once the breakout occurs, anchor a VWAP to the origin of the move (the point where the breakout started). This VWAP helps with trade management by providing a dynamic level to monitor price action and adjust stops or targets as the price progresses.
Set Stops and Targets: Place your initial stop just outside the opposite side of the compression pattern (e.g., below the lower trendline for an upward breakout or above the upper trendline for a downward breakout). The anchored VWAP can be used as a dynamic trailing stop. For targets, consider a multiple of the range of the compression pattern or look for key support/resistance levels to guide your exit strategy.
By following these steps, you can effectively trade volume clusters, capturing the momentum created by the breakout and managing your trades with precision.
Example: Netflix 5min Chart
Before: On Netflix’s five-minute candle chart we are seeing the daily PoC’s start to cluster around similar prices. We then start to see the market’s swing structure compress – creating a volatility cluster – signalling a breakout could be imminent.
Netflix 5min Candle Chart: Volume Cluster
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
After: We then see Netflix enter a multi-day breakout which sees the share run higher for several sessions – tracking above multiple anchored VWAP’s.
Netflix 5min Candle Chart: Breakout
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Strengths and Weaknesses of Trading Volume Clusters
Strengths
• Clear Market Insight: Volume clusters highlight areas of market balance, providing traders with clear, actionable breakout zones.
• High Breakout Potential: The combination of concentrated volume and price compression creates an ideal setup for strong, directional price moves once the range is broken.
• Enhanced Trade Management: Anchoring a VWAP to the breakout origin offers a dynamic tool for setting stops and targets, improving risk management and profit-taking strategies.
Weaknesses
• False Breakouts: Not all breakouts succeed. When volume clusters fail, price action can reverse sharply, resulting in false signals and potential losses.
• Lagging Nature of PoC: The Point of Control is inherently a lagging indicator, as it reflects past activity. While combining PoC with real-time price structure analysis mitigates this to some extent, it’s crucial to remain cautious.
• Limited Market Context: Volume clusters focus on localized activity and don’t inherently account for broader market trends or higher timeframe dynamics. This lack of context can weaken their reliability, which we’ll address in the next section.
Other Factors to Consider
To maximise the effectiveness of trading volume clusters, traders should consider additional factors:
Higher Timeframe Support and Resistance: Aligning the volume cluster with key support and resistance levels on higher timeframes increases the reliability of the breakout.
Higher Timeframe Trend: Always consider the broader market trend. Volume clusters work best when they occur in the direction of the larger trend, as they provide higher probability setups.
Catalysts Behind the Breakout: Look for catalysts that could drive the breakout, such as economic news releases, earnings reports, or changes in market sentiment. A catalyst can fuel the breakout and lead to a sustained price move.
By factoring in these elements, traders can improve the probability of a successful breakout when trading volume clusters.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NFLX THE COMING CRASH WAVE 5 of 5 ,I am long PUTS The chart posted is the POSTER CHILD for Classic Elliot Wave as we are now in the final 5 of 5 waves up 2025 should be similar to 2022 Pain as the net long of traders is now based on options positions and well as insider selling Is giving me a major TOP we should see the first half of 2025 as very big in the SELLOFF . The best of trades WAVETIMER
The 3 Reasons To Buy This StockThis market cycle is the most crazy
and sadly this happens almost every year.
They always comes a time
when suddenly I get popular
then "poof" my popularity disappears.
My guess is that every year we have a surge
of NEW retail investors both young and old
into the capital markets for some it may be because
they are looking for alternative investments
and others maybe are seasoned traders
looking to learn something new
This used to frustrate me a lot
because you know being popular is addictive
and can force you to change your goals
And become very aggressive in
your marketing if you aspire to be
an entrepreneur
There is nothing wrong with online
business as long as you are willing to help
your fellow human being.
When you look at this
chart of NASDAQ:NFLX
I want you to notice 3 things::
1-The wall of sellers represented
by the tall red candlestick this idea I got from Tim Sykes.
2-The bull power has been rising for the past 4 days
despite this market price crash
3-The rising high negative volume
These 3 things are giving what we call
in trend analysis as a "Bear trap"
Or a reversal.
