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1TSLA trade ideas

TSLA trade of the weekThis idea is something new where I'm asking my HIGHLY EXPERIMENTAL dowsing work for a "best bang for your buck" trade at the beginning of the week. Last week was pretty good saying to short SPY on Wed., so I'm going to journal these and see if it can be consistent. If this aligns with YOUR work, great. The idea is TSLA has a spike up towards the upper gap around $326-28. My levels on TSLA often are overshot, but anyway. Then watch for it to head towards the lower gap in the $310-307 zone and possibly down to $302. My work is INCONSISTENT. There's more going into this than just looking at an indicator. This is energy, intention, intuition and God knows what else and it's more for myself than you. But, if you're interested, I'm happy to answer questions and share as I hope it inspires your own sense of what is possible beyond just the physical world.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by JenRz
2
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla: * Range between $270 and $350 * $330 to $400 into price discovery * Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PennyBois
Tesla (TSLA) 1H Chart – Wyckoff Cycle in ActionThis chart reflects a textbook Wyckoff pattern unfolding on TSLA’s 1-hour timeframe: 🔹 Accumulation Phase observed early May 🔹 Followed by Manipulation & Distribution – classic trap before markdown 🔹 Sharp selloff led to another Accumulation zone around $305 🔹 Further manipulation wicks indicate smart money involvement 🔹 Now projecting a move towards $360–$370 distribution zone 📌 Structure breakdown: Smart Money Accumulation ➡️ Manipulation ➡️ Distribution Bullish momentum building from $306 support Eyes on reaction near the marked green distribution box 📦 📅 As of June 15, 2025 – chart aligns with Wyckoff theory and institutional behavior.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Ttrade-With-Logic
SPY & MegaCap strengthSPY saw a very strong gap up, negating most of the selling from last week. despite rising tensions in the middle east - investors have shrugged off volatility and bought the initial dip. This may be proving that "war" is good for stocks. we observed a very close correlation between the indices and oil today. As oil reversed higher - markets saw a bit of weakness. As oil fell markets rallied. TSLA trying to break a 4 hour bullish pattern META new Smart Glasses release causing a surge. MSFT new all time high tap NVDA firm with ripping semiconductors GOOGL looking strong for continuation AMZN moving nicely off support AAPL lagging the mega's but positive
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
TSLA Failing at Gamma Wall! Will $322 Hold or Collapse Into $315🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Gamma Exposure Zones: * Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone * Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in * Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally) * PUT Support Zones: * $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip * $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support * $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk * Options Metrics: * IVR: 25.2 (moderate) * IVx avg: 70.5 * Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50) * Interpretation: * TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point. * GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown: * Current Price: $325.00 * Structure: * Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327 * Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred * Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed * Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible * Trendlines: * Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure * If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone) ⚔️ Trade Setups: 🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability): * Trigger: Continuation below $322.50 * Target 1: $315 (PUT support) * Target 2: $310 * Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall) Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid. 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim): * Trigger: Reclaim of $328 * Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance) * Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet) * Stop-loss: Below $324.50 Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out. 💭 My Thoughts: * TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5. * Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast. * Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster. * Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown. 🔚 Conclusion: TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
1
What Is T-Distribution in Trading? What Is T-Distribution in Trading? In the financial markets, understanding T-distribution in probability is a valuable skill. This statistical concept, crucial for small sample sizes, offers insights into market trends and risks. By grasping T-distribution, traders gain a powerful tool for evaluating strategies, risks, and portfolios. Let's delve into what T-distribution is and how it's effectively used in the realm of trading. Understanding T-Distribution The T-distribution in probability distribution plays a crucial role in trading, especially in situations where sample sizes are small. William Sealy Gosset first introduced it under the pseudonym "Student". This distribution resembles the normal distribution with its bell-shaped curve but has thicker tails, meaning it predicts more outcomes in the extreme ends than a normal distribution would. A key element of T-distribution is the concept of 'degrees of freedom', which essentially refers to the number of values in a calculation that are free to vary. It's usually the sample size minus one. The degrees of freedom affect the shape of the T-distribution; with fewer degrees of freedom, the distribution has heavier tails. As the degrees of freedom increase, the distribution starts to resemble the normal distribution more closely. This is particularly significant in trading when dealing with small data sets, where the T-distribution provides a more accurate estimation of probability and risk than the normal distribution. T-Distribution vs Normal Distribution T-distribution and normal distribution are foundational in statistical analysis, yet they serve different purposes. While both exhibit a bell-shaped curve, the T-distribution has thicker tails, implying a higher probability of extreme values. This