1NVDA trade ideas
NVDA Possible Diamond TopNVDA Possible Diamond Top inside this channel, pay attention to this area of consolidation should be a big move after words.
$NVDASame thing as $AMD. Daily bands are very tight. NASDAQ:NVDA Leading the market today 2.07% with AMEX:SPY breakeven 0.06%. China & US meeting today.
$NVDA Breaks Out of Ascending Triangle – 140 Next?NVDA just broke and retested an ascending triangle on the 4H chart — a textbook bullish continuation pattern.
After plunging more than 40% from its highs, NVDA is now pressing higher, setting its sights on the $140 resistance zone — which also lines up closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the all-time high to the swing low at $86.
🟢 Bullish case: We’re seeing clean structure, breakout volume, and a successful retest of prior resistance as new support.
🔴 Bearish divergence: RSI is flashing a potential warning — price is climbing, but momentum is cooling off.
With earnings on the 28th and $140 looming above, this is a must-watch chart. NVDA was the media darling of 2023–2024, and now it’s quietly building steam while most aren’t paying attention.
Could we be setting up for a run back to all-time highs — while the herd sleeps?
📊 Watchlist this one. This move could impact the entire semiconductor sector. NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA 4-hr Outlook1. Swept Weekly High with draw back into 4-hr gap up.
2. If price breaks below here, my target becomes the re-test of the 4-hr break due to the impulse move through that high.
a. WARNING: Need to watch for support on Weekly FVG and CE of 4-hr wick and support off .382 fib.
b. If target breaks below, then I would like long puts or sell calls into re-test of break as it shows rejection on the .25 fib line.
3. As we re-test this area I would like to see full support into the .50 fib/FVG.
a. Why? Confluence with FVG and Fib
b. Want to see a hammer style candle indicating support
NVDA 4 HR. WAVE 3 IS LIKELY OVER & DROPPING ON CORRECTION!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 123. 2). Risk Assets are weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 100% & PRICE 125.
NVDA 143+ I like Nvda for a day trade idea. If its break the line at 141.60. Can push to 142 - 147. Like the flag here
NVDA Bullish Strucure – Targeting $157 and a $3.46T Market Cap NVIDIA (NVDA) is forming a bullish continuation pattern on the 1H chart. Price action has broken above key resistance at $141.85, holding steady in pre-market at $142.31.
📈 Technical Analysis Highlights:
Fibonacci extensions show a clean breakout setup
Measured move targets $157.19 (Fib 3.0), representing +11.74% upside
Key support levels:
◾ $140.63 – recent consolidation base
◾ $132.68 – the lower trendline from May
📊 Market Cap Zones in Focus:
$270B Market Cap → corresponds to the $132–135 price area
$320B Market Cap → aligns with the $157 target zone (Fib 3.0)
These market cap levels match key price zones, adding conviction to the technical targets. A break and hold above $145 could accelerate the move toward the upper Fibonacci cluster.
Volume confirms accumulation, and price is respecting both horizontal and trendline supports.
💬 Will NVDA hit the $320B market cap before retracing????
#NVDA #NVIDIA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCap #Fibonacci #Breakout #NASDAQ #TechStocks #StockMarket
$NVDA - $250 PT Bullish Cup & HandleThere is a Bullish Cup and Handle Setting Up. Height of the Cup is the Price Objective which would take the stock from current levels to roughly $250.
Potential Reversal Zone for NVDAThis chart of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) as of June 3, 2025, shows a technical analysis scenario forecasting a possible bearish reversal. The price action, zones, and arrows suggest a setup based on supply and demand zones.
Key Elements in the Chart:
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance Area)
Location: Around $141.73 to ~$144
Observation: The price recently entered this red-shaded area, indicating strong historical resistance.
Implication: The area is expected to act as a ceiling, where sellers may overwhelm buyers, causing a reversal.
