Rivian seems bottomed outTrump proposes 25 % tariffs on all imported vehicles and parts, plus a tax deduction for interest on loans for U.S.-made cars.
1RIVN trade ideas
Bearish Breakout + Consolidation with Bullish BiasAfter a strong downtrend since 2022, Rivian (RIVN) broke out of its falling channel in late 2023 and has been forming an ascending channel since 2024. This structure suggests a potential medium-term trend reversal.
The price is currently around $13.60, sitting just above the 200-day moving average (MA200) and near a key support area of the ascending channel. This zone presents a potential technical entry point if the structure holds.
Technical Summary:
Higher highs and higher lows since early 2024
MA200 acting as dynamic support
Well-defined ascen
ding channel projecting higher levels
Trade Idea:
Suggested entry: $13.00 – $13.60
Stop loss: $11.90 (below the channel and MA200)
Take profit 1: $16.00
Take profit 2: $20.00
Take p
rofit 3 (extended): $24.00
If the price respects the channel and rebounds from this zone, we could see continued bullish movement toward $16 and potentially higher. If it breaks below $12.00 and loses the MA200, the bullish idea is invalidated.
Retest?Price is hovering below the 50 EMA now.
The candle that broke away from the consolidaton and fell under the 50 EMA, had alot of momentum and volume. But the most recent candle tried to reclaim the 50 EMA but fail by it's long upper shadow. The question is was the most recent candle a classical retest candle before the bears proceed to march on. Bulls need to maintain the 12.54 price or risk losing to the Bears.
RIVN still on trackSame as prior charts, still like this one for long term personally.
Will we bounce before $11
Bears vs the Bulls the ongoing battleI know the Bulls are hoping this is a fake out and the Bears are hoping this is the beginning. Price has close slightly below the 50 EMA and MACD(Chris Moody) made a bearish cross and RSI dropped slightly lower. Bulls need price to reclaim the 50 EMA(blue curve) and have a bullish breakout out of the golden zone 13.83. Bears want a fully developed bearish MACD and lower RSI and price to move below the 50 EMA.
Waiting RIVN is still resting at a major support level above the 50 EMA and in the Fibonacci golden zone. RSI is still above 50; momentum is still leaning bullish.Volume is drying up and is low, and the price hasn’t moved yet. We’re waiting for a breakout or breakdown. SAR indicator, alludes to just a minor pullback and that uptrend is still intact. The next move could possibly be the big one or not.
DemandThe asset is in an untouched demand zone that was formed around the first week of May. Will the bulls regain momentum and overcome 12.77 10 EMA? Or will the bears drag price down below 12.50 region? Also the 12.53 region on the day chart is a key level, so if it breaks below the bears have an upper hand and possible CHoC to the downside on daily.
Trend line vs Trend lineRivian (RIVN) is currently at a binary decision point, sitting just above the 50-week EMA and a key uptrend line. Price is testing a strong confluence zone near $13.38–$13.57, with rejection seen from the $15.49 resistance. A break below this area could lead to a drop toward the $12.43–$11.54 demand zone. You can refine your entry using the high-wave candle by boxing its high and low on the 1-hour chart. A break above the box with volume would signal early bullish momentum; a break below suggests further downside. Confirm the move with hourly RSI above 50 and Stochastic RSI curling up. This setup offers a high-probability directional move as the next few candles decide the trend.(Break down by AI Chat gpt except For Chart)
RivianIf it breaks the 18 the next target will be 23, the 18 is an annual resistance, it is quite strong if it does not succeed it will continue in more range
Quick View: $RIVN- Test on the ema 50 Daily looks good and a new bullish crossover on the hourly timeframe.
- The last pullback didn't have volume, so a continuation higher is on watch
Rivian Kicking Off Potential UptrendHey, all. I'll get down to it. Obviously NASDAQ:RIVN has been an incredibly tough stock to own. Fake out after fake out. It has been brutal - unless you have been nimble enough to buy the dips and sell the rips.
I would like to posit, however, that NASDAQ:RIVN is going to start marching back higher here over time. In the signal system I have been taught via the T@M strategy, Rivian is putting in a range expansion to the upside on the weekly time frame. If you take the range of the past monthly consolidation period, attach it to the "mode" (or central zone of the consolidation range), it gives you a target of $25 over the next few months. Now, whether this is another fake out just to reverse on us... again... remains to be seen of course. It is early in the idea. But potentially offers a decent risk/reward position here.
I just do not see Rivian really going away at all and, if they can keep refining their business, they could see some success going forward. Anyway, hope you enjoy this idea! As always, position carefully as the market is risky business.
Including the Daily Chart below for your reference as well.
Thanks to Elon, RIVN is the new GME and GoldfinchFirst off, hats off to our politicians in office who are making this happen. When in history did you ever have both a president AND ceo butcher their company so hard that the 2nd option - RIVN - gets a god candle after a multi year breakout.
Tesla fan boys all say - never short tesla- and let me tell you, that only works if people expect it to drop. The whole long term picture is true, but for a long term hold, you have infinite time to buy in the short run. Those guys will love tesla a lot more at 100 than at 300.
