$TSLA - chart update. All line on this NASDAQ:TSLA chart are bull gaps. The first gap is at $255. That's a good spot for a technical bounce. Gaps will fill more than 90% of the time..
1TSLA trade ideas
Tsla bounce incoming?NASDAQ:TSLA
After a hard pullback on tsla since reaching new highs on dec24, it has now retraced to the .5 fib from dec22 lows.
Both macd and rsi are on oversold conditions and we just bounced on the last support/resistance flip zone.
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $.
But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains.
But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks.
Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
TESLA ANALYSISI have used the depth analysis on price and time . And just used the trend & candle-stick pattern. It is in downtrend.
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days.
- Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs.
- Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025.
- Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins
- Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft
- Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026
I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
Tesla (TSLA) Scalping & Mid-Term AnalysisMarket Overview
Trend: Strong Bearish 📉
Resistance: $309.30 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling
Support: $296.00 → Local demand zone
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish, no reversal confirmation
RSI: Oversold (17.96 on 30m) – potential for short-term bounce
VWAP: Below average – sellers control momentum
🩸 Risk: High probability of a short squeeze if volume spikes
🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage)
🩸 Momentum Scalping:
Buy: Near $297–$299, targeting $305
Sell: Near $305–$309, targeting $298
Stop-loss: Below $295
🩸 Breakout Scalping:
Above $310: Long to $318
Below $296: Short to $290
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
If $310 holds, potential retest of $320
If $296 breaks, freefall to $285
🔥 News & Market Context
🩸 Tesla planning major initiatives in early 2025, including Model Y Juniper launch & self-driving advancements → Bullish Long-Term
🩸 However, short-term market reaction is bearish due to macro pressures
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $297, sell at $305+
🩸 Mid-term: Avoid heavy long positions until $310 breaks
🩸 Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter longs only above $310
👑 Final Verdict:
"Survival isn’t about guessing—it’s about acting before the rest wake up." – LucanInvestor
Tesla AnalysisNext target for Tesla. I have analyzed it using Gann , wave, trend. Mantain 6-7$ stop loss.
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
TSLA Not Looking Too GoodTSLA has been subject to some extreme volatility recently with shareholders hoping for good news and optimism as Elon Musk partners with Donald Trump.
At the moment, I understand that Tesla earnings can be a potential positive catalyst for the stock if good news is reported, however shareholders may be in for a larger surprise as the price action may be suggesting a potential ABC or larger WXY corrective structure is currently at play.
For this structure, I would like to see the overall 1-1 extension of the trend based fibonacci. To me, it looks as though this structure is made up of many smaller corrective patterns, which are creating a very choppy and volatile environment.
While many stocks have retraced to their "Trump pump" gap levels, Tesla is still quite a ways away, being potentially overvalued.
I will personally be looking for the 0.618 retracement on Tesla just above $440-$450 for a short trade back down to the low of $330 where the latest fomo rally began up to nearly $500.
From there, I would be very much open to taking a long trade or a longer term investment on Tesla.
Only time will tell!
TSLA: wave 4 to wave 5We're entering the heavy buy zone. I believe there's a lot of buyers at the 300 mark that will help stabilize support. If support holds, we would therefore get the chance to confirm further bullish momentum entering into wave 5.
Are you a buyer now, or do you prefer to wait for confirmation of support?
TSLA support & resistant areas for today Feb 25, 2025NASDAQ:TSLA So these are the support and resistant points for TSLA. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
If yall want me to post this every morning 9.30am please boost and follow me, so i know it is valuable for yall. Thank you
TSLA - Predictable as always. Just look for the controlled liq!We've done this countless times on this stock. I didn't touch this while we were shooting up post elections because of the "meme" factor behind Elon and all that. But once basic market dynamics came back into play, we've had at least 2 golden opportunities to play this name and they proved very successful. So going forward we're looking for a similar play!
Happy Trading :)
WHAT COULD HAPPEN NEXT TO TESLA STOCK?Tesla stock is in a potential reversal zone: Strong Aroon Up + RSI near oversold + Williams %R oversold. Watch for a breakout above key resistance to confirm a bullish move.
If RSI stays weak & Aroon Up falls, the stock may continue sideways or dip further.
Tesla's stock as of February 25, 2025, based on the latest data.
Current Price: $330.53
Updated Support Levels:
First Support: $325
Second Support: $265
Updated Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: $430
Second Resistance: $489
These levels are derived from recent technical analyses and are crucial for traders to monitor. The support at $325 is particularly significant, as a drop below this could indicate further declines. Conversely, breaking above the $430 resistance may signal renewed bullish momentum.
TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* TSLA had a major breakdown from 348-350, falling to 337.20 and consolidating.
* Support Levels:
* 337.20 (current price zone, high liquidity).
* 330.00 (negative NETGEX & next major put wall support).
* 320.09 (third put wall, high-risk breakdown level).
* Resistance Levels:
* 348.01 (prior breakdown level, first resistance).
* 356.76 (Value Area High & rejection level).
* If TSLA loses 330, expect sharp downside acceleration toward 320.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 337.35 → High liquidity, potential reaction zone.