⚫ Price Reaction:
The chart shows price approaching and briefly piercing the supply zone, followed by a bearish candle or rejection (as indicated by the top arrow).
Arrows project a downward movement, suggesting bearish sentiment.
🟢 Demand Zone (Support Area)
Location: Approximately $114–$121
Observation: This green-shaded area acted as a base for a previous upward move.
Implication: It is likely to act as a strong support if the price drops significantly.
Projected Price Path:
Short-term reversal from the resistance zone (~$144).
Initial drop to mid $130s (likely a lower high or minor support).
Continuation to demand zone around $116, completing the projected bearish move.
Technical Interpretation:
This setup is a classic supply and demand reversal strategy.
Confirmation of the short setup may require:
A clear rejection candle at resistance.
Break of minor support levels on the way down.
Risk for bulls is high near resistance; short sellers may find opportunities targeting the demand zone.
NVDA 6/3 $143 CallsPrice has been going in an uptrend so just continuing the trend.
Price broke above Mondays high and retested during premarket this morning on tuesday
Entry and confirmation was during market open because it closed in a hammer candlestick indicating a continuation to the upside.
Target was 141 a respected key level
NVIDIA(NVDA) Jackpot – Thief Trading Blueprint for Fast Profits!🚀 NVDA Stock Heist: The Ultimate AI Gold Rush (Scalping/Day Trade Plan)
🌟 Hey there, Market Pirates! 🏴☠️💰
Thieves, Traders, and Money Makers—gather around! Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master blueprint to loot NVIDIA’s AI-fueled rally. Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is LIVE! Our escape? Near the high-risk Resistance Zone. Overbought? Consolidation? Reversal trap? Bears are lurking, but we’re stealing profits first! 🎯💸
🎯 Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the AI gold at any price—the heist is ON!"
Pro Tip: Use buy limits within 15-30min near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief’s Escape Route)
SL at recent swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk & lot size.
Scalpers/Day Traders: Tighten SL if stacking multiple orders.
🏆 Target 🎯: 165.00 (The AI Jackpot!)
📈 Why NVDA?
Bullish momentum from AI dominance, earnings hype, and institutional FOMO.
Tech sector strength + chip demand = THIEF’S PARADISE.
📰 Fundamental Heist Intel
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⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Control
Avoid new trades during earnings/news—volatility kills heists!
Trailing SLs = Locked profits. Don’t get greedy!
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$NVDA one more correctionSHORT NASDAQ:NVDA NOW.
-NO VOLUME TODAY
-$141 RESISTANCE
-Market maker will shake off the weak hands first
NVIDIA: Is Wall Street's AI Darling Still a Good Investment?When you hear the name NVIDIA, what comes to mind?
Chances are, you're thinking of gaming graphics cards, or perhaps the explosive rise of Artificial Intelligence. And you're not wrong — NVIDIA powers everything from ChatGPT to Tesla's self-driving tech. But behind all the hype, there's a more important question serious investors should ask:
“Is NVIDIA still a smart investment at this price?”
As a value investor who combines deep fundamental analysis with AI-powered tools, I’m going to walk you through a comprehensive breakdown of NVIDIA from a true value lens — one that strips away the hype and reveals the numbers that actually matter.
Whether you're a beginner trying to learn how to value stocks or a seasoned investor looking for clarity, this guide will change the way you think about investing in companies like NVDA.
Let’s dive in.
🧩 First: What Even Is NVIDIA?
To understand whether NVIDIA is a good buy, you first need to understand what it actually does — and why it’s considered one of the most powerful companies of our time.
👇 TL;DR – NVIDIA in 3 Sentences:
💲It builds the GPUs (Graphics Processing Units) that power video games, AI models like ChatGPT, and high-performance computing in data centers.
💲It dominates the AI infrastructure market, which is growing faster than nearly any other tech vertical.
💲It's now worth over $3 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies in human history.
