Long Bullish Idea — Reddit $RDDT (4H Chart)Alright, here’s the play.
Reddit’s been bleeding inside this falling channel for months. But here’s where it gets interesting.
→ IF price holds this buy zone around $100 - $95...
→ THEN I’m expecting a breakout towards $135 as first target. That’s about +34%.
Strong bounce here, plus a clean break of this descending channel = confirmation for me.
Volume is kicking in — I wanna see continuation.
→ IF price breaks $135 with momentum...
→ THEN next stop is $165 — the 2nd target. That’s another +20%.
This isn’t a scalp. It’s a swing idea. 2-5 months range.
Earnings 1st May could be a catalyst — but I want to be in early, not chasing after.
→ IF price loses $70 support with volume...
→ THEN idea invalidated. No ego, I’m out.
Simple plan. Clear levels. No hope, just execution.
1RDDT trade ideas
Reddit DeathcrossThe market is selling of and we are witnessing a brutal drop on Reddit, arguably the best recent IPO. I fully expect the downtrend to continue. I did warn traders and investors that we will have a large drop in tech, particularly in names like Monday, Tesla. Smart money was positioning in safer names like Nestle, please look at my trade idea for that.
I do like Reddit but its valuation was inflated. If $100 doesn’t hold I expect the gap to be filled around $80-85. That could be a place for long term investors to initiate a position.
Not financial advice, do what’s best for you.
RDDT – Growth, Margins, Cash Flow, and Low Cost.Let’s look at the financial metrics sequentially:
- Revenue grew 73% YoY, reaching $427M last quarter.
- Next quarter, the company forecasts revenue of just $370M, but this is due to annual seasonality, which was particularly noticeable two years ago when revenue dropped from $200M to $163M.
- The Q4 2025 forecast projects revenue of $556M—a new company record. However, growth will be just 20% YoY, which looks modest compared to the current 73%, but remains double-digit and confirms a steady upward trend.
The company’s key advantage is its gross margin, which consistently exceeds 85% and reached 92.6% last quarter—an impressive result.
- Operating expenses were $200M a year ago but have since surged to $300–350M over the past year.
- The company should indeed control costs, but it appears to have already reached profitable operational growth.
- With Invested Capital at $411M, projected annual operating profit ($49M × 4) would be $196M. The company’s ROIC looks very compelling.
Liquidity:
- Cash & short-term investments: $1.8B
- Current liabilities $176M
- Market cap: FWB:20B
- Loss over the past 12 months: $484M
Conclusion:
We’re looking at a fast-growing, high-margin company with low debt, significant liquidity reserves, and room for further growth.
The main negative factor is the automatic blocking system for low-karma users on the site. The platform is indeed very strict in this regard, but it doesn’t seem to hinder its growth or profitability.
RDDT stock previously declined due to risks of reduced online ad spending amid weak economic indicators and changes in pricing policies. However, the market now realizes this was just a temporary Trump-era play that’s coming to an end—and we’re getting a great entry price.
Not Out of the Woods Yet: RDDT’s Critical Test at 83.6RDDT looks like it's in the late stages of a bearish cycle, but hasn’t confirmed a reversal yet. Here’s what stands out:
✅ Bearish pattern targets completed: This suggests that the technical downside has largely played out, and we might be near exhaustion.
📉 -65% from February highs: That’s a deep correction — often the kind that starts to attract value hunters or bounce trades.
📍Testing a key gap level: Price returning to the origin of a previous gap can act as strong support. It's a high-stakes area.
⚠️ 20% rebound but trend still bearish: A sharp bounce doesn't break the downtrend. It could be a bear market rally — unless confirmed.
❌ Below 20-day and 200-day MAs: Momentum and long-term trend are still against the stock.
👀 Level to watch — 83.6: Holding and building above this level would be the first real signal that the downtrend might be turning.
