1SOFI trade ideas
Can SOFI reach $30.00 ? SoFi Technologies has successfully broken out of a falling channel, reclaiming the $13.00 level — now acting as a strong support and technical base. This breakout follows a clear downtrend rejection structure (marked by multiple red arrows), and is now transitioning into a bullish reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Highlights
Breakout Point: $13.00 – now confirmed as strong support.
Structure: Bullish flag/channel breakdown followed by a clean breakout and retest setup.
Pattern Projection Target: $30.32 (based on flagpole extension), indicating a potential 137% upside.
Short-Term Resistance: $16.58 (local top), then $18.41.
Support Zone: $13.00 key level to hold for bullish continuation.
Volume: Elevated volume on breakout candles, confirming strong demand absorption at breakout.
🧠 Trade Expectation
Price may enter a short period of consolidation or shallow pullbacks above $13 before stair-stepping higher through $16.50 and $18.40. If momentum sustains, a measured move to the $30 zone is achievable.
SOFI Weekly Call Setup – Bullish Flow into Friday Close🏦 SOFI Weekly Call Setup – Bullish Flow into Friday Close
📆 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Bias: Moderately Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: 0DTE intraday swing to close
🧠 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Bias Strike Entry Targets Stop Confidence
Grok Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.43 (+30%) $0.23 75%
Claude Bullish 14.00C 0.09 $0.18 / $0.27 $0.04 72%
Llama Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.50–$0.55 $0.17 70%
Gemini Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.50–$0.55 $0.17 70%
DeepSeek Bearish 13.50P 0.13 $0.20 $0.065 65%
✅ Consensus Direction: Moderately Bullish (4/5 models)
🎯 Key Level: $13.83 resistance; max pain = $13.50
📊 Catalyst: William Blair BUY recommendation adds support
📉 Contrarian View: DeepSeek sees fade toward max pain, but low volume = weak conviction
🔍 Technical Snapshot
Price: $13.69 (as of latest report)
Support: $13.50 (max pain & put wall)
Resistance: $13.83 (near R1 level)
Momentum: Short-term charts (5-min) bullish across MACD, EMAs
Volume: Below average, but rising near resistance
Volatility: VIX at ~17.7 → normal, quiet environment
✅ Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument SOFI
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $13.50
Expiry 2025-06-06 (Today)
Entry Price $0.33
Profit Target $0.50 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.23 (≈30% loss)
Size 1 contract
Confidence 71%
Entry Timing Market Open
🧠 Trade Management Plan
🎯 Take profit around $0.50–$0.55
🛑 Cut loss on break below $13.50 or if option falls to $0.23
📆 Time-based exit by today’s close (0DTE)
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
Strong resistance at $13.83 could cap upside
Theta decay on weekly option will accelerate after midday
Low volume = fewer buyers near top
Any adverse market news can drag the stock back toward $13.50
The Setback May Be Over!- Valuation multiples remain stable, yet stock prices appear to be under pressure due to declining profitability indicators — even though this effect may fade soon.
- Momentum persists, and positive analyst revisions are gaining strength. The stability in growth reinforces the reliability of these signals.
- A three-phase corrective wave seems to have ended, followed by the initiation of a new wave with the first impulsive leg already completed.
- A pullback may occur through a corrective mini-trend, and the trendline break reinforces this likelihood.
- NEVERTHELESS, the overall outlook remains highly positive, and a dollar-cost averaging strategy would be a rational approach.
Need morePrice made a doji candle around a key level in yellow. Price has made a downward broadening opening wedge and a doji candle at the wedge upper resistance. MACD crossed over green but below the zero line. The rally may be short lived. We need price to break out of the wedge with volume and momentum or price to make Higher Highs and Higher Lows from the 13.27 price.
The Flag Will Price break down of the flag below to the 200 EMA in orange (12.15) or will price have a bullish break out of the bull flag pattern and out of the flip zone (in grey) to the 14.50 resistance. Even though price broke out of a parallel channel, it hit resistance around the 161.80% of the Fibonacci of that channel. We have two small body candles with long shadows in a flip zone which may indicate a change is on the horizon.