NVIDIA has become the "picks and shovels" of the AI gold rush. But just because a company is great… doesn’t mean it’s a great investment at any price.
🧠 Understanding Value: What Makes a Stock Undervalued or Overvalued?
Before we dive into numbers, let’s get one thing straight:
Value investing is not about buying cheap stocks. It’s about buying great businesses for less than they’re worth.
To determine whether NVIDIA is undervalued, I ran it through six professional-grade valuation models and created a weighted average fair value, factoring in both upside potential and risk.
These models include:
✅ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
✅ Price-to-Earnings Multiples
✅ PEG Ratios
✅ Graham Formula
✅ Dividend Discount Model
✅ Forward Earnings Forecasts
Sound complicated? It is. But I’ll walk you through every step — in plain English.
💵 Market Snapshot (as of June 2, 2025)
Current Stock Price: $137.38
Consensus Price Target (from analysts): $171.62
My Fair Value Estimate (weighted model): $152.83
Upside Potential: ~11% conservatively, up to 27% if analyst targets are correct
📊 Let’s Break Down the Valuation Models — One by One
1️⃣ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
Think of this like saying:
“If I owned the entire company, how much cash would it make me in the future — and what is that worth today?”
Assumptions:
Revenue grows at 5% annually (very conservative)
We use a 10% discount rate (standard)
Future cash flows are modeled out 10 years
📈 Fair Value from DCF: $140.00
2️⃣ P/E Multiples (Price-to-Earnings)
This method compares NVIDIA’s earnings to its price — kind of like asking, “How many dollars do I pay for each $1 in profit?”
The S&P 500’s average P/E is ~20–25. NVIDIA’s is higher because it’s a growth company.
📈 Fair Value from P/E: $160.00
Based on applying an industry-adjusted multiple
3️⃣ Forward P/E Valuation
Instead of looking backward at past earnings, this looks forward at projected earnings.
If a company is growing fast, this method often shows better value.
📈 Fair Value from Forward P/E: $150.00
4️⃣ Graham Formula (Ben Graham’s Classic Approach)
Ben Graham, Warren Buffett’s mentor, created this formula to calculate intrinsic value based on growth and earnings. You can read about Graham's formular here
We applied very conservative growth assumptions to avoid overestimating.
📈 Fair Value from Graham Formula: $145.00
5️⃣ PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings/Growth)
This tells us if the company’s price is justified based on how fast it’s growing. A PEG of 1.0 is considered fairly valued.
📈 NVIDIA PEG Ratio: 0.98
📈 Fair Value Estimate: $155.00
👉 Translation: It’s priced just right for its explosive growth
6️⃣ Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
This is only useful for mature companies that pay dividends. NVIDIA reinvests most of its profits, so this model gives a low valuation.
📉 Fair Value from DDM: $130.00
But we’ll only weight this lightly, since the dividend is tiny.
📊 Final Verdict: Average Fair Value = $152.83 (weighted by models)
Current price = $137.38
Undervalued by ~11% under conservative modeling
⚖️ How I Weighed the Models (And Why It Matters)
Not every valuation model should be treated equally. Some are better suited for mature, dividend-paying companies. Others shine when analyzing high-growth innovators like NVIDIA. That’s why I didn’t just average all six models — I assigned weights based on relevance and reliability for this specific company.
Here’s the logic behind each one:
🔹 Discounted Cash Flow (20%)
NVIDIA generates massive free cash flow and has excellent visibility into future earnings — which makes DCF one of the most grounded ways to assess its intrinsic value.
🔹 Price-to-Earnings Multiple (20%)
With strong profits and high margins, NVIDIA deserves comparison against peers in the semiconductor space. The P/E model helps anchor valuation in current profitability.
🔹 Forward P/E (10%)
Because NVIDIA is growing rapidly, it's important to consider how the market is pricing in future earnings. However, since forward estimates can be speculative, I assigned it a lighter weight.