I dont hate Elon. I like him, except Trump just proved to us what his motives are. Elon is a genius who will face an uphill short term battle with the horde of politicians. Wish him best of luck. In mean time my money is in RIVN. Lets go boys. and for the record, last year my money was in Tesla, back when you had a CEO focused on his company.
$RIVNAs China opens rare earth metal exports to the U.S., don’t be surprised if NASDAQ:RIVN becomes one of the chosen buyers.
EVs need those minerals.
China needs the leverage.
America needs the supply.
It’s not just about cars it’s about control of the tech race. 🔋🌍
#RIVN #EV #China #RareEarth #SupplyChain #Geopolitics #ElectricVehicles
RIVN 1D — It’s Time to Buy: Setup UpdateThe setup on Rivian (RIVN) just got upgraded from “interesting” to “strategically significant.” We’re looking at a textbook symmetrical triangle that’s been developing since July 2023, with a clean breakout and retest on the weekly trendline.
The breakout was followed by a bullish retest, right at the intersection of the triangle base and the key trendline. Volume kicked in, price held — and that’s what smart money calls confirmation.
Now, the Golden Cross is live: the 50-day MA just crossed the 200-day MA from below. Price is confidently holding above both — momentum is shifting hard. Fibs from the bottom (10.22) to the last local top (17.05) project the first target at $17, and the extended Fibonacci confluence gives us $25.64 as a long-range goal (2.618 extension).
The weekly trendline — which acted as resistance for over a year — has flipped to support. Price action respects it, bulls are loading, and structure is clean.
This is not just a bounce. It’s a technical rotation from accumulation to expansion.
The time to talk about potential is over — price action has spoken.
RIVN - Consolidation or break and retest?While the last run was nice for some trades, I am looking forward to this as one of my few longer term spec stocks.
I didn't expect the sell off to happen so fast, then the debt news, almost like daily sell programs were running.
With the news drama and politics, I can see it take another leg down by next week, and has a good chance of bouncing pretty strong, if tesla catches a bid soon, it may help.
I am adding leap options to trade the range as it appears.
RIVN TESTlong RIVN on Flag formation inside CUP/HANDLE, consolidating at daily FVG, with upside 4h FVG. Long exposure August $17 strike.
LevelsFrom December 2024, the price been dancing in upward parallel channel. Now it is testing the middle of that channel and the 50 EMA(in purple) and 0.5 Fib level and interestly enough the 200 EMA(in orange) is near the Golden zone also. If price makes a strong move into the 14.55 the 0.382 Fib area, there is a chance of bullish action; but if price breaks below with conviction under the 50 EMA we might have a battle at the golden zone 12.97, the 200 EMA 13.10.
RIVIAN: Same Setup?NASDAQ:RIVN Historically, RIVN’s rallies have lined up with summer delivery updates, EV hype cycles kicking in, and broader market rotations into speculative growth 100%+ in 2023, 100%+ in 2024. This year it’s setting up again , both spikes came after strong volume in May and were followed by multi-week momentum through June. Feels like that rhythm’s trying to repeat. We’ve got a clean BOS, volume confirmation, and structure matching up. If buyers defend this zone again, this could be the third summer in a row Rivian runs. Watching it close.
RIVN Breaking out of down trend - retestI haven't shared in a while as the market structures have been too choppy.
Rivian seems to be bucking the trend of the overall market based on light speculation on new models, and technicals forming a longer term down trend break to upside.
I'm looking at this 3 day pull back as a perfect retest of the break. If it holds, I will add more to trade the range once it forms.
Rivian is flying! 71% UpsideNASDAQ:RIVN is flying! ✈️
Looking for a pullback to retest our breakout then move higher to our profit targets...Posted this setup last week in the community.
🎯$18.82📏$25.50
- Bullish H5_L Indicator
- Running into Red barrier (Need WCB to form)
- Volume shelf launch
$RIVN finally trendingI guess NASDAQ:RIVN made a longterm bottom, a monthly trend is active, glad to check it in a few months.
RIVN LONGGreat Earnings, Technicals seeing nice volume into a CHoCH, after many months watching this ticker. Breaking out, Id like to see $23+
RIVIAN is ready to breakout, $25 TargetRivian has been in the dumps ever since it cratered from its IPO price, and today just under a 90% discount it is looking to start it's recovery off the back of 2 successful earnings reports while inching steadily towards a positive EPS.
I drew a symmetrical triangle (its a little off symmetry but its close enough) and we broke out of it yesterday and today closed firmly above the downward trendline.
One of the things I look at is the bottoming periods of the triangle, in this case each bottom was higher than the previous (slightly) this is required for a triangle breakout, but it is important to see that 4 missed earnings did not result in the stock making a lower low, also it is important to see that the liberation day market sell-off did not make a lower low, despite the headwinds the lows kept creeping up. To me this indicates that there is solid support and accumulation.
With EV hype picking up with TSLA I think we may see RIVN take off among investors who don't feel like backing the Musk project that want to capture a similar market.
Based just on the the price to sales ratio, I feel that Rivian is undervalued compared to its competitors.
Tesla Price to Sales: 50
Lucid Price to Sales: 35
Rivian Price to Sales: 15
This comes together to make me confident in Rivian being a solid bet as the market begins to turn bullish in the summer months and as the SNP500 moves on to making new highs in the coming months.
Just my opinions.
Good Luck & Happy Trading