Bottom line
RDDT might be trying to bottom out, but confirmation is key. Until it reclaims and holds above 83.6, the bias remains cautious. However, the confluence of technical signals suggests risk is shifting — and bulls may soon test control if 83.6 holds
RDDT at a Turning Point: 104 Holds the KeyRDDT has declined over 50% from its peak and recently dipped briefly below the key level of 104.
If the stock stabilizes between 105 and 113, it could signal a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. As long as RDDT maintains support at 104, there remains the possibility of a new upward trend.
RDDT Bearish Breakdown – Targeting Gap Fill $80 Loving this sell off on RDDT -
RDDT (Reddit, Inc.) has experienced a steep decline after a strong rally, and is currently trading around $110.44. The chart highlights a significant gap zone between approximately $85 and $105, suggesting a potential gap-fill.
SOLO Price Prediction: The analysis predicts that once this gap is filled, RDDT could continue its downtrend toward a major support level at $14.50. This bearish outlook implies substantial downside risk, with the $14.50 level acting as a long-term target for price correction.
Reddit (RDDT) Bullish Opportunity – Oversold Bounce + Long-Term Reddit (RDDT) has plunged 54.40% in under 40 days, with the price now testing key technical levels. While the broader market is red today, this setup might offer a unique entry opportunity — whether to lower your average or build a long-term position.
Technicals are signaling early signs of reversal, supported by an uptick in momentum indicators.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
✅ Sharp bounce from recent lows (~$106)
✅ MACD bullish cross forming — momentum flipping
✅ RSI climbing from oversold territory
✅ First bullish daily Heikin Ashi candles post-selloff
✅ Price attempting to reclaim the 9 EMA
✅ Defined risk with tight stop just below recent support
📈 Trade Setup:
🟢 Entry Zone: $119-121 (current range)
🔴 Stop Loss: Below $104 (under recent swing low)
✅ TP1: $139 – psychological level & short-term resistance
✅ TP2: $166 – key breakdown zone
✅ TP3: $221 – Below the All Time High & major resistance
📊 Fundamental Tailwinds:
🔹 User Growth: Daily Active Users up 39% YoY to 101.7M
🔹 Ad Revenue Boom: +60% YoY in Q4, reaching $395M
🔹 Analyst Consensus: 20 analysts → 12 Buy, 6 Hold, 2 Sell
🔹 Average Price Target: $195.37 (➕ +56.37% Upside from current levels)
🔹 Strategic Moves: Partnership with Intercontinental Exchange for monetizing data
🔹 IPO Buzz & Momentum: Despite short-term weakness, Reddit remains one of the most followed and speculated post-IPO names
📌 Personally, I’m looking at this from a long-term perspective, but for those trading with leverage, the technical setup allows for tight risk management and structured take-profit levels.
Volatility creates opportunity — this might be one of them. Let’s see how it plays out. 💼🚀
Reddit Has Pulled BackReddit hit a record high early last month. Will some traders see an opportunity in the current pullback?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on October 30 after earnings beat estimates. RDDT approached the low of that session on March 10 and again last week. It bounced both times. That apparent double bottom may suggest new support has been established.
Next, the rebounds occurred around the 200-day simple moving average. Holding that line may suggest an uptrend is in place.
Finally, stochastics have turned up from an oversold condition. The stock also closed above its 8-day exponential moving average. Those patterns are potentially consistent with prices bottoming.
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Reddit in the Valley of RiskReddit NYSE:RDDT has entered my textbook "Valley of Risk" period where the stock has a chance to hold its 50% Retracement of a major trend, fails, and even now has the added confirmation of retesting said 50% Support as overhead Resistance.
There is now only the gap level at 104.90 which if broken will probably fill. Then it will be on to test the post-IPO accumulation Volume Profile POC at 59.37. I think upside risk (if one were short) is mitigated by the prevailing sector rotation out of tech. There is no alpha to save this stock to speak of outside of the tide going out.
