1SMCI trade ideas
SMCI Dead cat bounce is over .. short back down here to 23.00 ..
Took lots of volume to break over the 35$ range in back in Jan..
took similar volume to break back below it in Oct
Brick wall trendline at 39.. closes above 40$ and this setup is negated
SMCIIt seems you are referring to a strong investment opportunity in the stock SMCI in the American market, with a potential rise ranging from 40% to 70%. The technical analysis you mentioned, such as the downward channel and the clear divergence on the MACD indicator, can suggest a possible trend reversal."The decision now depends on whether you are an investor or a trader. I see that the $24.5 level is excellent for investors as it aligns with the 200-day moving average on weakly frame, targeting a 100% profit At least with a 20% stop loss. However, if you are a trader, we might wait for a price action signal around $33, aiming for $44."
SMCI one of the most high value opportunity on the Stock MarketSMCI: Bridging Gaps, Powering Growth!
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has nailed two key market gaps at 22.85 and 38.14, proving its strength and resilience. These milestones aren’t just numbers—they’re launchpads for SMCI’s explosive growth in high-performance computing. With innovation driving demand, SMCI isn’t just playing the game—it’s redefining it. Stay ahead—SMCI is the stock to watch!
Targets covered :
1. 23.85$ Per Share
2. 38.14$ Per Share
3. 49.49$ Per Share
4. 63.45$ Per Share
5. 85.03$ Per Share
6. 97.36$ Per Share
The 1st and 2nd targets have been of extreme importance because they were very key gaps that we caused by Fundamental events connected with SMCI, which have already been covered, so we are moving in a strong motion towards our next stop at 49.49$ Per share, please join my group of which we follow up in depth this Stock and many more!!
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year?
NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close.
On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure.
Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting.
If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
Purely technical idea for SMCINASDAQ:SMCI looks to be returning to a demand zone and will likely begin accumulation and absorption at this level. Over the coming months, I would keep an eye out of discounted buying opportunities at these price levels.
For those looking for the best profit margins, they can wait for price to reach the red line. This would allow for a smaller stop loss. But the risk is price may not reach these levels at all.
SMCI LONGThis one is a bit problematic, however there is a potential for a big squeeze here.
I think longs above 23 are ok with a stop at the recent low. Target is 35-38.
SMCI Super Micro is at value levels, but has risksAt one point, SMCi had under 10 pe, and was near tangible book value.
The headlines were scary and bad, with possible delisting due to delayed financial reporting.
With new auditor and plan to get back on track with reports, SMCi could be a bargain. However, because of the risk, sizing small would be wise.
Deep Value Metrics:
1. high earning yield- was over 10 earnings yield at one point, and forward yield for 2025 is attractive, forward pe is under 9 now.
2. was near tangible book value. Tangible book value is 8.70, stock hit 17 at one point.
Growth-
1. analysts expect 30% earnings growth this year and next.
2. industry is seeing high growth expectations due to ai data center demand.
Technicals-
1. crossing 30 ema would be bullish technical signal
2. crossing 200 ma would confirm new bullish trend.
SMCI. Looking for longs.Looking for longs if we come down a little more. Profit at first and second resistance and hold a little for potential all time highs.
SMCI Short IdeaI haven't bothered trading SMCI since my short on it earlier this year. This thing actually almost went to $0. It just bottomed out finally and had a nice broadening wedge breakout. Looks like it's about time to short it again. It may head up to the gap fill at $32.20, if so I'll look for more puts. Entering anywhere in this area is good for a move back down to the $21 area.
Risky play, will need to exit quickly if it doesn't reject at $32.20.
SMCI is going...Price broke above descending triangle, I like it above $28
With NVDA strength, this is probably a great setup to retest $31 today
Watching this closely
Minute by minute hour by hour... SMCI a trap for Shorts....Minute by minute hour by hour... SMCI a trap for Shorts....
Minute by minute hour by hour... SMCI a trap for Shorts....
Minute by minute hour by hour... SMCI a trap for Shorts....
SMCI Possible Play's Again my cus trades stocks so I figured I would post what I charted up for him. When looking at possible play's you will need to go down to a 2min time frame to get your entries. With the gaps in these stocks it can be difficult to find entries with so much missing data. maybe I don't pay enough to see it . I cannot post lower time frames and zones but set up 30min wick highs / lows -zones 3 candles back and you will see the support and resistance
This is MY idealized Chart for SMCI long term ...This is MY idealized Chart for SMCI long term ...
Still millions short this company
meanwhile the Adani Group, a recent victim of the Hindenburg Report has recovered. Prices went back up already, to the pre raid level with the exception of two that are on the way up.
