MOODENG Up 1561% — Is a 50% Crash Next?MOODENG has gone full parabolic — launching from $0.0206 to $0.34 in just 36 days. That’s a staggering +1561% gain. But after a move this vertical, it’s time to ask the real question: can it sustain this pace… or is a correction looming?
Let’s break it down.
Technical Snapshot
MOODENG just tapped a major resistance zone — the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (log scale) of the entire bear trend from $0.70 down to $0.0206. That drawdown was a brutal -97% over 143 days, defining the last macro bear cycle. The current rally has now retraced almost 80% of that decline.
And now? It’s knocking on exhaustion’s door.
RSI Screaming Hot
The RSI on the daily chart is currently at 96 — a level rarely sustained for long. Historically, these readings lead to sharp corrections as early bulls take profit and late buyers get trapped.
Key Structure:
The key swing high at $0.31982 was just taken out, possibly as a liquidity grab.
Price is now hovering at this level — hovering… or topping?
Potential Retracement Zone
If MOODENG enters a standard corrective phase, the $0.15411 level stands out. — it lines up as a logical 50–61.8% retracement zone from the recent parabolic leg. A return to that level would mean a -50%+ crash from current highs.
Short Trade Idea (On Confirmation Only)
Entry: Break below $0.32 and retest it as resistance
Stop-Loss: Above $0.34 (structure invalidation)
Target: $0.15411 (0.618 Fib retracement)
R:R: 7:1+
This setup requires patience. Don’t front-run it — let price lose $0.32 with conviction and treat a clean retest as your trigger.
📘 Bonus Insight:
Whenever you see extreme RSI paired with major Fib levels (like 0.786), you’re likely looking at the exhaustion phase of a move — especially when paired with psychological price levels and historical resistance. That’s where smart money exits… and emotional money enters.
🧠 Educational Note: Why You Should Be Cautious with Parabolic Moves
These kinds of explosive rallies are exciting, but they’re often unsustainable. When price goes vertical and indicators like RSI hit extreme levels, smart money starts exiting — and emotional money starts chasing.
Parabolic moves often end with sharp, sudden crashes. Chasing these tops may feel tempting, but more often than not, it leads to losses. The real edge comes from waiting — for structure, confirmation, and setups with defined risk. Don’t trade hype. Trade the chart.
Summary
MOODENG up +1561% in just over a month
Tapped the 0.786 Fib of its entire macro downtrend
Daily RSI at 96 → overheated
Break & retest of $0.32 = ideal short setup
Targeting a possible -50% correction to $0.15411
Keep your emotions out of it — parabolic runs like this are exciting, but it’s discipline that gets you paid. Let price confirm. Then strike. 📉🔥
