Short trade
15min TF overview
📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (GC!1 – Gold Futures)
📅 Session: Tokyo to London AM
⏰ Time: 4:45 AM
📉 Pair: GC! 1 (Gold Futures)
🧭 Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 3324.7
Take Profit (TP): 3288.2 (–1.10%)
Stop Loss (SL): 3331.3 (+0.20%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.53 ✅
🧠 Trade Narrative:
A short setup during the transition between Tokyo and London. The trade idea is based on combining session timing with the sweep of Tokyo high, where gold often reacts to macro flow and liquidity grabs for a sellside trade idea.
FGLD1! trade ideas
GOLD, Is it 5th Wave?1. Sharp Movement, Steep Trade Angle
2. Length of 3rd Wave is equal to 5th Wave
3. Ascending Channel TGT is completed
4. Divergence in the Price Movement
5. Nifty Price Movement - It is at a breakout point. The Correlation between 2 asset classes is approximately Negative 0.30 to 0.35 post Covid
If this is the case, then price may not move beyond 1 Lakh
This will be a great opportunity to book the profit in gold; it may correct to 70000 or below in the next few months.
Gold Futures– Expanding Triangle Top HypothesisAs of April 14, 2025, gold has surged to record highs near $3,265, but the technical picture suggests trend exhaustion. Price action resembles a potential expanding triangle top, with bearish divergence on RSI and momentum, declining volume on rallies, and seasonal cycles hinting at weakness into May–June. This may not be a fresh impulse but rather a volatile topping formation. If the triangle pattern holds, we could see a breakdown toward the $2,950–$2,800 zone before another base forms. Short-term traders should be cautious and consider scaling into shorts only on failed bounces near resistance. Longs may want to wait until strong support zones around $2,750–$2,850 show signs of stabilization. Risk/reward now favors defense over chase.
Bearish Divergence Across the Board:
RSI & Momentum indicators failed to confirm new highs
Volume spiked on selloffs, not on breakouts
Possible expanding triangle top forming (ABCDE pattern), often a major topping structure
Cycle & Fibonacci Confluence:
Seasonal weakness into May–June aligns with cycle top
Key retracement targets: $3,045 → $2,950 → $2,870 → $2,800
Support zone to watch: $2,750–$2,850
Trade Strategy Ideas:
Short-Term Plan (1–3 Weeks)
Bias: Bearish or Neutral
Pattern: Expanding Triangle (C Wave Possibly Unfolding)
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,265 (recent high), $3,200 (round-number, prior Wave B)
Initial Downside Targets: $3,045 (23.6% Fib), $2,950 (38.2%)
Stretch Target: $2,870–$2,800 (50–61.8% Fib, Cycle Support Zone)
Entry Plan (Short Bias):
Consider short positions on weak bounce rejections near $3,200–$3,240 if momentum remains divergent.
Watch for breakdowns under $3,100 with high volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Above $3,275 (new highs invalidate C wave assumption)
Scale Out: Partial profits at $3,045, more at $2,950
Final Target: $2,870–$2,800 zone
Re-evaluate: If strong reversal candles or bullish volume return before $2,950, exit early.
Medium-Term Plan (1–2 Months)
Bias: Wait for correction to finish before new long
Key Timing: Cycle projection into late May–June 2025
Buy Zone (if correction unfolds):
Primary: $2,750–$2,850 (50–61.8% retracement & prior breakout zone)
Entry Strategy:
Wait for a weekly bullish reversal candle or a clear RSI bottoming with momentum confirmation in the $2,750–$2,850 zone.
Prefer entries during a low-volatility retest or after a capitulation flush into major support.
Stop Loss: Below $2,700
Initial Targets for Bounce: $3,045 → $3,200
Scale Out Strategy:
Scale in between $2,800–$2,750
Begin scaling out above $3,045 and $3,150 if bounce occurs
Long-Term Plan (3–6+ Months)
Bias: Neutral to Cautiously Bullish (contingent on structure post-correction)
Trend Review: If correction resolves and price bases around $2,800, long-term bulls may re-enter.
Invalidation of Bullish Thesis: A sustained break below $2,700 with heavy volume and commercial selling.
Next Major Bullish Cycle Potential:
Wave structure reset scenario: After expanding triangle resolution and larger ABC correction, new 5-wave impulse could begin in late Q2 2025.
Macro-Level Support: If global macro uncertainty rises again, gold could re-target $3,300 and higher.
Action: Remain flat until a confirmed low forms. Position building to be considered once weekly momentum resets and smart money returns.