🔹 Graham Formula (20%)
This classic value investing formula focuses on earnings and growth with a built-in margin of safety. It’s perfect for assessing quality businesses like NVIDIA using conservative assumptions.
🔹 PEG Ratio (15%)
NVIDIA is growing earnings at a blistering pace. The PEG ratio adjusts the P/E multiple based on growth, giving us a powerful signal of whether the stock is expensive or not — especially for growth companies.
🔹 Dividend Discount Model (15%)
Although NVIDIA pays a small dividend, it's not central to its investment case. I included the DDM for completeness, but gave it the lowest weighting because the company reinvests most of its profits into growth, not shareholder payouts.
By applying these weights, I wasn’t just looking for a single “right” answer — I was building a balanced, multi-lens perspective on fair value. The result? A composite intrinsic value of $152.83, backed by a methodology that respects both fundamentals and growth dynamics.
Now let’s zoom out and look at bigger signals of strength.
📚 Book Value Growth: The Hidden Gem Most People Miss
Let’s talk about something almost every retail investor overlooks — Book Value Per Share (BVPS).
Think of BVPS as the company’s “net worth per share.” It’s the raw value of what shareholders would receive if NVIDIA liquidated all its assets and paid off its debts. While most growth investors are obsessed with flashy revenue numbers and AI headlines, I always take time to peek under the hood — and what I found with NVIDIA is quietly impressive.
Over the past five years, NVIDIA has steadily built shareholder value. In 2020, its book value per share sat at just $5.00. But by 2024, it had grown to $12.50. That’s not a fluke — it’s a 20% compounded annual growth rate. That’s the kind of consistent, behind-the-scenes compounding that Warren Buffett dreams about.
Looking ahead, if that same growth trend continues, we could see BVPS hit around $31.00 by 2029. Apply a reasonable price-to-book multiple, and you’re staring at a potential valuation of $341.00 per share — a full 2.5x from today’s levels.
🔹 This isn’t hype. It’s quiet, compounding strength.
🔹 It’s what great businesses do while the world’s distracted by headlines.
🔍 The Metrics That Matter
Metrics are just numbers — until you know what they actually mean. Here’s how I interpret NVIDIA’s financial DNA.
🔹 P/E Ratio at 44.31 — Yes, it’s high. But when you’re growing earnings 40% per year, that multiple starts to make sense. Growth is expensive — but NVIDIA is earning its premium.
🔹 Forward P/E at 28.33 — This reflects what investors are willing to pay based on projected future earnings. It signals that Wall Street still sees upside.
🔹 Return on Equity (ROE) at 106.92% — That’s not a typo. NVIDIA is generating more than double its net income for every dollar of shareholder equity. This is an elite business, deploying capital like few others.
🔹 Debt-to-Equity Ratio at 0.50 — Leverage is low, which means less risk. NVIDIA isn’t overextending itself, even as it scales aggressively.
🔹 Earnings Growth of 40% over 5 years — Very few large-cap companies are compounding at this rate. This is what separates a fast mover from a long-term compounder.
🔹 Free Cash Flow of $30B — Cash is king. And NVIDIA is sitting on a throne. This level of liquidity gives them options — to reinvest, acquire, or return capital to shareholders.
These aren’t just stats to admire. They’re signals — and they all point in one direction: strength.
📰 What’s Happening Right Now?
In the short term, NVIDIA has had some turbulence, but its fundamentals remain rock-solid. Here's what’s shaping its current narrative:
🔹 Record-breaking Q1 Revenue: $44.1 billion — up 69% year-over-year. Yes, you read that right. That kind of acceleration is unheard of at this scale.
🔹 The Blackwell Era Begins: Their new generation of chips is designed for “reasoning AI,” setting the stage for a whole new wave of demand.
🔹 Geopolitical Friction: Export controls and restrictions on China are projected to cost NVIDIA roughly $8 billion in lost sales. That’s real. But it’s also being offset by explosive growth in other global markets.
