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6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: $TSLA6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA Legging in slowly... again - valuation is not for this post, i've put it out there last time - after riding in many teslas in LVN (obviously not my first time) i was AMAZED at how many ubers were using FSD at my request and talking about how it's improved light years since the few versions ahead - this is now a humanoid-focused company, i'm entirely convinced it will happen and of the three companies out there, only one is public - and they're coming. given progress in AI (I'm so close to this)... we'll probably see them commercially in kitchens, old ppl homes etc. in a matter of years, at most. I'd guess we see a few out in the wild in two years... - so while it's hard to wrap my head around the "valuation" in a car context... a trillion bucks for a company in the process of disrupting the entire global services industry, is too cheap. - send it lower. - i'm starting my LT position here and want it it lower. V
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VROCKSTAR
Tesla Recovers After Announcement of Trump–Musk DialogueBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades After a session marked by a sharp decline, Tesla shares rebounded strongly in after-hours trading. The catalyst: a *Politico* report revealing that President Donald Trump’s advisors have scheduled a phone call with Elon Musk for today, Friday, in an effort to ease tensions following a public dispute between the two figures. On Thursday, Tesla suffered one of its worst declines of the year, plunging 14.26% and wiping out more than \$150 billion in market value within hours. This brings the quarterly loss to 25.70%. However, news of a potential reconciliation pushed the stock back into positive territory, closing at \$288.35 with a 2.31% recovery, sparking speculative after-hours trading that could extend into the week’s final session. The clash erupted after Musk criticized a new tax cut bill championed by the White House. Trump promptly responded by threatening to reassess federal contracts awarded to Musk's companies, such as SpaceX. Tensions escalated further when Musk, via social media, hinted at alleged ties between Trump and the late financier Jeffrey Epstein. According to *Politico*, although Trump has publicly projected an air of indifference, his advisors have been working behind the scenes to de-escalate the feud and avoid broader political and economic fallout. The scheduled call on Friday may mark the beginning of a truce. It’s worth recalling that during his tenure at the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under Trump’s administration, Elon Musk faced accusations of conflicts of interest, particularly for pushing deregulatory policies that directly benefited Tesla and SpaceX. These actions triggered public protests, the "Tesla Takedown" boycott movement, and investor concerns over Musk's divided attention—ultimately harming Tesla’s reputation and market valuation. Tesla Under the Microscope: Between Market Rebound and Financial Pressure The technical rebound has offered investors some relief, but Tesla’s challenges extend beyond the political arena. As of 2025, the stock is down nearly 25% amid shrinking global EV demand, intensified competition, and margin pressure. In its Q1 2025 earnings report, Tesla posted \$21.3 billion in revenue, down 5% year-on-year. Net income also fell to \$1.04 billion, dragged by an aggressive discount strategy and rising operational costs. Gross margin declined to 17.2%, while free cash flow stood at \$620 million. Despite these headwinds, the company maintains a strong financial position, with \$22 billion in cash and \$7.8 billion in total debt. Tesla currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56, well above the industry average, reflecting high—though increasingly questioned—growth expectations. Technical Outlook: Key Support Level in Sight From a technical perspective, Tesla has found crucial support around the \$271.22 level. This bounce aligns with the beginning of a bearish consolidation cross seen on Wednesday. If the 200-day moving average remains below the 100-day and the 50-day adjusts downward, further bearish momentum could ensue. A break below this level may lead to a decline toward \$250. Conversely, a sustained recovery could push the stock toward the previous control point at \$361.93, though not before consolidating around the \$320 resistance zone. The RSI shows clear signs of extreme overselling at 19%, potentially signaling the door to an upward move. In the short term, everything hinges on the outcome of today’s Trump–Musk conversation, which markets will be watching very closely. Conclusion The clash between Musk and Trump has left visible scars on the market. While a possible rapprochement may open a window for stabilization, Tesla’s financial and technical fundamentals reveal ongoing challenges. Any recovery could prove as volatile as the leadership surrounding it. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ActivTrades
Tesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion MeltdownTesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion Meltdown, Chinese Rivals on the Attack, and a Faltering Shanghai Fortress A tempest has engulfed Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth, wiping a staggering $152 billion from its market capitalization in a single day. This monumental loss, the largest in the company's history, was triggered by a dramatic and public feud between CEO Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump. The confrontation, however, is but the most visible squall in a much larger storm. Lurking just beneath the surface are the relentless waves of competition from Chinese automakers, who are rapidly eroding Tesla's dominance, and the ominous sign of eight consecutive months of declining shipments from its once-impenetrable Shanghai Gigafactory. The confluence of these events has plunged Tesla into a precarious position, raising fundamental questions about its future trajectory and its ability to navigate the turbulent waters of a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. The narrative of Tesla as an unstoppable force is being rewritten in real-time, replaced by a more complex and challenging reality. The Trump-Musk Spat: A Bromance Turned Billion-Dollar Blow-Up The relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, once a seemingly symbiotic alliance of power and influence, has spectacularly imploded, leaving a trail of financial and political wreckage in its wake. The public falling out, which played out in a series of scathing social media posts and public statements, sent shockwaves through Wall Street and Washington, culminating in a historic sell-off of Tesla stock. The genesis of the feud lies in Musk's vocal criticism of a sweeping tax and spending bill, a cornerstone of the Trump administration's second-term agenda. Musk, who had previously been a vocal supporter and even an advisor to the President, lambasted the legislation as a "disgusting abomination" filled with "pork." This public rebuke from a figure of Musk's stature was a direct challenge to Trump's authority and legislative priorities. The President's response was swift and sharp. In an Oval Office meeting, Trump expressed his "disappointment" in Musk, questioning the future of their "great relationship." The war of words then escalated dramatically on their respective social media platforms. Trump, on his social media platform, threatened to terminate Tesla's lucrative government subsidies and contracts, a move that would have significant financial implications for Musk's business empire. He also claimed to have asked Musk to leave his advisory role, a statement Musk labeled as an "obvious lie." Musk, in turn, did not hold back. On X (formerly Twitter), he claimed that without his substantial financial support in the 2024 election, Trump would have lost the presidency. This assertion of his political influence was a direct jab at the President's ego and a stark reminder of the financial power Musk wields. The spat took an even more personal and inflammatory turn when Musk alluded to Trump's name appearing in the unreleased records of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation. The market's reaction to this public spectacle was brutal. Tesla's stock plummeted by over 14% in a single day, erasing more than $152 billion in market capitalization and pushing the company's valuation below the coveted $1 trillion mark. The sell-off was a clear indication of investor anxiety over the political instability and the potential for tangible financial repercussions from the feud. The incident underscored how intertwined Musk's personal and political activities have become with Tesla's financial performance, a vulnerability that has been a recurring theme for the company. The Chinese Dragon Breathes Fire: Tesla's EV Dominance Under Siege While the political drama in Washington captured headlines, a more fundamental and perhaps more enduring threat to Tesla's long-term prosperity is brewing in the East. The Chinese electric vehicle market, once a key engine of Tesla's growth, has become a fiercely competitive battleground where a host of domestic rivals are not just challenging Tesla, but in some aspects, surpassing it. Companies like BYD, Nio, XPeng, and now even the tech giant Xiaomi, are relentlessly innovating and offering a diverse range of electric vehicles that are often more affordable and technologically advanced than Tesla's offerings. This intense competition has led to a significant erosion of Tesla's market share in China. From a dominant position just a few years ago, Tesla's share of the battery electric vehicle market has fallen significantly. One of the key advantages for Chinese automakers is their control over the entire EV supply chain, particularly in battery production. This allows them to produce vehicles at a lower cost, a crucial factor in a price-sensitive market. The result is a growing disparity in pricing, with many Chinese EVs offering comparable or even superior features at a fraction of the cost of a Tesla. Furthermore, Chinese consumers are increasingly viewing electric vehicles as "rolling smartphones," prioritizing advanced digital features, connectivity, and a sophisticated user experience. In this regard, many domestic brands are seen