$SOFICurrent Fib setup is set to a template recommended for beginners so that buy zone is a bit broad. Technically broke the uptrend that is started on in mid march.
I do expect more pull back but as soon as there is confirmation of trend reversal and we are back in an uptrend time to take Calls on $SOFI. Based on what I have modeled here, I think it is a good position as long as we get some sort of turn around in the green buy zone.
I would also be prepared to purchase now incase prices recover faster than expected.
I am definitely a younger trader and I am trying to sit on my hands more and find more confluence.
on the daily, the 9/20 Day EMAs have crossed through the 200 day EMA as well.
Please feel free to share any feedback
Iron sharpens iron
SOFI Bullish Setup Above $13.50 Targeting $17.50SOFI is showing strength above the $13.50 level after bouncing off the middle Bollinger Band. Increasing volume and early MACD recovery suggest a potential continuation toward the next resistance at $17.50.
Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $13.50 - $13.80
• First Target: $15.50
• Second Target: $17.50
• Stop Loss: Below $12.80
Technical Analysis Highlights:
• Price holding above the middle Bollinger Band.
• Increasing trading volume.
• Early bullish signals on MACD.
Recommendation:
Consider buying above $13.50 with targets at $15.50 and $17.50, managing risk below $12.80.
Fintech's Hidden Strength Positioning for Breakout Rally Current Price: $13.18
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $13.80
- T2 = $14.30
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $12.75
- S2 = $12.20
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in SOFI's stock movement.
**Key Insights:**
SoFi Technologies has shown resilience in the competitive fintech sector. Despite facing regulatory challenges and broader industry headwinds, its focus on technological innovation and expanding member growth places the company in a strong position for future gains. Many professionals believe SoFi's ability to execute in areas like personal lending and banking technologies is pivotal to its long-term success.
Current technical indicators signal that SOFI is consolidating near key resistance at $13.50, suggesting a potential breakout if broader market sentiment remains positive. Traders should pay attention to tightening price actions as this may indicate strengthening momentum for an upward move.
**Recent Performance:**
In recent months, SOFI has been trading near its 52-week high, reflecting investor optimism in its growth strategy. However, it has struggled to breach critical resistance levels, resulting in range-bound trading. The stock has managed to stay afloat during sector-wide fintech volatility, outperforming some of its peers and exhibiting stronger-than-expected stability.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market insights reveal that SoFi's innovative approach to banking and lending makes it a standout in the fintech sector. Experts believe breaking above $13.50-$14.00 resistance could set the stage for a momentum rally. Additionally, positive developments in upcoming earnings reports could serve as a catalyst to sustain bullish sentiment. The relative lack of negative news further supports technical-driven opportunities in the short term.
**News Impact:**
While no major headlines have surfaced to impact SOFI drastically, broader market dynamics and macroeconomic sentiment remain key factors for its movement. Recent indications of stabilization within the fintech regulatory environment bode well for SoFi’s growth outlook. Investors are encouraged to monitor lending data and fintech innovation metrics for future developments that align with a robust trading strategy.
**Trading Recommendation:**
With tightening resistance and growing optimism in SoFi’s disruptive fintech model, a long position appears favorable over the next trading cycle. Keep a watchful eye on the $13.50 level for early signs of a breakout. Strong execution in earnings and member growth metrics could drive the stock well beyond initial targets. This trade setup provides a balanced risk-reward profile with well-defined stop losses and achievable upside targets.
$SOFI earnings TuesdayNASDAQ:SOFI earnings Tuesday morning! 4 straight quarters of profitability is inbound and bears won’t be able to see @SoFi as an unprofitable company anymore. 180m shares that have been sold short are now officially underwater.
Q3 Estimate
Members: 715,000k
Products: 1.1m
Revenue: $650m
EPS: $0.05
$SOFI top after earnings? Downside under $10NASDAQ:SOFI had a positive reaction to earnings, but has since sold off. It looks to me like earnings marked a high and that we're going to see price fall down to the support levels below.
We've now retested the area we broke down from, we've only had 4/5 waves to the downside, so to me, it looks like a last fall is likely before we see a longer term recovery.
Let's see how it plays out.