📌 DYOR. Not financial advice.
#Gold #GC_F #Futures #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Seasonality #Momentum #RSI #ShortSetup
gold trend direction .. Follow upGold 92870 - Has given a inside bar pattern ( bearish ) and signals are diverged suggests drop to 87300
goodreturns.in wrote :
Market Outlook for Gold Prices in India According to a recent report by FXStreet, "Gold prices may witness a short-term pause as bulls take a breather following an extended rally. The report notes that while the fundamental outlook remains bullish, the metal appears slightly overbought on the daily chart." "From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering just above the 70 level, indicating overstretched market conditions. As a result, analysts suggest that it would be wise for traders to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest price correction before entering new long positions."
Gold Trade Review – Potential Pop, Drop, then ATH's SetupWe are currently watching a potential pop and drop and potential ATH scenario developing in gold. Price is holding above a key daily level at $3,021.4 , which will serve as the critical pivot area. A sustained move below this level will likely trigger continuation toward the next significant daily level at $2,968.5 for T1, and potentially further into the weekly/daily support zone at $2,953.2 , with an extended target at the daily level of $2,929.0.
I would expect that zone to provide support, though there is an untested area lower near the recent lows at $2,893.6. Ideally, I do not want to see price move much beyond our first weekly/daily support zone mentioned above but would lean on the lower level as a last ditch effort to hold the structure.
From the current price structure, based on Fridays close there's also potential for a move higher into (#1) $3,058 , which is an untested daily level (approached from below). If this level acts as firm resistance, it could trigger the anticipated drop into the zones outlined above. Keeping an eye on being above or below $3,021.4 will be critical for progression in either direction.
Gold | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential | (April 2025)Gold (XAUUSD) | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential + Structure Watch | (April 27, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Gold is at a critical level where multiple scenarios could unfold. Money flow and structure suggest a higher probability for lower prices, but a move higher toward $3,477 remains possible too.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: Watching for liquidity sweep around $3,225
Stop Loss: Above recent structure highs if the sweep setup fails
TP1: Partial profit near $3,225 (liquidity grab area)
TP2: Further downside depending on momentum and structure after the sweep
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Money flow is exiting, and market structure leans toward lower prices for now.
✅ Heavy liquidity is resting around $3,225 — a sweep could trigger key reactions and partial exits.
✅ Still some possibility that Gold pushes higher toward $3,477 if market sentiment flips short-term bullish.
✅ Structure is not completely clean yet — waiting for a clearer setup before going heavy.
✅ Watch S&P 500 closely: a short-term correction there could help Gold move higher temporarily as a non-correlated asset.
❌ Risk if Gold breaks higher before sweeping $3,225, invalidating the current short-biased setup.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
I will continue monitoring Gold’s structure closely and will update the idea if we get a clean sweep or confirmation for the next move.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
GOLD Follows "Buy The Dip" Mode, Being Supported by 200-hour SMAGold prices have experienced significant volatility over the last days, with conflicting reports on the current trend. According to some sources, gold prices have increased, with spot gold reaching $3,500 per troy ounce, new all the history high on Tuesday, April 22, 2025.
The $3,500 milestone has sparked increased interest from investors and market analysts, meaning that Gold spot doubled in price over the past 5 years, 3rd time in history ever.
Despite the short-term volatility, gold has shown a strong performance since the beginning of 2025, with an increase of approximately 30-35% year-to-date. Market analysts remain bullish on gold, with some forecasting prices to reach $ 4'000 per ounce in the near term.
The main 1-hour graph indicates on 200-hours SMA technical support, with further upside opportunity due to forming on the chart descending triangle (flat bottom/ descending top) breakthrow.
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Best #GODL wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Watch to Watch - Gold Bearish Head and ShouldersWith the recent strength in US equities, the long gold trade may be over. Gold broke below a key trendline and formed a distinct bearish head and shoulder pattern signifying possible downside pressure coming up today and into the next week. Definitely worth watching for futures traders. First target with a break lower would be around $3240 with a lot of downside from there.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) – Long Position
Entry Price: 3395.9
Profit Target: 3469.0 (+2.21%)
Stop Loss: 3311.4 (–0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.68
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York PM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
GC1! displayed signs of bullish continuation going into the New York PM session, with price consolidating between 3.325 - 3,319 in a tight range above a recently reclaimed support zone, followed by the breakout.
Gold Is Surging , Remains in Bullish Uptrend### **1. Overall Trend**
- **Trend Direction:** Strong **uptrend** from early October 2024 to April 2025.