Things like this tend to slow bleed out. I might be tempted to take a long dated 60 Put but shorting shares may be more appropriate.
RDDT long1st target buy @ 109 (position filled)
2nd target buy @ 74
If we close the gap down to 74, I will add more. This is possible in current bear market. This idea is a long term investment in RDDT at what I believe are strong areas of support. Revenue is growing rapidly and I believe in the company. Over 1 billion in ad revenue in 2024, though It's not all positive, they do have some warts such as negative net income and less than expected growth in daily users but I believe these things will be resolved over time and are likely priced in at this point after a 43% drop in the last month from ATH. Long
RDDT watch $122.77: Golden Genesis to end bounce or mark bottom?RDDT bounced on a Genesis fib to its Golden sister at $122.77
This fib could end the bounce, or dip for a retest of lower fib.
If bulls can break and retest this fib, it could mark the bottom.
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RDDT stock in correction phase: Approaching key support RDDT stock is in a correction phase, down more than 50% from its high of 230.41. The stock is now approaching a support level between 102 and 104, which could help the price rise in the short term. If this support holds, the stock could move toward the 130–135 range.
REDDIT: Wall St Accumulation Reddit, Inc. (NYSE: RDDT) is a prominent social media platform that enables users to engage in discussions across a multitude of topics through various communities known as "subreddits." Since its initial public offering (IPO) in March 2024, Reddit has demonstrated notable financial growth. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported a 71% increase in revenue, reaching $427.7 million, with advertising revenue contributing $394.5 million—a 60% year-over-year rise. Net income for the same period was $71 million, up from $18.5 million the previous year.
Analysts have mixed views on Reddit's stock as an investment. Some see the recent decline in stock price, influenced by the user growth miss, as a buying opportunity, emphasizing the company's strong revenue performance and potential for recovery in user metrics.
Others advise caution, noting that while brokerage recommendations suggest buying, investment decisions should not be based solely on this information.
In summary, Reddit's robust financial performance and growth initiatives present a compelling case for potential investors. However, considerations regarding user growth trends and external factors affecting traffic are essential when evaluating Reddit as an investment opportunity.
At the moment, Reddit has seen a sharp decline in price since posting its all time high in early February, when it was followed by an extreme correction of 25% in less than 2 weeks. Today, we are seeing a potential liquidity grab of the low that began its meteoric rise , and perhaps buyers will step in, notably wall street, to get a piece of this out-performer.
Lets see!
Sneaky Breakouts: Recent IPOs Reddit and KlaviyoThe charts above highlight Klaviyo and Reddit. The first thing I must say is I am not long either of these companies. I am simply using them as a barometer to spark some research. What I find interesting about both of these names is the way they have marched to all-times and being somewhat new companies to the market. Both have IPO'd within the 12-24 months.
Reddit, however, is a bit more widely known and many of you have followed its breakout. So, in contrast, the chart at the top left of KVYO is very interesting because it is not widely followed or discussed. They are a company at the forefront of automated marketing messaging. Klaviyo enables businesses of all sizes to streamline their customer engagement, transforming a marketing team into a full-fledged messaging powerhouse, allowing brands to automate emails, SMS, and push notifications with data-driven precision.
But the real reason I’m sharing this chart isn’t just about what Klaviyo does—it’s about what its stock is doing alongside another recent IPO like Reddit.
Klaviyo went public on September 20, 2023, pricing its IPO at $30 per share and raising approximately $576 million, giving it a valuation around $9 billion at the time. The stock initially saw strong demand, opening at $36.75 on its first day of trading. Now, months later, it has quietly surged to new all-time highs, a move that flew under my radar.
This has me thinking: what other recent IPOs are quietly breaking out? Historically, some of the best-performing stocks in the market have been newly public companies that start to trend higher after an initial post-IPO base. Names like Shopify, CrowdStrike, and Datadog all had explosive runs after establishing themselves post-IPO. Klaviyo’s move could be an early signal that a new wave of breakouts is forming, and I’m looking for the next in line.