SOFI more of a fintech company than a traditional bankSoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) is often viewed as more of a fintech company than a traditional bank due to its tech-driven approach to financial services. While SoFi does hold a bank charter and offers conventional banking products like checking, savings, and loans, its core value proposition lies in its fully digital platform that integrates lending, investing, banking, and financial planning.
SoFi was built from the ground up as a technology-first company, prioritizing user experience, automation, and mobile-first functionality. Unlike legacy banks that are adapting to digital, SoFi was born in the cloud, positioning itself more as a modern financial technology platform aiming to be a one-stop-shop for personal finance.
Trading Analysis for SoFi Technologie
**Current Price:** $12.31
**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $13.50**
- **T2 = $14.00**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $11.90**
- **S2 = $11.50**
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**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in SOFI.
**Key Insights:**
SOFI is currently being buoyed by renewed investor optimism surrounding the resumption of student loan repayments and the company's ability to benefit from prolonged tailwinds in consumer fintech. Analysts observe that SOFI is positioned to scale up its profitability as it diversifies its lending and financial services, adding sustainability to its growth trajectory. The price action has shown strong demand around critical support levels, with a notable push toward multi-month resistance at $13.80.
The macroeconomic environment has shifted favorably for SOFI as rising interest rates may improve net interest margins over time. In addition, trader sentiment is increasingly bullish as earnings week approaches, with many attributing anticipatory momentum to analysts' predictions of improving operating efficiency within the company.
**Recent Performance:**
SOFI recently staged an impressive rally, surging nearly 21% over the past week to trade as high as $13 before retracing slightly. This marks a 60% recovery from its year-to-date low of $8 in April. The stock has managed to break above its 50-day moving average, a key technical level, and is now testing resistance at its longer-term 150-day moving average. Should SOFI maintain its upward bias and surpass $13.80, it could attract significant buying interest, leading to sustained momentum.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical indicators suggest bullish strength in SOFI's current setup, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving closer to overbought territory, indicating positive momentum but also a need for attention to resistance hurdles. Analysts point to fundamentally supportive elements such as technological innovation in SOFI's products and the expected resumption of student loan payments, which may drive higher revenues in the coming quarters. Recent options market activity signals cautious optimism with robust demand for call contracts near the $13 mark.
**News Impact:**
Recent news about the reinstatement of student loan payments has been a pivotal factor in boosting sentiment around SOFI. Investors are counting on SOFI's infrastructure to handle increased volumes effectively, leading to expected revenue growth. Earnings speculation has also created a sense of opportunity, with traders watching closely for any upward revisions to guidance during the results announcement. Broader market trends and recovery in the financial sector further bolster a favorable outlook.
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**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on SOFI's current price dynamics and market sentiment, a LONG position is recommended with an initial target (T1) of $13.50 and a secondary target (T2) of $14.00. Traders should manage risk effectively with stop levels at $11.90 (S1) and $11.50 (S2). The fundamental narrative, combined with near-term technical strength, suggests favorable conditions for upward momentum, especially if SOFI crosses the key resistance level at $13.80. Buyers should remain vigilant for earnings news and macroeconomic shifts that may impact volatility. The stock offers solid potential for mid-term appreciation, backed by a strong growth catalyst.
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Break Out or Fall Back or Fluctuate?SOFI has made its third contact on the daily parallel channel, and it has earning this Tuesday.
Price has appeared to cycle to the top of the channel and is pressing against a key level 13.10.
Stochastic RSI overbought but buyers appear to still have the upper hand, RSI is at a healthy level, and it appears to be rising. CCI level is very strong at 166 and not near 200 reversal levels. If SOFI rises and closes above $13.10, possible targets are 13.48 and 13.87 if it rejects possible price target 12.32. Please be mindful of volume and fake outs. Please observe chart for key levels.
Possible Reverse? SOFI maybe at the start of a trend reversal, we recently had a breakout from the 10 EMA and the downward parallel channel. Full confirmation will be when we have a break of structure BOS from the 13.88 price area. The oscillators are healthy also, let's hope we get an RSI breakout also. Please see chart for key levels and please remember other Fundamental news like upcoming Earnings and the geopolitical landscape and the "fake outs".