makes it more suitable for small sample sizes or when the standard deviation is unknown. In contrast, the normal distribution, with its thinner tails, is ideal for larger sample sets where the standard deviation is known. Traders often use T-distribution for more accurate analysis in small-scale or uncertain data scenarios, while normal distribution is preferred for larger, more stable datasets, where extreme outcomes are less likely. Application in Trading In trading, T-distribution is a valuable tool for analysing financial data. It is primarily used in constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis testing, which are essential for making informed trading decisions. For instance, a trader might use T-distribution to test the effectiveness of a new trading strategy. Suppose a trader has developed a strategy using the technical analysis tools and wants to understand its potential effectiveness compared to the general market performance. They would collect a sample of returns from this strategy over a period, say, 30 days. Given the small sample size, using T-distribution is appropriate here. The trader would then calculate the mean return of this sample and use T-distribution to create a confidence interval. This interval would provide a range within which the true mean return of the strategy is likely to lie, with a certain level of confidence. If this confidence interval shows a higher mean return than the market average, the trader might conclude that the strategy is potentially effective. However, it's important to note that this is an estimation and not a guarantee of future performance. How to Plug Probability and Normal Distribution in Your T-Calculation To use a T-calculator for integrating probability and normal distribution, follow these steps: - Input Degrees of Freedom: For T-distribution, calculate the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one). - Convert Z-Score to T-Value: If using normal distribution data, convert the Z-score (standard deviation units from the mean in a normal distribution) to a T-value using the formula: T = Z * (sqrt(n)), where 'n' is the sample size. - Enter T-Value: Input this T-value into the calculator. - Calculate Probability: The calculator will then output the probability, providing a statistical basis for trading decisions based on the T-distribution. Limitations and Considerations of T-Distribution While T-distribution is a powerful tool in trading analysis, it's important to recognise its limitations and considerations: - Sample Size Sensitivity: T-distribution is most effective with small sample sizes. As the sample size increases, it converges to a normal distribution, reducing its distinct utility. - Assumption of Normality: T-distribution assumes that the underlying data is approximately normally distributed. This may not hold true for all financial data sets, especially those with significant skewness or kurtosis. - Degrees of Freedom Complications: Misestimating degrees of freedom can lead to inaccurate results. It's crucial to calculate this correctly based on the sample data. - Outlier Sensitivity: T-distribution can be overly sensitive to outliers in the data, which can skew results. Advanced Applications of T-Distribution in Trading T-distribution extends beyond basic trading applications, playing a role in advanced financial analyses: - Risk Modelling: Utilised in constructing sophisticated risk models, helping traders assess the probability of extreme losses. - Algorithmic Trading: Integral in developing complex algorithms. - Portfolio Optimisation: Assists in optimising portfolios by estimating returns and risks of various assets. - Market Research: Used in advanced market research methodologies to analyse small sample behavioural studies. The Bottom Line The T-distribution is a powerful tool, offering nuanced insights in scenarios involving small sample sizes or uncertain standard deviations. Its ability to accommodate real-world data's quirks makes it invaluable for various trading applications, from strategy testing to risk assessment. However, understanding its limitations and proper application is crucial for accurate analysis. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
Tesla🚗 Tesla (TSLA) – Long-Term Bullish Outlook 📈 Tesla is showing extreme bullish strength across higher timeframes, supported by strong fundamentals, innovation momentum, and institutional interest. The current price action suggests a solid long-term buying opportunity for patient investors and swing traders alike. 🔍 Technical Outlook: The stock has broken key resistance levels and is maintaining higher lows. Momentum indicators support continuation of the uptrend. Volume and sentiment remain favorable. 📅 Investment Horizon: Mid to Long Term (Up to 2 Years) 🎯 Target Levels: ➡️ 500 – First major resistance ➡️ 700 – Medium-term breakout target ➡️ 900 – Long-term bullish target based on macro and chart structure 📌 Strategy: Buy on dips or sustained breakouts. Suitable for long-term portfolios with a 1–2 year holding perspective. Risk management and scaling in recommended. 💬 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. #TSLA #Tesla #Stocks #TradingView #Investing #Bullish #LongTerm #SwingTrade #GrowthStocks
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Al-Reshad
TSLA June 2025 Monthly Support & Resistance Lines Valid till EOMOverview: The purple lines serve as support and resistance levels for TSLA stock throughout the month of June. When the price approaches these lines from either the bottom or the top, I will consider taking long or short positions in TSLA stock, depending on the direction of the price movement. Trading Timeframes I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Some can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements. I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month. Extra: I added Blue Lines which are weekly line for June 16th to 20th.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OnePunchMan91
TSLA – Short Trade Setup!📉 🔍 Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown 📍 Entry: ~$329.09 (breakdown candle near resistance) 🎯 Target: $319.37 (first support), $314.54 (major support) 🛑 Stop-loss: $331.74 (above wedge and resistance zone) ✅ Why this setup? Price is rejecting from wedge top + supply zone Bearish structure with lower highs forming Clear breakdown below ascending trendline Good risk-reward targeting previous demand zones 🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute 📈 Bias: Short / Reversal from resistance