SMCI is lead by this very hard working man with a sterling reputation, "Charles Laing", an inventor with multiple patents and 9 critical patents for this segment. Read them you will understand.
What happened here is a terrible thing, massive capital destruction that should have no place in the market. One of these days, I hope a huge investigation takes place. For now the Adani Group was cleared from all accusations. SMCI will follow suit
SMCI AnalysisAt this stage, fundamentals take precedence when analyzing SMCI. While the chart reveals a clear Fibonacci retracement at the current price level (~$28), this also aligns with a strong resistance zone. Historically, such levels represent pivotal decision points for the market, and breaking through this level will require substantial momentum backed by positive fundamental developments about the company.
Recently, we saw a price spike after SMCI announced the appointment of a new auditor (BDO USA) and confirmed that it had filed the necessary compliance reports to meet Nasdaq requirements. This was a major step for the company, signaling its commitment to rebuilding trust and stability. From this point onward, good news is the only way forward if SMCI aims to achieve a strong stock price recovery.
The current price action reflects the significance of this area, with the stock potentially finding a base here. If upcoming news or developments favor the company, this resistance could be breached with strong bullish momentum. A breakthrough could trigger a rapid upward move, presenting a substantial opportunity to reach the $45 level—a key target that aligns with the next Fibonacci zone and historical price action.
In conclusion, while technicals suggest this is a critical point, the fundamentals will ultimately dictate the direction. Investors should stay alert for further updates, as the upside potential towards $45 is significant if the company continues to deliver positive news.
SMCI intraday bull flag setupafter a big move, SMCI is settling into a bullish flag setup. A break out could see another leg higher.
Can a Tech Giant Rewrite Its Future While Racing Against Time?In a remarkable display of corporate resilience, Super Micro Computer stands at the intersection of crisis and opportunity, navigating regulatory challenges while simultaneously revolutionizing the AI infrastructure landscape. As the company addresses its Nasdaq compliance requirements through comprehensive reforms, including the strategic appointment of BDO USA as its new independent auditor, it hasn't missed a beat in its technological innovation trajectory - a feat that has left critics and supporters watching intently.
The numbers tell a compelling story of growth amidst adversity: a staggering 110% revenue surge to $15 billion in FY2024, coupled with a nearly 90% increase in adjusted earnings. But, perhaps more impressive is Supermicro's technical leadership, maintaining an 18-24 month advantage over competitors in liquid-cooled AI rack technology and demonstrating the capability to deploy 100,000-GPU liquid-cooled AI data centers. This technical prowess, combined with strategic partnerships with industry giants like NVIDIA, positions Supermicro at the forefront of the AI infrastructure revolution.
Looking ahead, Supermicro's journey represents more than just a corporate turnaround story - it's a masterclass in organizational agility and strategic focus. While many companies might have faltered under the weight of regulatory scrutiny, Supermicro has instead used this moment as a catalyst for transformation, strengthening its corporate governance while accelerating its innovation pipeline. With analyst projections indicating 40%+ earnings growth for FY2025 and revenue expected to surge over 70%, the company's trajectory suggests that sometimes, the most significant opportunities for growth emerge from the crucible of challenge.
SMCI Update - Closed Tesla but SMCI is a Trade I think we are now ready to start trading smci avery day, to the long side only, you do not want to die prematurely. This is for day trader and super agile traders. You are on your on, remember, no one to blame but you. Having said this.
The street is aware that SMCI has super products, they are really ahead, overall a better system that takes less time to produce and configure, is is 60% cheaper to operate because the liquid cooling does save electricity, and they are up and running in half the time a Dell would be.
So just like when Tesla was being crucified, remember Tesla at $100 or NVDA at close to nothing just two month ago. Well. This is very similar with SMCI.
Now I do calculate the float and the movement of shares. I think there must be some 55% short the stock. This is an outrage, so crowded, that it is primed for an explosion and when it does it will exceed $124, and go to $186.66 the new value based on the new 13.7% marines Up form 8%
Again do verify, trust no one and research. I love this ticker, because I bought it very cheap. Obvios. to the rest that did not do this, I think you will be ok, with a bounce higher than before.
The company!This company has no fundamental issues. It’s the second most important client for NASDAQ:NVDA , with the most efficient and modern cooling system available, supporting #Grok by #XAI by #ElonMusk. It suffered a setback due to rumors started by a hedge fund. Later, just before it could timely present its 10-K filing, an unprofessional auditor from Ernst and Young resigned, leading to another crisis. However, the company has stepped up, and, to top it off, all the VPs, along with the CEO, bought shares frantically.