Beyond IPOs, I’m also watching broader shifts in the market, particularly how AI is reshaping industries. AI-driven automation is evolving beyond simple efficiency tools into full-fledged AI agents capable of transforming cost structures for companies. From marketing to customer service to software development, businesses that leverage AI in ways that improve margins could be tomorrow’s biggest winners. The question now is: which companies are positioned to capitalize on this shift?
This is my focus—hunting for epic breakouts, whether it’s fresh IPOs like Klaviyo or companies leading the next wave of AI-driven disruption.
If you know of any, add them to the comments below!
Reddit 2-17 (scalping + forecast)🔥 Market Overview (Reddit - RDDT)
Trend: Recent uptrend showing signs of exhaustion, possible correction in progress.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $211-$215 (Supertrend resistance zone)
Support: $194-$196 (EMA 200 and recent demand zone)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $201.96 (Price is below short-term EMA, signaling weakness)
EMA 200: $179.48 (Still long-term bullish)
Supertrend: Bearish reversal near $214.93
MACD: Bearish momentum increasing, with a crossover confirmation.
RSI: 36.92 – Approaching oversold territory, suggesting possible short-term bounce.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 Range Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $196-$198, targeting $205.
Sell near: $205-$210, targeting $196.
Stop-loss: Below $194 (EMA 200 break invalidates bullish case).
🩸 Breakout Scalping (If $211 Reclaims)
Buy above: $211, targeting $220+.
Stop-loss: Below $206 to limit risk.
🩸 Momentum Scalping (For Quick Trades)
Short near: $210-$212, targeting $200.
Buy near: $195-$196, targeting $205.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bearish correction in progress, but the $194-$196 zone could act as a strong buy zone.
A break below $194 signals further downside to $180-$185.
If the price reclaims $211, expect another bullish leg targeting $220-$225.
🔥 News & Market Context
Recent strong rally may be exhausting, leading to short-term profit-taking.
No major fundamental catalysts supporting further immediate upside.
Market-wide sentiment could dictate whether support holds or breaks.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp buy at $196, targeting $205.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for price action confirmation at $194-$196.
🩸 Ideal Play: Short $210-$212, buy dip near $195-$196.
👑 Final Verdict:
Reddit stock faces correction after a strong rally, but buy zones exist around $196. Watch for a reclaim of $211 for further upside. Otherwise, expect a dip toward $194 or lower.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"Not every pullback is a buying opportunity—timing is everything." 👑
Betting Trend End for Reddit. RDDTThese are often hard to pick and as a pivot or fade take, it is inherently more risky. The Stop is tight. Never the less Fibonacci cluster of 5 and 2 to 5 show some high probability areas of take profits. In practice we do not use stationary stops or targets, dynamic systems have proven to be more useful.
Pricey but pulling back - long RDDT at 196.21 Reddit is a little bit dangerous here. It is a very expensive stock with a short trading record that has run up massively of late. But it has pulled back, and is still within the confines of its regression channel.
Ordinarily I don't trade stocks without large piles of trading data to fall back on. So why this time? First of all, the reason I don't is primarily that newer stocks have a much higher failure rate (going to zero) than battle tested ones do. Given that the strategy I use is first and foremost about safety, going to zero is a HUGE no no so I avoid them by and large.
I don't think that's an even remote risk in the case of RDDT, however.
Secondly, in its brief history with my system it has performed very well from a per day held return standpoint (around 1.5% per day held, or about 55x the long term daily average return of SPY). While that number will tend to decrease over time with more trades, even a return half that size is a sizable daily return.
Also, every trade signal has been profitable to this point, but again the small sample size renders that information basically irrelevant. In the end, I have to respect the trend here and trust that NYSE:RDDT will follow the same pattern that the other almost 2000 stocks I screen follow and that this trade will work out because it's what stocks do. We shall see, I guess.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.