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ProfittoPath
Take a bullish position on TSLA as price action confirms upside Current Price: $325.31 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $335.00 - T2 = $345.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $320.00 - S2 = $315.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla. **Key Insights:** Tesla has shown substantial resilience in the tech-heavy market, with bullish sentiment linked to its innovative product lineup, particularly autonomous vehicles and the forthcoming robo-taxi launch. Institutional investors have actively increased positions, signaling long-term confidence in Tesla’s disruptive growth narrative. However, mixed profitability metrics and emerging competition in the global EV space keep valuations under scrutiny. Tesla’s price action around $325.31 suggests that the optimism surrounding potential catalysts outweighs near-term concerns, with technical momentum favoring further upside gains. **Recent Performance:** Tesla has demonstrated significant strength in recent trading sessions, successfully recovering from a minor pullback that aligned with broader market volatility. The stock climbed steadily from its $300 support level and has outperformed the broader tech sector during a period of overall market uncertainty. Heavy volume and speculative trading suggest strong engagement from both institutional and retail participants. **Expert Analysis:** Technical outlook for Tesla indicates bullish divergence on the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) coupled with a successful retest of its 50-day moving average. These factors affirm that momentum remains firmly to the upside. Analysts highlight Tesla’s ability to set remarkable trends within the EV sector, backed by advancing autonomous technologies and renewable energy solutions. Near-term resistance sits at $335, where a breakout would likely trigger further upward movement toward $345. **News Impact:** Recent news regarding Tesla’s upcoming robo-taxi launch in June has considerably bolstered investor sentiment. Market participants view this innovation as a key milestone that could redefine Tesla’s growth trajectory. However, declining EV sales in Europe and the United States remain a concern, potentially capping excessive bullish momentum. Traders should watch for more clarity on macroeconomic factors influencing demand. **Trading Recommendation:** Tesla’s combination of technical strength and ground-breaking product developments underpins a favorable trading outlook. A long position with well-defined stops below $320 offers an attractive risk/reward setup, targeting $335 and $345 sequentially. While global sales trends warrant close monitoring, Tesla’s leadership within the EV and tech space supports a bullish thesis in the short term.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
TSLA: Gamma & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish-Jun 16TSLA: Gamma Setups & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish Run 1️⃣ Options GEX Insights * Gamma ‘walls’ building: Strongest Call protection at 335–350, anchored by the largest NETGEX/Call Wall — signaling substantial gamma support in that zone. * Current call exposure stands at 76.1%, with puts at 23.9%. With IV suppressed (28.2 vs 78.6 avg), volatility is compressed—ideal for a quick rebound if triggered. * Price is near 325, resting above the 317.5 HVL, and poised to test the gamma shelf near 335–340. Entry into 0–5DTE or 3DTE calls around 325–330 offers leverage as gamma accelerates through these walls. 2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart & Trade Plan * Structure: Broke down below ascending range, but just executed a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) reversal near 309–310. * Current trend: Eyes stacked higher lows (HL), structure confirmed—momentum is rebuilding. * Key Zones: * Entry area: on pullback/support near 325–326 * Target: 332.99–335+ (aligned with Call Wall) * Invalidation: below 319.11, which would signal loss of structure. ⏫ Trade Suggestion: Consider initiating a bull entry on dip into 325–326, targeting 332–335 for the short term, and scaling out or trailing into gamma resistance zones. 🧠 Why I’m Interested The alignment here is compelling: Options flow shows strong net gamma support ahead, IV is low (less decay hit), and structure reset (HL + BOS) confirms a textbook SMC setup. TSLA is carving out a classic bull signal off gamma-based support—ideal for scalping or short-term leg trades. 🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice—purely educational. Trade with proper risk management, and be aware options carry unique risks, including rapid theta decay and volatility shifts.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
The Importance of Price HistoryAs you can see, even the first year of a stocks price history can influence trends forever TSLA is now at a key level on a historical trend, riding a longtime trendline while being sandwiched in a strong support/resistance area since 2021. Watching for big moves that signal the S & P 500's direction in the coming month, the next price move will be volatile If TSLA falls below $100 it's in big danger of falling down that grey imbalance zone on the monthly. The volatility of this stock is it's greatest asset and weakness. Personally, I wouldn't want to be trading this stock without a tight stop loss
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PoorMemory
1
How I Got My Win Rate to 94.12% ($4.59 per $1 risk expectancy)There's a lot of people who talk smack about high win rates, probably to justify their low win rates. The justification usually sounds something like this 'You do know the best traders have win rates under 50% and win rates mean nothing right?'. Nothing could be further from the truth in the context of the archetypal character who writes such a thing in trading view minds. A high win rate shows something very very important.. proof of edge. Now if someone wants to believe I'm taking penny wins and dollar losses, be my guest but use your head...in fact, one better... use your eyes. There is a nice little stat there called 'profit factor', what it tells you is how many dollars profit per trade my expectancy is. Wake up, understand that not everyone is a trading guru scammer. Not everyones stats are fake, and if you want to see for yourself... its easy to do. Simply watch my livestream, there is no better proof of edge than that.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Polyanonymous