as more innovative and in tune with local preferences than Tesla. This shift in consumer sentiment has been a significant factor in the declining interest in the Tesla brand in China. The numbers paint a stark picture of Tesla's predicament. While the overall new-energy vehicle market in China continues to grow at a remarkable pace, Tesla's sales have been on a downward trend. This is a worrying sign for a company that has invested heavily in its Chinese operations and has historically relied on the country for a substantial portion of its global sales. The pressure on Tesla's sales in China is so intense that its sales staff are working grueling 13-hour shifts, seven days a week, in a desperate attempt to meet demanding sales targets. The high-pressure environment has reportedly led to high turnover rates among sales staff, a clear indication of the immense strain the company is under in this critical market. The Shanghai Gigafactory: A Fortress with a Faltering Gate The struggles in the Chinese market are reflected in the declining output from Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory. For eight consecutive months, shipments from the factory, which serves both the domestic Chinese market and is a key export hub, have seen a year-on-year decline. In May 2025, the factory delivered 61,662 vehicles, a 15% drop compared to the same period the previous year. This sustained decline in shipments is a significant red flag for several reasons. Firstly, the Shanghai factory is Tesla's largest and most efficient production facility, accounting for a substantial portion of its global output. A slowdown in production at this key facility has a direct impact on the company's overall delivery numbers and financial performance. Secondly, the declining shipments are a direct consequence of the weakening demand for Tesla's vehicles in China. Despite being a production powerhouse, the factory's output is ultimately dictated by the number of cars it can sell. The falling shipment numbers are a clear indication that the company is struggling to maintain its sales momentum in the face of fierce competition. The situation in China is a microcosm of the broader challenges facing Tesla. The company's product lineup, which has not seen a major new addition in the affordable segment for some time, is starting to look dated compared to the rapid product cycles of its Chinese competitors. The refreshed Model 3 and Model Y, while still popular, are no longer the novelties they once were, and are facing a growing number of compelling alternatives. A Confluence of Crises: What Lies Ahead for Tesla? The convergence of a high-profile political feud, intensifying competition, and production headwinds has created a perfect storm for Tesla. The company that once seemed invincible is now facing a multi-front battle for its future. The spat with Trump, while seemingly a short-term crisis, has exposed the risks associated with a CEO whose public persona is so closely tied to the company's brand. The incident has also highlighted the potential for political winds to shift, and for government policies that have benefited Tesla in the past to be reversed. The challenge from Chinese automakers is a more fundamental and long-term threat. The rise of these nimble and innovative competitors is not a fleeting trend, but a structural shift in the global automotive industry. Tesla can no longer rely on its brand cachet and technological lead to maintain its dominance. It must now compete on price, features, and innovation in a market that is becoming increasingly crowded and sophisticated. The declining shipments from the Shanghai factory are a tangible manifestation of these challenges. The factory, once a symbol of Tesla's global manufacturing prowess, is now a barometer of its struggles in its most important market. To navigate this storm, Tesla will need to demonstrate a level of agility and adaptability that it has not been required to show in the past. This will likely involve a renewed focus on product development, particularly in the affordable EV segment, to better compete with the value propositions offered by its Chinese rivals. It will also require a more nuanced and strategic approach to the Chinese market, one that acknowledges the unique preferences and demands of Chinese consumers. The coming months will be a critical test for Tesla and its leadership. The company's ability to weather this storm and emerge stronger will depend on its capacity to innovate, to compete, and to navigate the complex and often unpredictable currents of the global automotive market. The era of unchallenged dominance is over. The battle for the future of electric mobility has truly begun.