Now, technically speaking, the structures are there, with a mega bull flag pattern that could take us back to the 90s.
Is it worth the wait?
I believe it is.
SMCI buy right now.TARGET -> 70$ T1, 110 T2
SMCI Stock Poised to Boom After Audited Results, BlackRock and Vanguard Buy In
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), a leader in high-performance server solutions, is set to experience significant stock growth once its results are fully audited. Institutional giants BlackRock and Vanguard are betting big on SMCI, signaling confidence in the company’s future. Here’s why SMCI could see a major boost:
1. Strong Market Position
SMCI is well-positioned in the rapidly growing sectors of AI, cloud computing, and data infrastructure. With rising demand for powerful servers and storage solutions, SMCI’s products are integral to the digital transformation happening across industries.
2. Audit and Transparency
SMCI has faced financial scrutiny, but the company is finalizing its audits. Once complete, transparency about its earnings will give investors more confidence, which could drive a significant stock price rebound.
3. Institutional Confidence: BlackRock & Vanguard
Both BlackRock and Vanguard, two of the world’s largest asset managers, have been increasing their stakes in SMCI. Their investments signal strong confidence in the company’s growth potential, especially once the audit clears up any uncertainties.
4. Growth Catalysts
Improved Transparency: The completed audit should eliminate doubts, potentially boosting the stock.
AI & Data Center Demand: Continued growth in AI and data infrastructure supports SMCI’s long-term prospects.
Strong Earnings: Analysts expect SMCI to benefit from its solid product pipeline and market demand.
Partnerships: New strategic partnerships with tech giants could further fuel growth.
5. Risks
While SMCI’s outlook is strong, risks include delays in the audit, competitive pressures, and macroeconomic factors like supply chain issues or rising interest rates.
6. Conclusion
With the audit’s completion on the horizon and strong backing from BlackRock and Vanguard, SMCI is poised for significant upside. Investors should keep an eye on the stock, as it could see substantial growth once clarity around its financials is achieved.
The Big Exit | How One Auditor Walked Away from Super MicroThe Governance Shortfall: Inside Super Micro’s Auditor Crisis
On Wednesday, shares of the high performance server and storage solutions provider faced renewed selling pressure after the unexpected resignation of its audit firm, Ernst & Young LLP(EY)
In July 2024, EY alerted the Audit Committee about several concerns related to governance, transparency, internal controls, and the risk of delayed filing of the company's annual report. In response, the Board formed an independent Special Committee to investigate these matters, engaging Cooley LLP and forensic accounting firm Secretariat Advisors, LLC. Although EY and the Board received preliminary updates on the investigation, the final conclusions have not yet been shared.
The ongoing review raised doubts for EY regarding the company’s adherence to the COSO Framework principles for internal controls. EY questioned the company’s commitment to integrity, the independence of the Audit Committee, and the reliability of management’s and the Audit Committee's representations.
In its resignation letter, EY expressed its inability to rely on these representations or be associated with the company's financial statements, citing legal and professional obligations.
Despite the developments, Super Micro has indicated no expected changes to previously issued financial statements. The company plans to provide a Q1/FY2025 business update next week. However, it’s surprising that management didn’t include preliminary Q1 results in Wednesday's announcement, which could have mitigated the negative impact on its stock.
Super Micro is nearing a Nasdaq deadline to either regain compliance with listing requirements or submit a plan. With the auditor’s unexpected departure, it may be difficult for the company to present a viable plan, raising the risk of a near-term delisting.
This resignation comes at a critical time for Super Micro, as its rapid growth requires substantial working capital. Based on management’s projections, FY2025 cash needs could reach up to $3 billion, likely necessitating additional capital early next year. However, raising funds without audited financials could be challenging, potentially forcing Super Micro to relinquish market share to competitors like Dell Technologies or Hewlett Packard Enterprise.
In my view, EY’s departure increases the likelihood of a prolonged accounting review, which could hinder Super Micro’s ability to secure funding for anticipated growth. Therefore, it is crucial for the company to report strong preliminary Q1/FY2025 results and present a positive outlook next week.
Super Micro Computer’s troubles continue, as its auditor resigned due to concerns over management’s integrity and the Audit Committee's independence. This situation makes it unlikely for the company to achieve compliance with Nasdaq requirements soon, raising the potential for a near-term delisting.
With a need to re-enter the capital markets in early 2025, audited financials remain essential. A failure to secure funding could result in significant market share loss to major competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise.
Given these challenges, the increased risk of prolonged financial review, and a likely near-term delisting, I am reaffirming my "Sell" rating on Super Micro Computer's common shares.