- **Price Action:** Gold surged from around $2,800 to over $3,300, hitting a high near $3,329.
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### **2. Indicators & Strategy Setup**
**Strategy Used:** Steve’s DC-MACD Strategy (Manual Settings)
- **DC Length:** 20
- **MACD Fast:** 12
- **MACD Slow:** 26
- **Signal Smoothing:** 9
- **Moving Averages Type:** EMA
**Overlay Elements:**
- **Green/Red Channels:** These represent **Donchian Channels** or volatility-based bands, indicating consolidation vs breakout.
- **White Line:** Possibly a shorter EMA used as a dynamic support/resistance guide.
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### **3. Signal Arrows**
- **Red Down Arrows (BEAR):** Sell signals, typically at local tops or when the MACD crosses down.
- **Green Up Arrows (BULL):** Buy signals, often following a breakout from consolidation.
Recent Signal:
- **Latest signal is BULL** in early April, aligning with a breakout above $3,100.
---
### **4. Volume**
- **Spikes in volume** around signal points suggest institutional participation.
- Noticeable volume increases in:
- October (2024)
- January and April (2025)
---
### **5. Market Context**
- **Current Price:** $3,324.5
- **Pullback Potential:** After hitting $3,329, a short-term correction is possible, but the trend remains bullish unless price breaks below $3,200 with heavy sell volume.
---
### **6. Strategy Effectiveness**
- The strategy has **accurately captured several trends**, especially the bullish breakout in late March.
- However, **multiple false bear signals** during the uptrend suggest better performance in trending markets than in sideways conditions.
The Gold Rush is overA rejection off of 3508 level with an evening star or shooting star (depending on how you view candlestick patterns) and a close below other key Fibonacci and sup/res levels will likely cause a downtrend in the foreseeable future. Any closes below key levels should be viewed as bearish price action.
200 SMA pie for Bears SMA is a bold indicator to know analyze the price run & reccent prices was up by 21% & gap up opening in few trading sessions--makes a great bear move to catch let's understand.
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1) Gold is a commodity.
2) Which oftely don't show the big price moves.
3) 4 gap up opening in last 15 sessions.
4) Unusual volumes and move of the price.
5) Geoplitical Tensions of US-Tarrifs making gold the most attractive investment.
6) 20.65% up from 200SMA.
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Less favroble for buyers and with good money for bears to make, unless some investment bank put in a 1/2 Billion.... GoMakeIt
asymmetric triangle or Rising wedge ? This chart shows the potential formation of either a symmetrical triangle or an ascending wedge on MGC1! ( Micro Gold Futures). The distinction -- Both suggest consolidation, but the edge leans bearish while the triangle is more neutral until broken.
I identified the prior impulse move downward as the dominate leg. Price is currently forming higher lows, but may fail to break past the highs with strength, suggesting potential exhaustion from the bulls.
I'm watching for:
*A possible false breakout, then breakdown continuation.
*The wedge's lower support to be tested.
* Confirmation via a clean hourly close or with a bearish engulfing below $3,371.0
My ideal entry would be at the 50% FVG pull back of the engulfing candle.
My First TP would be $3303 then my extended would be $3260, stop-loss above $3,380.
Reasoning: this idea combines FVG imbalance, 50% institutional discount levels, and price action structure. The pattern also hints at market indecision, so I remain reactive rather than predictive. The market isn't worth it just tells a story and I'm listening to the chapter before the breakout.
Mid-Week Market Forecast: GOLD, SILVER, COPPER & PLATINUMIn this video, we'll present analysis and best setups for Wednesday, April 22nd to the end of the week.
Gold is still a buy.
Silver may present a sell opportunity at current levels.
Copper looks like it is setting up for a valid sell.
Platinum has showed weakness early this week. We'll watch for continuation.
Be patient, and wait for confirmations!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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Gold chart showing interesting dataInteresting chart on GOLD futures.
Always wise to WAIT until end of day/week.
Daily Chart
Heavy selling has not meant much BUT the movement today is....... different.
Weekly Chart
RSI is not bad but it is weaker than Oct 24.
$ Flow is down a significant amount compared to last top.
GL Long on 3rd bullflagMy GL trade thesis. Previous two potential bullflags had a strong confirmation when first 15 min candle closed abolve VWAP. A 3rd Bullflag might be forming. Looking to go long on the 1st closed green candle on 15min today. With a stop at 3450. Profit target, 3550 (psychological level).