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup – Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone🚗 TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup – Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone 🔥 📅 Signal Date: June 5, 2025 | ⏳ Duration: 5–10 Day Swing 🎯 Objective: Play oversold bounce into heavy open interest at $300 📊 Multi-Model Insight Summary Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence Grok Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 40.80 17.00 75% Claude Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 50.00–65.00 20.00 75% DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Buy Call 300 26.65 32.00 20.00 75% Gemini Neutral/Stand Aside No Trade — — — — 45% Llama Mod. Bearish Buy Put 280 3.30 1.65 3.30 75% 🔎 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot 15-Min RSI: Extremely oversold → Mean-reversion potential Daily/Weekly: Neutral, but nearing key support zones Price Action: 5-day sharp drop into $280–$285 area Max Pain: $300 → potential gravitational magnet for bounce Sentiment: News uncertainty (Musk/Trump noise) but positioning supports upside IV Rank: Elevated — options rich but supported by move potential 🎯 Trade Setup – Long TSLA Call Instrument: TSLA Direction: CALL (LONG) Strike: $290.00 Expiry: 2025-06-20 Entry Price: $34.00 Profit Target: $40.80 (20% premium gain) Stop Loss: $17.00 (50% premium loss) Size: 1 contract Entry Timing: Market open Confidence Level: 70% ⚠️ Risk Management Notes 🔻 Premium decay: Watch theta decay closely, especially if no bounce by day 5 🚫 Technical breach: Close trade if $280–$285 breaks on strong volume 💣 Headline risk: Musk-related catalysts or macro shifts can swing direction rapidly ⏳ Time Exit Rule: Consider exiting by June 14 if trade hasn’t reached target 🧠 Trade Rationale TSLA’s sharp pullback into oversold territory alongside strong call OI at $300 sets the stage for a short-term relief bounce. Multiple models support the call play, with a focus on a 5–10 day recovery swing.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by quantsignals
1
Tesla: Completed!TSLA has moved somewhat closer to the resistance at $373.04 since our last update, but these gains have now been tempered. We now consider the turquoise wave 4 as finished and anticipate imminent sell-offs during wave 5. These should eventually complete the magenta wave (3) of a larger downward impulse below the support at $215.01. However, due to recent upward momentum, we have increased the relevance of our alternative scenario. We now consider it 38% likely that the stock has already completed the large correction of the blue wave alt.(II) with the last significant low and will continue to rise directly during wave alt.(III). In this case, the price would next not only rise above the nearby resistance at $373.04 but also overcome the higher levels at $405.54 and $488.50. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MarketIntel
TSLA looking for a rally setupPrediction: TSLA will likely pull back to the green range (328–342), and in extreme cases, it may dip to the 318–320 area before starting a rally toward ~380 in June or July. Eventually, it may aim for the ~420 range as the full target, though I’m not very confident about that at this point. On the daily chart, the overall setup is forming a bull flag pattern, with the MACD showing a potential pullback reversal in the high-range. The gap between 307 and 311 likely won’t be filled in the near future. Action: I plan to accumulate long positions around ~335 and will add more if it drops to 320, or if it breaks above the 10 SMA after breaking below the 20 MA without hitting 320. Stop loss will be at filling the gap or breaking down 60 SMA. Potential-loss ratio is 2:1 to 3:1, which is not ideal for TSLA or TSLL. So I will be looking for calls or BCS.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by liqihang007
TSLA: Continues to form a Cup and Handle reversal patternHey folks, Just a quick analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA on the daily chart. Compared to my last analysis, price has fallen a bit since, as a new flag (handle) continues to form following a cup pattern. - Cup and Handle pattern forming. The handle would also count as a bull flag. This is known as a cup and handle reversal pattern, after a downtrend. So yes, it is possible for a stock to reverse its trend through the formation of a cup and handle reversal pattern (as you can see in the chart). - Major resistance at $366 which marks the peak of the flag (handle) pattern. This would have to be broken in order for the cup and handle to be valid. - Volume has also been decreasing during the formation of this pattern: this is typical amongst Cup and Handle patterns, and generally a positive sign. Note: Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by michaeldobski
TSLA | Long Bias | Double VWAP + ABC Setup | (June 5, 2025)TSLA | Long Bias | Double VWAP + ABC Setup | (June 5, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: Tesla is pulling back just as we anticipated, but strong technical support from a double VWAP level and a developing ABC correction is hinting at a potential bullish reversal. Momentum could build soon — this is a key area to watch! 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry Zone: Current VWAP support near $230 (adjust per actual chart level) Stop Loss: Below VWAP + liquidity zone (~$225 suggested) TP1: $363 TP2: $395 Partial Exits: Consider profit-taking along the way; over 50% of the position to be closed around the $363–$395 range. 