UAL overextendedshould hit a brick wall once 80$ is reached, as per my previous analysis i expected it to be the final target. will be shorting today 79.9 - 80.9 - 81.9, and 78$ as a quick scalp
1UAL trade ideas
$UAL with a neutral outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for NASDAQ:UAL after a positive under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 70%.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 62.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
UAL SELL SELL SELL+++Time for this to retrace once again, it's extremely overbought and gotten ahead of itself in a short amount of time. Test $65.01 then $59 first to targets
UAL SHORT DAY TRADEcoming into channel upper resistance, day trade short with a good RISK REWARD potential
MAXED OUT ON A LOT OF LEVELS BUT CONTINUES TO STRIKEWhile the irons are hot, indicators are overbought, the good catalysts could continue with the bullish sentiment and fundamentals. Not done yet, expect a retrace at some point too.
UAL Falling Wedge Pattern SHORT from the Resistance TrendlineUAL is looking to fall 10% from the upper resistance trendline as the summer travel season
comes to a close. Shorting UAL with a put option in the money expiring in one month. Current
trend shows traders are not impressed by earnings without corresponding revenue support.
Analysts will likely soon proclaim a downgrade.
United Airlines (UAL) Is a Strategic Buy for Savvy InvestorUnited Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UAL) presents a compelling investment opportunity, especially when viewed through the sophisticated trading principles espoused by DiamondTradingOfficial. Despite the volatility inherent in the airline industry, UAL stands out as an undervalued stock with strong growth prospects, making it a strategic addition to any well-diversified portfolio.
Recovery and Growth in the Aviation Sector
The global aviation industry has been undergoing a significant recovery, driven by the resurgence in travel demand post-pandemic. United Airlines, as one of the largest U.S. carriers, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The company's robust route network, including both domestic and international destinations, allows it to tap into the growing demand for air travel, particularly as international borders continue to reopen.
United's focus on expanding its fleet and increasing capacity aligns with the broader industry trend of recovery, positioning the company for accelerated revenue growth. The return of business travel, combined with the ongoing strength in leisure travel, is expected to bolster United's earnings in the coming quarters.
Strong Financial Position and Cost Management
United Airlines has demonstrated strong financial management, particularly in navigating the challenges of the past few years. The company has made significant strides in cost management, improving operational efficiency, and enhancing its balance sheet. This disciplined approach to managing expenses is critical in an industry known for its thin margins and susceptibility to external shocks.
Moreover, United's focus on maintaining a healthy cash flow, coupled with its strategic capital expenditures, ensures that the company remains resilient in the face of potential future disruptions. This financial prudence, combined with the company’s proactive efforts to modernize its fleet, reduces operational costs and increases long-term profitability.
Undervaluation and Market Sentiment
United Airlines is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 4.81, which is well below the industry average and indicates significant undervaluation. This discrepancy between the stock’s market price and its intrinsic value presents a lucrative opportunity for value investors. The airline's strong fundamentals, coupled with its growth potential, suggest that the market has yet to fully recognize the company’s true worth.
Technical analysis supports this thesis, with UAL showing signs of being oversold, making it an attractive entry point for investors. Additionally, institutional sentiment towards United has been positive, with several major funds increasing their stakes, further validating the investment case.
Conclusion
United Airlines Holdings Inc. is an intelligent buy for strategic investors who apply advanced trading principles and value investing strategies. The company’s solid financial foundation, strategic positioning in a recovering industry, and significant market undervaluation make it a standout pick in the airline sector. For those looking to capitalize on the ongoing recovery in air travel and secure a position in a fundamentally strong company, UAL represents a compelling opportunity.
United Airlines: Bankruptcy??United Airlines has been forming this giant bearflag on the monthly chart since the covid crash in March 2020. If this flag breaks, the target is below $0, which is predicting United Airlines will either file for bankruptcy in the coming years or do some massive reverse stock splits. Either way, I sure wouldn't want to be holding this stock. NASDAQ:UAL
Stocks pairs trading: UAL vs CLXLet's examine the trade potential for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) and The Clorox Company (CLX) by analyzing their key financial metrics and recent performance to determine reasons for going long on UAL and short on CLX.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio:
UAL: P/E ratio of 6.64
CLX: P/E ratio of 68.48
UAL's significantly lower P/E ratio indicates it is trading at a cheaper valuation relative to its earnings compared to CLX. This suggests that UAL is undervalued and has more room for price appreciation.
Forward P/E Ratio:
UAL: Forward P/E of 4.52
CLX: Forward P/E of 20.36
UAL's forward P/E is substantially lower than CLX’s, reinforcing the idea that UAL might be more attractively valued based on future earnings expectations.
Earnings Growth:
UAL: EPS next Y of 17.80%
CLX: EPS next Y of 9.53%
UAL’s expected earnings growth for next year is significantly higher than that of CLX, indicating stronger future performance potential.