This can be difficult to understand
but you can really reach a point in your life
where once you get it
You can make serious income from it.
if you understand the trap.
sadly many people don't see the trap
and once they happen
the market shakes in opposite
Also notice that its following the rocket
booster strategy to learn more
about this strategy refer to the
resources below
Thank you so much for following
and reading.
Trade safe.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Please use a simulation trading tool
before you trade with real money
Trading is risky because of this you
have to have profit-taking and risk-management strategies.
$NFLX SniperSimple setup with some projected data points as price targets in time. If and only if at least 3 of them are hit, and maybe a wild card pivot point at any of the elements, preferably the pink rectangle, I would strongly suggest analyzing the potential for a bounce from the green rectangle zone in case another power wave forms that pushes the price higher. The idea is to hunt for the potential power wave, as these are the most fun to trade: momentum, volatility, few days in a trade but with bigger moves.
This project was made on a whim, so I might add one or two more elements during the update comments, but the main idea is straight forwards, easy to understand and easy to approach, as long as we pay close attention to the Japanese Candlesticks for any setups. For this one, in this case, for the simulated/imagined scenario, I will have a lookout for candlestick shadows for any clues, as these stocks can jump up and down without prior warning because of the trading hours.
Last but not least, whatever happens to the price action its relation/reaction to the elements in the project, the green rectangle is a projected potential support and resistance zone (in its specific time zone)/
NFLX-SELL strategy 3 Daily ChartConsidering the 3Daily chart, its RSI and trading way above the KC, suggest strongly we will correct. The share increased sharply on the income of the fight ( and so did the share buying fighters :)
anyway, setting aside the income, technically we are very overdone, and I feel we will return back towards $ 810 minimum.
Strategy SELL current $ 890 - 910 and take profit near $ 815-825.
Netflix "still loading"Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Fight: Netflix Draws Criticism for Buffering, Freezing and Lagging During Live Event. This is a straight forward short analysis on Netflix. It's based on the average trajectory (centerline) with support and resistance parallel lines. The main trajectory is based from 2016 to date and it's support and resistance levels line up with November 2021 high of 700 and April 2022 low of 185. The smaller trajectory is based off April 2022 low of 185 to date November 2024 high of 890.
NFLX 2022 trajectory by April 2025
high = 905
mid = 775
low = 635
NFLX 2016 trajectory by April 2025
high = 855
mid = 595
low = 340
NFLX options data:
1/17/25 LEAPS expiry
Put Volume Total 2,776
Call Volume Total 1,373
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.02
Put Open Interest Total 112,526
Call Open Interest Total 66,997
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.68
The #1 Reason To Master Candlesticks The young people in my neighborhood are unemployed and this is really
Making me sad.
Meanwhile in other countries the youth have online television to numb the pain of unemployment
It's true when I read in an organizational behavior text book that stated that poverty is relative.
It means every place has its own "type" of poverty.
Wether that's true or not is up for debate.Being an academic is way way different from capitalism and learning about capital markets.
If you look at this chart NASDAQ:NFLX you will see a candle stick pattern based on momentum.
This pattern I called a "Hammer"
Used to signal support.
Yesterday I decide to walk to clear my brain.
And then as I was reading the book by Steve Nisson On Candles stick patterns
This question kept lingering in the back of my mind.
"Can you trade in the opposite direction?"
This question made me freeze.
You see when I began studying about trading and learning a new system..
This is the question that brought fear to my mind, because if I can not trade on the opposite direction then the system wont work.
On my kindle device it says am 50% into the book and already..in
my mind I am getting flash backs as I am trying to "mirror"
The candle stick patterns to the systems of trading I have already mastered.
One of them is called the 🚀 Rocket booster strategy.
--
To learn more about it check out the resources below ⬇️
--
As I was walking a lightbulb "clicked"
" Candlesticks can be used as a tool of Momentum"
I thought to myself
"Candlesticks are like a river they are strongest in the middle"
Remember that quote.
Candlestick patterns are essential and mastering them finally has given me an asernal tool that will help me have an edge
Over the competition in the financial markets.
Trade safe.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not.
Also practice on a simulation trading account before you use real money.