Sticking the knife in for real pain=> Dark clouds continue to rest over EM, we are eyeballing a 4% move here against Malaysia.
=> Almost 90% of short term debt in Malaysia is covered by FX reserves whilst two thirds come in the form of short term borrowing.
=> If the banking system continues to feel pressure via uncertainty from Chinese officials then we are going to see some real pain here.
=> The risk to our thesis is that uncertainty around EM begins to fade, a scenario we unfortunately think has passed the point of no return in the global economy.
=> Good Luck
MYRUSD trade ideas
USD/MYR-TOWER TOPCandlestick pattern Tower Top emerged, time to reverse. Post-Malaysia Election, ringgit weakened. Rise from 3.948( 9/5/18) to 4.049 (3/7/18) to conclude wave i (probably?). Based on the reversal pattern (tower top), supported by the RSI that shown overbought signal and bearish divergence, we can expect USD/MYR will move downward for correction. Possible target 3.95 (Fibonacci 0.5).
USDMYR - More Room for DownsideLaburlah's Daily Complimentary (02-APR, Monday):
USDMYR
Technical Analysis Breakdown
1. Trend: Bearish
2. RSI & Stochastic: Bearish
3. Remarks: Fallout from MA200
4. Bollinger band: Cruising downward
5. Resistance: 3.92
Disclaimer: The abovementioned is purely for sharing purpose, you should seek advice from relevant personnel and do your own analysis before making your move.