Debt and Liquidity:
UAL: Debt/Eq of 3.79
CLX: Debt/Eq of 33.19
While both companies have high debt levels, CLX’s debt-to-equity ratio is exceedingly high compared to UAL, raising concerns about its financial stability and ability to manage debt.
Dividend and Analyst Outlook:
UAL: No current dividend but strong growth potential
CLX: Dividend yield of 3.63% but payout ratio of 395.03%
CLX's high dividend payout ratio suggests that it is paying out more in dividends than it earns, which may not be sustainable in the long run.
Performance Metrics:
UAL: Perf Quarter of 21.87%, Perf YTD of 30.38%
CLX: Perf Quarter of -12.33%, Perf YTD of -7.20%
UAL's recent performance metrics show strong positive growth, while CLX has experienced declines over the same periods, indicating potential momentum in favor of UAL.
Decision:
Long on 3 UAL: Due to its attractive valuation, strong earnings growth prospects, effective use of equity, and positive recent performance.
Short on 1 CLX: Due to its high valuation, lower earnings growth prospects, high debt levels, and declining recent performance.
UAL, 4/25-5/28, -2% LOSSOn 4/16/2024, United Airlines (UAL) reported a loss of $0.15 per share on revenue of $12.54 billion for the first quarter ended March 2024. The consensus estimate was a loss of $0.53 per share on revenue of $12.41 billion. The company beat expectations by 57.14% while revenue grew 9.71% on a year-over-year basis.
SKYT Potential Reversal Coming to the Upside Good morning everyone,
Looking at SKYT earnings report, results look worse than what they actually are. If you have not listened to their conference call I highly suggest you do so and educate yourself. Overall, I think this is a company that will do very well in the near future especially when you see a company like them being backed by the Department of Defense.
We currently have a small breakout to the downside on the weekly timeframe, meaning another small move down could be incoming and pivot shortly after. I'm predicting a reversal very soon and could potentially be the last time you see SKYT at these low levels.
Well that's it for SKYT, don't forget to like and follow! If you would a specific company for me to analyze don't forget to leave the ticker on the comments below.
Be Blessed and Happy Trading!
CHART 2 of 5: United Airlines on a bullish flag patternUAL probably will continue its bull run with this Bullish Flag continuation pattern formation.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 43usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.36.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
United Airlines Soars 14.63% Above Boeing TurbulenceIn the face of Boeing's safety crisis and production woes, United Airlines (NYSE: NASDAQ:UAL ) has defied expectations with a stellar first-quarter performance, propelling its shares skyward. Despite absorbing a significant blow from the grounding of Boeing's 737 MAX-9 aircraft, United's robust earnings and bullish outlook for the second quarter signal resilience and a promising trajectory. Let's delve into the factors driving United's ascent and its implications for investors and the aviation industry at large.
1. Earnings Triumph Over Boeing's Impact: United Airlines' first-quarter results have surpassed expectations, showcasing the company's ability to navigate challenges posed by Boeing's ongoing safety crisis. Despite absorbing a $200 million hit from the Boeing grounding, United's strong financial performance underscores effective management and strategic resilience in turbulent times.
2. Optimistic Profit Forecast: United's upbeat profit forecast for the second quarter reflects a bullish outlook on travel demand, fueled by improving corporate spending. The airline's optimistic projection signals confidence in the recovery of the aviation sector and positions United as a frontrunner in capitalizing on renewed travel momentum.
3. Capacity Constraints and Boeing Fallout: Boeing's production and certification delays have created aircraft shortages, constraining capacity for major airlines like United. While grappling with reduced delivery estimates and operational challenges, United ( NASDAQ:UAL ) remains steadfast in its commitment to maintaining service quality and meeting passenger demand amid industry headwinds.
4. CEO Assurance Amid Safety Concerns: United's CEO, Scott Kirby, has expressed confidence in the safety of Boeing's 787 Dreamliner amidst ongoing investigations into the planemaker's manufacturing practices. Kirby's reassurance underscores United's commitment to passenger safety and transparency, mitigating concerns raised by recent whistleblower allegations.
Technical Outlook
United Airlines ( NASDAQ:UAL ) stock is on a bullish trend with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 62 indicating strong buying momentum from the bulls. A strong Bullish Harami candle stick pattern indicated on the 4-month price chart further accentuates the bullish thesis of the stock
Conclusion:
United Airlines' impressive first-quarter results and optimistic outlook amid Boeing's challenges demonstrate the company's resilience in navigating turbulent skies. As the aviation industry gradually rebounds from the impact of the pandemic and Boeing's crisis, United ( NASDAQ:UAL ) stands out as a beacon of stability and growth potential.
Rising Airlines UAL LONG - Dec 23 (🐲🏔️JDSMF)After a few months taking a step back, exploring, reading and losing. This is the first trade in my new fund 🐲🏔️JDSMF. We are now looking at swing trades based on opportunities derived from exploiting the gap between the market's expectation for how things will turn out (current price) and our own belief of how things will turn out. Good luck to me!
The Hypothesis
The worst is over for the airline sector since it’s constant free fall since 24 Jul 2023 - Late Oct. After 4 months of dropping -42%.