🔹 Inventory Write-Down: A $4.5 billion hit due to inventory adjustments. It's a short-term bruise, not a structural fracture.
🔹 Still Crushing Expectations: Even with these headwinds, NVIDIA continues to beat estimates and outperform peers.
This is what execution looks like under pressure. The headlines might look shaky — but the engine is still roaring.
📈 Technicals: What Do the Charts Say?
Even if you're a fundamentals-first investor like me, it pays to respect the chart. Momentum reflects psychology — and right now, sentiment is riding high.
🔹 Key support level at $130 — buyers step in here consistently.
🔹 Resistance zones at $143 and $150 — breaking above these could trigger further momentum.
🔹 50-day moving average at $135 — the stock is trading above this line, suggesting strength.
🔹 Golden Cross + Bull Flag — classic technical signals of an uptrend continuation. Bulls are still in control.
When price action and fundamentals align — that’s when conviction turns into action.
🧠 Bottom Line: Should You Buy NVIDIA?
Let’s get honest.
NVIDIA is not a value trap. It’s a compounder — a business with the financials, growth, and market position to continue dominating for years.
Is it risky? Yes. All growth stories are.
But the data doesn’t lie:
✅ Strong balance sheet
✅ Massive cash flow
✅ Global AI leadership
✅ Undervalued by multiple models
Even conservative valuation models suggest NVIDIA is trading below its true worth.
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NVDA Waiting for the Right DipAfter posting record earnings and riding the AI momentum wave, NVIDIA has finally started to cool off a bit and honestly, it’s healthy. The stock had a massive run, and now we’re seeing some consolidation, which could set up the next solid entry for those of us who didn’t chase the highs.
Here’s how I’m planning to approach it:
📍 Entry levels I’m watching:
Around $130 if we see a quick bounce off that zone.
If it dips further, I’m eyeing the $125–$118 area—lots of previous interest there.
And if things get really spicy, $112-108 would be a gift level for a strong entry.
🎯 Profit targets on the bounce:
$140 – First take profit, solid and realistic.
$145 – Next key level where sellers could show up.
$150 – Full recovery and possible breakout if momentum kicks back in.
I’m not in a rush to jump in. Let it come to the levels, confirm the move, and then ride it up. NVDA remains a beast long-term, but short-term patience pays.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice—just sharing my personal trading game plan. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NVDA Just Broke Structure – Bounce or Breakdown Incoming?📊 NVDA GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Overview)
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) closed at $135.13, down nearly 3% on Friday, and has now pulled back from the gamma resistance cluster between 140–145. GEX sentiment is cooling, and the chart shows we just lost the HVL (High Volume Level) around 137.5, putting bulls in a tricky spot.
GEX Levels to Know:
* 🟢 Positive gamma stack at 140 → 145 → 150, with 143.9 as the next key magnet IF price recovers.
* 🟥 Heavy dealer put interest below 134 → 130 → 125; GEX sharply negative down there.
* 🧊 IVR 10.2 = super cheap options → ideal setup for directional trades using debit spreads.
💡 Options Strategy:
* Bullish: If NVDA reclaims 137.5, play for bounce back to 140–143. Look at Jul 19 140c or 137.5/145c spread.
* Bearish: If it fails to reclaim 135 and breaks 133.25, play toward 130–131. Look at Jul 19 132p/125p vertical.
Dealers may flip short under 133, increasing the chance of acceleration if support breaks.
🕵️♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing/Intraday View)
The 1-hour chart tells a clear story: NVDA broke short-term structure with CHoCH and BOS under 135, and is now channeling downward with a falling wedge-type pattern. The SMC supply at 143–145 held strong.
Key Notes:
* ⚠️ Breakdown from rising structure, now forming new bearish channel.
* 🟩 Short-term CHoCH support near 133.25 is key — if lost, opens 130 fast.
* 🟣 Momentum + RSI screaming overbought → likely a lower high if it bounces to 138 area.
