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East Malaysia Crude Palm Oil FuturesEast Malaysia Crude Palm Oil FuturesEast Malaysia Crude Palm Oil Futures

East Malaysia Crude Palm Oil Futures

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FEPO1! trade ideas

FCPO 14 Feb 2023 : Price breach downtrend channel?1. Channel/Trendline: Yesterday price retest and reject mid-channel before going up to test the upper channel. This indicates strong buyers in the market because not allow prices to go lower channel. 2. SnR: Price plays in the support zone area and is still not decided yet on the direction. 3. Fibo: Price rejects 236 fibo level indicates sideway market still in play. The price might go lower to the 786 level if not able to breach and sustain above the 236 level. 4. MACD: There is no interesting divergence yet. We only see green divergence indicating uptrend movement in play.
MYX:FCPOJ2023
by ArifHasbollah
FCPO 10 Feb 2023 : Bearish divergence in progress?1. SnR: Price not able to sustain above resistance zone 3994. This indicates a strong seller 2. Channel/Trendline: Price break up trendline - Indicate sideway/change direction. 3. Oscillator: MACD from yesterday shows a bearish divergence Expectation : 1. Price will continue bearish momentum until at least close the previous gap. Trading plan as usual : 1. In Early morning, monitor the nearest possible SnR 2. Monitor EMA12 1min TF for entry
MYX:FCPOJ2023Short
by ArifHasbollah
FCPO 9 Feb 2023 : Bearish Divergence?30min TF : 1. Price break resistance and test supply zone and push back below the resistance. 2. Price break uptrend channel. Indicate SW for 30min or change the trend. 3. MACD shows bearish divergence. If the price goes for bearish divergence, possible to close the gap and target to be around 3860. 5min TF : 1. Price crosses EMA50 : Sideway/Change trend 2. EMA12 crosses below EMA50 : Downtrend. Expect price sideway before continue direction.
MYX:FCPOJ2023Short
by ArifHasbollah
Another movement possibility for fcpoThis option suggest that fcpo is still in its corrective structure, quite possibly an expanded flat and could reached RM 3500 ++ in the near term. Structurally, (C) is a 33333 ending diagonal (expanded version). Ultimately, this assumption will be invalidated if the price breaks the 3991 level and therefore validated my previous assumption of this is a start of wave 1 c. Disclaimer This is only for educational purposes and NOT a buy/ sell call.
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by faridah_sanny
Bullish Momentum for FCPO? www.tradingview.com FCPO could start its bullish momentum all the way to RM5000 ++ completing its major correction C structure (ZigZag), this of course is based on my biased Elliot Waves mapping. The only time we can be absolutely certain is when the market has broken past the RM4300 area until then it is only a speculation. However, there are early evidences that showed this assumption might be valid because: 1) Candlestick has closed above the area of change of character (market structure) 2) Price has bounced off the fib retracement level 0.618 - few times actually 3) Regular flat correction seems to have completed Disclaimer: This is not buy/sell call but rather for educational purposes only
MYX:FCPOJ2023Long
by faridah_sanny
SPREAD TRADING STRATEGY ON COMMODITIESThis spells trading opportunity for us as Palm Oil and Soybean Oil are generally considered substitute products, which means, at a large enough price difference, buyers may hop over to buy the cheaper one. Eventually closing the price gap back to its historical mean. Some potential tailwinds for Crude Palm Oil include; 1) The reopening of China, which would increase the demand for palm oil from the world’s 2nd largest importer of the product. 2) Biofuel Mandates, which would put higher demand pressure on Palm Oil . 3) Slowing production growth in palm oil could lead to supply-demand imbalances, pushing palm oil higher as supply falters. One way to trade this price divergence would be to short the Soybean Oil – Palm Oil spread. This trade can be set up by selling 1 Soybean Oil Futures and buying 1 USD Malaysian Crude Palm Oil Futures . However, do note that in such a set-up, the position is not fully ‘hedged’ as the contract units are different, 1 Soybean Oil Futures has a contract unit of 60,000 Pounds (~27.21 metric tons) while 1 Crude Palm Oil Futures is for 25 metric tons. Sources: https: //www .tradingview.com/u/inspirante/ https: //www .cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/files/spreading-cbot-soybean-oil-and-bmd-crude-palm-oil.pdf https: //www .cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/palm-oil-spread-volatility-creates-opportunities.html https: // jakartaglobe.id/business/palm-oil-prices-production-to-drop-in-2023-gapki https: // oec.world/en/profile/hs/palm-oil
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by SirPoji