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Support Factors: We're holding the double VWAP level and near the left-side value area high (around $294), with ABC corrective structure playing out. ✅ Money Flow: On the 4H chart, money is flowing out, but on the 30min it's stabilizing near 0 — watch for a potential turn. ❌ Risk Zone: We might see a short liquidity grab under the VWAP before the real move starts. Be patient with entries. 📰 Sentiment & Fundamentals: Tesla dropped due to new tariffs, but the news around Robotaxi services could spark a sharp rebound. Wall Street is watching closely as EPS continues to underperform forecasts. ⚠️ Valuation Caution: Despite a sky-high P/E ratio (189), Tesla remains outside normal valuation rules, like Nvidia. Keep that in mind when thinking long-term. 4️⃣ Follow-Up: I’ll be monitoring this setup closely — especially how price reacts around VWAP and whether money flow turns green. Updates to come if conditions change! Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Risk_Adj_Return
TSLA Backtest: A robo-taxi launchpad? TBD ... 𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁: A robo-taxi launchpad? 🤖🚗 After a 20%+ breakout, NASDAQ:TSLA is retesting its 200dma with $295–300 now key support. Hold that — and bulls have room to run to $400+. 𝘉𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘩 𝘴𝘦𝘵𝘶𝘱 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘦: June 12 robo-taxi reveal in Austin could mark Tesla’s first real step toward autonomous ride-hailing at scale. 𝘏𝘪𝘨𝘩 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘦, 𝘩𝘪𝘨𝘩 𝘩𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘴: Tesla's valuation has always priced in the future. This time, the future might show up in a self-driving Model Y. $NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:SOX CBOE:ARKK #Tesla #Robotaxi #FSD #ElonMusk #Stocks
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by KobesyTrades
Tesla (TSLA) Share AnalysisHello, Tesla investors! Tesla stock has gained good momentum recently, breaking the downtrend and rising to $362. This rise has been fueled by investor interest in Elon Musk's full-time return to the company's helm and the upcoming Robotaxi launch. Technically speaking , the stock has formed a "double bottom" (W) pattern, and its target, $362, has been reached. However, we are now facing strong resistance at this level. If this resistance level is not surpassed with sufficient trading volume, we may see a short-term pullback. The possibility of a short-term correction increases, especially with the RSI indicator approaching the overbought zone. The $335 and $290 regions stand out as support levels. These levels are important to watch for possible pullbacks. In summary , Tesla stock is in an important resistance zone. Breaking through this level with high volume could signal the start of a new uptrend. Otherwise, we may face a short-term correction. Consider these levels and technical indicators when making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by celilADIGUZEL
TESLA RECOVERY AHEAD|LONG| ✅TESLA lost more than 25% On the Elon VS Trump fallout In less than a week which is Seen by many as an excellent Opportunity to add TESLA stocks To their portfolios with a great Discount which is why we are Already seeing a nice rebound From the wide strong horizontal Support just above 270$ level And as we are locally bullish Biased we will be expecting Further growth on Monday LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProSignalsFx
2
Will Tesla keep dropping?Tesla's stock experienced a significant decline of 14% yesterday, primarily due to a public feud between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. This dispute has raised concerns about potential government actions that could adversely affect Tesla's operations. The conflict began when Musk criticized a proposed tax and spending bill, labeling it a "disgusting abomination." In response, President Trump threatened to terminate federal contracts with Musk's companies, including Tesla and SpaceX. This escalation led to a sharp drop in Tesla's stock price, erasing over $150 billion in market value and removing the company from the $1 trillion market capitalization club. Technical analysis indicates that Tesla's stock broke below key support levels, including its 50- and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. Analysts have identified support levels at $265, $215, and $170, with resistance around $365. Despite the recent turmoil, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities maintains a bullish outlook, citing upcoming innovations like Tesla's robotaxi service as potential growth drivers. However, challenges persist. Tesla faces declining sales in Europe, increased competition from companies like BYD, and potential regulatory hurdles stemming from Musk's political engagements. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bossout10
1
Tesla Wave Analysis – 5 June 2025 - Tesla broke the support zone - Likely to fall to support level 260.00 Tesla recently broke the support zone located between the support level 294.00 (former resistance from April and March) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor ABC correction 2 from the end of May. Tesla can be expected to fall to the next support level 260.00, which is the former resistance from the start of April.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by FxProGlobal