📈 Swing Setup:
* Short bias while under 137.5.
* Entry: rejection near 136–137
* Target: 133.2, then 130.4
* Bull case only resumes if we reclaim 138 clean → invalidates the breakdown.
📊 Intraday Playbook:
* Short bounce into 136.25–137.5 (previous BOS zone).
* Long scalp bounce off 133.25, but only for short-term risk-controlled play.
Bias = Bearish unless 137.5 is reclaimed. Don’t fight the momentum.
🧠 Final Thoughts
NVDA has shifted from leader to potential drag — at least near term. The structure is broken, and GEX is aligning with downside momentum. IV is cheap, making this a great week for defined-risk option plays, whether you’re looking to fade pops or scalp breakdowns.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
WAVE 4 IS LIKELY OVER!1). Bond market buying likely put the "Kibosh" on deeper diving correctives! 2). Risk Assets are extremely Bullish!
NVIDIA: 4H Golden Cross starting new Channel Up Leg.NVIDIA is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.736, MACD = 5.860, ADX = 49.646) as it has established and maintained a Channel Up since its April bottom. The completion of a 4H Golden Cross has validated the start of the pattern's new bullish wave. The previous one topped at +30.58%. With the price already rebounding, we are bullish, aiming for a new HH (TP = 169.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NVDA further consolidation needed Purgatory should be expected after the most recent 2-3 year run IMO... NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SMH
= Sideways chop to down can be expected.
My buy view for NVDAMy buy view for NVDA.
Nvidia has made a significant push up after the meltdown following the new US tariff news.
The push-up is likely cooling off for this baby.
If the current consolidation continues to be sustained by the support zone (TL) in this zone, we are likely to see NVDA rally to $149 and $152 as TP1 and TP2, respectively.
My SL will be around $128.9 zone for both.
RR of 1:4 and 1:4.8
Trade with care
NVDA Hits the Ceiling – Breakout or Bull Trap?NVIDIA is charging into a massive resistance wall with fading momentum and no volume punch—either it explodes through $150 or this rally dies at the top.
Technical Breakdown – NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)
1. Price Action – Into the Fire
NVDA is retesting its all-time high zone ($135–$150), which previously rejected multiple times. This yellow/red zone is a congestion and distribution range — classic bear battleground. Each push into this area has ended in selling pressure — so buyers need real power to break it this time.
2. MACD – Bullish, But Flattening
MACD crossed bullish in early May, driving this run. However, momentum is now flattening out — a sign that follow-through is weakening. Histogram bars are shrinking → momentum is fading, not building.
3. RSI – Bullish but Tiring
RSI peaked near 70 and is now at 63.06 — momentum rolled off just as price hit resistance. This sets up a bearish divergence risk: if price breaks higher and RSI makes a lower high, that’s a classic top signal. For now, RSI is still constructive, but losing steam.
4. Volume – No Climax Yet
Volume is not exploding on this push into resistance — suggests this is not a conviction breakout (yet). Prior breakouts came with clear volume surges; without that, we could see a failed breakout / bull trap.
5. Contextual Read – High Expectations
Sentiment around NVDA is extremely bullish with AI mania in full gear. But that’s exactly when tops form — when everyone’s already in, there are no marginal buyers left. The $135–$150 zone is where smart money sells to latecomers if there's no catalyst to push higher.
Conclusion – NVDA at a Probable Inflection Point
NVIDIA is at major resistance with waning momentum and no volume confirmation — the burden of proof is on the bulls.
Unless:
We get a decisive close above $150 on surging volume
MACD extends bullish
RSI holds above 60
This looks like a sell zone, not a buy zone.
NVDANVDA crashed into resistance at 143.5
and now it look like it's headed for underlying support level
if the lower support hold they could project NVDA towards the break of the upper resistance
befor and than, up to dynamic resistance above (purple line)
Losing support could project to new lows