- I believe that all the key issues have been priced into the stock.
Labour
Oil
Ticket discounts
- Consumer Demand
No airline has shown slowing demand. In fact everyone of them has reported growing demand in both domestic and international.
All have reported revenue increases
- Oil has also seen a drop in prices since 2 Oct 2023
The Fair Price
- Generally
For all airlines current price low is 40-60% away from COVID low, COVID low was a fear reaction
But if we plot current price to price stabilisation after the COVID fear reaction, we were at parity 4-6 weeks ago
UAL
UAL has strong business plan and fundamentals
COVID low is 56% away - I will put my initial risk at 56%
Base Price
- As a base I used the low of the range that happened after the COVID dip in 22 Jun 2020. This was where price stabilised from the fear and then slowly moved higher.
- 7 Dec - Price is 21% from COVID stabilisation
JETS
JETS is a safer bet on the overall airline industry
I contemplated JETS, but JETS had a bad Risk & Reward just based off COVID Stabilisation and July’s price before the dip 24%: 16.39%.
What Factors Would Break This Hypothesis
Oil prices, suddenly shoots up
Customer travel demand drops due to recessions of tightening
Labour prices shoot up cutting into margins
UAL, 1/25-2/26, 9.5% profitOn 1/22/2024, United Airlines (UAL) reported earnings of $2.00 per share on revenue of $13.63 billion for the fourth quarter ended December 2023. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.61 per share on revenue of $13.55 billion.
Technical Analysis of United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) on NAMoving Average: There's a moving average line that indicates the trend. It seems to be a simple moving average because it smooths out price data by creating a constantly updated average price.
Price Action: The chart exhibits a somewhat volatile price movement with periods of uptrends and downtrends. The latest candles suggest a consolidation phase after a downtrend.
Trading Signals: There are "Sell" signals indicated by red arrows pointing downwards, and a "Buy" signal indicated by a blue arrow pointing upwards, possibly generated by a trading strategy or indicator used on the platform.
Volume Indicator: At the bottom, there's a volume indicator showing trading activity. A large spike in volume can be observed at one point, coinciding with a large price movement.
Take Profit Levels: Two horizontal lines marked as 'Take Profit 1' and 'Take Profit 2' suggest levels where the trader may consider closing a position to realize gains.
Trigger Point: There's a yellow line with an icon labeled 'Trigger,' which could be the point at which the current trading strategy suggests entering a position.
Sold Iron Condor on United Airlines: LAST MINUTE STRATEGYThe iron condor is a strategy that can be used to profit from a relatively range in the price of an underlying asset. In this blog post, we will discuss a sold iron condor on United Airlines (UAL) with an options expiration of January 26, 2024.
What is an Iron Condor?
An iron condor is a four-leg options strategy that consists of a short put, a long put, a short call, and a long call. The short put and short call are placed at a lower strike price, while the long put and long call are placed at a higher strike price. The goal of the iron condor is to profit from a relatively narrow range in the price of the underlying asset.
Why Sell an Iron Condor on United Airlines?
United Airlines is a large, stable company with a relatively predictable stock price. This makes it a good candidate for an iron condor strategy. Additionally, the options on United Airlines are relatively liquid, which means that they are easy to trade.
What are the Risks of an Iron Condor?
The main risk of an iron condor is that the price of the underlying asset will move outside of the range that you have defined. In this case, you will lose money on both the short and long legs of your options.
How to Place a Sold Iron Condor on United Airlines
To place a sold iron condor on United Airlines, you will need to buy a put option with a strike price of $31, sell a put option with a strike price of $33, sell a call option with a strike price of $44, and buy a call option with a strike price of $46. The expiration date for your options should be January 26, 2024.
STOPLOSS 3 TIMES THE PREMIUM
Disclaimer
Please note that this blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Options trading is a risky investment, and you could lose money. Before placing any trades, please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor.
United Airlines $UAL Trade IdeaYesterday I took the trade on NASDAQ:UAL as the price pulled back to key support after we broke the 50MA.
The price is doing great today, my short target is around the $43 level but we have much more possibility for upside in the medium term.
The MA's are sloping up indicating a bullish momentum in the short term.
Oscillators are showing overbought in the short term, hence my comment on the $43 level, but the MACD is suggestion the bullish move just began.
If this was helpful for the readers, follow me for more trade ideas.
Thank you,
BK
UAL - DECLINE SCENARIOUnited Airlines Holdings posted Q3 earnings that surpassed expectations, yet it anticipates a decline in profit for the current quarter due to increased costs.
The Chicago-based airline foresees an adjusted profit ranging from $1.50 to $1.80 per share for the period ending in December. This forecast is lower than the $2.46 per share reported in the same period the previous year.
For the third quarter, the company reported an adjusted profit of $3.65 per share, surpassing the $3.35 estimate from Wall Street analysts.
The softening demand for domestic travel has raised concerns about whether consumers are curtailing their travel expenditures, as household savings dwindle and interest rates remain high.
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