* Value Area High (VAH): 348.01 → Key resistance.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 334.42 → Must hold to avoid more downside.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, with downside momentum still increasing.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold but not rebounding yet—no bullish reversal confirmation.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 380-400 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls preventing upside.
* 450 → Extreme call wall unlikely to be tested unless strong bullish momentum returns.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 330 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 320 → Critical third Put Wall—if lost, it could trigger a larger breakdown.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 37.1 | IVx Avg 70 → Higher volatility than previous stocks, meaning wider swings expected.
* Call Positioning 50.5% → Some bullish bets, but still overshadowed by put-heavy positioning.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 334 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 330.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 320.00 (Put Wall Break).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 342 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 335/320 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 335P/320P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 342-348, targeting 356+.
🔹 Target 1: 348.01 (first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 356.76 (major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 335 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 320/315 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 342+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 330, strong gamma exposure can push TSLA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TSLA Short idea posted paid, if you followed you got paidThe TSLA short idea was posted before the target was met. The idea was posted last week based on why the trade was taken and what we can anticipate to see. And we can see that the final target has been met.
TSLA: Buy ideaOn TSLA we would have a high probability of having an uptrend after a bounce off the support line as you can see on the chart.
Tesla - The Failed All Time High Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will reject the all time high first:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla was actually not able to create a sustainable all time high breakout and if a stock doesn't move up, it will come down. However Tesla still remains absolutely bullish and is now starting to create a textbook break and retest which will eventually still lead to new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $400, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
2/24/25 - $tsla - High on watchlist to own...2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
High on watchlist to own...
- fundamentally, there's a lot of "if this" priced into the stock, there's no denying it
- even round up '26 FCF from 8 bn (current expectation) to 10 bn and you're at a 1% yield. but also acknowledge... here it is again... "if, then" it's also growing at 100% yoy, and likely dirty cheap too
- seeing that grok 3 deployment, the DOGE work, rockets, video game, edgelord X... let's get this straight, Elon is
1/ not someone to bet against
2/ continues to deliver surprises across the board
3/ is at and defining the intersection of AI, robots, energy and US-first policy
- so while we can look at multiples all day, i think NASDAQ:TSLA remains a bet on what Elon can deliver in a 10Y context with a high discount rate.
- if robotaxi, optimus... solar roofs (y'all know my view on solar as % of generation) all come together nicely, there's little doubt in my mind that he's right, NASDAQ:TSLA is probably the largest publicly traded company, and make up a number, $10 tn+.
- so if we reduce the probability wave into a duality, "success" and "fail" and nothing in between (for simplicity, albeit an imperfect representation of reality).
- if success is $10 tn in 10 years
- and fail is a bagel ($0) in 10 years
- and we use a LT investment discount rate of 10% ("low enough" to capture the market's current view of stocks at 3-4% for megacap, moat/ validated names but low, but "high enough" to also factor in failure, waiting period etc. etc.)... that $10 tn in today's terms would be 10/(1.1^10) = 3.9 tn. so...
3.9 tn * 10% + 0 tn * 90% = 3.9 tn.
market might be saying... how about it's a 20-25% chance of success and nothing in between. or the market could be saying 10% chance of this success but also many scenarios in between that also give us 1 tn, 2 tn etc. of value. and as a result, the "real" valuation today perhaps does sit closer to that $1tn valuation.
the conclusion, for me, is that technicals matter more for a name like NASDAQ:TSLA in the short-term (like they do CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) than in the long-term as these fundamental factors are delivered (or not) and cash is generated (or not).
the gap fills in the low $200 do catch my eye. those are pretty large gaps. ESPECIALLY the post-election gap, which was more of an "elon benefits from being close to trump" and not necessarily (*necessarily* - though i see it both ways) a speed-up of these above mentioned fundamental factors.
I'd be eyeing the mid $200s to get involved again if/when.
i do think the stock is a LT buy at today's levels. but i just don't like the R/R given the drawdown potential (based on above logic) compared to other opportunities in my book today, namely NASDAQ:NXT , CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NYSE:UBER , $tsm.
but i'll be watching carefully and i'm willing to jump in higher if i need to. that's cool too. just not yet.
V
$TSLA DO OR DIE NOW!If this weekly HAMMER low breaks below 325 we can see 300 FAST
My game plan is they SWEEP to 299 and I will load up LEAPS and HEAVY SHARES
I will alert all here DROP A LIKE
TSLA is targeting 295 & 330 & 430Hello Traders,
I'm sharing a long position on TSLA, and I'll explain my reasoning below.
Entry Price: 223
Stop-Loss: 172
1st Target: 295
2nd Target: 380
Reason 1: The price has rebounded from the lower deviation of the uptrend channel (grey), not the lower deviation of the downtrend channel (blue). It is now targeting the upper deviation resistance line of the uptrend channel (grey) at 295.
Reason 2: A cup & handle pattern is progressing and will likely be confirmed if the price closes a weekly bar above 253 and the target will be around 330,380 and maybe 430 as shown below
NASDAQ:TSLA
TESLA: Long Trading Opportunity
TESLA
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry - 337.50
Sl - 313.33
Tp - 380.92
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
